United States presidential election in Kansas, 2004

United States presidential election in Kansas, 2004
Kansas
November 2, 2004
 
Nominee George W. Bush John Kerry
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Texas Massachusetts
Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards
Electoral vote 6 0
Popular vote 736,456 434,993
Percentage 62.0% 36.6%

County Results
  Kerry—60-70%
  Kerry—50-60%
  Bush—50-60%
  Bush—60-70%
  Bush—70-80%
  Bush—80-90%
President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

 Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

The 2004 United States presidential election in Kansas took place on November 2, 2004 throughout all 50 states and the District of Columbia, which was part of the 2004 presidential election. Voters chose 6 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for President and Vice President.

Kansas was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 25.4% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. On election day, it trended Republican from the 2000 election by a swing margin of almost 5%. He won every single congressional district and county, excluding just 2: Wyandotte County and Douglas County.

Caucuses

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state by state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]

  1. D.C. Political Report: Solid Republican
  2. Associated Press: Solid Bush
  3. CNN: Bush
  4. Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
  5. Newsweek: Solid Bush
  6. New York Times: Solid Bush
  7. Rasmussen Reports: Bush
  8. Research 2000: Solid Bush
  9. Washington Post: Bush
  10. Washington Times: Solid Bush
  11. Zogby International: Bush
  12. Washington Dispatch: Bush

Polling

Bush won every single pre-election poll, and won each by a double digit margin of victory and with at least 56% of the vote. The final 3 polls averaged Bush leading 58% to 37% for Kerry and 3% for Nader.[2]

Fundraising

Bush raised $980,035.[3] Kerry raised $387,484.[4]

Advertising and visits

Neither presidential candidate advertised or visited this state. However, John Edwards visited the city of Lawrence in Douglas County briefly. [5][6]

Analysis

Kansas has always been a Republican stronghold at the presidential level, voting for GOP nominees in all but seven elections since statehood. The last Democratic presidential nominee to carry the Sunflower State was Lyndon B. Johnson in his landslide election in 1964. A combination of rural counties embedded with deep pockets of evangelical Christianity/social conservatism and moderate, fiscally conservative residents in Johnson County, Kansas nearly always votes Republican.

Results

United States presidential election in Kansas, 2004[7]
Party Candidate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican George W. Bush (Inc.) 736,456 62.0% 6
Democratic John Kerry 434,993 36.6% 0
Reform Party Ralph Nader 9,348 0.8% 0
Independent Michael Badnarik 4,013 0.3% 0
Independent Michael Peroutka 2,899 0.2% 0
Write In David Cobb 33 0.0% 0
Write In John Joseph Kennedy 5 0.0% 0
Write In Bill Van Auken 5 0.0% 0
Write In Walt Brown 4 0.0% 0
Totals 1,187,756 100.00% 6
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 58.6%

Results breakdown

By county

County Bush # Bush % Kerry # Kerry % Others # Others % Total
Allen County, Kansas 3,808 65.92% 1,885 32.63% 84 1.45% 5,777
Anderson County, Kansas 2,490 64.74% 1,291 33.57% 65 1.69% 3,846
Atchison County, Kansas 3,769 54.54% 3,028 43.81% 114 1.65% 6,911
Barber County, Kansas 1,749 73.89% 585 24.71% 33 1.39% 2,367
Barton County, Kansas 8,545 74.00% 2,837 24.57% 165 1.43% 11,547
Bourbon County, Kansas 4,268 65.36% 2,167 33.19% 95 1.45% 6,530
Brown County, Kansas 3,034 70.18% 1,234 28.54% 55 1.27% 4,323
Butler County, Kansas 16,331 71.26% 6,292 27.46% 293 1.28% 22,916
Chase County, Kansas 1,043 70.28% 413 27.83% 28 1.89% 1,484
Chautauqua County, Kansas 1,496 77.84% 400 20.81% 26 1.35% 1,922
Cherokee County, Kansas 6,045 61.38% 3,694 37.51% 109 1.11% 9,848
Cheyenne County, Kansas 1,346 80.02% 317 18.85% 19 1.13% 1,682
Clark County, Kansas 998 78.46% 254 19.97% 20 1.57% 1,272
Clay County, Kansas 3,119 79.20% 777 19.73% 42 1.07% 3,938
Cloud County, Kansas 3,134 71.49% 1,179 26.89% 71 1.62% 4,384
Coffey County, Kansas 3,204 73.93% 1,076 24.83% 54 1.25% 4,334
Comanche County, Kansas 765 78.54% 198 20.33% 11 1.13% 974
Cowley County, Kansas 9,237 65.06% 4,747 33.44% 213 1.50% 14,197
Crawford County, Kansas 8,423 52.09% 7,470 46.20% 277 1.71% 16,170
Decatur County, Kansas 1,354 77.86% 355 20.41% 30 1.73% 1,739
Dickinson County, Kansas 6,186 71.69% 2,316 26.84% 127 1.47% 8,629
Doniphan County, Kansas 2,460 69.24% 1,049 29.52% 44 1.24% 3,553
Douglas County, Kansas 19,923 41.44% 27,282 56.74% 875 1.82% 48,080
Edwards County, Kansas 1,072 72.43% 383 25.88% 25 1.69% 1,480
Elk County, Kansas 1,114 73.87% 367 24.34% 27 1.79% 1,508
Ellis County, Kansas 7,683 64.70% 3,938 33.16% 254 2.14% 11,875
Ellsworth County, Kansas 2,246 72.90% 794 25.77% 41 1.33% 3,081
Finney County, Kansas 7,361 75.39% 2,303 23.59% 100 1.02% 9,764
Ford County, Kansas 6,413 73.66% 2,195 25.21% 98 1.13% 8,706
Franklin County, Kansas 7,278 64.34% 3,874 34.25% 159 1.41% 11,311
Geary County, Kansas 4,553 64.33% 2,436 34.42% 89 1.26% 7,078
Gove County, Kansas 1,182 81.46% 245 16.88% 24 1.65% 1,451
Graham County, Kansas 1,067 75.09% 330 23.22% 24 1.69% 1,421
Grant County, Kansas 2,082 78.39% 549 20.67% 25 0.94% 2,656
Gray County, Kansas 1,730 80.92% 387 18.10% 21 0.98% 2,138
Greeley County, Kansas 577 79.59% 137 18.90% 11 1.52% 725
Greenwood County, Kansas 2,247 70.28% 899 28.12% 51 1.60% 3,197
Hamilton County, Kansas 874 78.88% 222 20.04% 12 1.08% 1,108
Harper County, Kansas 2,123 73.54% 717 24.84% 47 1.63% 2,887
Harvey County, Kansas 9,364 63.08% 5,237 35.28% 244 1.64% 14,845
Haskell County, Kansas 1,309 84.67% 221 14.29% 16 1.03% 1,546
Hodgeman County, Kansas 949 80.63% 222 18.86% 6 0.51% 1,177
Jackson County, Kansas 3,682 63.47% 2,026 34.93% 93 1.60% 5,801
Jefferson County, Kansas 5,345 61.43% 3,226 37.08% 130 1.49% 8,701
Jewell County, Kansas 1,494 78.10% 384 20.07% 35 1.83% 1,913
Johnson County, Kansas 153,718 61.16% 95,002 37.80% 2,624 1.04% 251,344
Kearny County, Kansas 1,160 80.67% 272 18.92% 6 0.42% 1,438
Kingman County, Kansas 2,795 74.41% 902 24.01% 59 1.57% 3,756
Kiowa County, Kansas 1,248 81.36% 253 16.49% 33 2.15% 1,534
Labette County, Kansas 5,345 59.05% 3,582 39.58% 124 1.37% 9,051
Lane County, Kansas 815 81.18% 179 17.83% 10 1.00% 1,004
Leavenworth County, Kansas 15,609 58.37% 10,802 40.39% 332 1.24% 26,743
Lincoln County, Kansas 1,350 75.80% 390 21.90% 41 2.30% 1,781
Linn County, Kansas 2,954 64.12% 1,592 34.56% 61 1.32% 4,607
Logan County, Kansas 1,252 82.37% 248 16.32% 20 1.32% 1,520
Lyon County, Kansas 7,604 59.18% 5,003 38.93% 243 1.89% 12,850
Marion County, Kansas 4,393 73.30% 1,496 24.96% 104 1.74% 5,993
Marshall County, Kansas 3,217 63.98% 1,754 34.88% 57 1.13% 5,028
McPherson County, Kansas 9,353 71.68% 3,520 26.98% 176 1.35% 13,049
Meade County, Kansas 1,721 82.46% 349 16.72% 17 0.81% 2,087
Miami County, Kansas 8,645 64.14% 4,681 34.73% 153 1.14% 13,479
Mitchell County, Kansas 2,577 77.88% 687 20.76% 45 1.36% 3,309
Montgomery County, Kansas 9,435 68.06% 4,254 30.69% 174 1.26% 13,863
Morris County, Kansas 1,945 66.88% 921 31.67% 42 1.44% 2,908
Morton County, Kansas 1,258 81.37% 275 17.79% 13 0.84% 1,546
Nemaha County, Kansas 3,966 73.68% 1,336 24.82% 81 1.50% 5,383
Neosho County, Kansas 4,530 65.23% 2,318 33.38% 97 1.40% 6,945
Ness County, Kansas 1,387 77.36% 379 21.14% 27 1.51% 1,793
Norton County, Kansas 2,069 80.35% 472 18.33% 34 1.32% 2,575
Osage County, Kansas 4,698 64.36% 2,482 34.00% 119 1.63% 7,299
Osborne County, Kansas 1,552 76.45% 444 21.87% 34 1.67% 2,030
Ottawa County, Kansas 2,330 78.56% 595 20.06% 41 1.38% 2,966
Pawnee County, Kansas 2,144 72.78% 759 25.76% 43 1.46% 2,946
Phillips County, Kansas 2,206 79.07% 550 19.71% 34 1.22% 2,790
Pottawatomie County, Kansas 6,210 71.58% 2,147 24.75% 319 3.68% 8,676
Pratt County, Kansas 3,075 71.21% 1,181 27.35% 62 1.44% 4,318
Rawlins County, Kansas 1,408 82.29% 288 16.83% 15 0.88% 1,711
Reno County, Kansas 17,139 65.11% 8,739 33.20% 444 1.69% 26,322
Republic County, Kansas 2,205 77.42% 601 21.10% 42 1.47% 2,848
Rice County, Kansas 3,124 72.62% 1,116 25.94% 62 1.44% 4,302
Riley County, Kansas 12,415 60.53% 7,774 37.91% 320 1.56% 20,509
Rooks County, Kansas 2,116 78.40% 529 19.60% 54 2.00% 2,699
Rush County, Kansas 1,224 68.53% 516 28.89% 46 2.58% 1,786
Russell County, Kansas 2,628 75.82% 795 22.94% 43 1.24% 3,466
Saline County, Kansas 14,758 65.54% 7,365 32.71% 395 1.75% 22,518
Scott County, Kansas 1,897 83.79% 339 14.97% 28 1.24% 2,264
Sedgwick County, Kansas 101,111 62.46% 58,619 36.21% 2,161 1.33% 161,891
Seward County, Kansas 3,894 78.71% 1,012 20.46% 41 0.83% 4,947
Shawnee County, Kansas 43,467 54.34% 35,438 44.30% 1,090 1.36% 79,995
Sheridan County, Kansas 1,133 81.63% 232 16.71% 23 1.66% 1,388
Sherman County, Kansas 2,063 75.46% 630 23.04% 41 1.50% 2,734
Smith County, Kansas 1,780 75.58% 538 22.85% 37 1.57% 2,355
Stafford County, Kansas 1,636 75.29% 506 23.29% 31 1.43% 2,173
Stanton County, Kansas 780 82.54% 160 16.93% 5 0.53% 945
Stevens County, Kansas 1,912 85.40% 308 13.76% 19 0.85% 2,239
Sumner County, Kansas 6,997 67.69% 3,163 30.60% 177 1.71% 10,337
Thomas County, Kansas 2,925 77.92% 786 20.94% 43 1.15% 3,754
Trego County, Kansas 1,219 72.56% 434 25.83% 27 1.61% 1,680
Wabaunsee County, Kansas 2,464 70.10% 982 27.94% 69 1.96% 3,515
Wallace County, Kansas 741 84.78% 112 12.81% 21 2.40% 874
Washington County, Kansas 2,436 78.18% 632 20.28% 48 1.54% 3,116
Wichita County, Kansas 861 81.69% 183 17.36% 10 0.95% 1,054
Wilson County, Kansas 3,204 74.27% 1,037 24.04% 73 1.69% 4,314
Woodson County, Kansas 1,201 68.36% 527 29.99% 29 1.65% 1,757
Wyandotte County, Kansas 17,312 34.19% 32,781 64.75% 535 1.06% 50,628

By congressional district

Bush won all four congressional districts.[8]

District Bush Kerry Representative
1st 72% 26% Jerry Moran
2nd 59% 39% Jim Ryun
3rd 55% 44% Dennis Moore
4th 64% 34% Todd Tiahrt

Electors

Technically the voters of Kansas cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Kansas is allocated 6 electors because it has 4 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 6 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 6 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for President and Vice President. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004 to cast their votes for President and Vice President. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 6 were pledged to Bush/Cheney.[9]

  1. Ruth Garvey Fink
  2. Bud Hentzen
  3. Dennis Jones
  4. Wanda Konold
  5. Jack Ranson
  6. Patricia Pitney Smith

References

  1. ↑ http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW[]
  2. ↑ http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=1
  3. ↑ http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04
  4. ↑ http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04
  5. ↑ http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/
  6. ↑ http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/tracking/10.25.html
  7. ↑ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on May 13, 2009. Retrieved July 17, 2009.
  8. ↑ http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/
  9. ↑ http://www.kssos.org/other/2004_Presidential_Electors.html

See also

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