National opinion polling for the Australian federal election, 2016

Several research and polling firms are conducting polls during the parliamentary term and prior to the 2016 Australian federal election set for 2 July in relation to voting intention for the Australian House of Representatives (lower house) and leader ratings. Most firms use the flow of preferences at the previous election to determine the two-party-preferred vote; others ask respondents to nominate their second preference before applying the preference flows at the previous election.

Every federal election after 1961 has been won by the grouping that also won the majority of federal seats in New South Wales. Unusually, in the upcoming election nearly half of all marginal government seats are in NSW; of these, nearly half are in Western Sydney and half are in rural and regional areas. No more than a few government seats in each other state are marginal.

Assuming a theoretical uniform swing, for the Labor opposition to get to 76 seats and majority government would require at least 50.5 percent of the two-party vote (a 4.0-point two-party swing or greater), while for the incumbent Coalition to lose majority government would require 50.2 percent of the two-party vote (a 3.3-point two-party swing or greater).[1]

Graphical aggregate of national voting intention polling

Two-party-preferred vote.
Primary vote.
Graphs are a compilation of aggregate data from voting intention in the below list of all opinion polling for the 2016 federal election. A moving average is shown in a solid line.

Federal two-party-preferred polling aggregates by state

The table below published by The Poll Bludger sets out the latest federal two-party-preferred polling aggregates by state/territory (and swings since the previous election).

Two-party-preferred % polling aggregates by state
State (seats)L/NP 2PPALP 2PPL/NP swing
New South Wales (47) 51.3 48.7 –3.1
Victoria (37) 47.6 52.4 –2.2
Queensland (30) 52.7 47.3 –4.3
Western Australia (16) 54.2 45.8 –4.1
South Australia (11) 53.8 46.2 +1.4
Tasmania (5) 47.3 52.7 –1.4
ACT & NT (4) 40.4 59.6 –2.7
Australia (150) 50.9 49.1 –2.6

Source: BludgerTrack 1 Jul 2016: Poll Bludger – Methodology – State 2PP history

National polling

Voting intention
Date Firm Primary vote 2PP vote Sample size Margin of error Method
L/NP ALP GRN OTH L/NP ALP
28 Jun – 1 Jul 2016 Newspoll[2] 42% 35% 10% 13% 50.5% 49.5% 4,135 ? Landline
30 Jun 2016 ReachTEL[3] 42.8% 34.6% 10.7% 12% 51% 49% 2,084 ? Telephone (random)
27–30 Jun 2016 Essential[4] 42.5% 34.5% 11.5% 12% 50.5% 49.5% 1,212 ±3 Online (members)
28–29 Jun 2016 Galaxy[5] 43% 36% 10% 11% 51% 49% 1,768 ? Landline
26–29 Jun 2016 Ipsos[6] 40% 33% 13% 14% 50% 50% 1,377 ? Telephone (random)
23–26 Jun 2016 Essential[7] 39% 37% 10% 14% 49% 51% 1,773 ±3 Online (members)
23–26 Jun 2016 Newspoll[8] 43% 36% 9% 12% 51% 49% 1,713 ±3 Landline
23 Jun 2016 ReachTEL[9] 42.3% 33.7% 10.5% 13.3% 51% 49% 2,349 ? Telephone (random)
20–22 Jun 2016 Galaxy[10][11] 42% 35% 11% 12% 50% 50% ? ? Landline
16–19 Jun 2016 Essential[12] 40% 37% 10% 13% 49% 51% 1,013 ±3 Online (members)
16–19 Jun 2016 Newspoll[13] 41% 36% 10% 13% 50% 50% 1,805 ±3 Landline
16 Jun 2016 ReachTEL[14] 43.5% 33.6% 9.1% 13.7% 51% 49% 2,576 ? Telephone (random)
14–16 Jun 2016 Ipsos[15] 39% 33% 14% 14% 49% 51% 1,437 ? Telephone (random)
9–12 Jun 2016 Essential[16] 41% 37% 10% 12% 49% 51% 1,784 ±3 Online (members)
9 Jun 2016 ReachTEL[17] 42.7% 33.2% 9.9% 14.3% 50% 50% 2,175 ? Telephone (random)
2–5 Jun 2016 Essential[18] 41% 36% 10% 13% 50% 50% 1,772 ±3 Online (members)
2–5 Jun 2016 Newspoll[19] 40% 35% 10% 15% 50% 50% 1,867 ±3 Landline
2 Jun 2016 ReachTEL[20] 41.5% 34.9% 10.1% 13.5% 50% 50% 2,414 ? Telephone (random)
31 May – 2 Jun 2016 Ipsos[21] 42% 36% 13% 9% 49% 51% 1,359 ±2.7 Telephone (random)
26–29 May 2016 Essential[22] 41% 35% 9% 15% 51% 49% 1,767 ±3 Online (members)
21–22, 28–29 May 2016 Morgan[23] 37.5% 32.5% 13% 17% 49% 51% 3,099 ±1 In person and SMS
26 May 2016 ReachTEL[24] 41.1% 36.5% 9.6% 12.8% 48% 52% 2,700 ? Telephone (random)
19–22 May 2016 Essential[25] 41% 37% 9% 13% 49% 51% 1,794 ±3 Online (members)
19–22 May 2016 Newspoll[26] 41% 36% 11% 12% 49% 51% ? ±3 Landline
19 May 2016 ReachTEL[27] 42.6% 36.6% 9.9% 10.9% 50% 50% 2,407 ? Telephone (random)
17–19 May 2016 Ipsos[28] 43% 34% 14% 9% 51% 49% 1,497 ±2.5 Telephone (random)
14–15 May 2016 Morgan[29] 36.5% 33% 15.5% 15% 47.5% 52.5% 2,318 ±1 In person and SMS
12–15 May 2016 Essential[30] 42% 38% 9% 11% 49% 51% 1,784 ±3 Online (members)
6–8 May 2016 Lonergan[31] 42% 35% 12% 10% 50% 50% 1,841 ? Landline and mobile
5–8 May 2016 Essential[32] 42% 38% 10% 10% 49% 51% 1,754 ±3 Online (members)
9 May 2016 2016 Federal Election begins
5–8 May 2016 Newspoll[33] 41% 37% 11% 11% 49% 51% ? ±3 Landline
5–7 May 2016 Ipsos[33] 44% 33% 14% 9% 51% 49% 1,410 ±2.6 Telephone (random)
4–6 May 2016 Galaxy[34] 42% 36% 11% 11% 50% 50% 1,739 ±2.5 ?
5 May 2016 ReachTEL[35] 43.2% 35.1% 9.5% 12.2% 50% 50% 2,450 ? Telephone (random)
27 Apr – 1 May 2016 Essential[36] 40% 38% 10% 12% 48% 52% 1,753 ±3 Online (members)
23–24, 30 Apr – 1 May 2016 Morgan[37] 40% 32.5% 13.5% 14% 49% 51% 2,951 ±1 In person and SMS
20–24 Apr 2016 Essential[38] 40% 39% 10% 11% 48% 52% 1,740 ±3 Online (members)
14–17 Apr 2016 Newspoll[39] 41% 36% 11% 12% 49% 51% ? ±3 Landline
13–17 Apr 2016 Essential[40] 42% 36% 11% 11% 50% 50% 1,753 ±3 Online (members)
9–10, 16–17 Apr 2016 Morgan[41] 40.5% 32% 14% 13.5% 50% 50% 3,083 ±1 In person and SMS
14–16 Apr 2016 Ipsos[42] 42% 33% 14% 11% 50% 50% 1,402 ±2.6 Telephone (random)
14 Apr 2016 ReachTEL[43] 43.5% 35.8% 9.8% 10.9% 50% 50% 2,415 ? Telephone (random)
6–10 Apr 2016 Essential[44] 42% 35% 11% 12% 50% 50% 1,792 ±3 Online (members)
31 Mar – 3 Apr 2016 Newspoll[45] 41% 36% 11% 12% 49% 51% ? ±3 Landline
26–27 Mar, 2–3 Apr 2016 Morgan[46] 42% 31% 13% 14% 52.5% 47.5% 3,174 ±1 In person and SMS
21 Mar 2016 ReachTEL[47] 46.6% 34.4% 10.5% 8.6% 52% 48% 3,274 ? Telephone (random)
17–20 Mar 2016 Newspoll[48] 43% 34% 12% 11% 51% 49% ? ±3% Landline
16–20 Mar 2016 Essential[49] 43% 38% 10% 9% 50% 50% 1,790 ±3 Online (members)
12–13, 19–20 Mar 2016 Morgan[50] 40% 33% 14% 13% 49.5% 50.5% 2,948 ±1 In person and SMS
10–12 Mar 2016 Ipsos[51] 45% 31% 14% 10% 53% 47%
3–6 Mar 2016 Newspoll[52] 43% 35% 12% 10% 50% 50%
2–6 Mar 2016 Essential[53] 43% 37% 10% 10% 50% 50%
27–28 Feb, 5–6 Mar 2016 Morgan[54] 43% 29.5% 13% 14.5% 53% 47%
24–28 Feb 2016 Essential[55] 43% 38% 10% 9% 50% 50%
18–21 Feb 2016 Newspoll[56] 43% 35% 12% 10% 50% 50%
17–21 Feb 2016 Essential[57] 44% 35% 10% 11% 52% 48%
13–14, 20–21 Feb 2016 Morgan[58] 43.5% 29.5% 15% 12% 52.5% 47.5%
11–13 Feb 2016 Ipsos[59] 44% 32% 15% 10% 52% 48%
11 Feb 2016 ReachTEL[60] 48.1% 32.8% 10.1% 9% 54% 46%
3–7 Feb 2016 Essential[61] 44% 35% 10% 10% 52% 48%
30–31 Jan, 6–7 Feb 2016 Morgan[62] 43.5% 29% 16% 11.5% 52.5% 47.5%
28–31 Jan 2016 Newspoll[63] 46% 34% 11% 9% 53% 47%
16–17, 23–24 Jan 2016 Morgan[64] 43.5% 28% 15% 13.5% 55% 45%
21 Jan 2016 ReachTEL[65] 48.5% 31.8% 10.8% 9.1% 55% 45%
15–18 Jan 2016 Essential[66] 44% 35% 10% 12% 51% 49%
2–3, 9–10 Jan 2016 Morgan[67] 47% 29% 13% 11% 56% 44%
15 Dec 2015 Essential[68] 45% 35% 10% 10% 52% 48%
5–6, 12–13 Dec 2015 Morgan[69] 48% 27% 14.5% 10.5% 57.5% 42.5%
8 Dec 2015 Essential[70] 44% 36% 11% 10% 51% 49%
4–6 Dec 2015 Newspoll[71] 45% 33% 12% 10% 53% 47%
1 Dec 2015 Essential[72] 44% 35% 11% 10% 51% 49%
21–22, 28–29 Nov 2015 Morgan[73] 46.5% 28.5% 14% 11% 56% 44%
26 Nov 2015 ReachTEL[74] 48.8% 31.1% 11.2% 8.9% 55% 45%
24 Nov 2015 Essential[75] 45% 35% 10% 10% 52% 48%
19–22 Nov 2015 Newspoll[76] 46% 33% 11% 10% 53% 47%
7–8, 14–15 Nov 2015 Morgan[77] 46% 28% 14.5% 11.5% 56% 44%
12–14 Nov 2015 Ipsos[78][note 1] 48% 29% 13% 10% 57% 43%
10 Nov 2015 Essential[79] 45% 35% 10% 11% 52% 48%
6–8 Nov 2015 Newspoll[80] 46% 34% 10% 10% 53% 47%
3 Nov 2015 Essential 45% 34% 11% 10% 53% 47%
24–25 Oct, 1 Nov 2015 Morgan[81] 47% 28.5% 14.5% 10% 56.5% 43.5%
27 Oct 2015 Essential[82] 45% 35% 11% 9% 52% 48%
23–25 Oct 2015 Newspoll[83] 45% 35% 11% 9% 52% 48%
22 Oct 2015 ReachTEL[84] 46.7% 33.0% 11.3% 9.1% 53% 47%
20 Oct 2015 Essential[85] 44% 36% 11% 9% 51% 49%
10–11, 17–18 Oct 2015 Morgan[86] 46.5% 27.5% 15.5% 10.5% 56% 44%
15–17 Oct 2015 Ipsos[87] 45% 30% 14% 10% 54% 46%
13 Oct 2015 Essential[88] 44% 36% 10% 10% 51% 49%
9–11 Oct 2015 Newspoll[89] 43% 35% 12% 10% 50% 50%
26–27 Sep, 1–5 Oct 2015 Morgan[90] 47% 27.5% 14% 11.5% 56% 44%
1–4 Oct 2015 Essential[91] 44% 35% 10% 10% 52% 48%
24–28 Sep 2015 Essential 44% 35% 11% 11% 52% 48%
17–21 Sep 2015 Essential[92] 43% 37% 11% 9% 50% 50%
19–20 Sep 2015 Morgan[93] 46% 29.5% 13% 11.5% 55% 45%
17–20 Sep 2015 Newspoll[94] 44% 35% 11% 10% 51% 49%
15–16 Sep 2015 Galaxy[95] 44% 36% 11% 2% 51% 49%
15 Sep 2015 ReachTEL[96][note 2] 43.3% 35.9% 11.9% 8.9% 50% 50%
14 Sep 2015 Turnbull replaces Abbott as Liberal leader
12–13 Sep 2015 Morgan[97] 35% 36.5% 16% 12.5% 43% 57%
5–6 Sep 2015 Morgan[98] 36.5% 35.5% 16.5% 11.5% 45% 55%
4–6 Sep 2015 Newspoll[99] 39% 39% 12% 10% 46% 54%
26–30 Aug 2015 Essential[100] 40% 38% 11% 12% 48% 52%
27 Aug 2015 ReachTEL[101] 40.3% 37.5% 13.4% 8.9% 47% 53%
22–23 Aug 2015 Morgan[102] 38.5% 36% 14% 11.5% 45.5% 54.5%
20–23 Aug 2015 Newspoll[103] 38% 39% 13% 10% 46% 54%
13–15 Aug 2015 Ipsos[104] 38% 36% 16% 11% 44% 56%
11–14 Aug 2015 Essential 41% 38% 10% 11% 48% 52%
8–9 Aug 2015 Morgan[105] 36.5% 37% 15.5% 11% 43% 57%
8–9 Aug 2015 Newspoll[106] 39% 39% 13% 9% 46% 54%
4–7 Aug 2015 Essential 40% 39% 11% 9% 47% 53%
6 Aug 2015 ReachTel[107] 40.2% 38.3% 12.8% 8.7% 47% 53%
28–31 Jul 2015 Essential[108] 39% 38% 12% 10% 47% 53%
30 Jul 2015 ReachTel[109] 40.6% 38% 12.9% 8.6% 47% 53%
25–26 Jul 2015 Morgan[110] 39% 35.5% 15% 10.5% 46% 54%
16–19 Jul 2015 Newspoll[111] 40% 39% 12% 9% 47% 53%
14–17 Jul 2015 Essential 41% 38% 11% 11% 48% 52%
11–12 Jul 2015 Morgan[112] 41.5% 34.5% 13.5% 10.5% 49% 51%
4–5 Jul 2015 Newspoll[113] 40% 37% 13% 10% 48% 52%
2–4 Jul 2015 Ipsos[114] 39% 35% 16% 10% 47% 53%
27–28 Jun 2015 Morgan[115] 39% 36% 14% 11% 46.5% 53.5%
16 Jun 2015 Newspoll[116] 40% 34% 14% 12% 49% 51%
16 Jun 2015 Essential 42% 39% 10% 9% 48% 52%
13–14 Jun 2015 Morgan[117] 37.5% 37.5% 13.5% 11.5% 45.5% 54.5%
11–13 Jun 2015 Ipsos[118] 40% 37% 14% 10% 47% 53%
11–13 Jun 2015 Essential 41% 40% 9% 10% 48% 52%
2 Jun 2015 Newspoll[119] 41% 37% 13% 9% 48% 52%
2 Jun 2015 Essential[120] 41% 37% 13% 9% 48% 52%
23–24, 30–31 May 2015 Morgan[121] 41% 37% 13% 9% 47% 53%
26 May 2015 Essential[120] 41% 39% 10% 9% 48% 52%
18 May 2015 Morgan[122] 41.5% 35.5% 12.5% 10.5% 49% 51%
17 May 2015 Ipsos[123] 43% 35% 13% 9% 50% 50%
17 May 2015 Newspoll[124] 40% 37% 12% 11% 47% 53%
13 May 2015 ReachTel[125] 41.1% 38.3% 12.1% 8.6% 47% 53%
7–10 May 2015 Essential[126] 41% 39% 11% 10% 48% 52%
6 May 2015 Di Natale replaces Milne as Greens leader
4 May 2015 Newspoll[127] 39% 35% 12% 14% 48% 52%
4 May 2015 Morgan[128] 40% 37.5% 11.5% 11% 46.5% 53.5%
28 Apr 2015 Essential 40% 39% 10% 11% 47% 53%
21 Apr 2015 Essential 41% 39% 11% 10% 48% 52%
11–12, 18–19 Apr 2015 Morgan[129] 38.5% 38% 12% 11% 47% 53%
14 Apr 2015 Essential 41% 39% 10% 11% 48% 52%
10–12 Apr 2015 Newspoll[130] 41% 36% 11% 12% 49% 51%
9–11 Apr 2015 Ipsos[131] 39% 38% 13% 9% 46% 54%
28–29 Mar, 3–6 Apr 2015 Morgan[132] 40.5% 36% 12.5% 11% 47% 53%
29 Mar 2015 ReachTEL[133] 39.6% 40.5% 11.5% 8.5% 46% 54%
20–22 Mar 2015 Newspoll[134] 41% 37% 11% 11% 49% 51%
14–15, 21–22 Mar 2015 Morgan[135] 38% 40% 11% 11% 44% 56%
17 Mar 2015 Essential 40% 39% 9% 11% 48% 52%
10 Mar 2015 Essential[136] 40% 40% 9% 11% 47% 53%
7–8 Mar 2015 Newspoll[137] 38% 39% 12% 11% 45% 55%
28 Feb–1, 7–8 Mar 2015 Morgan[138] 39% 38% 12.5% 11.5% 46.5% 53.5%
26–28 Feb 2015 Ipsos 42% 36% 12% 10% 49% 51%
20–22 Feb 2015 Essential 40% 41% 9% 10% 47% 53%
20–22 Feb 2015 Newspoll 38% 38% 12% 12% 47% 53%
6–8 Feb 2015 Newspoll 35% 41% 12% 12% 43% 57%
31 Jan–1, 7–8 Feb 2015 Morgan 35% 41% 12% 12% 42.5% 57.5%
5 Feb 2015 ReachTEL 38.4% 41.4% 11.2% 8.9% 45% 55%
4–5 Feb 2015 Galaxy 36% 43% 11% 10% 43% 57%
28–30 Jan 2015 Galaxy 36% 43% 11% 10% 43% 57%
27 Jan 2015 ReachTEL 39.7% 40.2% 11.3% 8.8% 46% 54%
r27 Jan 2015 Essential 39% 41% 9% 11% 46% 54%
20 Jan 2015 Essential 40% 40% 10% 11% 47% 53%
13 Jan 2015 Essential 38% 40% 10% 11% 46% 54%
12 Jan 2015 Morgan 38.5% 38.5% 9.5% 13.5% 45.5% 54.5%
23–27 Dec 2014 Morgan 37.5% 39.5% 12% 11% 43.5% 56.5%
16 Dec 2014 Essential 40% 38% 10% 12% 48% 52%
12–15 Dec 2014 Newspoll 38% 39% 12% 11% 46% 54%
6–7, 13–14 Dec 2014 Morgan 35% 41% 11.5% 12.5% 42.5% 57.5%
4–6 Dec 2014 Ipsos 40% 37% 12% 11% 48% 52%
2–4 Dec 2014 Galaxy 38% 41% 11% 10% 45% 55%
2 Dec 2014 Essential 40% 40% 9% 11% 47% 53%
29–30 Nov 2014 Newspoll 37% 37% 13% 13% 46% 54%
22–23, 29–30 Nov 2014 Morgan 37% 37.5% 12% 11.5% 46.5% 53.5%
25 Nov 2014 Essential 40% 39% 10% 11% 48% 52%
21 Nov 2014 ReachTEL 40.2% 38.7% 11.1% 9.9% 47% 53%
18 Nov 2014 Newspoll 36% 39% 11% 14% 45% 55%
17 Nov 2014 Essential 40% 38% 10% 12% 48% 52%
17 Nov 2014 Morgan 38% 38.5% 12% 11.5% 44.5% 55.5%
11 Nov 2014 Essential 40% 38% 10% 13% 48% 52%
4 Nov 2014 Newspoll 38% 36% 13% 13% 46% 54%
4 Nov 2014 Essential 40% 38% 10% 12% 48% 52%
25–26 Oct, 1–2 Nov 2014 Morgan 38.5% 37.5% 12.5% 11.5% 45.5% 54.5%
30 Oct–1 Nov 2014 Ipsos 42% 37% 12% 10% 49% 51%
28 Oct 2014 Essential 39% 39% 9% 12% 47% 53%
23 Oct 2014 ReachTEL 40.1% 37.5% 11.5% 10.9% 48% 52%
21 Oct 2014 Essential 40% 39% 10% 11% 47% 53%
21 Oct 2014 Newspoll 38% 34% 14% 14% 47% 53%
20 Oct 2014 Morgan 39.5% 35.5% 12% 13% 48% 52%
14 Oct 2014 Essential 41% 39% 10% 10% 48% 52%
7 Oct 2014 Essential 40% 39% 10% 11% 48% 52%
4–5 Oct 2014 Morgan 40% 35% 12% 13% 47% 53%
4–5 Oct 2014 Galaxy 42% 36% 12% 10% 49% 51%
23 Sep 2014 Newspoll 41% 34% 11% 14% 49% 51%
13–14, 20–21 Sep 2014 Morgan 38.5% 37.5% 12% 12% 45.5% 54.5%
18 Sep 2014 ReachTEL 41.6% 37.4% 10.5% 10.5% 49% 51%
30–31 Aug, 6–7 Sep 2014 Morgan 38% 37% 10.5% 14.5% 46% 54%
5–7 Sep 2014 Newspoll 39% 35% 14% 12% 48% 52%
22–24 Aug 2014 Newspoll 40% 34% 11% 15% 49% 51%
16–17, 23–24 Aug 2014 Morgan 37.5% 38.5% 10.5% 13.5% 44.5% 55.5%
19 Aug 2014 Essential 40% 38% 9% 13% 48% 52%
9–10 Aug 2014 Morgan 37.5% 38% 11% 13.5% 44% 56%
8–10 Aug 2014 Newspoll 40% 34% 13% 13% 48% 52%
25–27 Jul 2014 Newspoll 36% 36% 12% 16% 46% 54%
11–13 Jul 2014 Newspoll 36% 37% 11% 16% 46% 54%
1 Jul 2014 Essential[139] 40% 38% 9% 13% 48% 52%
30 Jun 2014 Morgan[140] 35% 36.5% 12% 16.5% 42.5% 57.5%
27–29 Jun 2014 Newspoll 35% 37% 13% 15% 45% 55%
13–15 Jun 2014 Newspoll 37% 36% 10% 17% 47% 53%
30 May–1 Jun 2014 Newspoll 36% 37% 12% 15% 46% 54%
27 May 2014 Essential[141] 40% 39% 9% 12% 48% 52%
20 May 2014 Essential[142] 40% 40% 8% 12% 48% 52%
17–18 May 2014 Morgan[143] 35% 38.5% 12% 14.5% 42.5% 57.5%
16–18 May 2014 Newspoll 36% 38% 11% 15% 45% 55%
15–17 May 2014 Nielsen[144] 35% 40% 14% 12% 44% 56%
4 May 2014 Galaxy[145] 39% 37% 11% 13% 48% 52%
2–4 May 2014 Newspoll[146] 38% 34% 14% 14% 47% 53%
30 Apr 2014 Essential[141] 40% 38% 10% 11% 48% 52%
22 Apr 2014 Morgan[147] 38.5% 34% 13% 14.5% 48% 52%
15 Apr 2014 Essential[148] 42% 37% 10% 11% 50% 50%
13 Apr 2014 Nielsen[149] 40% 34% 17% 9% 48% 52%
8 Apr 2014 Essential[150] 42% 38% 9% 11% 49% 51%
7 Apr 2014 Morgan[151] 38.5% 34.5% 12% 15% 48.5% 51.5%
4–6 Apr 2014 Newspoll[152] 43% 34% 11% 12% 51% 49%
25 Mar 2014 Morgan[153] 38% 38.5% 11% 12.5% 45.5% 54.5%
25 Mar 2014 Essential[154] 44% 37% 9% 11% 51% 49%
21–23 Mar 2014 Newspoll[155] 40% 36% 13% 11% 48% 52%
18 Mar 2014 Essential[156] 43% 36% 9% 12% 51% 49%
13–15 Mar 2014 Nielsen[157] 44% 35% 12% 10% 51% 49%
7–9 Mar 2014 Newspoll 41% 35% 11% 13% 49% 51%
5 Mar 2014 Essential[158] 44% 38% 8% 10% 51% 49%
23 Feb 2014 Morgan[159] 41% 35.5% 10.5% 13% 49.5% 50.5%
21–23 Feb 2014 Newspoll[160] 39% 39% 10% 12% 46% 54%
15 Feb 2014 Nielsen[161] 44% 33% 12% 11% 52% 48%
7–9 Feb 2014 Newspoll[162] 41% 35% 12% 12% 49% 51%
28 Jan 2014 Morgan[163] 39.5% 37% 11.5% 12% 47% 53%
23 Jan 2014 ReachTEL 39.8% 40.6% 9.1% 9.1% 47% 53%
17–20 Jan 2014 Essential[164] 43% 37% 9% 11% 51% 49%
13 Jan 2014 Morgan[165] 38% 39% 10.5% 12.5% 47.5% 52.5%
16 Dec 2013 Morgan[166] 40.5% 38.5% 10% 11% 47.5% 52.5%
15 Dec 2013 ReachTEL 41.4% 40.4% 8.7% 9.5% 48% 52%
6–8 Dec 2013 Newspoll 40% 38% 11% 11% 48% 52%
28 Nov–2 Dec 2013 Essential[167] 44% 36% 8% 11% 52% 48%
30 Nov–1 Dec 2013 Morgan (multi)[168] 41.5% 38.5% 8.5% 12.5% 48.5% 51.5%
22–24 Nov 2013 Newspoll 43% 35% 10% 12% 52% 48%
21–23 Nov 2013 Nielsen[169] 41% 37% 11% 11% 48% 52%
8–10 Nov 2013 Newspoll 45% 32% 12% 11% 53% 47%
25–27 Oct 2013 Newspoll 47% 31% 10% 12% 56% 44%
19–20 Oct 2013 Morgan[170] 43.5% 34.5% 10% 12% 51.5% 48.5%
13 Oct 2013 Shorten replaces Rudd as Labor leader
21–22 Sep 2013 Morgan[171] 43.5% 34% 10.5% 12% 50.5% 49.5%
19–22 Sep 2013 Essential[172] 43% 37% 9% 11% 51% 49%
12–15 Sep 2013 Essential[172] 44% 36% 9% 11% 53% 47%
7 Sep 2013 2013 election 45.6% 33.4% 8.7% 12.3% 53.5% 46.5%
4–6 Sep 2013 Morgan (multi) 45% 31.5% 9.5% 14% 54.5% 44.5%
5 Sep 2013 ReachTEL[173] 43.5% 33.7% 10.2% 12.6% 53% 47%
3–5 Sep 2013 Newspoll 46% 33% 9% 12% 54% 46%

Preferred prime minister and satisfaction
Date Firm Preferred prime minister Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied
Turnbull Shorten Turnbull Shorten
28 Jun – 1 Jul 2016 Newspoll[2] 48% 31% 40% 47% 36% 51%
30 Jun 2016 ReachTEL[3] 52.9% 47.1%
26–29 Jun 2016 Ipsos[6] 49% 35% 49% 41% 42% 50%
23–26 Jun 2016 Essential[7] 40% 29% 40% 40% 37% 39%
23–26 Jun 2016 Newspoll[8] 45% 30% 37% 51% 35% 50%
23 Jun 2016 ReachTEL[9] 58.4% 41.6%
16–19 Jun 2016 Newspoll[13] 46% 31% 36% 51% 35% 51%
16 Jun 2016 ReachTEL[14] 57.6% 42.4%
14–16 Jun 2016 Ipsos[15] 48% 34% 47% 42% 43% 47%
9–12 Jun 2016 Essential[16] 40% 29% 38% 40% 34% 40%
9 Jun 2016 ReachTEL[17] 55.4% 44.6%
2–5 Jun 2016 Newspoll[19] 45% 30% 37% 51% 33% 52%
2 Jun 2016 ReachTEL[20] 55.6% 44.4%
31 May – 2 Jun 2016 Ipsos[21] 49% 31% 45% 42% 41% 47%
26–29 May 2016 Essential[22] 40% 27% 41% 39% 34% 44%
26 May 2016 ReachTEL[24] 54.9% 45.1%
19–22 May 2016 Newspoll[26] 46% 31% 38% 50% 37% 49%
19 May 2016 ReachTEL[27] 55.6% 44.4%
17–19 May 2016 Ipsos[28] 47% 30% 48% 38% 40% 46%
12–15 May 2016 Essential[30] 43% 28% 40% 42% 34% 43%
5–8 May 2016 Newspoll[33] 49% 27% 38% 49% 33% 52%
5–7 May 2016 Ipsos[33] 51% 29% 48% 40% 38% 49%
5 May 2016 ReachTEL[35] 57.7% 42.3%
4–5 May 2016 Morgan 57% 24% 43% 41% 34% 49%
14–17 Apr 2016 Newspoll[39] 47% 28% 36% 49% 31% 52%
14–16 Apr 2016 Ipsos[42] 54% 27% 51% 38% 33% 55%
14 Apr 2016 ReachTEL[43] 58.4% 41.6%
Apr 2016 Essential[44] 44% 22% 39% 39% 30% 44%
31 Mar–3 Apr 2016 Newspoll[45] 48% 27% 38% 48% 32% 53%
Mar 2016 Essential[44] 48% 19% 45% 35% 27% 47%
21 Mar 2016 ReachTEL[35] 60.0% 40.0%
10–12 Mar 2016 Ipsos[51] 61% 24% 55% 32% 33% 52%
3–6 Mar 2016 Newspoll[52] 55% 21% 44% 41% 30% 55%
Feb 2016 Essential[61] 52% 15% 51% 27% 27% 48%
18–21 Feb 2016 Newspoll[56] 55% 21% 48% 38% 28% 57%
11–13 Feb 2016 Ipsos[59] 64% 19% 62% 24% 30% 55%
11 Feb 2016 ReachTEL[60] 74.9% 25.1%
Jan 2016 Essential[61] 51% 18% 51% 25% 27% 47%
28–31 Jan 2016 Newspoll[63] 59% 20% 53% 31% 25% 60%
Dec 2015 Essential[61] 54% 15% 56% 23% 27% 47%
4–6 Dec 2015 Newspoll[71] 60% 14% 52% 30% 23% 61%
Nov 2015 Essential[174] 55% 14% 56% 20% 27% 47%
26 Nov 2015 ReachTEL[74] 71.4% 28.6%
19–22 Nov 2015 Newspoll[76] 64% 15% 60% 22% 26% 57%
12–14 Nov 2015 Ipsos[78] 69% 18% 69% 16% 29% 57%
6–8 Nov 2015 Newspoll[80] 55% 14% 56% 20% 27% 47%
Oct 2015 Essential 48% 19% 47% 17% 30% 42%
23–25 Oct 2015 Newspoll[175] 63% 17% 58% 23% 26% 58%
20–22 Oct 2015 Morgan[176] 76% 14% 66% 18% 25% 62%
15–17 Oct 2015 Ipsos[87] 67% 21% 68% 17% 32% 56%
9–11 Oct 2015 Newspoll 57% 19% 50% 25% 28% 53%
Sep 2015 Essential 53% 17% N/A N/A 29% 50%
17–20 Sep 2015 Newspoll 55% 21% 42% 24% 29% 54%
15–16 Sep 2015 Galaxy[95] 51% 20%
15 Sep 2015 ReachTEL[96] 61.9% 38.1%
15 Sep 2015 Morgan 70% 24%
Abbott Shorten Abbott Shorten
4–6 Sep 2015 Newspoll 37% 41% 30% 63% 30% 58%
27 Aug 2015 ReachTEL[101] 42.1% 57.9%
20–23 Aug 2015 Newspoll[103] 35% 40% 30% 63% 34% 52%
13–15 Aug 2015 Ipsos 39% 45% 35% 59% 39% 49%
11 Aug 2015 Essential 36% 32% 38% 53% 29% 52%
9 Aug 2015 Newspoll 39% 39% 33% 61% 29% 57%
6 Aug 2015 ReachTEL 41.5% 58.5%
31 Jul 2015 ReachTEL 44.9% 55.1%
16–19 Jul 2015 Newspoll[111] 39% 36% 33% 60% 27% 59%
7 Jul 2015 Essential 37% 30% 37% 53% 27% 52%
6 Jul 2015 Newspoll 39% 39% 33% 60% 28% 56%
11–13 Jun 2015 Newspoll[116] 41% 38% 34% 56% 28% 54%
11–13 Jun 2015 Ipsos[118] 41% 42%
2 Jun 2015 Essential 38% 33% 39% 50% 32% 45%
2 Jun 2015 Newspoll[119] 41% 37% 38% 53% 32% 50%
17 May 2015 Ipsos[123] 44% 39% 42% 50% 41% 45%
17 May 2015 Newspoll[124] 41% 40% 39% 52% 35% 46%
12 Apr 2015 Essential 35% 32% 36% 54% 32% 41%
5 Apr 2015 Newspoll[127] 38% 38% 37% 56% 34% 50%
27 Apr 2015 Morgan 44% 39% 37% 53% 34% 48%
14 Apr 2015 Essential 33% 35% 33% 58% 33% 42%
10–12 Apr 2015 Newspoll[130] 40% 41% 33% 59% 33% 51%
9–11 Apr 2015 Ipsos[131] 38% 46% 34% 60% 42% 44%
20–22 Mar 2015 Newspoll[134] 36% 41% 29% 61% 36% 47%
7–8 Mar 2015 Newspoll[137] 33% 44% 28% 63% 39% 42%
26–28 Feb 2015 Ipsos 39% 44% 32% 62% 43% 43%
20–22 Feb 2015 Newspoll 35% 43% 25% 68% 35% 49%
6–8 Feb 2015 Newspoll 30% 48% 24% 68% 42% 40%
1 Feb 2015 Galaxy 27% 44%
28–30 Jan 2015 Galaxy 27% 44%
14 Jan 2015 Morgan 41% 43% 37% 52% 37% 40%
13 Jan 2015 Essential 35% 37% 37% 53% 39% 33%
28–30 Nov 2014 Newspoll 37% 44% 33% 58% 37% 43%
4–6 Dec 2014 Ipsos 39% 47%
28–30 Nov 2014 Newspoll 36% 43% 33% 57% 39% 43%
18 Nov 2014 Newspoll 37% 43% 36% 55% 39% 41%
11 Nov 2014 Essential 36% 34% 39% 50% 37% 38%
4 Nov 2014 Newspoll 39% 38% 37% 52% 37% 45%
30 Oct–1 Nov 2014 Ipsos 41% 41% 42% 49% 43% 40%
21 Oct 2014 Newspoll 39% 38% 38% 53% 35% 46%
14 Oct 2014 Essential 38% 32% 40% 48% 35% 36%
23 Sep 2014 Newspoll 41% 37% 41% 52% 38% 43%
5–7 Sep 2014 Newspoll 37% 37% 35% 54% 36% 43%
22–24 Aug 2014 Newspoll 39% 40% 36% 55% 40% 39%
8–10 Aug 2014 Newspoll 41% 37% 36% 54% 36% 44%
25–27 Jul 2014 Newspoll 38% 38% 36% 53% 38% 41%
11–13 Jul 2014 Newspoll 36% 41% 31% 60% 34% 43%
27–29 Jun 2014 Newspoll 34% 44% 31% 62% 34% 41%
13–15 Jun 2014 Newspoll 37% 40% 30% 61% 34% 45%
30 May – 1 Jun 2014 Newspoll 35% 45% 33% 59% 38% 43%
16–18 May 2014 Newspoll 34% 44% 30% 60% 42% 39%
15–17 May 2014 Nielsen 40% 51% 34% 62% 47% 39%
2–4 May 2014 Newspoll 40% 38% 35% 56% 35% 41%
13 Apr 2014 Nielsen 45% 44% 43% 50% 43% 41%
8 Apr 2014 Essential 42% 32% 41% 47% 34% 38%
4–6 Apr 2014 Newspoll 41% 33% 40% 47% 31% 42%
21–23 Mar 2014 Newspoll 43% 36% 40% 50% 36% 43%
13–15 Mar 2014 Nielsen 48% 43% 45% 49% 42% 42%
7–9 Mar 2014 Newspoll 42% 36% 38% 50% 33% 43%
21–23 Feb 2014 Newspoll[160] 38% 37% 36% 52% 35% 39%
15 Feb 2014 Nielsen[160] 49% 39% 45% 47% 40% 40%
7–9 Feb 2014 Newspoll 41% 33% 40% 45% 35% 35%
6–8 Dec 2013 Newspoll 41% 34% 40% 45% 44% 27%
22–24 Nov 2013 Newspoll 44% 33% 42% 42% 39% 27%
21–23 Nov 2013 Nielsen[169] 49% 41% 47% 46% 51% 30%
8–10 Nov 2013 Newspoll 46% 30% 45% 38% 37% 24%
25–27 Oct 2013 Newspoll 47% 28% 47% 34% 32% 24%
2013 election – – – – – –
3–5 Sep 2013 Newspoll 45% 44% 50%
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.

Individual seat polling during the election campaign

New South Wales

Date Seat 2CP vote
L/NP ALP IND L/NP swing Seat Classification Sample size
25 Jun 2016 Reid (NSW) [177] 52% 48% −1.3 Marginal L/NP ?
25 Jun 2016 Macarthur (NSW) [177] 50% 50% −3.3 Marginal L/NP ?
25 Jun 2016 Lindsay (NSW) [177] 51% 49% −2.0 Marginal L/NP ?
25 Jun 2016 Gilmore (NSW) [177] 51% 49% −2.8 Marginal L/NP ?
25 Jun 2016 Dobell (NSW) [177] 51% 49% +1.2 Notional Marginal ALP ?
25 Jun 2016 Banks (NSW) [177] 52% 48% −0.8 Marginal L/NP ?
24 Jun 2016 Cowper (NSW) [178] 50% 50% −13.2 Safe L/NP 628
23 Jun 2016 Eden-Monaro (NSW) [179] 45% 55% −7.9 Marginal L/NP 636
23 Jun 2016 Dobell (NSW) [179] 47% 53% −2.8 Notional Marginal ALP 616
23 Jun 2016 Gilmore (NSW) [179] 47% 53% −6.8 Marginal L/NP 632
23 Jun 2016 Lindsay (NSW) [179] 46% 54% −7.0 Marginal L/NP 610
23 Jun 2016 Macquarie (NSW) [179] 46% 54% −8.5 Marginal L/NP 636
23 Jun 2016 Page (NSW) [179] 46% 54% −7.1 Marginal L/NP 647
21 Jun 2016 Eden-Monaro (NSW) [180] 45% 55% −7.9 Marginal L/NP 719
21 Jun 2016 Lindsay (NSW) [180] 51% 49% −4.0 Marginal L/NP 656
21 Jun 2016 Page (NSW) [180] 48% 52% −5.1 Marginal L/NP 788
20 Jun 2016 New England (NSW) [181] 51% 49% −18.5 Safe L/NP 523
18 Jun 2016 Robertson (NSW) [182] 47% 53% −6.1 Marginal L/NP ?
18 Jun 2016 Paterson (NSW) [182] 43% 57% −6.7 Notional Marginal ALP ?
17 Jun 2016 Lindsay (NSW) [183] 53% 47% 0.0 Marginal L/NP 502
17 Jun 2016 Robertson (NSW) [183] 51% 49% −2.1 Marginal L/NP 537
17 Jun 2016 Macarthur (NSW) [183] 50% 50% −3.3 Marginal L/NP 509
15 Jun 2016 Cowper (NSW) [184] 53.8% 46.2% −9.4 Safe L/NP 842
11 Jun 2016 Dobell (NSW) [185] 49% 51% −0.8 Notional Marginal ALP 628
11 Jun 2016 Lindsay (NSW) [185] 54% 46% +1.0 Marginal L/NP ?
31 May 2016 Wentworth (NSW) [186] 58% 42% −10.9 Safe L/NP 626
19 May 2016 Macarthur (NSW) [187] 49% 51% −4.4 Marginal L/NP 628
14 May 2016 Macarthur (NSW) [188] 49% 51% −4.3 Marginal L/NP 514
14 May 2016 Banks (NSW) [189] 50% 50% −2.8 Marginal L/NP 501
14 May 2016 Dobell (NSW) [189] 50% 50% +0.2 Notional Marginal ALP 504
14 May 2016 Lindsay (NSW) [189] 54% 46% +1.0 Marginal L/NP 554

Northern Territory
Date Seat 2CP vote
L/NP ALP L/NP swing Seat Classification Sample size
22−23 Jun 2016 Solomon (NT) [190] 39% 61% −12.4 Marginal L/NP 513

Queensland

Date Seat 2CP vote
L/NP ALP KAP L/NP swing Seat Classification Sample size
25 Jun 2016 Kennedy (Qld) [191] 42% 58% −5.8 Marginal KAP ?
25 Jun 2016 Longman (Qld) [191] 53% 47% −3.9 Fairly Safe L/NP ?
25 Jun 2016 Brisbane (Qld) [191] 52% 48% −2.3 Marginal L/NP ?
25 Jun 2016 Petrie (Qld) [191] 46% 54% −4.5 Marginal L/NP ?
25 Jun 2016 Capricornia (Qld) [191] 49% 51% −1.8 Marginal L/NP ?
25 Jun 2016 Griffith (Qld) [191] 47% 53% 0.0 Marginal ALP ?
17 Jun 2016 Herbert (Qld) [183] 54% 46% −2.2 Fairly safe L/NP 505
17 Jun 2016 Capricornia (Qld) [183] 50% 50% −0.8 Marginal L/NP 529
17 Jun 2016 Brisbane (Qld) [183] 51% 49% −3.3 Marginal L/NP 594
11 Jun 2016 Bonner (Qld) [185] 56% 44% +2.3 Marginal L/NP ?
2 Jun 2016 Longman (Qld) [192] 50% 50% −6.9 Fairly safe L/NP 836

South Australia

Date Seat 2CP vote
L/NP ALP NXT L/NP swing Seat Classification Sample size
29 Jun 2016 Adelaide (SA) [193] 47% 53% +0.9 Marginal ALP 518
29 Jun 2016 Port Adelaide (SA) [193] 33% 67% −3.0 Safe ALP 500+
25 Jun 2016 Hindmarsh (SA) [191] 50% 50% −1.9 Marginal L/NP 500+
25 Jun 2016 Boothby (SA) [191] 53% 47% −4.1 Farily Safe L/NP 500+
20 Jun 2016 Barker (SA) [194] 48% 52% −18.6 Safe L/NP 869
20 Jun 2016 Adelaide (SA) [195] 51% 49% +4.9 Marginal ALP 364
17 Jun 2016 Sturt (SA) [196] 58% 42% −2.1 Safe L/NP 596
16 Jun 2016 Mayo (SA) [183] 48% 52% −14.5 Safe L/NP 681
11 Jun 2016 Mayo (SA) [185] 45.7% 54.3% −16.8 Safe L/NP ?
9 Jun 2016 Grey (SA) [197] 46% 54% −17.5 Safe L/NP 665
22 May 2016 Sturt (SA) [189] 51% 49% −9.1 Safe L/NP 762
16 May 2016 Mayo (SA) [189] 48.5% 51.5% −14.0 Safe L/NP 681

Tasmania

Date Seat 2CP vote
L/NP ALP IND L/NP swing Seat Classification Sample size
25 Jun 2016 Bass (Tas) [177] 50% 50% −4.0 Marginal L/NP 538
25 Jun 2016 Braddon (Tas) [177] 50% 50% −2.6 Marginal L/NP 566
25 Jun 2016 Denison (Tas) [177] 35% 63% N/A Safe IND 552
25 Jun 2016 Franklin (Tas) [177] 41% 59% −3.9 Marginal ALP 550
25 Jun 2016 Lyons (Tas) [177] 45% 55% −6.2 Marginal L/NP 540
17 Jun 2016 Bass (Tas) [183] 52% 48% −2.0 Marginal L/NP 517
31 May 2016 Bass (Tas) [198] 49% 51% −5.0 Marginal L/NP 824
15 May 2016 Denison (Tas) [199] 34% 66% N/A Safe IND 596
15 May 2016 Bass (Tas) [200] 51% 49% −3.0 Marginal L/NP 632
15 May 2016 Lyons (Tas) [200] 51% 49% −0.2 Marginal L/NP 602
15 May 2016 Franklin (Tas) [200] 46% 54% +1.1 Marginal ALP 597
15 May 2016 Braddon (Tas) [200] 53% 47% +0.4 Marginal L/NP 592

Victoria

Date Seat 2CP vote
L/NP ALP GRN IND L/NP swing Seat Classification Sample size
25 Jun 2016 Dunkley (Vic) [191] 53% 47% −2.6 Marginal L/NP ?
25 Jun 2016 Corangamite (Vic) [191] 53% 47% −0.9 Marginal L/NP ?
25 Jun 2016 Bruce (Vic) [191] 48% 52% −0.2 Marginal ALP ?
25 Jun 2016 McEwen (Vic) [191] 48% 52% −1.8 Marginal ALP ?
20 Jun 2016 Batman (Vic) [201] 45% 55% N/A Safe ALP 1100
17 Jun 2016 Batman (Vic) [183] 53% 47% N/A Safe ALP ?
17 Jun 2016 Corangamite (Vic) [183] 51% 49% −2.9 Marginal L/NP 509
17 Jun 2016 Dunkley (Vic) [183] 52% 48% −3.6 Marginal L/NP 500
13 Jun 2016 Menzies (Vic) [180] 61% 39% −3.4 Safe L/NP 719
11 Jun 2016 Corangamite (Vic) [185] 51% 49% −2.9 Marginal L/NP ?
11 Jun 2016 Deakin (Vic) [185] 52% 48% −1.2 Marginal L/NP ?
3–4 Jun 2016 Higgins (Vic) [202] 53% 47% −6.9 Fairly safe L/NP 1118
26 May 2016 Corangamite (Vic) [203] 54% 46% +0.1 Marginal L/NP 770
13 May 2016 Dunkley (Vic) [204] 48% 52% −7.6 Marginal L/NP ?

Western Australia

Date Seat 2CP vote
L/NP ALP L/NP swing Seat Classification Sample size
18 Jun 2016 Pearce (WA) [182] 51% 49% −8.3 Fairly safe L/NP ?
18 Jun 2016 Hasluck (WA) [182] 50% 50% −6.0 Fairly safe L/NP ?
17 Jun 2016 Burt (WA) [183] 48% 52% −8.1 Fairly safe L/NP ?
16 Jun 2016 Hasluck (WA) [205] 53% 47% −3.0 Fairly safe L/NP 753
11 Jun 2016 Cowan (WA) [185] 50% 50% −4.5 Marginal L/NP ?
10 May 2016 Cowan (WA) [206] 49% 51% −5.5 Marginal L/NP 731

Notes

  1. ↑ Ipsos asked respondents to nominate their own second preferences. Based only on 2013 preference flows, TPP is LNP 56% to ALP 44%.
  2. ↑ Malcolm Turnbull succeeded Tony Abbott as Liberal Party leader on 14 September 2015. Poll was conducted to gauge the public's response.

References

  1. ↑ Mackerras pendulum for the Australian federal election, 2016 based on 2016 Federal Election Pendulum (Update): Antony Green ABC 13 March 2016 – O'Connor and Durack not included for Labor majority calculation but are included for Coalition loss of majority calculation.
  2. 1 2 Turnbull clings to narrow lead: The Australian 2 July 2016
  3. 1 2 1 July 2016 ReachTEL
  4. ↑ 1 Jul 2016 Essential
  5. ↑ "Fairfax-Ipsos: 50-50; Galaxy: 51-49 to Coalition - The Poll Bludger". 2016-06-30. Retrieved 2016-06-30.
  6. 1 2 "Fairfax-Ipsos poll: Dead heat on election eve as final poll points to cliffhanger". theage.com.au. 2016-06-30. Retrieved 2016-06-30.
  7. 1 2 28 Jun 2016 Essential
  8. 1 2 "Nocookies". The Australian. Retrieved 2016-06-27.
  9. 1 2 23 June 2016 ReachTEL
  10. ↑ "Galaxy: 50-50 - The Poll Bludger". Blogs.crikey.com.au. Retrieved 2016-06-27.
  11. ↑ "Liberals on track to keep key marginals".
  12. ↑ 21 Jun 2016 Essential
  13. 1 2 "Newspoll: 50-50 - The Poll Bludger". The Poll Bludger. 2016-06-19. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
  14. 1 2 "Blog". ReachTEL. 2016-06-17. Retrieved 2016-06-27.
  15. 1 2 http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/federal-election-2016/federal-election-2016-labor-within-striking-distance-20160617-gplsgi.html. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  16. 1 2 14 Jun 2016 Essential
  17. 1 2 9 Jun 2016 ReachTEL
  18. ↑ 7 Jun 2016 Essential
  19. 1 2 "Nocookies". The Australian. Retrieved 2016-06-15.
  20. 1 2 2 Jun 2016 ReachTEL
  21. 1 2 Mark Kenny (3 Jun 2016). "Election 2016: Fairfax Ipsos poll puts Bill Shorten ahead of Malcolm Turnbull for first time". SMH.
  22. 1 2 31 May 2016 Essential
  23. ↑ "Election now too close to call: ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49%. Minor Parties 'won' last night's Leaders' debate.". Roy Morgan Research. Roy Morgan. Retrieved 30 May 2016.
  24. 1 2 26 May 2016 ReachTEL
  25. ↑ 24 May 2016 Essential
  26. 1 2 23 May 2016 Newspoll
  27. 1 2 "Blog". ReachTEL. 2016-05-20. Retrieved 2016-06-15.
  28. 1 2 Mark Kenny (21 May 2016). "Fairfax-Ipsos poll: Malcolm Turnbull's approval slides as election campaign drags". SMH.
  29. ↑ In the first week of the campaign ALP grabs election winning lead: ALP 52.5% cf. L-NP 47.5% - Roy Morgan Research
  30. 1 2 17 May 2016 Essential
  31. ↑ . The Guardian. 10 May 2016 http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2016/may/10/malcolm-turnbulls-budget-turns-younger-voters-off-coalition-poll-shows. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  32. ↑ 10 May 2016 Essential
  33. 1 2 3 4 Bowe, William (8 May 2016). "It's on: Newspoll, Ipsos, Galaxy". Crikey.
  34. ↑ No Cookies | Daily Telegraph
  35. 1 2 3 "Blog". ReachTEL. 2016-05-06. Retrieved 2016-06-15.
  36. ↑ 3 May 2016 Essential
  37. ↑ . Roy Morgan Research http://www.roymorgan.com/morganpoll. Retrieved 3 May 2016. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  38. ↑ 27 Apr 2016 Essential
  39. 1 2 18 Apr 2016 Newspoll
  40. ↑ 19 Apr 2016 Essential
  41. ↑ . Roy Morgan Research http://www.roymorgan.com/morganpoll. Retrieved 18 April 2016. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  42. 1 2 Mark Kenny (17 April 2016). "Fairfax-Ipsos poll points to knife-edge election between Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten". SMH.
  43. 1 2 "7 News – National Poll". ReachTEL. 15 April 2016.
  44. 1 2 3 12 Apr 2016 Essential
  45. 1 2 4 Apr 2016 Newspoll
  46. ↑ "L-NP in front again as Turnbull shows leadership". Roy Morgan Research. Roy Morgan. Retrieved 5 April 2016.
  47. ↑ Mar 2016 ReachTEL
  48. ↑ 21 Mar 2016 Newspoll
  49. ↑ "Essential Report 22 March" (PDF). Essential Research. Essential Research. Retrieved 23 March 2016.
  50. ↑ "ALP & L-NP now too close to call as electors react to Government forcing Senate voting changes last week as Turnbull today recalls Parliament in April for Double Dissolution Election showdown". Roy Morgan Research. Roy Morgan Research. Retrieved 21 March 2016.
  51. 1 2 Mar 2016 Ipsos
  52. 1 2 3–6 Mar 2016 Newspoll
  53. ↑ "The Essential Report – 8 March 2016" (PDF). Essential. Essential. Retrieved 8 March 2016.
  54. ↑ "Federal Voting Intention virtually unchanged: L-NP 53% maintain clear 2PP lead over ALP 47% as Parliament debates Senate reform". Roy Morgan Research. 7 March 2016.
  55. ↑ "The Essential Report – 1 March 2016" (PDF). Essential. Essential. Retrieved 1 March 2016.
  56. 1 2 "NEWSPOLL". The Australian. Newspoll Limited. Retrieved 21 February 2016.
  57. ↑ "The Essential Report – 23 February 2016" (PDF). Essential. Essential. Retrieved 29 February 2016.
  58. ↑ "Federal Voting Intention unchanged: L-NP 52.5% maintain clear 2PP lead over ALP 47.5%". Roy Morgan Research. Roy Morgan. Retrieved 22 February 2016.
  59. 1 2 Kenny, Mark (15 February 2016). "Fairfax-Ipsos poll: voters cool on Malcolm Turnbull as Coalition support drops below 2013 election levels". SMH.
  60. 1 2 "7 News – National Poll – 11 February 2016". 11 February 2016.
  61. 1 2 3 4 "The Essential report – 9 February 2016" (PDF). Essential Research. Essential Research. Retrieved 14 February 2016.
  62. ↑ "ALP narrows gap following GST discussions – ALP up 2.5% to 47.5% cf. L-NP down 2.5% to 52.5%". Roy Morgan Research. Roy Morgan Research. Retrieved 9 February 2016.
  63. 1 2 Newspoll: 53-47 to Coalition – The Poll Bludger 31 January 2016
  64. ↑ "L-NP lead over ALP narrows – now 55% (down 1%) cf. 45% (up 1%). Nick Xenophon outpolls Labor in South Australia – again.". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 2016-01-25.
  65. ↑ "7 News – National Poll – 21 January 2016". 21 January 2016.
  66. ↑ "Essential Report" (PDF). 19 January 2016.
  67. ↑ "L-NP lead down over ALP – now 56% (down 1.5%) cf. 44% (up 1.5%) although L-NP would still win Federal Election easily". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 2016-01-11.
  68. ↑ [name=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/essential_report_151215.pdf]
  69. ↑ "L-NP increases lead over ALP – now 57.5% cf. 42.5%; biggest lead for Coalition since being elected in 2013". Roy Morgan Research. Roy Morgan Research. Retrieved 15 December 2015.
  70. ↑ http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/essential_report_151208.pdf
  71. 1 2 Newspoll: 53-47 to Coalition – The Poll Bludger 7 December 2015
  72. ↑ "Federal politics – voting intention". Essential Media Communications. 1 December 2015.
  73. ↑ "Federal Voting Intention unchanged. L-NP (56%) cf. ALP (44%); Confidence in Turnbull Government up again – highest since March 2011". Roy Morgan Research. 30 November 2015.
  74. 1 2 "7 News – National Poll – 26 November 2015". ReachTEL. 27 November 2015. Retrieved 27 November 2015.
  75. ↑ "Federal politics – voting intention". Essential Media Communications. 24 December 2015.
  76. 1 2 Phillip Hudson (23 November 2015). "Newspoll: Bill Shorten now Mr 15pc with voters". The Australian.
  77. ↑ "Federal Voting Intention virtually unchanged. L-NP (56%) cf. ALP (44%); Confidence in Turnbull Government jumps – highest since March 2011". Roy Morgan Research. 16 November 2015.
  78. 1 2 "GST rise backed by voters if other taxes cut: Fairfax-Ipsos poll". The Sydney Morning Herald. 16 November 2015. Retrieved 16 November 2015.
  79. ↑ "The Essential Report, 10 November 2015" (PDF). Essential. 10 November 2015.
  80. 1 2 . The Australian. 9 November 2015 http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll/newspoll-coalition-support-up-again-shorten-now-mr-18-per-cent/story-fnc6vkbc-1227602388814. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  81. ↑ "Federal Voting Intention virtually unchanged – L-NP (56.5%) leads ALP (43.5%) – biggest lead for L-NP since April 2013". Roy Morgan Research. 2 November 2015.
  82. ↑ "The Essential Report 27 October 2015" (PDF). Essential. horizontal tab character in |title= at position 4 (help)
  83. ↑ "Newspoll: True measure of Labor's fall as Coalition surges on PM's gains". The Australian.
  84. ↑ "7 News – National Poll – 22 October 2015". ReachTEL. 23 October 2015.
  85. ↑ "The Essential Report" (PDF). Essential.
  86. ↑ "Federal Voting Intention unchanged – L-NP (56%) leads ALP (44%) – equal biggest lead for L-NP since June 2013". Roy Morgan Research. 19 October 2015.
  87. 1 2 "Fairfax-Ipsos poll shows dark days for Labor as Coalition surges under Malcolm Turnbull". The Sydney Morning Herald. 18 October 2015. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  88. ↑ "The Essential Report 13 October 2015" (PDF). Essential. 13 October 2015. horizontal tab character in |title= at position 4 (help)
  89. ↑ Phillip Hudson (11 October 2015). "Newspoll: Malcolm Turnbull's appeal grows, but parties locked". The Australian.
  90. ↑ "L-NP (56%) leads ALP (44%) – biggest lead for L-NP since June 2013 – a vote of confidence in Turnbull's new Ministry". Roy Morgan Research. 5 October 2015.
  91. ↑ "The Essential Report" (PDF). Essential Report. Essential Research. Retrieved 9 October 2015.
  92. ↑ The Essential Report (PDF) (Report). Essential Vision. 22 September 2015. Retrieved 25 September 2015.
  93. ↑ "New PM Turnbull gives L-NP (55%) big lead over ALP (45%)". Roy Morgan Research. 21 September 2015.
  94. ↑ William Bowe (22 September 2015). "Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition". Crikey.
  95. 1 2 Shalailah Medhora (18 September 2015). "Malcolm Turnbull puts Coalition ahead in poll for the first time in 16 months". The Guardian.
  96. 1 2 "7 News – National Poll – 15 September 2015". ReachTEL. 16 September 2015. Retrieved 16 September 2015.
  97. ↑ "L-NP (43%) fell further behind ALP (57%) before Turnbull challenged Abbott for the Prime Ministership on Monday". Roy Morgan Research. Roy Morgan Research. Retrieved 16 September 2015.
  98. ↑ "L-NP (45%) well behind ALP (55%) on two-party preferred basis as Government Confidence down 5.5pts to 90, Greens at record high – 16.5%". Roy Morgan Research. Retrieved 7 September 2015.
  99. ↑ "Newspoll/The Australian". 6 September 2015.
  100. ↑ "Essential Report" (PDF). 1 September 2015.
  101. 1 2 "7 News – National Poll – 27 August 2015". ReachTEL. 28 August 2015.
  102. ↑ "L-NP support increases after unions attack credibility of Trade Union Commissioner Dyson Heydon and the Abbott Government announces new policies on climate change and same-sex marriage". Roy Morgan Research. 24 August 2015.
  103. 1 2 "Newspoll 23 August" (PDF). News.com.au.
  104. ↑ "Tony Abbott's leadership faces new dangers as Fairfax-Ipsos poll predicts Coalition wipeout". The Sydney Morning Herald. 16 August 2015. Retrieved 16 August 2015.
  105. ↑ "L-NP support slumps following resignation of Bronwyn Bishop as Roy Morgan Government Confidence plunges to record low". Roy Morgan Research. 10 August 2015. Retrieved 11 August 2015.
  106. ↑ "Newspoll: Labor extends lead as entitlements scandal hurts Coalition". The Australian. 9 August 2015.
  107. ↑ "Tony Abbott dragged down by expenses scandal as Bill Shorten surges ahead". Fairfax Media. 9 August 2015.
  108. ↑ "Federal politics – voting intention (04/08/15)". Essential Media. 4 August 2015.
  109. ↑ "7 News – National Poll – 30 July 2015". ReachTel. 31 July 2015.
  110. ↑ "L-NP support slumps amid Bronwyn Bishop travel expense 'misconduct' and as the ALP commits to renewable energy & 'turn back the boats' policy". Roy Morgan Research. 27 July 2015.
  111. 1 2 "Bill Shorten's Newspoll figures rapidly drop". Sky News Australia. 21 July 2015.
  112. ↑ "ALP support crumbles as Opposition Leader Bill Shorten fronts Royal Commission". Roy Morgan. 13 July 2015.
  113. ↑ Phillip Hudson (6 July 2015). "Newspoll: Labor in lead but Bill Shorten at lows". The Australian.
  114. ↑ "Fairfax-Ipsos: 53-47 to Labor". Crikey.com.au. Retrieved 5 July 2015.
  115. ↑ "L-NP vote up 1% as Opposition Leader Bill Shorten under controversy for his role in the AWU 'affair' and caught out on a lie – however ALP would still win a Federal Election". Roy Morgan Research. Retrieved 29 June 2015.
  116. 1 2 Phillip Hudson (15 June 2015). "Newspoll: Bill Shorten approval rating at record low 28 per cent". The Australian.
  117. ↑ "ALP increases lead after Hockey says first home buyers should 'get a good job that pays good money'". Roy Morgan Research. Retrieved 15 June 2015.
  118. 1 2 "Voters drift away from Tony Abbott amid worsening housing affordability crisis and same-sex marriage debate". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 15 June 2015.
  119. 1 2 "Tony Abbott passes Bill Shorten on approval rating". Newspoll. Retrieved 2 May 2015.
  120. 1 2 "Federal politics – voting intention". Essential Vision. Essential Media Communications. Retrieved 27 May 2015.
  121. ↑ "'Budget Bounce' over for the L-NP as ALP regain initiative with Shorten's call for same-sex marriage". Roy Morgan Research. Roy Morgan Research. Retrieved 3 June 2015.
  122. ↑ "L-NP gets 'Budget boost' – now highest in over a year (February 2014)". Roy Morgan Research. Roy Morgan. Retrieved 18 May 2015.
  123. 1 2 "Fairfax-Ipsos poll: Coalition draws 50–50 with Labor, Abbott approval soars". The Age. Retrieved 17 May 2015.
  124. 1 2 "Newspoll: Budget win for voters, economy … and Tony Abbott". The Australian. Retrieved 17 May 2015.
  125. ↑ "ReachTel: 7 News – National Poll – 13 May 2015". ReachTel. Retrieved 15 May 2015.
  126. ↑ The Essential Report (Report). Essential Research. 12 May 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on 18 May 2015.
  127. 1 2 "Newspoll: Tony Abbott catches Shorten, Labor keeps lead". The Australian. Retrieved 5 May 2015.
  128. ↑ "L-NP vote virtually unchanged as Abbott Government prepares for second Federal Budget". Roy Morgan Research. Retrieved 4 May 2015.
  129. ↑ "ALP would still easily win Federal Election as Foreign Minister Julie Bishop arrives in Iran for talks on ISIS, asylum seekers and trade". Roy Morgan. 20 April 2015.
  130. 1 2 "Newspoll: Bill Shorten posts worst ratings as Tony Abbott claws back ground". Newspoll. 12 April 2015. Retrieved 13 April 2015.
  131. 1 2 "Abbott and Hockey lead Coalition poll dive". Ipsos. 12 April 2015. Retrieved 13 April 2015.
  132. ↑ "L-NP support jumps following Mike Baird's triumph in NSW Election". Roy Morgan Research. 7 April 2015. Retrieved 8 April 2015.
  133. ↑ "7 News – National Poll – 29 March 2015". ReachTEL. 30 March 2015. Retrieved 2 April 2015.
  134. 1 2 Peter Mumble (25 March 2015). "Mumble: Newspoll takes pressure off Tony Abott's leadership". The Australian. Retrieved 26 March 2015.
  135. ↑ "Federal ALP increases lead as NSW prepares to vote in State Election". Roy Morgan Research. 23 March 2015. Retrieved 25 March 2015.
  136. ↑ Essential Media (10 March 2015). "Essential: Federal politics – voting intention". Retrieved 12 March 2015.
  137. 1 2 Phillip Hudson (9 March 2015). "Newspoll: Tony Abbott rises but Labor has commanding lead". The Australian. Retrieved 9 March 2015.
  138. ↑ Roy Morgan Research (10 March 2015). "Roy Morgan Research: L-NP support increases after PM Abbott commits to sending Australian troops to Iraq". Retrieved 12 March 2015.
  139. ↑ "Essential Report". Essential. 1 July 2014. Retrieved 6 July 2014.
  140. ↑ "ALP (57.5%) increases lead over L-NP (42.5%) as new Senate prepares to sit for first time". Morgan. 30 June 2014. Retrieved 6 July 2014.
  141. 1 2 "Federal politics – voting intention". Essential. 30 April 2014. Retrieved 4 May 2014.
  142. ↑ Essential. 20 April 2014 http://essentialvision.com.au/federal-politics-voting-intention-32. Retrieved 28 May 2014. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  143. ↑ "ALP (57.5%) surges to biggest lead over L-NP (42.5%) since early August 2010 after Joe Hockey delivers his first Federal Budget.". Roy Morgan. 18 May 2014. Retrieved 20 May 2014.
  144. ↑ Mark Kenny (19 May 2014). "Tony Abbott pays price for broken promises". SMH. Retrieved 19 May 2014.
  145. ↑ Samantha Maiden (3 May 2014). "Tony Abbott would lose an election if it was held now as voters see his deficit tax plan as a "broken promise"". The Daily Telegraph.
  146. ↑ "Federal Newspoll" (PDF). Newspoll.
  147. ↑ "ALP (52%) lead virtually unchanged over L-NP (48%) as Prince William and the Duchess of Cambridge tour Australia". Roy Morgan. 22 April 2014. Retrieved 4 May 2014.
  148. ↑ Essential. 15 April 2014 http://essentialvision.com.au/category/essentialreport. Retrieved 15 April 2014. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  149. ↑ "Tony Abbott slumps in polls despite best week yet". Nielsen. 13 April 2014. Retrieved 15 April 2014.
  150. ↑ Essential. 8 April 2014 http://essentialvision.com.au/category/essentialreport. Retrieved 10 April 2014. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  151. ↑ "ALP (51.5%) lead is down over L-NP (48.5%) as special WA Senate Election shows both major parties losing support". Morgan. 7 April 2014. Retrieved 15 April 2014.
  152. ↑ "Federal Voting Intentions & Leaders Ratings" (PDF). Newspoll. 8 April 2014. Retrieved 10 April 2014.
  153. ↑ "ALP (54.5%) biggest lead over L-NP (45.5%) since losing the Election after ALP win narrowly in SA and L-NP win in Tasmania". Morgan. 24 March 2014. Retrieved 28 March 2014.
  154. ↑ "Federal politics- Voting intention". Essential. 25 March 2014. Retrieved 27 March 2014.
  155. ↑ "Newspoll". The Australian. 17 February 2014. Retrieved 25 March 2014.
  156. ↑ "Federal politics- Voting intention". Essential. 18 March 2014. Retrieved 27 March 2014.
  157. ↑ "PM backed despite job losses". Sydney Morning Herald. 17 February 2014. Retrieved 21 March 2014.
  158. ↑ "Federal politics- Voting intention". Essential. 5 March 2014. Retrieved 10 March 2014.
  159. ↑ "ALP (50.5%, down 1.5%) lead down again over L-NP (49.5%, up 1.5%) as Western Australia set to face a new half-Senate Election in April". Roy Morgan Research. 24 February 2014. Retrieved 24 February 2014.
  160. 1 2 3 "Newspoll shows lift for ALP as budget fears rise". The Australian. 24 February 2014. Retrieved 25 February 2014.
  161. ↑ "Tony Abbott bounces back as union woes hit Bill Shorten in latest poll". The Age. 17 February 2014. Retrieved 11 February 2014.
  162. ↑ "Latest Polls". The Australian. 11 February 2014. Retrieved 11 February 2014.
  163. ↑ "ALP (53%, up 0.5%) increases clear lead over L-NP (47%, down 0.5%). Government Confidence lowest since Abbott Government elected". Roy Morgan Research. 28 January 2014. Retrieved 28 January 2014.
  164. ↑ "The Essential Report" (PDF). Essential Research. 21 January 2014. Retrieved 23 January 2014.
  165. ↑ "ALP (52.5%) start 2014 with a clear lead over the L-NP (47.5%) in first major public opinion poll of 2014". Roy Morgan Research. 13 January 2014. Retrieved 13 January 2014.
  166. ↑ "ALP (52.5%) increases lead over L-NP (47.5%) after Holden decision to cease manufacturing in 2017 and Roy Morgan Government Confidence lowest since Federal Election". Roy Morgan Research. 16 December 2013. Retrieved 13 January 2014.
  167. ↑ "The Essential Report" (PDF). Essential Research. 3 December 2013. Retrieved 4 December 2013.
  168. ↑ "ALP (51.5%) gain lead over L-NP (48.5%) after Gonski 'backflip'". Roy Morgan Research. 2 December 2013. Retrieved 2 December 2013.
  169. 1 2 "Labor storms ahead". The Age. 25 November 2013. Retrieved 25 November 2013.
  170. ↑ "L-NP (51.5%) regains lead over ALP (48.5%) after Bill Shorten elected as new ALP Leader". 21 October 2013. Retrieved 12 August 2015.
  171. ↑ "First Morgan Poll since Election: Major parties close on two-party preferred, Albanese (41%) cf. Shorten (23%) clearly preferred as next Labor Leader". Roy Morgan. 24 September 2013. Retrieved 12 August 2015.
  172. 1 2 "The Essential Report" (PDF). Essential Vision. 23 September 2013.
  173. ↑ "7 News National Poll". ReachTEL. 6 September 2013. Retrieved 6 September 2013.
  174. ↑ (PDF). Essential. 10 November 2015 http://essentialvision.com.au/documents/essential_report_151110.pdf. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  175. ↑ "Newspoll: True measure of Labor's fall as Coalition surges on PM's gains". The Australian. The Australian. Retrieved 26 October 2015.
  176. ↑ "Turnbull (76%) clearly preferred Australian PM cf. Shorten 'Mr. 14%'. December 1988: Hawke 69% cf. Howard 'Mr. 18%'.". Roy Morgan Research. Roy Morgan Research. Retrieved 23 October 2015.
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  178. ↑ "ReachTEL: 51-49 to Coalition - The Poll Bludger". 2016-06-24. Retrieved 2016-06-24.
  179. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Another electorate polling round-up: Poll Bludger 23 June 2016
  180. 1 2 3 4 Electorate polling round-up: Poll Bludger 21 June 2016
  181. ↑ "Nocookies". The Australian. Retrieved 2016-06-27.
  182. 1 2 3 4 "Highlights of week six - The Poll Bludger". Blogs.crikey.com.au. Retrieved 2016-06-27.
  183. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 "Nocookies". The Australian. Retrieved 2016-06-27.
  184. ↑ Paul Karp. "Rob Oakeshott 'uplifted' after poll shows large swing against Nationals | Australia news". The Guardian. Retrieved 2016-06-27.
  185. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mark Kenny (2016-06-11). "2016 election polls: Labor behind, Xenophon candidates set to displace Liberals". Smh.com.au. Retrieved 2016-06-15.
  186. ↑ Malcolm Turnbull facing 10% swing in Wentworth as his popularity plummets: SMH 5 June 2016
  187. ↑ 7 News – Macarthur Poll: ReachTEL 19 May 2016
  188. ↑ "Galaxy: 54-46 to federal Coalition in Queensland – The Poll Bludger". Blogs.crikey.com.au. Retrieved 2016-06-15.
  189. 1 2 3 4 5 No Cookies | The Advertiser
  190. ↑ An independent poll shows Solomon MP Natasha Griggs will struggle to retain her seat at the federal election: NT News (News Ltd) 27 June 2016
  191. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 ReachTEL: 51-49 to Coalition
  192. ↑ 7 News – Longman poll – 2 July 2016: ReachTEL
  193. 1 2 Kate Ellis and Mark Butler expected to keep their seats, The Advertiser poll shows: The Advertiser 30 June 2016
  194. ↑ Election 2016: Malcolm Turnbull could lose another seat to independent Nick Xenophon’s team - Herald Sun 20 June 2016
  195. ↑ Labor frontbencher Kate Ellis headed for defeat to Liberals in Adelaide, ALP poll shows: The Advertiser 20 June 2016
  196. ↑ No Cookies | The Advertiser
  197. ↑ "Blog". ReachTEL. 2016-06-10. Retrieved 2016-06-15.
  198. ↑ Narrow margins for Nikolic in Bass: poll – 9news.com.au 3 Jun 2016
  199. ↑ "ReachTEL Tasmanian electorates polling – The Poll Bludger". Blogs.crikey.com.au. Retrieved 2016-06-15.
  200. 1 2 3 4 "Category". The Mercury. Retrieved 2016-06-15.
  201. ↑ Richard Willingham. "Federal election 2016: Poll points to Greens Batman win". Theage.com.au. Retrieved 2016-06-27.
  202. ↑ Mark Hawthorne. "Federal election 2016: Shock poll result for Kelly O'Dwyer. Is Higgins the 'Indi of 2016'?". Smh.com.au. Retrieved 2016-06-15.
  203. ↑ 7 News – Corangamite Poll: ReachTEL 26 May 2016
  204. ↑ Libs struggling in Dunkley without Billson: The Australian 13 May 2016
  205. ↑ "Blog". ReachTEL. 2016-06-17. Retrieved 2016-06-27.
  206. ↑ Barnett backlash dents hopes of WA Liberals: The West Australian 2 Jun 2016
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