Swedish general election, 2014

Swedish general election, 2014
Sweden
14 September 2014
All 349 seats to the Riksdag
175 seats are needed for a majority
Turnout 6,290,016 (85.8%)
Increase1.2 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Stefan Löfven Fredrik Reinfeldt Jimmie Åkesson
Party Social Democratic Moderate Sweden Democrats
Alliance Centre-left The Alliance none
Leader since 2012 2003 2005
Last election 112 seats, 30.7% 107 seats, 30.1% 20 seats, 5.7%
Seats won 113 84 49
Seat change Increase1 Decrease23 Increase29
Popular vote 1,932,711 1,453,517 801,178
Percentage 31.0% 23.3% 12.9%
Swing Increase0.3 pp Decrease6.8 pp Increase7.2 pp
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Gustav Fridolin
Åsa Romson		 Annie Lööf Jonas Sjöstedt
Party Green Centre Left
Alliance Centre-left The Alliance none
Leader since 2011 2011 2012
Last election 25 seats, 7.3% 23 seats, 6.6% 19 seats, 5.6%
Seats won 25 22 21
Seat change Steady0 Decrease1 Increase2
Popular vote 429,275 380,937 356,331
Percentage 6.9% 6.1% 5.7%
Swing Decrease0.4 pp Decrease0.5 pp Increase0.1 pp
  Seventh party Eighth party
 
Leader Jan Björklund Göran Hägglund
Party Liberal People's Christian Democrats
Alliance The Alliance The Alliance
Leader since 2007 2004
Last election 24 seats, 7.1% 19 seats, 5.6%
Seats won 19 16
Seat change Decrease5 Decrease3
Popular vote 337,773 284,806
Percentage 5.4% 4.6%
Swing Decrease1.7 pp Decrease1.0 pp

Largest party by district (left) and municipality (right)

Red-Social Democratic, Blue-Moderate, Yellow-Sweden Democrats

Prime Minister before election

Fredrik Reinfeldt
Moderate

 Prime Minister after election

Stefan Löfven
Social Democratic

General elections were held in Sweden on 14 September 2014 to elect the Riksdag, all 21 county councils and 290 municipal assemblies.

The centre-right Alliance for Sweden coalition (comprising the Moderate Party, Liberal People's Party, Centre Party and Christian Democrats) sought a third term in government. In contrast to the previous election, the three largest left-wing parties (the Social Democrats, Green Party and Left Party) ran independent campaigns, as did the comparatively right-wing Sweden Democrats. A fourth left-wing party, Feminist Initiative, did not secure the 4% threshold.

The election result saw the three left-wing parties outpoll the Alliance for Sweden, with the two blocs respectively winning 159 and 141 seats. The Sweden Democrats doubled their support and won the remaining 49 seats. Fredrik Reinfeldt, the incumbent prime minister, lost his bid for a third term. On 3 October he was replaced by Stefan Löfven, who formed a minority government consisting of the Social Democrats and Greens.

Background

The 2010 general election saw the incumbent Alliance for Sweden coalition returned to power, though they lost their majority in the Riksdag and had to continue as a minority government. The coalition relied on ad hoc support from the opposition to pass legislation, particularly the Green Party. Immigration critics Sweden Democrats entered the Riksdag for the first time in 2010 and was an isolated part of the opposition, in many cases voting with the government when the two blocs were divided. The Alliance got its budget passed on all occasions, but suffered a key loss when the opposition 'took out' a passage regarding the increased cutoff for when state income tax should be paid in late 2013.[1]

The previous parliament had also passed some amendments to the Constitution of Sweden. Election days were moved from the third Sunday of September to the second Sunday of the same month. Another change was that the incumbent Prime Minister of Sweden, should he not resign immediately after the election, must be approved by the new Riksdag.[2]

Incumbent parties

The Social Democratic Party (S; Socialdemokraterna) was the largest political party in the Swedish Riksdag with 112 of the 349 seats. The Social Democratic Party had led a single-party government from 1994 to 2006, and had been the major political power of Sweden for much of the 20th century. For the 2010 general election the Social Democratic Party collaborated with the Green Party and the Left Party and sought to form a Red-Green coalition government. Similar cooperation did not take place prior to the 2014 election. Their current party leader Stefan Löfven has said they could potentially collaborate with the Centre Party and the Liberal People's Party in a future government. By the 2014 general election the Social Democratic Party had been in opposition for eight years, the longest such period in over 100 years.

The Moderate Party (M; Moderaterna) was the second-largest party in the Riksdag with 107 seats. It was the largest governing party under Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt, who was also its leader. Prior to the 2006 general election the Moderate Party had formed the Alliance for Sweden coalition, together with the Centre Party, the Liberal People's Party and the Christian Democrats. After the 2006 election they were able to form a majority coalition government. The Alliance successfully sought re-election in the 2010 general election, but were reduced to a minority coalition government.

The Green Party (MP; Miljöpartiet) was the third-largest party in the Riksdag with 25 seats. They are the only Swedish party to have two spokespersons, currently Gustav Fridolin and Isabella Lövin. The Green Party had participated in the Red-Green coalition prior to the 2010 general election. The coalition however lost that election, although the Green Party itself gained seats. The party has shown interest in participating in a future government, but has not made clear with whom.

The Liberal People's Party (FP; Folkpartiet Liberalerna) was the fourth-largest party in the Riksdag with 24 seats. The party had since 2010 been the second-largest governing party under Prime Minister Reinfeldt. Current party leader Jan Björklund was Deputy Prime Minister of Sweden and Sweden's Minister for Education. Prior to the 2006 general election the Liberal People's Party had formed the Alliance for Sweden coalition together with the Moderate Party, the Centre Party and the Christian Democrats. They formed a majority coalition government in 2006 and a minority coalition government in 2010.

The Centre Party (C; Centerpartiet) was the fifth-largest party in the Riksdag with 23 seats. The party had since 2010 been the third-largest governing party under Prime Minister Reinfeldt, having been the second-largest from 2006 to 2010. Current party leader Annie Lööf was Sweden's Minister for Enterprise. Prior to the 2006 general election the Centre Party had formed the Alliance for Sweden coalition together with the Moderate Party, the Liberal People's Party and the Christian Democrats. They formed a majority coalition government in 2006 and a minority coalition government in 2010.

The Sweden Democrats (SD; Sverigedemokraterna) was the sixth-largest party in the Riksdag with 20 seats. In the 2010 general election the party had for the first time ever passed the 4% election threshold and entered the Riksdag. The party leader was Jimmie Åkesson. The other Riksdag parties have repeatedly stated that they will not cooperate with the Sweden Democrats in a future government.

The Left Party (V; Vänsterpartiet) was the seventh-largest party in the Riksdag with 19 seats. The current party leader was Jonas Sjöstedt. The Left Party had participated in the Red-Green coalition prior to the 2010 general election which sought confidence to govern Sweden; however this coalition lost the election. The party has shown interest in participating in a future government consisting of the Red-Green parties. The party has said that it will not support a future government of which it is not a part.

The Christian Democrats (KD; Kristdemokraterna) was the eighth-largest party in the Riksdag with 19 seats. It was the fourth-largest governing party under Prime Minister Reinfeldt. The current party leader Göran Hägglund was Sweden's Minister for Health and Social Affairs. Prior to the 2006 general election the Christian Democrats had formed the Alliance for Sweden coalition, together with the Moderate Party, the Liberal People's Party and the Centre Party. They formed a majority coalition government in 2006 and a minority coalition government in 2010.

Leadership changes

The election took place with several changes in party leadership from the 2010 election.

Social Democratic Party

Social Democratic party leader Mona Sahlin stepped down after her party's poor election results in 2010.[3] She was replaced by Håkan Juholt at the party congress on 25 March 2011. Juholt was previously the chairman for the parliamentary committee on defence issues (försvarsutskottet), and a 16-year MP representing Kalmar.[4] At the time of his appointment Juholt was considered by political commentators to represent the more traditional left wing of the Social Democratic Party.[5][6][7]

However, Juholt's time as party chairman only lasted ten months before he resigned on 21 January 2012 amid controversy surrounding a political affair.[8] The party executive board announced their endorsement of Stefan Löfven as the new party chairman on 26 January 2012; he was elected chairman of the party by members the following day.[8] Löfven was the chairman of IF Metall until his appointment and has had a long career as a trade union leader. As Löfven was not an elected MP he remained unable to participate in the day-to-day activities and debates in the Riksdag. [9]

Green Party

The Green Party's co-spokespeople both stepped down, having both served the maximum nine years allowed by the party's constitution, and were officially replaced by a party congress in May 2011.[10] A nominating committee nominated Gustav Fridolin (MP for northern and eastern Scania) and Åsa Romson (party spokesperson for environmental and climate policy, and MP for Stockholm Municipality). However, economic policy spokesperson Mikaela Valtersson also expressed her intention to challenge Romson for the nomination.[11] Other candidates identified by the press included Yvonne Ruwaida and Carl Schlyter.[12] On 21 May 2011 the party congress elected Fridolin and Romson as the party's new co-spokespersons.[13]

Centre Party

In June 2011 Maud Olofsson announced that she would not stand for re-election as leader of the Centre Party.[14] On 23 September 2011 Annie Lööf was elected as the party's new leader.[15]

Left Party

In August 2011 Lars Ohly, the leader of the Left Party, made public that he would step down after the party's poor showing in the election. Ohly stated he would remain an MP.[16] Jonas Sjöstedt was elected new party leader at the party congress on 6 January 2012.[17]

Christian Democrats

At the national party conference in January 2012, the Christian Democrats leader Göran Hägglund was challenged for the leadership by MP and former cabinet minister Mats Odell.[18] The leadership battle ended in a vote at the conference, where Hägglund prevailed.[19] Afterwards, Odell announced that he would resign as leader of the party's parliamentary group, and not seek reelection in 2014. [20]

Opinion polls

15-day average trend line of poll results from September 2010 to September 2014, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Results

Summary of the 14 September 2014 Swedish Riksdag election results
Party Vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Won +/−
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1,932,711 31.01 +0.35 113 +1
Moderate Party (M) 1,453,517 23.33 −6.74 84 −23
Sweden Democrats (SD) 801,178 12.86 +7.16 49 +29
Green Party (MP) 429,275 6.89 −0.45 25 ±0
Centre Party (C) 380,937 6.11 −0.44 22 −1
Left Party (V) 356,331 5.72 +0.11 21 +2
Liberal People's Party (FP) 337,773 5.42 −1.63 19 −5
Christian Democrats (KD) 284,806 4.57 −1.03 16 −3
Feminist Initiative (FI) 194,719 3.12 +2.72 0 ±0
Pirate Party (PP) 26,515 0.43 −0.22 0 ±0
Enhet ("Unity", ENH) 6,277 0.10 +0.09 0 ±0
Party of the Swedes (SVP) 4,189 0.07 +0.06 0 ±0
Animal Party (DjuP) 4,093 0.07 New 0 ±0
Christian Values Party (KrVP) 3,553 0.06 New 0 ±0
Independent Rural Party (LBPO) 3,450 0.06 +0.03 0 ±0
Swedish Senior Citizen Interest Party (SPI) 3,369 0.05 −0.13 0 ±0
Direktdemokraterna ("Direct Democrats", DD) 1,417 0.02 +0.02 0 ±0
Classical Liberal Party (KLP) 1,210 0.01 +0.01 0 ±0
Vägval ("Crossroads; Path choice", VägV) 1,037 0.02 New 0 ±0
Socialist Justice Party (RS) 791 0.01 −0.01 0 ±0
Communist Party of Sweden (SKP) 558 0.01 ±0.00 0 ±0
Write-in votes 3,174 0.05 −0.05
Total 6,231,573 100.00 349 ±0
Valid votes 6,231,573 99.08 +0.21
Invalid/blank votes 58,443 0.92 −0.21
Votes cast / turnout 6,290,016 85.81 +1.24
Abstentions 1,040,416 14.19 −1.24
Registered voters 7,330,432
Source: Election Authority

Results by municipality

Results breakdown

The election was apart from the sharp decline of the Moderates and the sharp rise of the Sweden Democrats very similar to 2010. The Feminist Initiative numbers in addition to the other three left of centre-parties indicated a further difference not shown in the division of the mandates, due to FI missing the cutoff point. Still, the Sweden Democrats formally held the balance of power, but neither bloc was willing to go to government with their active support. The Social Democrats got the first go at forming a government after eight years in opposition as Moderate prime minister Fredrik Reinfeldt resigned on election night.

Government formation

The Social Democrats declared that they would seek to form a government, but would not work with the Sweden Democrats. Fredrik Reinfeldt announced he was stepping down as leader of the Moderate Party.[21] The Centre Party and Liberal People's Party rejected the Social Democrats' overtures for a coalition, and the day after the election Stefan Löfven ruled out the possibility of forming a government with the Left Party.[22] This raised the possibility of a minority coalition of the Social Democrats and Greens alone.[23]

On 2 October 2014 the Riksdag elected Löfven as Prime Minister, heading the Löfven Cabinet consisting of the Social Democrats and the Greens.

On 3 December 2014 the government failed to push through its budget after the Sweden Democrats voted with the center-right opposition. Löfven told in a press conference, that new elections were to be expected and to be held on March 22. According to the Swedish constitution this election could not be called until December 29.[24] On the 27th of December, this new election was cancelled as the Social Democrats and the Greens made an agreement with the Alliance parties which will allow the government's subsequent budgets to pass the Riksdag in return for concessions regarding immigration policy, defence and pensions.

References

  1. ↑ "Nej till höjd brytpunkt" (in Swedish). SVT Nyheter. 11 December 2013. Retrieved 14 September 2015.
  2. ↑ "Regeringens proposition : 2009/10:80 : En reformerad grundlag" (PDF). Data.riksdagen.se. Retrieved 2015-05-14.
  3. ↑ Munck, Anders; Stenquist, Victor (14 November 2010). "Här avgår Sahlin". Aftonbladet (in Swedish). Retrieved 22 April 2011.
  4. ↑ "Håkan Juholt (S)" (in Swedish). Sveriges Riksdag. 14 April 2011. Retrieved 28 April 2011.
  5. ↑ "Allt utom en stockholmare". Dagens Nyheter (in Swedish). 10 March 2011. Retrieved 28 April 2011.
  6. ↑ "Jag har svårt att svårt att tro att han har alla partidistrikt bakom sig". Expressen TV (in Swedish). Retrieved 28 April 2011.
  7. ↑ Widerberg, Göran (10 March 2011). "Han är ingen högerkandidat". Dagens Arbete (in Swedish). Retrieved 28 April 2011.
  8. 1 2 "Håkan Juholt avgår". Sydsvenskan (in Swedish). 21 January 2012. Retrieved 27 January 2012.
  9. ↑ "Avslutade debatten – med att hylla varandra - Valåret 2014 - Nyheter - Aftonbladet". Aftonbladet. Retrieved 13 September 2014.
  10. ↑ "Miljöpartiet de gröna – Kongress" (in Swedish). Green Party. Retrieved 28 April 2011.
  11. ↑ Larsson, Mats J; Olsson, Hans (30 March 2011). "Fortsatt strid i MP om nytt språkrör". Dagens Nyheter (in Swedish). Retrieved 22 April 2011.
  12. ↑ Larsson, Jeanette; Eriksson, Hedvig (4 December 2009). "De kan bli Miljöpartiets nya språkrör" (in Swedish). Sveriges Television. Retrieved 22 April 2011.
  13. ↑ "Åsa Romson nytt språkrör". Sydsvenskan (in Swedish). 21 May 2011. Retrieved 21 May 2011.
  14. ↑ "Centerpartiets valberedning inleder öppen process" (Press release) (in Swedish). Centre Party. 22 June 2011. Retrieved 28 August 2011.
  15. ↑ "Enig centerrörelse valde Annie Lööf till ny partiordförande" (Press release) (in Swedish). Centre Party. 23 September 2011. Retrieved 23 September 2011.
  16. ↑ "Lars Ohly avgår som partiledare". Dagens Nyheter (in Swedish). 9 August 2011. Retrieved 23 August 2011.
  17. ↑ "De ska leda Vänsterpartiet" (Press release) (in Swedish). Left Party. 6 January 2012. Retrieved 6 January 2012.
  18. ↑ Jon Wahlquist. "Kristdemokraternas ledarstrid ska avgöras - Nyheter (Ekot) | Sveriges Radio". Sverigesradio.se. Retrieved 2015-05-14.
  19. ↑ Nyheter  4.22 (2012-01-28). "Hägglund gick segrande ur striden". DN.SE. Retrieved 2015-05-14.
  20. ↑ "Mats Odell slutar som gruppledare för KD - Nyheter". SVT.se. Retrieved 2015-05-14.
  21. ↑ "BBC News - Sweden election: Social Democrats rule out far-right pact". BBC News. Retrieved 17 September 2014.
  22. ↑ "Många frågetecken kvar att räta ut - Nyheter (Ekot) - Sveriges Radio". Retrieved 17 September 2014.
  23. ↑ "Sweden set for minority-left government as far right makes gains - World news - theguardian.com". the Guardian. Retrieved 17 September 2014.
  24. ↑ "Sweden heads for polls after Lofven's parliament defeat". BBC. 3 December 2014. Retrieved 3 December 2014.
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