United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2014
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The 2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Hampshire, concurrently with the election of the Governor of New Hampshire, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen ran for re-election to a second term in office.[1] Primary elections were held on September 9, 2014.[2] Shaheen was unopposed for the Democratic nomination and the Republicans nominated former U.S. Senator Scott Brown, who represented Massachusetts from 2010 to 2013.[3]
Brown was seeking to become only the third person in history and the first in 135 years to represent more than one state in the United States Senate. Waitman T. Willey represented Virginia from 1861 to 1863 and West Virginia from 1863 to 1871 and James Shields represented Illinois from 1849 to 1855, Minnesota from 1858 to 1859 and Missouri in 1879.[4] Since the 17th Amendment, which provides for the popular election of Senators as opposed to state legislatures, was ratified in 1913, Brown would have been the first person popularly elected to two different states in the Senate.
Shaheen defeated Brown by 51.5% to 48.2%, thus Brown became the first man to lose two Senate races to women, having previously lost to Elizabeth Warren in Massachusetts in 2012.[5]
Democratic primary
Shaheen was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.
Candidates
Declared
- Jeanne Shaheen, incumbent U.S. Senator[6]
Endorsements
| Jeanne Shaheen (Incumbent) |
|---|
|
Individuals
|
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jeanne Shaheen (Incumbent) | 74,504 | 100 | |
Republican primary
The Republican primary for this election was much more highly contested than the respective Democratic one, with Scott Brown beating out Jim Rubens and Bob Smith for the Republican nomination.
Candidates
Declared
- Gerard Beloin, candidate for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district in 2012 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[11]
- Scott Brown, former U.S. Senator from Massachusetts[12]
- Robert D'Arcy[11]
- Miroslaw "Miro" Dziedzic, candidate for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district in 2012[11]
- Mark W. Farnham, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 1992[11]
- Bob Heghmann[11]
- Walter W. Kelly[11]
- Andy Martin, perennial candidate[13]
- Jim Rubens, Chairman of the Granite State Coalition Against Expanded Gambling, former State Senator and candidate for Governor in 1998[14]
- Bob Smith, former U.S. Senator, candidate for President in 2000 and candidate for the U.S. Senate from Florida in 2004 and 2010[15]
Withdrew
Declined
- Rich Ashooh, candidate for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in 2010[18]
- Al Baldasaro, State Representative[19]
- Charles Bass, former U.S. Representative[20]
- Bill Binnie, industrialist, investment banker and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[21]
- Jeb Bradley, Majority Leader of the New Hampshire Senate and former U.S. Representative[22]
- David M. Cote, Chairman and CEO of Honeywell[18]
- Judd Gregg, former U.S. Senator and former Governor of New Hampshire[23][24]
- Frank Guinta, former U.S. Representative (ran for NH-01)[25][26]
- Daniel Innis, Dean of the Peter T. Paul College of Business and Economics at the University of New Hampshire (ran for NH-01)[27]
- Ovide Lamontagne, businessman, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and nominee for Governor in 1996 and 2012[28]
- Andy Sanborn, State Senator[29]
- Mark Steyn, conservative author and political commentator[30]
- Christopher Sununu, Executive Councillor, son of former Governor John H. Sununu and brother of former U.S. Senator John E. Sununu (ran for re-election)[31]
- John E. Sununu, former U.S. Senator[32]
- Fred Tausch, businessman[32]
- Fran Wendelboe, former State Representative and candidate for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in 2002[18]
Endorsements
| Scott Brown |
|---|
|
Individuals
|
| Bob Smith |
|---|
|
Individuals
|
| Jim Rubens |
|---|
|
Individuals
|
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Charles Bass |
Scott Brown |
Andy Martin |
Jim Rubens |
Bob Smith |
Karen Testerman |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBC/Marist | July 7–13, 2014 | 1,342 | ± 2.7% | — | 61% | — | 10% | 16% | — | 1% | 12% |
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | June 14–18, 2014 | 419 | ± 4.8% | — | 40.33% | 0.24% | 3.58% | 12.17% | — | 2.88%[35] | 40.81% |
| Vox Populi Polling | May 14–15, 2014 | ? | ± 5.2% | — | 38% | — | 9% | 13% | 8% | — | 32% |
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 | 426 | ± 4.8% | — | 33.33% | 0.7% | 3.05% | 11.97% | 3.29% | — | 47.65% |
| Gravis Marketing | January 29–30, 2014 | 498 | ± 4.3% | — | 51% | — | — | 22% | — | — | 27% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 528 | ± 4.3% | — | 42% | 11% | 8% | 11% | 7% | — | 22% |
| — | — | 4% | 12% | 26% | 10% | — | 47% | ||||
| New England College | October 7–9, 2013 | 424 | ± 4.56% | 21% | 47% | — | 5% | — | 4% | — | 23% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Scott Brown | 58,775 | 49.86 | |
| Republican | Jim Rubens | 27,089 | 22.98 | |
| Republican | Bob Smith | 26,593 | 22.56 | |
| Republican | Walter W. Kelly | 1,376 | 1.17 | |
| Republican | Bob Heghmann | 784 | 0.67 | |
| Republican | Andy Martin | 734 | 0.62 | |
| Republican | Mark W. Farnham | 733 | 0.62 | |
| Republican | Miroslaw "Miro" Dziedzic | 508 | 0.43 | |
| Republican | Gerard Beloin | 492 | 0.42 | |
| Republican | Robert D'Arcy | 397 | 0.34 | |
| Democratic | Jeanne Shaheen (write-in) | 220 | 0.19 | |
| Scatter | 183 | 0.16 | ||
| Total votes | 117,884 | 100 | ||
General election
Fundraising
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on Hand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeanne Shaheen (D) | $12,503,497 | $11,568,326 | $1,971,242 |
| Scott Brown (R) | $6,752,981 | $6,331,278 | $1,027,069 |
Independent expenditures
| Super PAC | Supporting | Amount | Media | Goal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate Majority PAC | Jeanne Shaheen | $682,558[37] | TV | Oppose Scott Brown |
| League of Conservation Voters Victory Fund | Jeanne Shaheen | $364,320[37] | TV | Oppose Scott Brown |
| Ending Spending Inc. | Scott Brown | $61,448[38] | Media | Oppose Jeanne Shaheen |
| Ending Spending Action Fund | Scott Brown | $60,136[38] | Media | Support Scott Brown |
| New Hampshire PAC to Save America | Jim Rubens | $57,866[37] | Direct Mail | Support Jim Rubens |
| NextGen Climate Action Committee | Jeanne Shaheen | $37,421[38] | Digital Advertising | Oppose Scott Brown |
| Ocean Champions | Jeanne Shaheen | $25,000[38] | Media | Oppose Scott Brown |
| Tea Party Victory Fund | Bob Smith | $15,000[37] | Voter Contact Calls | Support Bob Smith |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeanne Shaheen (D) |
Scott Brown (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 1–3, 2014 | 1,690 | ± 2.4% | 50% | 48% | — | 3% |
| WMUR/UNH | October 29–November 2, 2014 | 757 | ± 3.6% | 47% | 45% | 3% | 6% |
| New England College | October 31–November 1, 2014 | 1,526 | ± 2.51% | 48.2% | 48.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 30–31, 2014 | 679 | ± ? | 49% | 47% | — | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 29–30, 2014 | 940 | ± 3% | 52% | 45% | 1% | 2% |
| American Research Group | October 27–29, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 49% | 49% | — | 2% |
| Vox Populi Polling | October 27–28, 2014 | 638 | ± 3.9% | 49% | 45% | — | 6% |
| WMUR/UNH | October 22–26, 2014 | 555 | ± 4.2% | 50% | 42% | — | 8% |
| New England College | October 24, 2014 | 1,132 | ± 2.91% | 46.8% | 48.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,042 | ± 4% | 46% | 41% | 1% | 12% |
| American Research Group | October 19–22, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 49% | 48% | — | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 20–21, 2014 | 764 | ± ? | 49% | 45% | — | 5% |
| CNN/ORC | October 18–21, 2014 | 645 LV | ± 4% | 49% | 47% | — | 3% |
| 877 RV | ± 3.5% | 50% | 44% | — | 5% | ||
| UMass Lowell | October 15–21, 2014 | 643 LV | ± 4.5% | 49% | 46% | 1% | 4% |
| 900 RV | ± 3.8% | 48% | 41% | 2% | 10% | ||
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | October 16–19, 2014 | 500 | ± ? | 48.6% | 45.6% | — | 5.8% |
| New England College | October 16, 2014 | 921 | ± 3.23% | 47.3% | 47.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| UMass Amherst | October 10–15, 2014 | 322 LV | ± 6.6% | 48% | 45% | 5% | 2% |
| 400 RV | ± 6% | 49% | 41% | 5% | 5% | ||
| New England College | October 9, 2014 | 1,081 | ± 2.98% | 46.9% | 48% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Kiley & Company | October 7–9, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 50% | 44% | — | 6% |
| High Point University | October 4–8, 2014 | 824 | ± 3.4% | 48% | 46% | — | 6% |
| WMUR/UNH | September 29–October 5, 2014 | 532 | ± 4.2% | 47% | 41% | 1% | 10% |
| New England College | October 3, 2014 | 1,286 | ± 2.73% | 48.5% | 45.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 1,260 | ± 3% | 48% | 41% | 1% | 10% |
| New England College | September 26, 2014 | 1,331 | ± 2.69% | 47.1% | 46.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% |
| American Research Group | September 27–29, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 53% | 43% | — | 4% |
| New England College | September 19–20, 2014 | 1,494 | ± 2.54% | 50.1% | 42.8% | 4% | 3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 18–19, 2014 | 652 | ± 3.8% | 50% | 44% | — | 5% |
| Vox Populi Polling | September 15–16, 2014 | 550 | ± 4.2% | 43% | 47% | — | 11% |
| American Research Group | September 12–15, 2014 | 544 | ± 4.2% | 50% | 45% | — | 5% |
| New England College | September 10–11, 2014 | 630 | ± 3.98% | 51% | 40.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 10–11, 2014 | 1,027 | ± 3.1% | 48% | 42% | 5% | 5% |
| Magellan Strategies | September 10–11, 2014 | 2,214 | ± 2% | 44.3% | 45.9% | — | 9.8% |
| CNN/ORC | September 8–11, 2014 | 735 LV | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | — | 4% |
| 883 RV | ± 3.5% | 51% | 44% | — | 5% | ||
| Kiley & Company | September 9–11, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 51% | 43% | — | 6% |
| Global Strategy Group | September 10, 2014 | 1,027 | ± 3.1% | 48% | 41% | — | 11% |
| Kiley & Company | September 2–4, 2014 | 602 | ± 4% | 50% | 42% | — | 8% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 1,159 | ± 4% | 47% | 41% | 4% | 9% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | August 27–September 1, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.38% | 44% | 41% | 9%[39] | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 27–28, 2014 | 766 | ± ? | 50% | 44% | — | 6% |
| WMUR/UNH | August 7–17, 2014 | 609 | ± 4% | 46% | 44% | 1% | 9% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,251 | ± 2.9% | 50% | 40% | 4% | 6% |
| Magellan Strategies | July 7–13, 2014 | 1,618 | ± 2.43% | 46% | 41.1% | — | 12.9% |
| NBC News/Marist | July 7–13, 2014 | 1,342 | ± 2.7% | 50% | 42% | 1% | 6% |
| WMUR/UNH | June 19–July 1, 2014 | 509 | ± 4.3% | 52% | 40% | 1% | 7% |
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | June 14–18, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 49.38% | 39.38% | 2.5%[39] | 8.75% |
| American Research Group | June 14–18, 2014 | 540 | ± 4.2% | 50% | 38% | — | 12% |
| Vox Populi Polling | May 14–15, 2014 | 707 | ± 3.6% | 47% | 35% | — | 18% |
| Hickman Analytics | April 24–30, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 49% | 43% | — | 8% |
| Rockefeller Center | April 21–25, 2014 | 412 | ± 4.8% | 39% | 36% | — | 25% |
| WMUR/UNH | April 1–9, 2014 | 387 | ± 5% | 45% | 39% | 2% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 7–8, 2014 | 1,034 | ± 3.1% | 49% | 41% | — | 10% |
| American Research Group | March 13–16, 2014 | 533 | ± 4.2% | 50% | 38% | — | 12% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 12–13, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 50% | 41% | 4% | 5% |
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | February 27–March 5, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 52% | 39.13% | — | 8.87% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 19–20, 2014 | 686 | ± 3.7% | 47% | 39% | — | 14% |
| WMUR/UNH | January 21–26, 2014 | 454 | ± 4.1% | 47% | 37% | 3% | 14% |
| Harper Polling | January 22–23, 2014 | 513 | ± 4.33% | 40% | 35% | — | 25% |
| Purple Strategies | January 21–23, 2014 | 1,052 | ± 3% | 44% | 44% | — | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 1,354 | ± 2.7% | 46% | 43% | — | 10% |
| American Research Group | December 13–16, 2013 | 549 | ± 4.2% | 48% | 38% | — | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 13–16, 2013 | 1,038 | ± 3% | 48% | 44% | — | 7% |
| New England College | May 2–5, 2013 | 807 | ± 3.27% | 54% | 35% | — | 11% |
| Rockefeller Center | April 22–25, 2013 | 433 | ± 4.7% | 44.2% | 29.5% | — | 26.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 19–21, 2013 | 933 | ± ? | 52% | 41% | — | 7% |
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Results
The race was close throughout the night. However, with 57% of the vote in MSNBC was comfortable enough with Shaheen's lead to declare her the victor. Brown called Shaheen to concede at 11:32 P.M. EST. Shaheen won with nearly a three-point majority.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jeanne Shaheen (Incumbent) | 251,184 | 51.46 | |
| Republican | Scott Brown | 235,347 | 48.21 | |
| None | Scatter | 1,628 | 0.33 | |
| Total votes | 488,159 | 100 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
See also
References
- ↑ "Jeanne Shaheen in for 2014 Senate race". Fosters.com. March 8, 2012. Retrieved March 26, 2013.
- ↑ "FOR ALL CANDIDATES FILING DECLARATIONS OF CANDIDACY". New Hampshire Secretary of State. July 25, 2014. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
- ↑ "Scott Brown wins New Hampshire Senate primary". Politico.com. September 9, 2014. Retrieved September 10, 2014.
- ↑ "Sorry, Scott: Choosing A New State After You Get The Boot Never Works". Talking Points Memo. March 14, 2014. Retrieved September 21, 2014.
- ↑ Zavadski, Katie (November 5, 2014). "11 Big Firsts From the 2014 Midterm Elections". Retrieved November 7, 2014.
- ↑ Blake, Aaron (November 9, 2012). "Senate Democrats face a very tough 2014 map". Washington Post. Retrieved November 11, 2012.
- ↑ Miller, Joshua (November 2, 2014). "Hillary Clinton returns to N.H., hints at 2016 issues". The Boston Globe. Retrieved September 25, 2016.
- ↑ "King on Collins: 'We've got a model senator here'". Kennebec Journal. May 16, 2014. Retrieved May 16, 2014.
- ↑ Miller, Joshua (October 25, 2014). "Elizabeth Warren rallies support for Jeanne Shaheen in N.H.". The Boston Globe. Retrieved September 25, 2016.
- ↑ "2014 United States Senate - Democratic Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved September 28, 2014.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 "OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF STATE - ELECTION DIVISION REPUBLICAN CUMULATIVE FILING AS OF 07/23/2014". New Hampshire Secretary of State. July 23, 2014. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
- ↑ "Report: Scott Brown is officially running for US Senate in New Hampshire". Boston.com. April 2, 2014. Retrieved April 2, 2014.
- ↑ Miller, Rich (August 21, 2013). "Perennial candidate decamps to New Hampshire". Capitol Fax. Retrieved September 3, 2013.
- ↑ DiStaso, John (September 18, 2013). "Former NH state Sen. Jim Rubens announces candidacy for US Senate against Dem. Shaheen". The Republic. Retrieved September 19, 2013.
- ↑ Di Lothrop (December 1, 2013). "Looks like Bob Smith will in fact be running for US Senate.". Press Release. Retrieved December 1, 2013.
- ↑ Leubsdorf, Ben (October 14, 2013). "N.H. Republican activist Karen Testerman to run for U.S. Senate in 2014". Concord Monitor. Retrieved December 7, 2013.
- 1 2 "Testerman drops out of US Senate race, backs Smith". Connecticut Post. June 13, 2014. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
- 1 2 3 Pindell, James (September 10, 2013). "The list: which Republicans could run for major office next year". WMUR. Retrieved September 10, 2013.
- ↑ Houghton, Kimberly (February 5, 2014). "Londonderry's Baldasaro won't seek Senate seat". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved February 28, 2014.
- ↑ Schultheis, Emily (November 4, 2013). "Charlie Bass won't challenge Jeanne Shaheen in New Hampshire". POLITICO. Retrieved November 4, 2013.
- ↑ Jaffe, Alexandra (February 10, 2013). "New Hampshire Republicans looking to rebuild in time for 2014 elections". The Hill. Retrieved March 29, 2013.
- ↑ Pindell, James (September 3, 2013). "Bradley rules out running for statewide office next year". WMUR Political Scoop. Retrieved September 3, 2013.
- ↑ Robert Schmidt (December 12, 2013). "Former Senator Gregg Said to Step Down From Wall Street Lobby". Bloomberg. Retrieved December 12, 2013.
- ↑ DiStaso, John (December 12, 2013). "John DiStaso's Granite Status: Gregg for the US Senate again? 'Been there, done that,' he says". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved December 12, 2013.
- ↑ Toeplitz, Shira (November 29, 2012). "New Hampshire: Guinta Opens Door to Senate, Comeback Bids". Roll Call. Retrieved January 28, 2013.
- ↑ Cahn, Emily (September 24, 2013). "Ex-Congressman Launches Rematch Bid With Bipartisan Tone". Roll Call. Retrieved September 24, 2013.
- ↑ Leubsdorf, Ben (October 9, 2013). "Republican Dan Innis announces run for Congress in N.H.'s 1st District". Concord Monitor. Retrieved October 9, 2013.
- ↑ Lessard, Ryan (April 15, 2013). "Ovide Lamontagne Takes Major Anti-Abortion Job In D.C.". nhpr.org. Retrieved April 19, 2013.
- ↑ Pindell, James (September 27, 2013). "GOP state Sen. Andy Sanborn will not run for governor". WMUR Political Scoop. Retrieved October 1, 2013.
- ↑ Larson, Leslie (August 19, 2013). "Conservatives rally Rush Limbaugh radio show fill-in Mark Steyn to run for Senate…despite the fact he's not a U.S. citizen". New York Daily News. Retrieved August 19, 2013.
- ↑ DiStaso, John (July 18, 2013). "John DiStaso's Granite Status: Chris Sununu won't run for Gov, US House or US Senate in '14; plans to seek reelection to Executive Council". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved July 19, 2013.
- 1 2 DiStato, John (April 12, 2013). "Exclusive: Former Sen. John E. Sununu won't run for office in 2014". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved April 12, 2013.
- ↑ "Sen. Stiles endorses Scott Brown". Seacoastonline. May 2, 2014. Retrieved May 3, 2014.
- ↑ "First on CNN: Romney to endorse Scott Brown". CNN. June 24, 2014. Retrieved June 24, 2014.
- ↑ Miro Dziedzic 0.72%, Bob Heghmann 0.72%, Walter Kelly 0.72%, Mark Farnham 0.48%, Robert D’Arcy 0.24%
- ↑ "2014 United States Senate - Republican Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved September 28, 2014.
- 1 2 3 4 "Realtime Federal Campaign Finance". Sunlight Foundation. July 11, 2014. Retrieved July 11, 2014.
- 1 2 3 4 "Realtime Federal Campaign Finance". Sunlight Foundation. July 11, 2014. Retrieved July 11, 2014.
- 1 2 3 4 Gardner Goldsmith (L)
- ↑ "United States Senator - 2014 General Election". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved November 22, 2014.
External links
- U.S. Senate elections in New Hampshire, 2014 at Ballotpedia
- Scott Brown vs Jeanne Shaheen graph of multiple polls from HuffPost Pollster
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
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