United States Senate election in Washington, 2010
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The 2010 United States Senate election in Washington was held on November 2, 2010 alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democrat U.S. Senator Patty Murray won re-election to a fourth term by a margin of 52.4% - 47.6%, narrowly surviving the national midterm Tea Party Republican wave.
Top-two primary election
Candidates
Democrats
Republicans
- Dino Rossi, former State Senator and gubernatorial candidate[4]
- Paul Akers, businessman[5]
- William Chovil[3][6]
- Clint Didier, former NFL football player[7]
- Norma Gruber[3]
- Michael Latimer[8]
Others
- Will Baker (Reform Party)[3]
- Schalk Leonard[3]
- Skip Mercer, professor[9]
- Mohammad Said (Centrist Party)[3]
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Patty Murray (D) | Dino Rossi (R) | Clint Didier (R) | Paul Akers (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | August 6–9, 2010 | 41% | 33% | 11% | 5% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 27-August 1, 2010 | 47% | 33% | 10% | 4% | 6% |
| Survey USA | June 30, 2010 | 37% | 33% | 5% | 3% | 19% |
| Elway Research | June 13, 2010 | 43% | 31% | 5% | 2% | 17% |
| Elway Research | April 29-May 2, 2010 | 48% | –– | 4% | 8% | 36% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic |  Patty Murray (incumbent) |
670,284 | 46.22 | |
| Republican | Dino Rossi |
483,305 | 33.33 | |
| Republican | Clint Didier | 185,034 | 12.76 | |
| Republican | Paul Akers | 37,231 | 2.57 | |
| Independent | Skip Mercer | 12,122 | 0.84 | |
| Democratic | Charles Allen | 11,525 | 0.79 | |
| Democratic | Bob Burr | 11,344 | 0.78 | |
| Republican | Norma Gruber | 9,162 | 0.63 | |
| Republican | Michael Latimer | 6,545 | 0.45 | |
| Democratic | Mike the Mover | 6,019 | 0.42 | |
| Democratic | Goodspaceguy | 4,718 | 0.33 | |
| Reform | William Baker | 4,593 | 0.32 | |
| Independent | Mohammad Said | 3,387 | 0.23 | |
| Independent | Schalk Leonard | 2,818 | 0.19 | |
| Republican | William Chovil | 2,039 | 0.14 | |
| Total votes | 1,450,126 | 100 | ||
General election
Candidates
The top 2 candidates from the blanket primary advanced to the general election.
- Patty Murray (D), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Dino Rossi (R), former State Senator and gubernatorial candidate
Campaign
Rossi has heavily criticized Murray for her support of the 2009 economic stimulus package; however, Rossi's economic promises are nearly identical to those of President Bush who asked for the stimulus.[12] Rossi supports repealing the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act and the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act. He has also criticized Murray for her support for earmarks. In response, Murray said, "You bet that seniority and leadership has a big thing to do with it, but the other part of it is, I get up every day and I work hard and I believe in this and I am going to continue fighting for the community I represent."[13]
Debates
Rossi offered six debates, five of which would be in-state and one nationally.[14] Murray agreed to two debates, and only two debates were held.[15]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Toss up[16] | October 13, 2010 |
| FiveThirtyEight | 79% chance D[17] | October 31, 2010 |
| Rothenberg | Toss up/Tilt D[18] | October 8, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics | Toss up[19] | September 28, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Leans D[20] | October 28, 2010 |
| CQ Politics | Toss up[21] | October 13, 2010 |
| Rasmussen Reports | Toss up[22] | October 12, 2010 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Patty Murray (D) |
Dino Rossi (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moore Information | January 23–24, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 43% | 45% | –– | –– |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 11, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 46% | 48% | 1% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 9, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 46% | 49% | 3% | 2% |
| Research 2000 | March 22–24, 2010 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 52% | 41% | –– | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 6, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 48% | 46% | 3% | 4% |
| Survey USA | April 22, 2010 | 517 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 52% | –– | 7% |
| The Washington Poll | May 3–23, 2010 | 626 | ± 3.9% | 44% | 40% | –– | 16% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 4, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 48% | 46% | 2% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 25, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 4% |
| The Washington Poll | May 24–28, 2010 | 221 | ± 6.6% | 39% | 42% | 5% | 13% |
| The Washington Poll | May 28-June 7, 2010 | 848 | ± 3.3% | 42% | 40% | –– | 12% |
| Elway Research | June 13, 2010 | 405 | ± 5.0% | 47% | 40% | –– | 13% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 22, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 47% | 3% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 14, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 3% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 30, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 2% | 2% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 27-August 1, 2010 | 1,204 | ± 2.8% | 49% | 46% | –– | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 18, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 44% | 4% | 4% |
| Survey USA | August 18, 2010 | 618 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 52% | –– | –– |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 31, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 48% | 3% | 3% |
| Elway Research | September 9–12, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 50% | 41% | 3% | 7% |
| CNN/Time | September 10–14, 2010 | 906 | ± 3.5% | 53% | 44% | 2% | 1% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 16, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 46% | 1% | 2% |
| SurveyUSA | September 22, 2010 | 609 | ± 4.1% | 50% | 48% | –– | 3% |
| Fox News | September 25, 2010 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 28, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | 2% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 6, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 49% | 3% | 2% |
| Fox News | October 9, 2010 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% | 0% |
| Elway | October 7–11, 2010 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 55% | 40% | 0% | 5% |
| CNN/Opinion Research | October 8–12, 2010 | 850 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 43% | 2% | 0% |
| The Washington Poll | October 4–14, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.3% | 50% | 42% | –– | 8% |
| SurveyUSA | October 11–14, 2010 | 606 | ± 4.1% | 50% | 47% | 0% | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 14–16, 2010 | 1,873 | ± 2.3% | 49% | 47% | –– | 4% |
| McClatchy/Marist | October 14–17, 2010 | 589 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 47% | 1% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 17, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 46% | 2% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 27, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | 3% | 2% |
| SurveyUSA | October 24–27, 2010 | 678 | ± 3.8% | 47% | 47% | –– | 6% |
| The Washington Poll | October 18–28, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.3% | 51% | 45% | –– | 4% |
| Marist College | October 26–28, 2010 | 838 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 48% | 2% | 1% |
| Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research | October 30, 2010 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% | 0% |
| YouGov | October 25–30, 2010 | 850 | ± 4.1% | 50.2% | 47.5% | 0.4% | 1.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 29–31, 2010 | 2,055 | ± 2.2% | 48% | 50% | 0% | 2% |
Results
Murray defeated Rossi by about 114,000 votes. King County, the home of Seattle, likely pushed Murray over the finish line. [23]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Patty Murray (Incumbent) | 1,314,930 | 52.36 | |
| Republican | Dino Rossi | 1,196,164 | 47.64 | |
| Total votes | 2,511,094 | 100.00 | ||
| Voter turnout | 71.24% | |||
Fundraising
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patty Murray (D) | $10,951,403 | $12,438,133 | $1,032,034 | $0 |
| Dino Rossi (R) | $7,365,098 | $4,331,414 | $2,960,039 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[24] | ||||
References
- 1 2 "REPORTS IMAGE INDEX FOR CANDIDATE ID S0WA00332". Images.nictusa.com. 2010-05-13. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "REPORTS IMAGE INDEX FOR COMMITTEE ID C00483461". Images.nictusa.com. 2010-05-13. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Candidates who have filed". Wei.secstate.wa.gov. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ Rothenberg, Stuart. "Reasons to Keep Your Eye on Patty Murray". CQ Politics. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "Home". Akers for US Senate. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "REPORTS IMAGE INDEX FOR CANDIDATE ID S4WA00466". Images.nictusa.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ Song, Kyung (January 4, 2010). "Ex-footballer latest GOP challenger to Murray's Senate seat". The Seattle Times. Retrieved January 30, 2010.
- ↑ "REPORTS IMAGE INDEX FOR CANDIDATE ID S0WA00340". Images.nictusa.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ Spokesman-Review (2010-06-01). "Mercer staying in U.S. Senate race - Spin Control - Spokesman.com - June 1, 2010". Spokesman.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "August 17, 2010 Primary - Federal". Vote.wa.gov. 2010-08-17. Archived from the original on August 21, 2010. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- ↑ "The 2010 Results Maps". Politico.Com. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- ↑ The Stimulus 18-Month Check Up: Murray Plan Means Big Debt, Few Jobs | Dino Rossi for Senate
- ↑ Brunner, Jim (August 7, 2010). "Murray touts bringing home the bucks". The Seattle Times.
- ↑ Brunner, Jim (August 20, 2010). "Rossi wants six debates with Murray". The Seattle Times.
- ↑ Brunner, Jim (August 27, 2010). "Murray agrees to two debates". The Seattle Times.
- ↑ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 13, 2010.
- ↑ "FiveThirtyEight Forecasts: Washington Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 31, 2010.
- ↑ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 13, 2010.
- ↑ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 13, 2010.
- ↑ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 13, 2010.
- ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 13, 2010.
- ↑ "Election 2010: Senate Balance Of Power". Rasmussen Reports. Retrieved October 13, 2010.
- ↑ November 2, 2010 General - Federal
- ↑ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Washington". fec.gov. Retrieved May 28, 2010.
External links
- Elections and Voting at the Washington Secretary of State
- U.S. Congress candidates for Washington at Project Vote Smart
- Washington U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
- 2010 Washington Senate General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Washington Senate from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Washington Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Washington Senate Race from CQ Politics
- Race profile from The New York Times
- Editorial board endorsement interview: Senate 2010 from The Seattle Times
- Official campaign websites
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