Opinion polling for the Turkish general election, June 2015

Turkey This article is part of a series on the
Turkish general election, June 2015
Sunday, 7 June 2015

Campaigning (AKP · CHP · MHP · HDP) · Opinion polling · Electoral districts · Electoral system · Parties contesting (see full list) · MPs who stood down · Fraud and violence · Members elected

Issues and developments
Gezi Park protests · 2013 government corruption scandal · Solution process · Murder of Özgecan Aslan · Economy · Gülen Movement · Soma mine disaster · Presidential system · Censorship · Syrian Civil War · Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant · European Union · Siege of Kobanî · MİT lorries scandal · Reyhanlı bombings · Kurdish riots · HDP rally bombing · Merkez Türkiye
Results
Party
Votes
%
MPs
AKP 18,867,411 40.9% 258
CHP 11,518,139 25.0% 132
MHP 7,520,006 16.3% 80
HDP 6,058,489 13.1% 80
Others 2,199,198 4.7% 0
Total
46,163,243 100.0% 550
Gallery: Picture, Sound, Video
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In the leadup to the June 2015 general election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The results tend to vary widely, as described in opinion polls in Turkey.

Election poll results

Graphical summary

Opinion polling for the 2015 general election

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. (Note that, pre 2015 results only indicate the last date of the survey's fieldwork, and not the whole interval.) If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. For the highest percentage figure in each polling survey, the background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

2015

  Light red denotes polls that were released after the polling ban came into effect, thereby violating Turkish electoral law.
Date Pollster Sample AKP CHP MHP HDP ANAPAR Others Lead
7 JunElection results
Domestic vote only 		– 40.7 25.1 16.5 13.0 0.1 4.6 15.6
2 JunGezici[1][2]4,860 38.5 28.5 16.5 12.5 – 3.0 10.0
30 May – 1 JunORC[3]3,850 46.0 25.3 15.5 9.0 – 4.2 20.7
30 – 31 MayKonda[4]3,543 41.0 27.8 14.8 12.6 – 3.8 13.2
28 May
A pre-election ban on opinion polling comes into effect, ten days before polling day[5]
27 MayANAR[6] – 40.5 26.0 17.0 11.0 – 5.5 14.5
27 MayAksoy[7] – 42.6 26.2 16.2 10.6 – 4.2 16.4
18 – 26 MayMAK[8] 2,155 43.6 24.9 16.4 9.9 – 5.2 18.7
25 MaySONAR[9] 3,000 41.0 26.0 18.1 10.4 – 4.5 15.0
23 – 24 MayGezici[10] 4,860 39.3 28.5 17.2 12.4 – 2.6 10.8
21 – 24 MayAndy-Ar[11] 4,166 41.9 25.8 16.0 10.7 – 5.6 16.1
18 – 24 MayKamuAR[12] 5,223 35.3 27.9 23.1 7.7 – 6.0 7.4
16 – 24 MayDenge[13] 11,859 44.6 25.5 16.1 10.5 – 3.3 19.1
17 – 23 MayPolitics[14] 4,200 45.2 26.3 15.4 9.6 – 3.5 18.9
11 – 22 MaySAMER[15] 4,150 43.3 27.1 15.3 11.3 – 3.0 16.2
15 – 21 MayVera[16] 1,509 43.5 27.1 16.0 9.6 – 3.9 16.4
21 MayKonda[17] – 40.5 28.7 14.4 11.5 – 4.9 11.8
15 – 20 MayAKAM[18] 2,164 38.9 28.1 17.6 11.8 – 3.6 10.8
8 – 11 MayMetroPoll[19] 2,976 42.8 27.0 17.1 9.2 – 3.9 15.8
9 – 10 MayGezici[20][21] 4,860 38.2 30.1 17.1 10.5 – 4.1 8.1
6 – 7 MayCHP[22] 1,618 39.3 28.1 17.8 10.3 – 4.6 11.2
4 – 7 MayORC[23] 2,450 47.5 23.9 15.0 8.1 – 5.5 23.6
3 – 7 MayDenge[24] 5,073 45.6 25.5 15.1 9.5 – 4.3 20.1
2 – 7 MayBenenson SG[25] – 39.0 31.6 14.7 10.5 – 4.2 7.4
30 Apr–7 MayKonsensus[26] 1,500 43.9 26.7 15.8 9.7 – 3.9 17.2
1 – 5 MayAKAM[27] 2,262 38.3 27.3 18.1 11.8 – 4.5 11.0
3 May
The Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) announces their manifesto
24 – 27 AprAKAM[28] 3,214 38.1 28.1 17.8 12.6 – 3.4 10.0
20 – 27 AprKamuAR[29] 4,382 36.2 26.7 22.4 6.7 – 8.0 9.5
20 – 26 AprGezici[30] 4,860 38.1 28.5 18.0 11.0 – 4.4 9.6
18 – 25 AprSONAR[31] 3,086 43.0 26.1 17.2 9.6 – 4.1 16.9
18 – 25 AprMAK[32][33] 5,400 45.15 24.79 15.25 9.15 – 5.66 20.36
21 Apr
The Peoples' Democratic Party (HDP) announces their manifesto
18 – 21 AprMetroPoll[34] 2,824 42.5 26.4 17.6 10.2 – 3.3 16.1
19 Apr
The Republican People's Party (CHP) announces their manifesto
11–17 AprAKAM[33] 5,160 40.7 25.5 18.0 11.4 – 4.4 15.2
15 Apr
The Justice and Development Party (AKP) announces their manifesto
9–13 AprORC[35] 4,200 48.3 23.7 14.4 8.9 – 4.7 24.6
9–12 AprGezici[36] – 39.2 28.1 16.9 11.3 – 4.6 11.1
12 AprMetroPoll[37] 2,500 41.7 27.7 17.4 10.4 – 2.8 14.0
4 AprAndy-Ar[38] – 43.7 23.5 17.6 10.4 – 4.8 20.2
4 AprGENAR[38] – 47.7 25.0 13.5 10.9 – 2.9 22.7
30 MarDenge[39] – 47.0 26.0 14.6 8.8 – 3.6 21.0
18–24 MarORC[40] 3,178 50.3 23.0 14.1 8.6 – 4.0 27.3
16 MarMAK[41] 5,000 47.7 25.3 14.2 9.2 – 3.7 22.4
12–21 MarKamuAR[42] 8,173 35.6 27.2 21.8 7.2 – 8.2 8.4
7–8 MarGezici[43] 4,860 39.3 29.6 17.7 11.4 – 2.0 9.7
4–7 MarSONAR[44] 3,000 40.0 27.1 18.0 10.1 – 4.8 12.9
4–7 MarORC[45] 3,160 50.0 23.2 13.5 8.4 – 4.9 26.8
27 FebGENAR[46][47] 5,202 47.7 25.1 13.4 8.9 – 4.9 22.6
15 Feb
The Workers' Party (İP) is succeeded by the Patriotic Party (VP)
14–15 FebGezici[48][49][50] 3,840 39.1 28.7 18.1 9.5 0.1 4.5 10.7
11–14 FebMetropoll[51] 2,694 43.1 27.0 16.4 9.8 – 3.7 16.1
10–14 FebORC[52][53] 4,650 49.8 23.0 13.9 8.9 – 4.4 26.8
3–8 FebAndy-AR[54] 2,263 45.2 25.6 16.5 9.2 – 3.5 19.6
3–8 FebMAK[55] 5,454 47.6 24.8 14.3 8.0 – 5.3 22.8
JanKONDA[56][57] ? 45.4 23.3 15.1 10.6 – 5.6 22.1
26 Jan
MPs Ercan Cengiz and Birgül Ayman Güler both resign from the CHP, with Cengiz joining the Centre Party
19–23 JanPollmark[58] 5,000 49.4 23.5 15.0 8.0 – 4.1 25.9
17–20 JanMetropoll[59][60] 2,759 44.9 26.9 14.6 9.3 – 4.3 18.0
15–19 JanORC[61][62] 1,720 48.6 23.3 13.5 8.2 – 6.4 25.3
17–18 JanGezici[63] 3,600 39.8 29.6 17.3 7.3 0.4 5.6 10.2
12 Jan SONAR[64] 3,000 38.1 27.8 17.6 8.2 3.9 4.4 10.3
5–10 Jan MAK[65][66][67] 5,400 48.4 25.4 14.0 6.8 – 5.2 23.0
1–10 Jan TÜSİAR[68] 4,153 51.4 22.6 14.2 8.0 – 3.8 28.8
Date Pollster Sample Lead
AKP CHP MHP HDP ANAPAR Others

2014

Date Pollster Sample AKP CHP MHP HDP ANAPAR Others Lead
DecKONDA[56] ? 47.5 25.0 14.9 8.0 – 4.6 22.5
24–31 Dec ANAR[69] 5,190 47.0 25.0 14.0 7.8 – 6.2 22.0
15–20 Dec ORC[70] 3,860 49.4 23.0 13.1 7.9 – 6.6 26.4
4–14 Dec KHU[71][note 1] 1,000 47.1 26.2 16.0 10.2 – 0.6 20.9
14 Dec KamuAR[72][73] 4,177 38.5 27.1 21.6 6.7 – 6.1 12.1
4–8 Dec GENAR[74] 5,115 48.2 25.0 14.1 9.0 – 3.7 23.2
1–5 Dec MAK[75][76] 10,800 50.0 25.1 15.0 4.5 – 5.4 24.9
1 Dec 2014 ORC[76][77] 3,100 48.5 23.1 13.7 8.0 – 6.7 25.4
28 Nov 2014 SONAR[78] 3,025 37.17 27.01 17.13 6.69 8.04 3.96 10.16
14 Nov 2014
Ankara MP Emine Ülker Tarhan resigns from the CHP and establishes the Anatolia Party (ANAPAR)
3 Nov 2014 MAK[79] 10,800 51.1 25.6 14.1 5.3 3.9 25.5
25 Oct 2014Gezici[80] 5,292 43.3 28.7 18.5 – – 14.6
25 Oct 2014 ORC[81] 11,353 47.3 24.6 13.5 8.3 6.3 23.7
24 Oct 2014 Optimar[82] 5,200 50.6 24.7 14.5 6.8 3.4 25.9
23 Oct 2014 Gezici[83] 3,292 41.4 27.4 19.7 8.1 3.4 14.0
22 Oct 2014 MetroPoll[84] 2,752 47.5 26.7 15.7 8.3 1.8 20.8
20 Oct 2014 Andy-Ar[85] 2,037 46.4 24.8 14.3 8.8 5.7 21.6
14 Oct 2014 Pollmark[86] 5,071 50.4 24.4 13.1 8.0 4.1 26.0
23 Sep 2014 Optimar[82] 5,200 50.6 24.7 14.5 6.8 3.4 25.9
20 Sep 2014
Ankara MP Emrehan Halıcı resigns from the CHP and establishes the Electronic Democracy Party (eP)
15 Sep 2014 ANAR[87] 5,200 51.7 24.7 12.1 8.3 3.2 27.0
10 Sep 2014 ORC[88] 2,312 47.4 24.3 15.0 9.5 3.8 23.1
28 Aug 2014
Ahmet Davutoğlu is elected AKP leader and becomes the 26th Prime Minister of Turkey
19 Aug 2014 Andy-Ar[89] 1,897 45.6 24.3 16.8 9.0 4.3 21.3
14 Aug 2014 MetroPoll[90] – 44.1 26.0 16.0 – – 18.1
13 Aug 2014 ORC[91] 2,750 47.1 25.0 14.2 10.2 3.5 22.1
10 Aug 2014
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is elected President with 51.79% of the vote
22 Jul 2014 TÜSİAR[92] 4,123 50.1 27.3 14.2 6.1 2.3 22.8
17 Jul 2014 Andy-AR[93] 3,216 48.8 25.2 15.2 6.5 4.3 23.6
28 Apr 2014 MAK[94] 10,440 50.1 23.0 14.0 6.5 6.5 27.1
30 May 2014 Gezici[95] 3,292 44.5 27.5 18.6 8.1 1.3 17.0
6 May 2014 ORC[96] 5,100 49.1 24.8 16.3 6.8 3.0 24.3
30 Mar 2014 2014 local elections – 42.9 26.3 17.8 6.3 6.7 16.6
18 Mar 2014 SONAR[97][98] 15,948 39.0 30.0 – – – 9.0
17 Mar 2014 AK Party[99] – 29.7 33.3 21.3 7.6 8.1 3.6
28 Feb 2014 Gezici[100] 5,292 39.7 31.4 18.2 7.1 3.6 8.3
Date Pollster Sample Lead
AKP CHP MHP HDP ANAPAR Others

2013

Date Pollster Sample AKP CHP MHP HDP ANAPAR Others Lead
17 Dec 2013
A ₺100bn government corruption scandal occurs and Fethullah Gülen withdraws support from the AKP
22 Sep 2013 Gezici[101] 5,292 42.5 27.3 18.1 9.5 2.6 15.2
1 Sep 2013 ORC[102][103] 3,100 49.2 26.5 14.9 6.4 3.0 22.7
24 Jun 2013 Konsensus[104] 1,500 47.1 30.9 14.6 4.6 2.8 16.2
30 May 2013
13 Apr 2013 Gezici[105] 2,646 44.1 27.5 17.2 9.2 2.0 16.6
6 Apr 2013 GENAR[106] 3,000 50.2 25.2 13.7 6.4 4.5 25.0
1 Jan 2013 O&A[107] 2,614 44.6 30.2 15.8 5.3 4.1 14.4
Date Pollster Sample Lead
AKP CHP MHP HDP ANAPAR Others

2012

Date Pollster Sample AKP CHP MHP HDP ANAPAR Others Lead
30 Dec 2012 ORC[108] – 48.2 27.4 14.1 5.5 4.8 20.8
12 Dec 2012 Konsensus[109] 1,501 50.7 27.7 12.8 6.4 2.4 23.0
24 Nov 2012 Gezici[110][111] 8,460 45.9 26.1 17.1 7.9 3.0 19.8
15 Nov 2012 SONAR[112] 2,220 47.3 25.2 15.2 7.1 5.2 22.1
12 Oct 2012 GENAR[113] – 51.2 26.5 12.4 7.3 2.6 24.7
6 Sep 2012 Gezici[114][115] 6,460 46.3 26.4 17.7 – – 25.6
27 Aug 2012 Andy-Ar[116][117] 3,251 49.7 20.7 17.1 8.5 3.9 29.0
11 Jul 2012 SDE[118] 2,155 49.0 25.9 14.1 6.3 4.7 23.1
30 May 2012 ORC[119] 5,000 51.7 24.7 12.4 7.0 4.2 27.0
31 Apr 2012 ORC[120] 5,670 54.7 19.3 15.8 6.5 3.7 35.4
13 Apr 2012 GENAR[121] 2,220 51.3 25.7 13.2 5.1 4.7 25.6
30 Mar 2012 ORC[122] 5,000 55.2 19.0 14.4 6.1 5.3 36.2
3 Mar 2012 Konsensus[123] 1,505 51.7 27.7 13.3 5.6 1.7 24.0
Date Pollster Sample Lead
AKP CHP MHP HDP ANAPAR Others

2011

Date Pollster Sample AKP CHP MHP HDP ANAPAR Others Lead
19 Dec 2011 SONAR[124][125] 3,000 54.8 19.5 16.1 6.2 3.3 35.3
18 Dec 2011 Konsensus[126] 1,500 50.2 27.1 12.0 5.8 4.9 23.1
12 Jun 2011 2011 election – 49.83 25.98 13.01 5.67[127] 11.18 23.85
Date Pollster Sample Lead
AKP CHP MHP HDP ANAPAR Others

Parliamentary seat predictions

Date Pollster Sample AKP CHP MHP HDP Majority Notes
7 June Election results –
258 / 550
132 / 550
80 / 550
80 / 550
 Hung
? Metropoll[128] –
260 / 550
142 / 550
81 / 550
67 / 550
 Hung Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
2 – 3 June A&G Research[129] 2,976
265 / 550
138 / 550
78 / 550
69 / 550
 Hung Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
2 June Gezici[1] 4,860
242 / 550
151 / 550
85 / 550
72 / 550
 Hung Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
2 June SONAR[130] –
257 / 550
134 / 550
100 / 550
59 / 550
 Hung Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
30 – 31 May KONDA[4] 3,543
261 / 550
144 / 550
73 / 550
72 / 550
 Hung Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
27 May ANAR[6] –
263 / 550
136 / 550
89 / 550
62 / 550
 Hung Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
25 May SONAR[9] 3,000
257 / 550
134 / 550
100 / 550
59 / 550
 Hung Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
23 – 24 May Gezici[10] 4,860
257 / 550
134 / 550
86 / 550
70 / 550
 Hung Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
21 – 24 May Andy-Ar[11] 4,166
271 / 550
136 / 550
83 / 550
60 / 550
 Hung Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
21 May Konda[131] –
260 / 550
149 / 550
71 / 550
70 / 550
 Hung Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
9 – 10 May Gezici[132] 1,500
236 / 550
163 / 550
92 / 550
59 / 550
 Hung Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
6 – 7 May CHP[22] 1,618
232 / 550
151 / 550
104 / 550
63 / 550
Hung
30 Apr–7 May Konsensus[133] 1,500
277 / 550
138 / 550
75 / 550
60 / 550
 4 If the HDP surpasses the 10% threshold
331 / 550
142 / 550
77 / 550
0 / 550
 112 If the HDP falls below the 10% threshold
24–27 Apr 2015 AKAM[134] 3,124
238 / 550
142 / 550
100 / 550
68 / 550
 Hung
11–17 Apr 2015 AKAM[33][135] 5,160
262 / 550
133 / 550
88 / 550
67 / 550
 Hung Predicts 2 independent MPs (Hakan Şükür and Cemal Kaya)
12 Apr 2015 MetroPoll[136] 2,500
261 / 550
141 / 550
90 / 550
58 / 550
 Hung
24 Mar 2015 ORC[137] 3,176
375 / 550
125 / 550
50 / 550
0 / 550
 200 Two-thirds majority
11 Mar 2015 SONAR[138][139] 3,000
243 / 550
133 / 550
116 / 550
58 / 550
 Hung If the HDP surpasses the 10% threshold
274 / 550
148 / 550
128 / 550
0 / 550
 Hung If the HDP falls below the 10% threshold
8 Mar 2015 Gezici[140] 4,860
229 / 550
146 / 550
118 / 550
57 / 550
 Hung
12 Jun 2011 2011 election –
327 / 550
135 / 550
53 / 550
35 / 550
 104
Date Pollster Sample Majority Notes
AKP CHP MHP BDP

Diaspora

Turkish expats living abroad will have the ability to vote for the first time in a Turkish general election. The following table shows the results of polls conducted in different countries amongst Turkish expat voters.

Date Country Pollster Sample AKP CHP MHP HDP ANAPAR Others Lead
8–31 May 2015Overseas results[141] – 50.4 15.9 9.1 21.4 0.1 3.1 29.0
18–26 May 2015  Germany
 France
 Netherlands
 Belgium
 Austria		 MAK[8] 1,381
294
240
130
110 		58.5 14.0 8.5 12.0 – 7.0 44.5
4–12 April 2015  Germany Ethno-Forschung[142] 3,000 60.8 10.1 11.9 17.2 – 0.0 43.6
Date Country Pollster Sample Lead
AKP CHP MHP HDP ANAPAR Others

Polling on other issues

A range of opinion polling regarding several contemporary issues which may affect voter choice has also been conducted by several organisations. The results of these are listed below. Please note that some opinion polls may offer different means of wording questions, or may offer different options.

Government corruption scandal

The following table shows opinion polling for whether the 17–25 December 2014 corruption scandal is seen to be a genuine corruption probe, or a plot against the government.

Date Pollster Sample Corruption investigation Coup plot Both Don't know
14 Dec 2014 KHU[71] 1,000 45.4 60.3 – 1.3
21 Jan 2014 MetroPoll[73][143] 1,545 42.2 24.0 24.9 8.9

New presidential palace

The following table lists opinions on the construction of a new presidential palace, which has raised controversy due to its size, cost, location and legality.

Date Pollster Sample Approve Disapprove Don't know
14 Dec 2014 KHU[71] 1,000 37.5 48.0 14.5
14 Dec 2014 KamuAR[72][73] 4,177 23.8 71.7 4.5
30 Nov 2014 MetroPoll[144] 2,780 35.2 57.1 7.7

System of government

The AKP government support a presidential system of government as opposed to the current parliamentary system. Should they win above 330 seats in the next parliament, they have voiced intentions to place several proposed constitutional changes to a referendum, which may include the issue of which government system is used in Turkey. The following polls show the support for parliamentary, presidential and semi-presidential systems.

Date Pollster Sample Parliamentary Presidential Semi-presidential Other/Don't know
23 February 2015 Gezici[145] 3,480 76.8 23.2 – –
3 February 2015 A&G[146][147] – 70.0 30.0 – –
14 Dec 2014 KHU[71] 1,000 79.3 12.6 4.7 3.1
August 2014 MetroPOLL[148] – 42.2 34.3 – 23.5
May 2014 MetroPOLL[148] – 45.8 33.6 – 20.5
May 2014 MetroPOLL[148] – 45.8 33.6 – 20.5
August 2013 MetroPOLL[148] – 43.8 40.1 – 21.1
20 Jul 2013 Bilgesam[149] 2,570 67.9 32.1 – –
June 2013 MetroPOLL[148] – 42.9 30.9 – 26.2
April 2013 MetroPOLL[148] – 39.8 35.2 – 25.0
11 Mar 2013 Varyans[150] 5,068 56.5 27.6 11.4 4.5
December 2012 MetroPOLL[148] – 44.2 36.9 – 18.9
24 Nov 2012 Gezici[110][111] 8,460 57.4 42.6 – –
15 Nov 2012 SONAR[112] 2,220 52.5 26.8 – 20.7
June 2012 MetroPOLL[148] – 37.7 43.2 – 19.1
February 2011 A&G[151] 2,516 56.3 16.0 0.8 26.9

Economy

The following table lists opinions on how well the government have managed the Turkish economy.

Date Pollster Sample Approve Disapprove Don't know
14 Dec 2014 KHU[71] 1,000 30.0 44.4 25.6
30 Nov 2014 MetroPoll[144] 2,780 40.2 54.4 5.5
31 Jul 2014 Pew[152] 1,001 50.0 46.0 4.0
30 Mar 2012 ORC[122] 5,000 71.6 28.4 –

Syrian Civil War

Being one of the hardest hit countries in terms of refugees due to the Syrian Civil War, the Turkish government's policy on Syrian refugees has created controversy, especially in the Hatay Province on the Turkish-Syrian border. The following table shows opinion polling on the support of the government in terms of their policy on Syria.

Date Pollster Sample Approve Disapprove Don't know
14 Dec 2014 KHU[71] 1,000 21.6 53.7 24.7
30 Nov 2014 MetroPoll[144] 2,780 28.2 66.8 4.9
24 Nov 2012 Gezici[110][111] 8,460 30.9 69.1 –
6 Sep 2012 Gezici[114][115] 6,460 36.0 64.0 –
27 Aug 2012 Andy-Ar[153] 3,251 18.3 67.1 14.6

Foreign policy

The following table shows opinion polling for the approval of the government's foreign policy.

Date Pollster Sample Approve Disapprove Don't know
14 Dec 2014 KHU[71] 1,000 32.6 41.4 26.0
14 Jul 2014 MetroPoll[154] 2,268 28.0 57.7 7.4
1 Sep 2013 ORC[102][155] 3,100 59.2 30.2 10.4
30 Mar 2012 ORC[122] 5,000 61.2 38.8 –

PKK peace process

The government began a peace process with Kurdish separatist militants in 2013, with the PKK militant organisation beginning a withdrawal of insurgents as a result. However, numerous casualties despite the ceasefire as well as the unclear terms of the ceasefire have generated controversy. The following table shows opinion polling on the approval of the government's solution process.

Date Pollster Sample Approve Disapprove Partially Don't know
25 Dec 2014 ORC[156] 3,860 59.5 40.5 – –
14 Dec 2014 KHU[71] 1,000 25.0 47.7 27.3 –
14 Dec 2014 KamuAR[72][73] 4,177 29.6 51.7 13.9 4.8
30 Nov 2014 MetroPoll[144] 2,780 29.1 61.4 – 9.6
6 Sep 2012 Gezici[114][115] 6,460 40.7 59.3 – –

Judicial independence

Following the 2013 government corruption scandal and the subsequent crackdown by the government on the judiciary, the independence of the judiciary has been a key issue of concern for the political opposition and the European Union. The following table shows opinion polling on whether or not the judiciary is independent.

Date Pollster Sample Independent Not independent Don't know
14 Dec 2014 KHU[71] 1,000 24.2 58.7 17.1
14 Dec 2014 KamuAR[72][73] 4,177 27.5 47.2 25.3
28 Feb 2014 Gezici[100] 5,292 27.2 72.8 –

Alevi rights

See also: Alevism

Alevi Muslims are the main religious minority in Turkey. The table below shows opinion polling on whether Alevi citizens should have greater rights, such as granting official status to their place of worship, the Cemevi.

Date Pollster Sample Approve Disapprove Don't know
14 Dec 2014 KamuAR[72][73] 4,177 58.3 15.4 26.3

Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant and Kobanî

The following table shows the approval for the government's policy on tackling the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant in Iraq and Syria. This particularly centres around the situation in the border town of Kobanî, where Turkish inaction caused deadly protests, as well as the government's permission for Kurdish Peshmerga forces to cross Turkish territory to fight in Kobanî.

Date Pollster Sample Approve Disapprove Don't know
14 Dec 2014 KHU[71] 1,000 19.1 51.6 29.3
14 Dec 2014 KamuAR[72][73] 4,177 24.0 52.9 23.1

Workers' rights

The following table shows opinion polling for whether workers' rights are sufficient. This issue rose to prominence after 301 miners were killed in Soma, Manisa after a mine collapsed. Subsequent deaths in the construction and mining sector have also caused debate on workers' rights in Turkey, which are rated amongst the worst in the world.

Date Pollster Sample Sufficient Insufficient Don't know
14 Dec 2014 KHU[71] 1,000 24.0 52.9 23.1
14 Dec 2014 KamuAR[72][73] 4,177 7.2 89.0 3.8

Gezi protests

The following table shows opinion polling for the protests that took place in the summer of 2013 against the construction plan of a shopping mall in Taksim Gezi Park.

Date Pollster Sample Approve Disapprove Don't know
31 Jul 2014 Pew[152] 1,001 49,0 40,0 11,0

Leadership approval ratings

The following tables show the approval ratings for key politicians in Turkey, most of whom will be seeking re-election in the 2015 general election. The tick icon indicates approval, the X icon indicates disapproval, while N/O indicates no opinion.

Date Pollster Sample size
Apr 2015 BSG[157] –
25 Dec 2014 ORC[156] 3,860
14 Dec 2014 KHU[71] 1,000
5 Dec 2014 MAK[158] 10,800
30 Nov 2014 MetroPoll[144] 2,780
25 Jun 2014 Konsensus[159] 1,500
23 Feb 2014 Konsensus[160] 1,504
12 Dec 2012 Konsensus[109] 1,501
11 Jul 2012 SDE[118] 2,155
  
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
N/O
42 56 2
57.4 37.0 5.6
43.5 35.9 20.6
70.5 19.5 10.0
45.6 50.2 4.2
52 42 7
44.2 47.5 8.3
46.9 43.9 9.2
52.5 41.3 6.2
  
Ahmet Davutoğlu
N/O
40 58 2
50.5 44.2 5.3
33.8 42.2 24.0
48.5 21.5 30.0
43.3 49.6 7.1
– – –
– – –
– – –
– – –
  
Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu
N/O
– – –
– – –
13.0 70.2 16.8
21.1 – –
18.9 76.8 4.2
23 70 8
32.4 56.1 11.5
27.5 – –
29.5 63.0 7.5
  
Devlet Bahçeli
N/O
– – –
– – –
9.8 70.4 19.8
9.0 – –
15.8 79.5 4.6
23 66 11
19.3 67.9 12.8
– – –
– – –
  
Selahattin Demirtaş
N/O
– – –
– – –
17.2 73.0 9.8
5.0 – –
11.8 82.1 6.0
13 83 4
15.0 77.2 7.8
– – –
– 79.7 –

See also

References

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  156. 1 2 "ORC Aralık 2014 lider anketi" (in Turkish). Secim Anketleri. Retrieved 4 January 2015.
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  158. ↑ "MAK Danışmanlık'ın son siyasi ölçüm anket" (in Turkish). Beyaz Gazete. Retrieved 27 December 2014.
  159. ↑ "En çok sevilen lider hangisi anket sonuçları" (in Turkish). Internet Haber. Retrieved 27 December 2014.
  160. ↑ "En beğenilen lider Erdoğan, peki ikinci kim?" (in Turkish). Internet Haber. Retrieved 27 December 2014.
  1. ↑ Poll identifies 10.6% of respondents as non-voters.
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