Kentucky gubernatorial election, 2007
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The Kentucky gubernatorial election, 2007 was held on November 6, 2007. In this election, incumbent Republican Governor Ernie Fletcher lost to Democratic challenger Steve Beshear, who therefore began serving as Governor of Kentucky in December 2007 for a term through December 2011. A Primary Election to determine the Republican and Democratic nominees for governor was held on May 22, 2007 in which Ernie Fletcher (Republican) and Steve Beshear (Democrat) won their respective primaries.[1] Beshear's running mate, Daniel Mongiardo, was elected as Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky for that same time period.
Background
Fletcher came under increasing criticism from both parties after his involvement in a state employee hiring controversy, in which Fletcher was accused of illegally hiring civil service employees for their political affiliations and loyalties. An investigation by the Attorney General of Kentucky and a special grand jury led to the indictment of 13 Fletcher administration officials. Fletcher issued a blanket pardon for anyone in his administration (other than himself) who was or may have been involved in the scandal. Fletcher himself was later indicted by a grand jury for three misdemeanors: conspiracy, official misconduct and political discrimination. All were related to the merit system investigation. On August 24, 2006, Fletcher reached a deal with the Attorney General's office that led to the dismissal of the charges in exchange for Fletcher's acknowledgment that "the evidence strongly indicates wrongdoing by his administration with regard to personnel actions within the merit system. Further, the governor hereby states that these actions were inappropriate and that he regrets their occurrence and accepts responsibility for them as head of the executive branch of state government." (See Ernie Fletcher: Merit system investigation) Fletcher's approval rating as of May 11, 2007 was at 38%,[2] putting him among the lowest governors in the nation.
Anne Northup, who was defeated for re-election to the House of Representatives in 2006, and Paducah businessman Billy Harper challenged Fletcher in the Republican primary. Both had supported and worked for Fletcher's 2003 campaign. Despite his troubles, Fletcher was able to fend off the primary challenge, winning a majority of the vote (see below).
On the Democratic side, an increasingly competitive primary campaign developed. Louisville businessman Bruce Lunsford spent over five million dollars, most of it being his own money, in the campaign. On May 7, Kentucky State Treasurer Jonathan Miller withdrew from the race and endorsed Steve Beshear. Lunsford, Beshear, State House Speaker Jody Richards, and former Lt. Governor Steve Henry consistently polled significantly ahead of the other candidates. Given the crowded field, many believed a runoff election was likely between the top two finishers—which polls suggested would be Beshear and Lunsford—if no candidate was able to obtain at least 40% of the vote. Beshear, however, was able to avoid a runoff with 40.9% (see below).
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Running mate: Mark Wireman
- Otis Hensley – Private contractor from Wallins Creek, Kentucky who received 3% of the vote in the Democratic primary in 2003.
- Running mate: Richard Robbins
- Bruce Lunsford – prominent Louisville businessman; unsuccessful candidate for the Democratic nomination for Governor of Kentucky in 2003.
Polling
| Source |
Date |
Beshear (D) |
Galbraith (D) |
Henry (D) |
Hensley (D) |
Lunsford (D) |
Richards (D) |
| Survey USA |
May 18–20, 2007 |
32% |
7% |
17% |
1% |
23% |
12% |
| Penn, Schoen and Berland |
May 16–17, 2007 |
26% |
N/A |
13% |
N/A |
22% |
12% |
| GarinHartYang Research |
May 14–15, 2007 |
35% |
N/A |
13% |
N/A |
23% |
12% |
| Survey USA |
May 12–14, 2007 |
32% |
5% |
18% |
1% |
23% |
12% |
| Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll |
May 10–14, 2007 |
27% |
4% |
13% |
1% |
21% |
7% |
Miller (D) |
| Survey USA |
Apr 28-30, 2007 |
23% |
6% |
18% |
1% |
29% |
9% |
7% |
| Mellman Group |
Apr 19-22, 2007 |
15% |
N/A |
24% |
N/A |
16% |
9% |
20% |
| Survey USA |
Mar 31 – Apr 2, 2007 |
15% |
8% |
20% |
1% |
20% |
12% |
8% |
| Survey USA |
Mar 3-5, 2007 |
15% |
6% |
26% |
2% |
7% |
13% |
8% |
| GarinHartYang Research |
Feb 20-22, 2007 |
21% |
N/A |
21% |
N/A |
8% |
16% |
8% |
Results
Republican primary
Candidates
- Running mate: Robbie Rudolph, State Secretary of Executive Cabinet, 2006-2007; State Secretary of Finance, 2003-2006.
- Billy Harper – Businessman
- Running mate: Dick Wilson.
Polling
Results
Republican primary results[3]
| Party |
Candidate |
Votes |
% |
|
Republican |
Ernie Fletcher (Incumbent) |
101,328 |
50.08 |
|
Republican |
Anne Northup |
73,919 |
36.53 |
|
Republican |
Billy Harper |
27,092 |
13.39 |
| Total votes |
202,339 |
100 |
General election
Polling
| Source |
Date |
Beshear (D) |
Fletcher (R) |
| Survey USA |
Nov 2-4, 2007 |
59% |
39% |
| Rasmussen Reports |
Nov 1, 2007 |
54% |
39% |
| Survey USA |
Oct 27-29, 2007 |
60% |
36% |
| Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll |
Oct 26-29, 2007 |
56% |
33% |
| Research 2000 |
Oct 22-24, 2007 |
55% |
40% |
| Survey USA |
Oct 19-21, 2007 |
58% |
38% |
| Survey USA |
Oct 8-9, 2007 |
56% |
40% |
| Insider Advantage |
Sep 24-25, 2007 |
45% |
35% |
| Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll |
Sep 13-18, 2007 |
55% |
35% |
| Preston-Osborne |
Sep 13-17, 2007 |
51% |
36% |
| Research 2000 |
Sep 10-13, 2007 |
56% |
39% |
| Survey USA |
Sep 8-10, 2007 |
58% |
39% |
| Survey USA |
Aug 4-6, 2007 |
58% |
37% |
| Preston-Osborne |
Jul 25 – Aug 2, 2007 |
49% |
31% |
| Survey USA |
Jul 14-16, 2007 |
59% |
36% |
| Insider Advantage |
Jul 8-9, 2007 |
41% |
38% |
| Rasmussen Reports |
May 24–25, 2007 |
51% |
35% |
| Survey USA |
May 23–24, 2007 |
62% |
34% |
Results
Electoral support for candidates, by
county[5]Fletcher conceded to Beshear at 9:00 PM on November 6.
See also
References
External links
- Candidates
- Information
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