United States presidential approval rating
In the United States, presidential job approval ratings were introduced by George Gallup in the late 1930s (probably 1937) to gauge public support for the President of the United States during their term. An approval rating is a percentage determined by a polling which indicates the percentage of respondents to an opinion poll who approve of a particular person or program. Typically, an approval rating is given to a political figure based on responses to a poll in which a sample of people are asked whether they approve or disapprove of that particular political figure. A typical question might ask:
- "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?"[1]
Like most surveys that predict public opinion, the approval rating is subjective. Many unscientific approval rating systems exist that skew popular opinion. However, the approval rating is generally accepted as a statistically valid indicator of the comparative changes in the popular US mood regarding a president.
President Barack Obama
Most recent polls for President Barack Obama:[2][3][4]
Polling group | Date | Approval | Disapproval | Unsure | Sample size |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gallup Poll[lower-alpha 1] | October 31–Nov 6, 2016 | 53% | 40% | 17% | ≈1,500 |
Rasmussen Reports[lower-alpha 2] | October 9–12, 2016 | 52% | 46% | 6% | ≈1,500 |
Fox News[lower-alpha 3] | October 3–6, 2016 | 52% | 47% | 5% | 1,006 |
CBS News | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | 55% | 38% | 17% | 1,501 |
CNN/ORC | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | 55% | 44% | 11% | 1,501 |
ABC News/The Washington Post | September 19–22, 2016 | 55% | 41% | 14% | 1,001 |
NBC/The Wall Street Journal[lower-alpha 4] | September 16–19, 2016 | 52% | 45% | 7% | 1,000 |
Quinnipiac University | August 18–24, 2016 | 54% | 44% | 10% | 1,498 |
Pew Research Center | August 9–16, 2016 | 53% | 42% | 11% | 2,010 |
Bloomberg Politics[lower-alpha 5] | August 5–8, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6% | 1,007 |
Historical comparison
Historical Gallup Poll approval highs and lows for each President since 1937:[5][lower-alpha 6]
Order | President | Highest Approval | Lowest Approval | High–Low | Highest Disapproval | Approval Average[5] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
44[6] | Obama | 69 (1/24/09) | 37 (8/20/11), (9/1/14) | 32 | 57 (9/4/2014) | 48.0[7] |
43[8] | Bush (G.W.) | 90 (9/21/01) | 19 (10/3/08) | 71 | 71 (10/10/08) | 49.4 |
42[9] | Clinton | 73 (12/19/98) | 36 (5/26/93) | 36 | 54 (9/7/94) | 55.1 |
41[10] | Bush (G.H.W.) | 89 (2/28/91) | 29 (7/31/92) | 60 | 60 (7/31/92) | 60.9 |
40[11] | Reagan | 68 (5/16/86) | 35 (1/28/83) | 33 | 56 (1/28/83) | 52.8 |
39[12] | Carter | 75 (3/18/77) | 28 (6/29/79) | 47 | 59 (6/29/79) | 45.5 |
38[13] | Ford | 71 (8/16/74) | 37 (3/28/75) | 34 | 46 (4/18/75, 11/21/75) | 47.2 |
37[14] | Nixon | 67 (1/26/73) | 24 (8/2/74) | 43 | 66 (8/2/74) | 49.1 |
36[15] | Johnson | 79 (2/28/64) | 35 (8/7/68) | 44 | 52 (8/7/68, 3/10/68) | 55.1 |
35[16] | Kennedy | 83 (3/8/62) | 56 (9/12/63) | 27 | 30 (9/12/63, 11/8/63) | 70.1 |
34[17] | Eisenhower | 79 (12/14/56) | 48 (3/27/58) | 31 | 36 (3/27/58) | 65.0 |
33[18] | Truman | 87 (6/1/45) | 22 (2/9/52) | 65 | 67 (1/6/52) | 45.4 |
32[19] | Franklin D. Roosevelt | 84 (1/8/42) | 48 (8/18/39) | 36 | 46 (5/22/38, 5/29/38, 11/7/38) | 63 |
Graphs
Gallup Poll graphs of approval ratings for Presidents of the United States: |
See also
Notes
- ↑ Rolling 3-day average.
- ↑ Rolling 3-day average of 500 likely voters each day.
- ↑ Conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R).
- ↑ Conducted by the polling organizations of Peter D. Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R).
- ↑ Conducted by Selzer and Co.
- ↑ Only the results of Gallup polls are included, as no other poll results exist for presidents before President Clinton.
References
- ↑ "Presidential Approval Ratings – Barack Obama". gallup.com. Retrieved December 1, 2009.
- ↑ "President Obama: Job Ratings at PollingReport.com". Retrieved August 9, 2015.
- ↑ "Gallup Daily: Obama Job Approval". Retrieved August 14, 2016.
- ↑ "Daily Presidential Tracking Poll". Retrieved August 14, 2016.
- 1 2 "Presidential Approval Ratings – Gallup Historical Statistics and Trends". Gallup.com. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
- ↑ Graphical display and numbers of Gallup "daily tracking" polls
- ↑ http://www.gallup.com/poll/116479/barack-obama-presidential-job-approval.aspx
- ↑ "Gallup.com". Gallup.com. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
- ↑ http://www.gallup.com/poll/116584/presidential-approval-ratings-bill-clinton.aspx
- ↑ Job Performance Ratings for President Bush (G.H.W.) at the Roper Center.
- ↑ Job Performance Ratings for President Reagan the Roper Center.
- ↑ Job Performance Ratings for President Carter at the Roper Center.
- ↑ Job Performance Ratings for President Ford at the Roper Center.
- ↑ Job Performance Ratings for President Nixon at the Roper Center.
- ↑ Job Performance Ratings for President Johnson at the Roper Center.
- ↑ Job Performance Ratings for President Kennedy at the Roper Center.
- ↑ Job Performance Ratings for President Eisenhower at the Roper Center.
- ↑ Job Performance Ratings for President Truman at the Roper Center.
- ↑ Job Performance Ratings for President Roosevelt at the Roper Center.
External links
- Historical Presidential Job Performance Ratings – Roper Center
- Historical Midterm Presidential Approval Ratings Data from Data360
- PollingReport
- President Obama Job Approval (RealClearPolitics)
- President Job Approval Ratings
- Historical Presidential Approval Ratings 1945–2009 from the Wall Street Journal
- President Obama's Ongoing Job Approval (CongressRatings)