Energy in Thailand

Energy in Thailand refers to energy and electricity production, consumption, import and export in Thailand. According to the Ministry of Energy, the country's primary energy consumption was 75.2 Mtoe (million tonnes of oil equivalent) in 2013, an increase of 2.6 percent over the previous year.[1] According to British Petroleum, energy consumption was 115.6 Mtoe in 2013.[2]

Overview

Thailand produces roughly one-third of the oil it consumes. It is the second largest importer of oil in SE Asia. Thailand is a large producer of natural gas, with reserves of at least 10 trillion cubic feet. After Indonesia, it is the largest coal producer in Southeast Asia, but must import additional coal to meet domestic demand.

Electricity

Ninety percent of Thai electrical generating capacity is conventional thermal. Oil-fired plants have been replaced by natural gas, which as of 2016 powers 60 percent of electrical generation. Coal-fired plants produce an additional 20 percent, with the remainder from biomass, hydro, and biogas.[3]

Energy Consumption by Fuel, 2013 (Mtoe)[2]
Oil Natural Gas Coal Nuclear Hydro Renewables Total
50.4 47.0 16.0 0 1.3 1.0 115.6

Energy experts working for the World Wildlife Fund have calculated that Thailand and four Mekong Region neighbours could achieve 100 percent renewable energy electricity generation by 2050. Their study showed that these countries can produce and use electricity from solar power, wind power, biogas, and small run-of-the-river hydroelectricity. The findings conflict with government plans that discount renewables.[4]

Rising temperatures increase electricity demand. It is estimated that cities the size of Bangkok may require as much as 2 gigawatts of additional electricity for each increase of 1 degree Celsius in temperature due to increased demand for air conditioning.[5]

Oil

Offshore production wasn't enough to bring the country close to self-reliance.

Gas

Much of the country's gas is imported.

Natural gas fuels approximately 60 percent of Thailand's electrical power generation.[7]

The Erawan gas field in the Gulf of Thailand supplies about 20 percent of Thailand's gas production. The field is estimated to have a capacity of 885 million cf per day.[8]

Biofuel

The government is promoting the production of biodiesel from palm oil to be blended with conventional diesel with the aim of reducing petroleum imports. The production goal is 5.97 million liters per day in 2021.[9]

Coal

In 2013 Thailand produced approximately 18 million tonnes of lignite and imported roughly 19 million tonnes of bituminous coal. All of the lignite and six million tonnes of the bituminous coal was used to produce electricity, the remainder being used by industry.[10]

Private solar power generation

In March 2016, the Thai government gave approval for homes and commercial buildings to install solar panels. Each house will be permitted to generate 10 kW and each factory 40 kW. The private sector, despite Thailand's ample solar resources, previously had no right to install power-generation equipment. The government's plan is to devise regulations in March, hold public hearings in April, and roll out the program in the summer of 2016. Power generation is expected to start at the end of 2016 or early-2017.[11]

Nuclear

Thailand has no nuclear power plants. Earlier plans to produce five gigawatts of electricity by 2025 using nuclear technology were scaled back to 2 GW in the aftermath of the Fukushima disaster.[3]

As memories of Fukushima recede, interest in nuclear power has revived. Seven ASEAN nations, including Thailand, have signed cooperation agreements with Rosatom, Russia's state nuclear energy agency. The Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT) is working with China, Japan, and South Korea on nuclear power generation technology and has sent 100 specialists to train for nuclear power plant projects. EGAT plans for up to five percent of the country's power generation to be generated from nuclear by 2036.[12]

Thailand's Power Development Plan, 2015-2036

According to Thailand's Power Development Plan for 2015-2036,[13][14] the country intends to build 20 additional gas-powered electrical generating stations (17,728 MWe), nine "clean coal" power stations (7,390 MWe), and 14,206 MW of renewable energy, including hydro, a large proportion of which will be imported from Laos or Myanmar. Up to two nuclear plants are also in the plans.[15]

Critics charge that power needs are overstated. Thailand plans for a reserve margin—the amount of energy available over that used at peak demand—of 15 percent. However, the plan identifies reserve margins as high as 39 percent in some years. The root cause is that Thailand regularly overestimates its economic growth, assuming it to be over four percent when it is historically around three percent.[15]

The role of imported hydro is also at issue. In 2015, hydro accounted for approximately seven percent of Thailand's power output. Under the plan, it will rise to 15-20 percent by 2036, and additional hydro will be imported from the Xayaburi Dam on the Mekong River and from the Hat Gyi and Mong Ton dams in Myanmar. While these sources may look clean on Thailand's balance sheets, the devastating environmental impacts to locals are simply outsourced.[15]

Many have asked why Thailand pursues a few very large coal power plants when it could be adopting safer, possibly cheaper routes, such as biomass reactors, like the 40 MWe plant operated by Double A in Prachinburi using wood and offcuts. The answer may lie in the fact that large, centralised mega-projects benefit the centralised system of project approval. With a public sector corruption rate of 25 percent, according to the Thai Chamber of Commerce,[16] they can be very beneficial for unscrupulous officials.[15]

History of the electricity sector

Anand Panyarachun government

The government of Anand Panyarachun (1991-1992) began the process of energy industry liberalization. Its reforms included:

Chuan Leekpai government

The subsequent government of Chuan Leekpai (1992-1995, 1997-2001) continued Anand's policies, with Sawit Bhodivihok taking a leading role in industry reform. The reforms were fiercely attacked by members of the EGAT, Metropolitan Energy Authority (MEA), and Provincial Electricity Authority (PEA) unions. As a result, no significant changes in industry structure or ownership occurred during Chuan's term.

Thaksin Shinawatra government

Refining and pipelines

In September 2001, the National Energy Policy Office approved the partial listing of PTT, the state-owned oil and gas company.[17]

PTT swiftly became the largest company by market capitalization upon listing in the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET). PTT greatly profited from the global increase in worldwide oil prices following the 2003 invasion of Iraq, and the rise in its stock price helped propel the SET to a boom. However, anti-Thaksin critics have claimed that PTT's bull run was due to manipulation by Thaksin.[18]

Electricity generation and transmission

Like Chuan, Thaksin repeatedly attempted to privatize the Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT). One of the goals of the privatization was to raise 42 billion baht from the IPO and use the funds to invest in three new natural-gas powered power plants.

In early-2004, massive employee protests forced the EGAT governor to resign, thus delaying the planned privatization of the state enterprise. Governor Kraisri Karnasuta worked with employees to address their concerns about the privatization, and by December 2004, it was claimed that approximately 80 percent of employees supported privatization.[19] Permanent protest stages and tents at the EGAT headquarters were taken down as the state enterprise returned to normal. After the Mahachon Party (the only party that was officially against privatization of state enterprises) won only two seats in the February 2005 parliamentary elections, the process of EGAT's privatization was restarted. The agency was corporatized in June 2005, transforming it from the Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand to EGAT PLC. However, EGAT's privatization was abruptly delayed when some NGOs and some union members filed a petition with the Supreme Court a few days before the scheduled listing on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).[20]

On 23 March 2006, the Supreme Administrative Court ruled against the privatization of EGAT PLC, citing conflicts of interest, public hearing irregularities, and the continued right of expropriation.[21][22] The court said that Olarn Chaipravat, a board member of PTT and Shin Corporation[23] (both business partners of EGAT), was on a committee involved in the legal preparation of Egat's privatisation. The court questioned the neutrality of Parinya Nutalai, chair of the public hearing panel on the EGAT listing, because he was Vice Minister of Natural Resources and the Environment.

It also ruled that insufficient opportunities were given to EGAT employees to make themselves heard. There was only one public hearing for employees, which only 1,057 attended. Lastly, EGAT PLC continued to have the right to expropriate public land to build power plants and transmission lines, a right reserved for the state. Two decrees were nullified: one ordering the dissolution of the status of EGAT as a state enterprise, and the other serving as a new charter for EGAT PLC.

Union leaders and anti-Thaksin protesters cheered the ruling, and called for the renationalization of other privatized state enterprises,[24] such as PTT Exploration and Production (PTTEP) and Thai Airways International (both privatized in 1992),[25][26] PTT PCL, TOT PCL, MCOT PCL, Thailand Post Co Ltd, and CAT Telecom PCL.[27] Like EGAT, PTT also retained land expropriation rights after it was privatized. However, this was one of the grounds for the nullification of the EGAT privatization. Caretaker Finance Minister Thanong Bidaya has noted that the delisting and renationalization of PTT could force the government to borrow massively from foreign institutions.[28]

Some criticized that the listing of PTT on the SET on the grounds that it represented a massive transfer of public assets for the benefit of few people. Though the government initially accepted over 100,000 first-time investors, there were reports that the majority of the shares for sale to retail investors had been reserved for politicians, the banks' preferred clients, and journalists, leaving many retail investors, who stood in long lines to wait, to return home empty-handed. A nephew of Suriya Juengrungruangkit, the minister of Industry overseeing PTT and TRT Party secretary general, for example, was reported to have acquired 22 times the maximum number of PTT shares distributed to retail investors.[29]

Fears of this being repeated were often cited as the reason why EGAT's privatization was delayed indefinitely. Another key argument for delaying privatization was that privatization preceded the establishment of an independent energy regulatory authority. In international experience, there are no examples of successful monopoly utility privatization without regulatory oversight. Under pressure, Thaksin's government formed an interim electricity regulatory body, but some charged that it lacked authority to force compliance, levy fines, or punish defaulters.[30] EGAT employee concerns about employment security were also common. Some expressed concern that partial ownership of Thailand's largest electricity producer by foreign shareholders would impact national security and cause conflicts of interest.

Anti-privatization petitioners (including the Confederation of Consumer Organisations, People Living with HIV/Aids, Alternative Energy Project for Sustainability, Free Trade Area Watch, and the Four Region Slum Network[31]) were harshly criticized by both Thai and international investors, who accused them of using corrupt tactics in delaying the listing. They also pointed to the public mandate of the 2005 election, during which the only anti-privatization party suffered a near complete loss. International power sector governance experts from Harvard University, University of Delaware, and the World Resources Institute lauded the successful repeal of EGAT privatization as an important step towards increased accountability and transparency in the Thai energy industry.

See also

References

  1. ↑ "Energy in Thailand, Facts & Figures 2013" (PDF). Dept of Alternative Energy Development & Efficiency, Ministry of Energy. Retrieved 5 Sep 2014.
  2. 1 2 3 4 British Petroleum. "Statistical Review of World Energy 2014". BP. Retrieved 2014-09-11.
  3. 1 2 "International Index of Energy Security Risk" (PDF). Institute for 21st Century Energy. Institute for 21st Century Energy. 2013. Retrieved 14 Sep 2014.
  4. ↑ Rujivanarom, Pratch (2016-05-25). "Mekong region could rely on 100 percent clean energy by 2050: WWF". The Nation. Retrieved 14 June 2016.
  5. ↑ Shankleman, Jessica; Foroohar, Kambiz (19 July 2016). "Soaring Temperatures Will Make It Too Hot to Work, UN Warns". Bloomberg. Retrieved 21 July 2016.
  6. ↑ Includes crude oil, tight oil, oil sands, NGLs (natural gas liquids). Excludes liquid fuels from biomass and coal/NG derivatives.
  7. ↑ "Chevron Thailand to cut 800 jobs". Bangkok Post. Reuters. 2016-05-16. Retrieved 17 May 2016.
  8. ↑ "Chevron to cut 800 workers". Bangkok Post. 2016-05-17. Retrieved 17 May 2016.
  9. ↑ Ratchaniphont, Adisorn; Wongsai, Sangdao; Keson, Jutaporn. "Trend of carbon dioxide emission from oil palm plantation in Krabi, Thailand" (PDF). North Sea Conference & Journal. Retrieved 4 October 2016.
  10. ↑ "Thailand: Coal for 2013". International Energy Agency. Retrieved 21 July 2016.
  11. ↑ Theparat, Chatrudee (2016-03-12). "Solar rooftops, electric vehicles okayed". Bangkok Post. Retrieved 12 March 2016.
  12. ↑ Rujivanarom, Pratch (13 June 2016). "With Russian help, region looks to a nuclear-powered future". The Nation. Retrieved 14 June 2016.
  13. ↑ "National Energy Policy Committee approves Thailand's power development plan (PDP 2015)". Royal Thai Government. Retrieved 27 August 2015.
  14. ↑ Pichalai, Chavalit. "Thailand's Power Development Plan Thailand's Power Development Plan 2015 (PDP 2015)" (PDF). Ministry of Energy (Thailand). Retrieved 27 August 2015.
  15. 1 2 3 4 Draper, John; Kamnuansilpa, Peerasit (2015-08-27). "Thailand's power dilemma amid a climate of fear". The Nation. Retrieved 27 August 2015.
  16. ↑ Arunmas, Pusadee (17 Jan 2014). "Corruption 'still plagues Thailand'". Bangkok Post. Retrieved 27 August 2015.
  17. ↑ Alexander's Gas & Oil Connections - Thailand's energy office approves PTT's listing scheme
  18. ↑ AsiaMedia :: Thailand: PM's cronies big winners, says study
  19. ↑ Egat employees say that union leader must go at the Wayback Machine (archived April 17, 2014)
  20. ↑ Delayed Egat listing would hit confidence
  21. ↑ Court quashes Egat listing
  22. ↑ Court ends privatisation of Egat
  23. ↑ PTT Public Company Limited at the Wayback Machine (archived March 25, 2006)
  24. ↑ Cartalucci, Tony (4 December 2013). "Thailand: Who are the Anti-Regime Protesters?". NSNBC International. Retrieved 9 January 2014.
  25. ↑ About THAI at the Wayback Machine (archived May 25, 2006)
  26. ↑ PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited at the Wayback Machine (archived May 12, 2006)
  27. ↑ Thailand Post ไปรษณีย์ไทย at the Wayback Machine (archived March 27, 2006) (English)
  28. ↑ PTT braces itself for legal action
  29. ↑ Thailand's Electricity Reforms: Privatization of Benefits and Socialization of Costs and Risks
  30. ↑ NetMeter.org: The public interest, and the pursuit of profit at the Wayback Machine (archived February 2, 2010)
  31. ↑ NetMeter.org: Egat investors forewarned at the Wayback Machine (archived February 2, 2010)

Security Assessment, 2016]

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