United States Senate election in Nevada, 2010

United States Senate election in Nevada, 2010
Nevada
November 2, 2010
 
Nominee Harry Reid Sharron Angle
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 362,785 321,361
Percentage 50.2% 44.5%

County results
U.S. Senator before election

Harry Reid
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Senator

Harry Reid
Democratic

The 2010 United States Senate election in Nevada took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator and Majority Leader Harry Reid won re-election to a fifth term.[1]

Democratic primary

The Democratic primary took place on June 8, 2010. Reid won by a large margin over a field of political unknowns.

Candidates

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Harry Reid Barbara Buckley
Mellman Group June 17–29, 2008 51% 20%

Results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Harry Reid (Incumbent) 87,401 75.3
Democratic None of these 12,341 10.6
Democratic Alex Miller 9,717 8.4
Democratic Eduardo Hamilton 4,645 4.0
Democratic Carlo Poliak 1,938 1.7
Total votes 116,042 100

Republican primary

The Republican primary also took place on Tuesday, June 8, 2010.

Candidates

Endorsements

Lowden

Tarkanian

Angle

Polling

Includes current candidates who have polled at least 2% in at least one poll.

Dates administered Poll source Tarkanian Lowden Angle
June 1–3, 2010 Mason Dixon/LVJR 24% 23% 32%
June 2, 2010 Suffolk University 26% 24% 33%
May 31 – June 2, 2010 Research 2000 24% 25% 34%
May 28, 2010 Mason Dixon/LVJR 23% 30% 29%
May 13, 2010 Mason Dixon/LVJR 22% 30% 25%
April 26–28, 2010 Research 2000 28% 38% 13%
April 11, 2010 Mason Dixon/LVJR 27% 45% 5%
February 24, 2010 Mason Dixon/LVJR 29% 47% 8%
January 7, 2010 Mason Dixon/LVJR 28% 26% 13%
December, 2009 Mason Dixon/LVJR 24% 25% 13%
October 8, 2009 Mason Dixon/LVJR 21% 23% 9%
August 21, 2009 Mason Dixon/LVJR 33% 14% 5%

Results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sharron Angle 70,452 40.1
Republican Sue Lowden 45,890 26.1
Republican Danny Tarkanian 40,936 23.3
Republican John Chachas 6,926 3.9
Republican Chad Christensen 4,806 2.7
Republican None of these 3,091 1.8
Republican Bill Parson 1,484 0.8
Republican Gary Bernstein 698 0.4
Republican Garn Mabey 462 0.3
Republican Cecilia Stern 355 0.2
Republican Brian Nadell 235 0.1
Republican Terry Suominen 224 0.1
Republican Gary Marinch 179 0.1
Total votes 175,738 100

General election

Candidates

Campaign

In January 2009, the GOP began running an advertisement attacking Reid for his support of the legislation and President Barack Obama's proposed stimulus plan.[44] Since becoming Minority Leader (in 2004), his approval ratings have dropped below 50%. A November 2007 poll showed Reid's approval rating at 39%, with 49% of voters disapproving.[45]

After the primaries, the first poll showed Angle leading by a double-digit margin. CQ Politics changed their analysis of the race from leaning Republican to a toss-up because of Angle's sharply conservative views and tendency to commit verbal gaffes; however, CQ added that if the voters treat the election as a referendum on Reid, then Angle will likely win.[46]

In 2009, Reid had been endorsed by some prominent Nevada Republicans.[47] Immediately after the primary, the Republican mayor of Reno, Bob Cashell, who had backed Lowden in the Republican primary, endorsed Reid for the general election, calling Angle an "ultra-right winger."[48][49] Other Republicans expressed doubt about supporting Angle, citing her reputation for ideological rigidity from her years in the state legislature.[50]

One of the first general election ads attacked Angle for her stance on Social Security and Medicare.[51] In response, Angle explained that "the government must continue to keep its contract with seniors, who entered into the system on good faith and now are depending on that contract." In response to accusations that she was not mainstream enough for Nevada voters, Angle explained on a KXNT radio show that she was "more mainstream than the fellow that said tourists stink, this war is lost, and light-skinned no-Negro dialect", in reference to comments that had been made by Senator Reid.[52]

In September, Tibi Ellis, the chairwoman of the Nevada Republican Hispanic Caucus, who had been a spokesperson for Angle, criticized an Angle ad related to immigration. Ellis said, "I condemned this type of propaganda, no matter who is running them, where they blame Mexicans as the only problem and where they attack them as the only source of illegal immigration."[53]

Angle was endorsed by Nevada's largest newspaper, the Las Vegas Review-Journal.[54] Reid had the endorsement from Nevada's second largest newspaper, the Las Vegas Sun.[55] and the largest newspaper outside of Las Vegas, the Reno Gazette-Journal.[56]

On October 7, 2010, Republican State Senator and Minority Leader William Raggio endorsed Reid.[57][58] Dema Guinn, the widow of the late Republican Nevada Governor Kenny Guinn, endorsed Reid on October 8.[59]

Debate

Angle and Reid only agreed to one debate, in which no other candidate would participate. It was held on October 14.[60] Junior Senator John Ensign played Reid during one day of debate preparation at the Trump Plaza in Las Vegas for Angle.[61]

Predictions

History

Reid was initially considered vulnerable, with the non-partisan Cook Political Report rating the election as a tossup[62] and the Rothenberg Political Report rating the state as tossup.[63] A June 9, 2010, Rasmussen Reports post-primary poll showed Angle leading incumbent Senator Harry Reid by a margin of 50% to 39%.[64] However, a July 2010 poll showed Senator Reid leading Angle by 7 points, following nationwide attention to some of Angle's positions,[65] as well as the endorsement of Reid by prominent Republicans. The change of margin, 18% in less than a month, is the largest in Senate elections history.[65] On July 28, 2010, Rasmussen Reports moved the race from tossup to leans Democratic.[66] Later, it moved back to tossup.

Table

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Toss up[67] October 19, 2010
Rothenberg Toss up[68] October 15, 2010
RealClearPolitics Toss up[69] October 19, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Leans R[70] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics Toss up[71] October 19, 2010
Rasmussen Reports Toss up[72] October 16, 2010

Polling

Dates administered Poll source Sharron Angle (R) Harry Reid (D)
October 31, 2010 Public Policy Polling 47% 46%
October 30, 2010 Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research 48% 45%
October 25–27, 2010 Mason-Dixon 49% 45%
October 20–26, 2010 CNN/Time/Opinion Research 49% 45%
October 25, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 49% 45%
October 17, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 50% 47%
October 14, 2010 Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon 47% 45%
October 11, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 49% 48%
October 9, 2010 Fox News/POR-Rasmussen 49% 47%
October 7–9, 2010 Public Policy Polling 45% 47%
October 5, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 50% 46%
October 4, 2010 Magellan Strategies 48% 43%
October 2, 2010 FOX News/Pulse Opinion Research 49% 46%
September 28, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 47% 48%
September 21–23, 2010 Public Opinion Strategies 40% 45%
September 20–22, 2010 LVRJ/Mason-Dixon 43% 43%
September 18, 2010 FOX News/Pulse Opinion Research 46% 45%
September 10–14, 2010 CNN/Time Magazine 42% 41%
September 13, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 48% 48%
September 11, 2010 FOX News/Pulse Opinion Research 45% 44%
September 7–9, 2010 Mason-Dixon 44% 46%
September 1, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 45% 45%
August 23–25, 2010 Mason-Dixon 44% 45%
August 16, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 47% 47%
August 9–11, 2010 Mason-Dixon 44% 46%
August 3, 2010 Reuters/Iposos 44% 48%
July 28–30, 2010 Mason-Dixon 42% 43%
July 27, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 43% 45%
July 16–18, 2010 Public Policy Polling 46% 48%
July 12–14, 2010 Mason-Dixon 37% 44%
July 12, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 46% 43%
June 22, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 48% 41%
June 9, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 50% 39%
June 1–3, 2010 Mason Dixon/LVJR 44% 41%
May 31 – June 2, 2010 Research 2000 37% 42%
May 28, 2010 Mason Dixon/LVJR 39% 42%
April 26–28, 2010 Research 2000 44% 41%
April 27, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 48% 40%
March 31, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 51% 40%
March 3, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 47% 43%
February 3, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 44% 40%
January 11, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 44% 40%
January 7, 2010 Mason Dixon 45% 40%
December 9, 2009 Rasmussen Reports 47% 43%

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Sharron Angle (R) $27,797,915 $27,505,917 $291,999 $635,737
Harry Reid (D) $19,185,317 $22,325,360 $176,309 $419,093
Source: Federal Election Commission[73]

Results

Despite Angle leading by three points in the polls the days leading up to the election, Reid defeated Angle by 5.74%, even defeating Angle in her own county, Washoe County. Reid also secured huge numbers out of the Democratic stronghold of Clark County, which covers the Las Vegas Metropolitan Area.

United States Senate election in Nevada, 2010[74][75][76]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Harry Reid (Incumbent) 362,785 50.29% -10.84%
Republican Sharron Angle 321,361 44.55% +9.45%
None of These Candidates – 16,174 2.25% +0.65%
Tea Party Scott Ashjian 5,811 0.81% N/A
Independent Michael L. Haines 4,261 0.59% N/A
Independent American Timothy Fasano 3,185 0.44% N/A
Independent Jesse Holland 3,175 0.44% N/A
Independent Jeffery C. Reeves 2,510 0.35% N/A
Independent Wil Stand 2,119 0.29% N/A
Majority 41,424 5.74%
Total votes 721,381 100 -11.14%
Democratic hold Swing

References

  1. ↑ Damon, Anjeanette; Demirjian, Karoun (November 2, 2010). "Sen. Harry Reid wins fifth term against anti-incumbent fervor". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved August 29, 2011.
  2. ↑ "2010 Elections, Senate, Nevada". New York Times. Retrieved June 11, 2010.
  3. 1 2 "Nevada Senate Primary Results". NV Secretary of State. June 8, 2010. Retrieved June 8, 2010.
  4. ↑ "Donate to help elect Sharron Angle to Senate". Sharronangle.com. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  5. 1 2 3 4 "Chuck Flume for U.S. Senate".
  6. ↑ "Chad Christensen for U.S. Senate". Christensen2010.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  7. ↑ "Ex-education board member plans bid for U.S. Senate seat - News". Lvrj.com. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  8. ↑ "Noonan on the issues". Noonanfornevada.com. March 18, 2010. Archived from the original on March 14, 2012. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  9. ↑ "Bill Parson for U.S. Senate". Parsonforsenate2010.com. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  10. ↑ Jackson, Brad (March 31, 2010). "Lowden Picks Up Key Endorsements in Nevada Senate Race". The New Ledger. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  11. ↑ Sean Whaley (April 12, 2010). "U.S. Senate Candidate Danny Tarkanian Says He Is "Independent Voice" for GOP Voters in June Primary « Nevada News Bureau". Nevadanewsbureau.com. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  12. ↑ "College Republicans announce endorsements : The Rebel Yell". Unlvrebelyell.com. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  13. ↑ Image Cube Design. "Armenian National Committee | Political Action Committee". Ancpac.org. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  14. ↑ "Danny Tarkanian for U.S. Senate » ACA-PAC Endorses Tarkanian for Senate". Tark2010.org. March 10, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  15. ↑ "Deukmejian Endorses Danny Tarkanian for Senate | Asbarez Armenian News". Asbarez.com. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  16. ↑ "Conservatives Need to Support Danny Tarkanian in Nevada". RedState. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  17. ↑ "Pro-immigration enforcement group endorses GOP Senate candidate Danny Tarkanian". My News 4. May 6, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  18. ↑ "PRIMARY ENDORSEMENTS: Senate candidates seek edge - News". Lvrj.com. May 10, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  19. ↑ "Sharron Angle (NV-Sen)". Clubforgrowth.org. May 19, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  20. ↑ "Tea Party to Back Republican Dark Horse in Race to Challenge Reid". Fox News. April 15, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  21. ↑ Kensei at 6:16 pm (March 31, 2010). "Angle Endorsed by Family-Pac Federal National Pro-Family Group » Las Vegas TSG Business News". Lvtsg.com. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  22. 1 2 3 Myers, Laura (May 9, 2010). "Senate candidates seek edge". Las Vegas Review Journal. Retrieved September 4, 2011.
  23. ↑ "Sharron Angle for Senate | GOA-PVF 2010 Favorites". Goapvf.org. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  24. ↑ Palin, Angle, planning campaign event, CNN Political Ticker, Mark Preston, August 18, 2010. Retrieved 25 March 2016.
  25. ↑ "Joe The Plumber Endorses Sharron Angle". YouTube. April 29, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  26. ↑ "PAT BOONE ENDORSES SHARRON ANGLE TO REPLACE HARRY REID". The Cypress Times. May 5, 2010. Retrieved August 29, 2011.
  27. ↑ Archived July 16, 2011, at the Wayback Machine.
  28. ↑ "Citizens United Political Victory Fund". Cupvf.org. June 8, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  29. ↑ tim marvin says: (March 22, 2010). "Home-School Group Endorses Angle for Senate". Nevada News and Views. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  30. ↑ "Home". Nvra.com. January 6, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  31. ↑ Noonan’s Nooz « NoonanForNevada says:. "Angle Amassing Several Key Endorsements for Right to Take on Reid". Nevada News and Views. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  32. ↑ "Veterans In Politics 2010 Clark County Commissioner, Clark County District Attorney, – Review-Journal eForum". Eforum.reviewjournal.com. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  33. ↑ "Sharron Angle". Gingpac.org. June 8, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  34. ↑ "Phyllis Schlafly Endorses Sharron Angle in GOP Nevada Senate Bid". YouTube. April 2, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  35. ↑ "Sharron Angle on KLAV with Leon Catlett". YouTube. April 25, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  36. ↑ Radnofsky, Louise (May 6, 2010). "Endorser's Remorse: Switch in Nev. Senate Race – Washington Wire – WSJ". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  37. ↑ "Western Representation PAC endorses Sharron Angle for US Senate | Western Representation". Westernpac.org. May 9, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  38. ↑ "Time to Retire Harry Reid – Sharron Angle for US Senate (NV)! « Can-Do Conservatives of America". Candoconservatives.com. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  39. ↑ "Endorsed Candidates – 2010 | Republican Liberty Caucus". Rlc.org. Archived from the original on August 13, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  40. ↑ Jordan, Kristi (March 8, 2010). "Tea Party hopeful Ashjian gives voters third choice". Las Vegas Review-Journal.
  41. ↑ "IAP's Tim Fasano files for US Senate race". Independent Political Report. Archived from the original on March 9, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  42. 1 2 3 "Nevada 2010 Midterm Election". Thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  43. ↑ Independent www.reeves4congress.com
  44. ↑ "GOP targets Reid in new ad buy". CNN. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  45. ↑ KREN.com (story no longer available)
  46. ↑ McArdle, John (June 10, 2010). "Rating Change: Reid's Race a Tossup". CQ Politics. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  47. ↑ Ball, Molly (June 29, 2009). "POLITICAL NOTEBOOK: Reid attracts more GOP supporters". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved July 13, 2010.
  48. ↑ "Reid's Angle: Attack GOP Foe Angle in Senate Bid". Associated Press story. Fox News Channel. June 16, 2010. Retrieved October 18, 2010.
  49. ↑ "Video: Cashell: I will support Reid". KRNV-DT. June 9, 2010. Retrieved October 18, 2010.
  50. ↑ Siegel, Elyse (July 9, 2010). "Tea Party Darling Sharron Angle Struggles To Persuade Some Nevada Republicans". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 16, 2010.
  51. ↑ "CNN Political Ticker: All politics, all the time Blog Archive - In new ad, Reid takes on challenger over Social Security « - Blogs from CNN.com". Politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  52. ↑ "U.S. SENATE RACE: Angle not softening her views - News". Lvrj.com. May 14, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  53. ↑ Goldberg, Delen (September 28, 2010), "Sharron Angle spokeswoman condemns her candidate's ad on immigration", Las Vegas Sun
  54. ↑ "Election offers clear choice - Opinion". Lvrj.com. Retrieved August 1, 2011.
  55. ↑ teamster. "Harry Reid for Senate – Sunday, October 10, 2010 | 2:05 am". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved August 1, 2011.
  56. ↑ "Reno Gazette-Journal Endorses US Sen. Reid over Angle". KOLOtv.com. Retrieved November 28, 2011.
  57. ↑ Top Nevada GOP lawmaker endorses Harry Reid, AP, Boston Herald, October 8, 2010
  58. ↑ Top Nevada Republican Endorses Harry Reid, Slams Sharron Angle, Elyse Siegel, The Huffington Post, October 7, 2010
  59. ↑ Reid gets top GOP endorsements, Molly Ball, Politico, October 8, 2010
  60. ↑ Eric Kleefeld (October 14, 2010). "Reid And Angle Face Off In Heated (And Only) Debate | TPMDC". Tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com. Retrieved August 1, 2011.
  61. ↑ Ralston, Jon (November 17, 2010). "Ensign played Reid in Angle debate prep; Angle once said dictators can have "good ideas"". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved November 18, 2010.
  62. ↑ "Reid's Seat Now Rated a Toss-Up". Politicalwire.com. September 10, 2009. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  63. ↑ Rothenberg, The (February 24, 2010). "The Rothenberg Political Report: CA Senate moved to Clear Advantage from Safe". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.blogspot.com. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  64. ↑ "Election 2010: Nevada Senate polling". Rasmussenreports.com. Retrieved July 9, 2010.
  65. 1 2 "Harry Reid takes the lead over Sharron Angle in Nevada". The Washington Post. The Washington Post Company. July 16, 2010.
  66. ↑ "Election 2010: Nevada Senate". Rasmussenreports.com. July 28, 2010. Retrieved July 28, 2010.
  67. ↑ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 19, 2010.
  68. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 19, 2010.
  69. ↑ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 19, 2010.
  70. ↑ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 19, 2010.
  71. ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 19, 2010.
  72. ↑ "Election 2010: Senate Balance Of Power". Rasmussen Reports. Retrieved October 19, 2010.
  73. ↑ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Nevada". fec.gov. Retrieved July 24, 2010.
  74. ↑ "GENERAL ELECTION RESULTS - News". Lvrj.com. November 4, 2010. Retrieved August 1, 2011.
  75. ↑ "2010 Nevada Senate Race". realclearpolitics.com. Retrieved November 9, 2010.
  76. ↑ "GENERAL ELECTION RESULTS". lvrj.com. November 4, 2010.

External links

Debates
Official campaign sites
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