United States Senate election in Michigan, 2014

United States Senate election in Michigan, 2014
Michigan
November 4, 2014
 
Nominee Gary Peters Terri Lynn Land
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,704,936 1,290,199
Percentage 54.6% 41.3%

County results
U.S. Senator before election

Carl Levin
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Senator

Gary Peters
Democratic

The 2014 United States Senate election in Michigan was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Michigan, concurrently with the election of the Governor of Michigan, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Carl Levin decided to retire instead of running for re-election to a seventh term. Primary contests took place on August 5, 2014, with U.S. Representative Gary Peters and former Michigan Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land unopposed on the Democratic and Republican primary ballots, respectively.[1] Peters defeated Land in the general election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Failed to qualify

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Democratic primary results[29]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gary Peters 504,102 100
Total votes 504,102 100

Republican primary

After Terri Lynn Land declared her candidacy in June 2013, Republicans attempted to recruit U.S. Representative Dave Camp and Oakland County District Court Judge Kimberly Small to run instead.[30] Camp, after earlier having said that he was not interested in running, reconsidered it, and Land indicated that she would consider dropping out if Camp decided to run.[31] Republicans were initially reluctant to rally around Land,[32][33] but after Camp and Small declined to run, other Republicans like U.S. Representative Justin Amash and Holland Mayor Kurt Dykstra also said no, and a late attempt to convince cardiologist Rob Steele to run failed, Land emerged as the de facto nominee.[33]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Republican primary results[29]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Terri Lynn Land 588,084 100
Total votes 588,084 100

Minor parties

Libertarian Party

U.S. Taxpayers Party

Green Party

Independents

Candidates

Declared

General election

Campaign

Early on, the open seat was considered to be competitive. But various missteps by the Land campaign[70] as well as Land's reluctance to appear in public after suffering a meltdown in front of the media in May[71][72] weighed down the Land campaign, allowing Peters to open up a consistent lead in the polls beginning in September. The Republican establishment effectively gave up on Land's campaign the following month.[73][74]

Debates

Peters agreed to four debates; Land did not responded to invitations.[75] Negotiations between the Land and Peters campaigns broke down over the format of proposed debates between the two candidates.[76]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Gary
Peters (D)		 Terri Lynn
Land (R)		 Other Undecided
Mitchell Research November 2, 2014 1,224 ± 2.8% 52% 40% 4%[77] 4%
Public Policy Polling November 1–2, 2014 914 ± 3.2% 51% 38% 4%[77] 6%
54% 41% — 5%
EPIC-MRA October 26–28, 2014 600 ± 4% 50% 35% 5% 10%
Mitchell Research October 27, 2014 1,159 ± 2.88% 52% 38% 5%[78] 5%
Glengariff Group October 22–24, 2014 600 ± 4% 47.7% 32.6% 5.9% 13.8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 2,394 ± 3% 49% 41% 1% 10%
Rasmussen Reports October 20–22, 2014 1,000 ± 3% 51% 42% 3% 4%
Public Policy Polling October 20–21, 2014 723 ± ? 53% 39% — 8%
Clarity Campaign Labs October 19–20, 2014 1,032 ± ? 48% 33% — 19%
Mitchell Research October 19, 2014 919 ± 3.23% 51.1% 37.5% 4.4%[79] 7%
EPIC-MRA October 17–19, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 34% 4% 16%
Clarity Campaign Labs October 12–14, 2014 967 ± 3.16% 49% 36% — 18%
Lake Research Partners October 11–13, 2014 ? ± ? 49% 37% — 14%
Mitchell Research October 12, 2014 1,340 ± 2.68% 50% 39% 3.5%[80] 8%
Mitchell Research October 9, 2014 1,306 ± 2.71% 48% 43% 3.5%[81] 6%
Wenzel Strategies October 6–7, 2014 615 ± 3.93% 46.9% 44.3% — 8.8%
Glengariff Group October 2–4, 2014 600 ± 4% 44% 35% 6% 15%
Public Policy Polling October 2–3, 2014 654 ± 3.8% 49% 42% — 9%
Marketing Resource Group September 30–October 2, 2014 600 ± 4% 47.4% 36.4% — 16.2%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 2,560 ± 2% 46% 41% 2% 11%
Lake Research Partners September 27–30, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 36% — 18%
Mitchell Research September 29, 2014 1,178 ± 2.86% 49% 36% 5%[82] 9%
EPIC-MRA September 25–29, 2014 600 ± 4% 42% 33% 11% 14%
Target Insyght September 22–24, 2014 616 ± 4% 48% 38% 6% 7%
Public Policy Polling September 18–19, 2014 852 ± 3.4% 47% 40% — 13%
We Ask America September 18–19, 2014 1,182 ± 3% 42% 39% 5%[82] 14%
Rasmussen Reports September 17–18, 2014 750 ± 4% 41% 39% 5% 15%
Magellan Strategies September 14–15, 2014 717 ± 3.66% 45% 40% 5%[83] 5%
Mitchell Research September 14, 2014 829 ± 3.4% 43% 41% 8%[84] 9%
Denno Research September 11–13, 2014 600 ± 4% 44.7% 37.7% — 17.7%
Suffolk September 6–10, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 45.6% 36.8% 6.4%[85] 11.2%
Public Policy Polling September 4–7, 2014 687 ± 3.7% 43% 36% 7%[86] 13%
45% 40% — 15%
Glengariff Group September 3–5, 2014 600 ± 4% 47% 36.5% 3.5% 13%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 2,897 ± 3% 42% 43% 2% 13%
Mitchell Research August 27, 2014 1,004 ± 3.09% 46% 44% — 10%
EPIC-MRA August 22–25, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 39% — 16%
Lake Research Partners August 6–11, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 42% 38% — 19%
Mitchell Research August 5, 2014 626 ± 5% 45% 44% — 11%
Harper Polling August 4–5, 2014 549 ± 4.18% 45% 44% — 11%
Marketing Resource Group July 26–30, 2014 600 ± 4% 46.7% 40% — 13.3%
Rasmussen Reports July 28–29, 2014 750 ± 4% 45% 39% 6% 10%
Benenson Strategy Group July 26–29, 2014 900 ± 3.2% 47% 42% — 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 3,849 ± 2.8% 44% 45% 1% 10%
Mitchell Research July 7–17, 2014 600 ± 4% 43% 38% — 19%
EPIC-MRA July 12–15, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 36% — 19%
Denno Research July 9–11, 2014 600 ± 4% 39.5% 37.3% — 23.2%
NBC News/Marist July 7–10, 2014 870 ± 3.3% 43% 37% 2% 19%
Public Policy Polling June 26–29, 2014 578 ± 4.1% 41% 36% — 24%
Magellan Strategies June 5 & 8, 2014 753 ± 3.57% 50% 41% 5% 4%
Mitchell Research June 6, 2014 961 ± 3.16% 44.6% 41.5% — 13.8%
Glengariff Group May 20–22, 2014 600 ± 4.3% 39.6% 35.3% — 25%
EPIC-MRA May 17–20, 2014 600 ± 4% 44% 38% — 18%
Hickman Analytics April 24–30, 2014 502 ± 4.4% 42% 37% — 21%
Magellan Strategies April 14–15, 2014 875 ± 3.31% 46% 41% 8% 5%
Harper Polling April 7–8, 2014 538 ± 4.22% 40% 43% — 18%
Mitchell Research April 9, 2014 1,460 ± 2.56% 38% 44% — 18%
Public Policy Polling April 3–6, 2014 825 ± 3.4% 41% 36% — 23%
Marketing Resource Group March 24–28, 2014 600 ± 4.1% 38% 40% — 22%
Denno Research March 9–10, 2014 600 ± 4% 39.7% 36.7% 2% 21.7%
Clarity Campaigns February 22–23, 2014 859 ± 2.55% 46% 40% — 14%
EPIC-MRA February 5–11, 2014 600 ± 4% 38% 41% — 21%
Harper Polling January 19–20, 2014 750 ± 3.58% 37% 42% — 21%
Rasmussen Reports January 14–15, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 35% 37% 8% 20%
Harper Polling January 7–8, 2014 1,004 ± 3.09% 36% 44% — 20%
Public Policy Polling December 5–8, 2013 1,034 ± 3% 40% 42% — 18%
Denno Research November 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% 37% 36% — 27%
Inside Michigan Politics October 29, 2013 794 ± 4% 43% 38% — 19%
Public Policy Polling October 14–15, 2013 642 ± 3.9% 43% 36% — 21%
MRG/Mitchell Research October 6–10, 2013 600 ± 4% 39% 40% — 21%
EPIC-MRA September 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% 38% 37% — 25%
Mitchell Research August 26, 2013 1,881 ± 2.23% 36% 39% — 25%
Denno Research July 23–24, 2013 600 ± 4% 39% 39% — 22%
Public Policy Polling May 30–June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 41% 36% — 23%
Mitchell Research March 19 & 21, 2013 571 ± 4.1% 33% 32% — 35%
Harper Polling March 9–10, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 21.14% 28.66% — 50.20%

Results

The election was not close. Gary Peters, was declared the winner right when the polls closed in Michigan.

General election results[87]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Gary Peters 1,704,936 54.6 -8.1
Republican Terri Lynn Land 1,290,199 41.3 +7.5
Libertarian Jim Fulner 62,897 2.0% +.4%
Green Chris Wahmhoff 26,137 0.9% 0
U.S. Taxpayers Richard Matkin 37,529 1.2% +.6%
Write-Ins 77 0.0 0
Majority 414,737
Turnout 3,121,775
Democratic hold Swing

See also

References

  1. 1 2 "2014 Official Michigan Primary Candidate Listing". Miboecfr.nictusa.com. 2014-07-21. Retrieved 2014-07-25.
  2. ↑ Todd Spangler (May 1, 2013). "Congressman Gary Peters to run for retiring Sen. Carl Levin's seat in 2014". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved May 23, 2013.
  3. 1 2 Jonathan Oosting (January 12, 2014). "Fringe candidates: Meet Michigan's little-known hopefuls for governor, U.S. Senate". MLive. Retrieved April 29, 2014.
  4. ↑ "FEC Disclosure Form 2 for Terry Ray Whitney" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. September 23, 2013. Retrieved October 25, 2013.
  5. ↑ Lowe, Zach (27 May 2014). "We Went There: Thoughts From Miami". Grantland. Retrieved 27 May 2014.
  6. 1 2 Kyle Trygstad (March 7, 2013). "Michigan: Levin Announces He Will Retire in '14". Roll Call.
  7. ↑ Livingston, Abby (December 3, 2013). "Democrats Lose Top Recruit to Challenge Bentivolio (Updated)". Roll Call. Retrieved December 4, 2013.
  8. ↑ Wittrock, Angela (March 20, 2013). "Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero won't run for governor, Senate or Congress in 2014". MLive.com. Retrieved March 21, 2013.
  9. ↑ "Mark Bernstein Facebook".
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 Chad Livengood & Marisa Schultz (March 8, 2013). "Peters 'considering' run for Levin's seat as 5 GOP members drop out". The Detroit News.
  11. ↑ "Debbie Dingell won't run for Sen. Carl Levin's seat". Detroit Free Press. April 20, 2013. Retrieved April 23, 2013.
  12. ↑ Livingston, Abby (March 22, 2013). "Michigan: Granholm Won't Run for Open Senate Seat". Roll Call. Retrieved March 24, 2013.
  13. ↑ "Rep. Kildee won't run for Levin's U.S. Senate seat in 2014". The Detroit News. Associated Press. April 12, 2013. Retrieved April 12, 2013.
  14. ↑ "Carl Levin retires". March 7, 2013.
  15. ↑ Todd Spangler (March 7, 2013). "Sen. Carl Levin, 78, powerful voice for Michigan, won't run for re-election". Detroit Free Press.
  16. ↑ James Hohmann (March 7, 2013). "Michigan Sen. Carl Levin to retire". Politico.
  17. ↑ "Levin vacancy may draw high-profile people from both parties". The Detroit News. March 8, 2013.
  18. ↑ Joseph, Cameron (September 9, 2013). "Jennifer Granholm endorses Gary Peters in Michigan". The Hill.
  19. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Selweski, Chad (July 25, 2013). "Hackel, 'Big Five' back Peters for Senate". The Macomb Daily.
  20. ↑ Schuch, Sarah (May 2, 2013). "Congressman Dan Kildee endorses fellow Democrat for Senate in U.S. Rep. Gary Peters' first 'Listening Tour' stop in Flint". mlive.com.
  21. 1 2 Todd Spangler (May 23, 2013). "Carl Levin, Debbie Stabenow endorse Gary Peters for U.S. Senate seat". Detroit Free Press.
  22. ↑ http://www.freep.com/story/opinion/editorials/2014/10/19/senate-michigan-endorsement-peters/17514459/
  23. ↑ http://www.detroitnews.com/story/opinion/editorials/2014/10/29/news-endorsement-peters-senate/18138721/
  24. ↑ http://www.lansingstatejournal.com/story/opinion/editorials/2014/10/24/editorial-vote-gary-peters-us-senate/17832049/
  25. ↑ http://www.mlive.com/opinion/index.ssf/2014/10/mlive_media_group_gary_peters.html#incart_river
  26. ↑ Anderson, Heather (May 17, 2013). "Michigan League Endorses Peters for Levin's Senate Seat". Credit Union Times.
  27. ↑ Spangler, Todd (July 18, 2013). "Sierra Club endorses U.S. Rep Gary Peters for U.S. Senate". Detroit Free Press.
  28. ↑ http://www.record-eagle.com/opinion/editorials/editorial-peters-clear-choice-for-senate/article_6dcf9ca1-ff28-5ad1-94ff-034f923becbb.html
  29. 1 2 "Official Election Results Primary Election August 5, 2014". Michigan Department of State. Retrieved August 25, 2014.
  30. ↑ "Dave Camp weighing Michigan Senate bid". Politico. July 31, 2013. Retrieved September 13, 2014.
  31. ↑ "Would Dave Camp Clear the Senate GOP Field? #MISEN". Roll Call. July 31, 2013. Retrieved September 13, 2014.
  32. ↑ "New Pure PAC calls Peters 'Pure Washington' in first U.S. Senate ad". Crains Detroit. September 19, 2013. Retrieved September 13, 2014.
  33. 1 2 "Republicans Are Losing Faith in Their Michigan Senate Candidate". National Journal. August 6, 2014. Retrieved September 13, 2014.
  34. ↑ Aaron Blake (June 3, 2013). "Terri Lynn Land running for Michigan Senate seat". The Washington Post. Retrieved June 4, 2013.
  35. ↑ Goodell, Andrea (March 15, 2014). "89th District: Matt Wiedenhoeft to challenge Rep. Amanda Price". The Holland Sentinel. Retrieved March 19, 2014.
  36. ↑ Tim Alberta (September 17, 2013). "Justin Amash Will Not Run For Michigan Senate". National Journal. Retrieved September 18, 2013.
  37. ↑ "Off the Record | September 6, 2013 | #4311". WKAR. 2013-09-06. Retrieved 2014-07-25.
  38. ↑ Nick Baumgardner (April 26, 2013). "Dave Brandon refutes Senate speculation again, says he's 'very proud' to be Michigan's AD". MLive.com. Retrieved May 23, 2013.
  39. ↑ Abby Livingston (March 8, 2013). "Michigan: Anuzis Mulling Senate Bid as More Republicans Opt Out". Roll Call.
  40. ↑ Gold, Hadas (August 16, 2013). "Dave Camp not running for Carl Levin's seat". Politico. Retrieved August 16, 2013.
  41. 1 2 "DeVos". March 8, 2013.
  42. ↑ Fritz Klug (September 6, 2013). "U.S. Senate Update: Holland Mayor Kurt Dykstra will not run; Terri Lynn Land uses Syria to raise money". MLive.com.
  43. ↑ Kathleen Gray and Dave Egan (March 7, 2013). "Who will fill Levin's seat? Rare Senate opening to draw frenzied field". Detroit Free Press.
  44. ↑ Zane McMillin (2013-08-21). "Pete Hoekstra, trounced in 2012 Senate race, endorses Terri Lynn Land's bid". MLive.com. Retrieved 2014-07-25.
  45. 1 2 James Hohmann and Jonathan Martin (March 8, 2013). "Michigan Republican Pete Lund Eyes Carl Levin's Seat". Politico. Retrieved March 9, 2013.
  46. ↑ Egan, Paul (June 27, 2012). "Republican state senator considering a 2014 challenge to Carl Levin". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved December 8, 2012.
  47. ↑ Todd Spangler (March 8, 2013). "U.S. Rep. Candice Miller says she will not seek Levin's seat". Detroit Free Press.
  48. 1 2 Klug, Fritz (May 22, 2013). "U.S. Senate Update: Jim Murray out of running; Republicans advise Mike Rogers to pick Senate over F.B.I.". MLive.com.
  49. ↑ "Off to the races: Lots of potential names to replace Levin". NBC News. March 8, 2013.
  50. ↑ Wilson, Reid (April 29, 2013). "Gary Peters To Announce Senate Bid". National Journal.
  51. ↑ Spalding, Connor (April 25, 2013). "Interview with Michigan Senate Majority Leader Randy Richardville". Michigan Policy Network.
  52. ↑ Spangler, Todd (June 14, 2013). "U.S. Rep. Mike Rogers won't run for Senate seat". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved June 14, 2013.
  53. ↑ Todd Spangler (March 12, 2013). "Mitt Romney's brother G. Scott Romney won't run for Levin's seat". Detroit Free Press.
  54. ↑ Schultz, Marisa (April 2, 2013). "Mitt Romney's niece, Ronna, won't run for Levin's Senate seat". The Detroit News. Retrieved April 3, 2013.
  55. ↑ "Judge Kimberly Small declines to run for US Senate". My Fox Detroit. Retrieved 16 September 2013.
  56. ↑ Schultz, Marissa (November 1, 2013). "Steele decided not to challenge Land for GOP Senate nomination". Detroit News. Retrieved November 1, 2013.
  57. ↑ "Lt. Gov. Calley to GOP: Back Land for Senate". The Detroit News. Retrieved 10 October 2013.
  58. ↑ GOProud's 2014 Endorsements
  59. ↑ McMillin, Zane (August 21, 2013). "Pete Hoekstra, trounced in 2012 Senate race, endorses Terri Lynn Land's bid". MLive. Retrieved August 21, 2013.
  60. ↑ "Michigan's future looks bright with Terri Lynn Land for U.S. Senate". Right to Life Michigan. Retrieved 30 May 2014.
  61. ↑ Cahn, Emily (August 20, 2013). "GOP Congresswoman Endorses in Michigan Senate Race". Roll Call. Retrieved August 20, 2013.
  62. ↑ Montilla, Rob. "Terri Lynn Land is Best Choice to Represent Republicans in 2014 Senate Race". Retrieved August 21, 2013.
  63. ↑ "Rick Santorum and Patriot Voices PAC Announce Endorsements in Four Key U.S. Senate Races". Patriot Voices. April 22, 2014. Retrieved April 25, 2014.
  64. ↑ "FEC Disclosure Form 2 for Robert James Fulner" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. September 23, 2013. Retrieved October 25, 2013.
  65. ↑ "Jim Fulner will seek Libertarian Party of Michigan's nomination for U.S. Senate". Independent Political Report. September 9, 2013. Retrieved November 21, 2013.
  66. 1 2 "2014 Unofficial Michigan General Candidate Listing". Miboecfr.nictusa.com. Retrieved 2014-07-25.
  67. ↑ Bowman, Jennifer (January 8, 2014). "Enbridge protester says he'll run for U.S. Senate". Battle Creek Enquirer. Retrieved January 9, 2014.
  68. ↑ Komer, David (2014-04-19). "Taylor independent running for U.S. Senate seat". The News-Herald. Retrieved 21 May 2014.
  69. ↑ "Douglas resident Marineau seeks U.S. Senate seat". Allegan County News. February 12, 2014. Retrieved March 19, 2014.
  70. ↑ http://www.crainsdetroit.com/article/20141109/NEWS/311099976/republicans-campaign-stumbles-helped-sink-land-amid-gop-wave
  71. ↑ http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/05/29/michigan-lynn-land_n_5413352.html
  72. ↑ http://www.mlive.com/lansing-news/index.ssf/2014/10/tim_skubick_terri_lynn_lands_c.html
  73. ↑ http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/meet-gop-senate-candidate-republicans-love-hate/story?id=26224000
  74. ↑ http://atr.rollcall.com/senate-races-2014-why-michigan-never-became-iowa/
  75. ↑ "With empty chair representing Terri Lynn Land, Gary Peters calls for debates in Senate race". MLive.com. September 9, 2014. Retrieved September 20, 2014.
  76. ↑ http://www.wxyz.com/news/political/negotiations-end-for-proposed-us-senate-debate-between-land-peters-on-wxyz-and-wood-tv
  77. 1 2 Jim Fullner (L) 2%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1%, Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1%
  78. ↑ Jim Fullner (L) 3%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1%, Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1%
  79. ↑ Jim Fullner (L) 2.2%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1%, Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1.2%
  80. ↑ Jim Fullner (L) 2%, Richard Matkin (TP) 0.5%, Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1%
  81. ↑ Jim Fullner (L) 1%, Richard Matkin (TP) 0.5%, Chris Wahmhoff (G) 2%
  82. 1 2 Jim Fulner (L) 3%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 1%
  83. ↑ Jim Fulner (L) 5%, Richard Matkin (TP) 2%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 3%
  84. ↑ Jim Fulner (L) 3%, Richard Matkin (TP) 2%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 3%
  85. ↑ Jim Fulner (L) 3.2%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1.8%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 1.4%
  86. ↑ Jim Fulner (L) 4%, Richard Matkin (TP) 2%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 1%
  87. ↑ http://miboecfr.nictusa.com/election/results/14GEN/05000000.html

External links

Official campaign websites
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