Opinion polling in the Canadian federal election, 2015 by constituency

Various polling organisations have been conducting opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 2015 Canadian general election. The results of publicised opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.

Opinion polls have been conducted from the months following the previous general election held in May 2011, and have increased in frequency leading up to the general election.

Given the expense of polling individual constituencies, constituencies are usually only polled if they are of some particular interest, e.g. they are thought to be marginal or facing an impending by-election. The constituencies polled are not necessarily representative of a national average swing. Under the first-past-the-post electoral system the true marginal seats, by definition, will be decisive as to the outcome of the election.

A total of 204 polls in 107 ridings across 9 provinces and 1 territory were conducted.

Constituency polls

Alberta

Calgary Centre

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research October 13, 2015 HTML 38 19 39 6 0 ±3.72 pp 688 IVR
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 47 11 39 3 0 ±4.3 pp 531 IVR
Environics August 18, 2015 PDF 44 17 32 7 0 ±4.3 pp 517 IVR
2012 By-election November 26, 2012 HTML 37 4 33 26 1 ±0.0 pp 27,732 Election
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 55 15 19 10 0 ±0.0 pp 41,452 Election

Calgary Confederation

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research September 14, 2015 HTML 37 19 38 6 0 ±3.7 pp 679 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 52 16 18 14 0 ±0.0 pp 50,770 Election

Edmonton Centre

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
ThinkHQ October 15, 2015 PDF 36 24 33 4 2 ±4.3 pp 517 IVR
Mainstreet Research October 8, 2015 PDF 31 38 27 3 0 ±3.7 pp 701 IVR
Forum Research September 25, 2015 HTML 40 30 27 4 0 ±5.0 pp 524 IVR
Environics September 16, 2015 PDF 39 35 22 5 0 ±4.2 pp 547 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 46 26 24 4 1 ±0.0 pp 43,093 Election

Edmonton Griesbach

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics August 16, 2015 PDF 32 48 15 5 0 ±4.3 pp 509 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 53 37 7 3 0 ±0.0 pp 37,766 Election

Edmonton Manning

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics September 16, 2015 PDF 45 33 18 4 0 ±4.3 pp 512 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 55 27 9 3 6 ±0.0 pp 34,180 Election

Edmonton Mill Woods

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research October 8, 2015 PDF 39 15 39 7 0 ±3.73 pp 684 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 59 25 12 3 1 ±0.0 pp 35,454 Election

Edmonton Riverbend

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics September 16, 2015 PDF 44 34 18 4 0 ±4.3 pp 522 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 59 21 15 5 0 ±0.0 pp 43,267 Election

Edmonton West

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics September 16, 2015 PDF 48 19 29 4 0 ±3.9 pp 618 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 64 19 13 4 0 ±0.0 pp 43,267 Election

Fort McMurray—Cold Lake

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research September 10, 2015 HTML 45 15 35 5 0 ±4.4 pp 494 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 73 13 11 4 0 ±0.0 pp 25,650 Election

Lethbridge

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research October 13, 2015 HTML 56 26 13 4 0 ±3.81 pp 657 IVR
Environics September 17, 2015 PDF 48 34 14 5 0 ±3.8 pp 639 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 52 30 9 5 4 ±0.0 pp 41,165 Election

St. Albert—Edmonton

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research October 13, 2015 HTML 43 20 7 2 28 ±3.74 pp 681 IVR
Forum Research September 25, 2015 HTML 38 19 10 4 29 ±5.0 pp 490 IVR
Environics September 17, 2015 PDF 39 20 15 4 22 ±3.1 pp 1,030 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 64 20 11 5 0 ±0.0 pp 42,842 Election

Yellowhead

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research September 10, 2015 HTML 63 15 15 3 3 ±4.1 pp 569 IVR
2014 By-election November 17, 2014 HTML 63 10 20 5 3 ±0.0 pp 12,601 Election
Forum Research November 16, 2014 PDF 51 13 24 0 13 ±6.0 pp 311 IVR
Forum Research November 11, 2014 PDF 62 12 16 0 10 ±5.6 pp 360 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 78 13 3 5 1 ±0.0 pp 40,013 Election

British Columbia

Burnaby North—Seymour

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research October 10, 2015 HTML 38 26 27 9 0 ±3.65 pp 716 IVR
Insights West October 10, 2015 HTML 33 36 21 9 1 ±4.9 pp 400 Telephone
Insights West September 13, 2015 HTML 33 37 21 9 0 ±5.6 pp 301 Telephone
Insights West May 11, 2015 PDF 20 46 8 25 1 ±5.6 pp 301 Telephone
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 44 35 16 4 1 ±0.0 pp 43,290 Election

Cariboo—Prince George

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics October 11, 2015 PDF 30 36 29 5 0 ±4.4 pp 500 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 56 30 5 6 2 ±0.0 pp 43,239 Election

Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics October 11, 2015 PDF 31 34 29 6 0 ±4.4 pp 504 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 56 31 8 4 1 ±0.0 pp 40,286 Election

Courtenay—Alberni

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Insights West October 10, 2015 HTML 32 34 18 15 1 ±4.9 pp 400 Telephone
Mainstreet Research October 8, 2015 PDF 30 33 20 16 0 ±3.76 pp 672 IVR
Insights West September 13, 2015 HTML 33 39 13 12 3 ±5.6 pp 301 Telephone
Insights West May 11, 2015 PDF 30 42 14 11 3 ±5.6 pp 301 Telephone
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 45 41 7 7 1 ±0.0 pp 54,470 Election

Cowichan—Malahat—Langford

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Insights West October 5, 2015 HTML 28 35 14 19 4 ±4.9 pp 400 Telephone
Insights West May 11, 2015 PDF 28 41 15 10 5 ±5.6 pp 302 Telephone
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 43 44 6 7 0 ±0.0 pp 47,766 Election

Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Insights West October 10, 2015 HTML 19 39 20 21 1 ±5.6 pp 300 Telephone
Insights West September 13, 2015 HTML 20 39 19 19 3 ±5.6 pp 300 Telephone
Insights West May 11, 2015 PDF 17 50 14 16 4 ±5.6 pp 301 Telephone
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 37 39 10 13 0 ±0.0 pp 56,652 Election

Fleetwood—Port Kells

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research October 10, 2015 HTML 35 24 35 6 0 ±3.8 pp 661 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 48 33 16 3 0 ±0.0 pp 34,582 Election

Kootenay—Columbia

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics September 19, 2015 HTML 37 37 15 11 0 ±4.3 pp 529 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 50 39 3 6 1 ±0.0 pp 52,801 Election

Nanaimo—Ladysmith

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Insights West October 5, 2015 HTML 26 35 18 21 1 ±4.9 pp 400 Telephone
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 24 34 17 24 0 ±3.7 pp 699 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 40 45 7 7 0 ±0.0 pp 55,879 Election

North Island—Powell River

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics September 19, 2015 HTML 27 41 18 14 0 ±4.2 pp 556 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 46 41 6 5 1 ±0.0 pp 50,897 Election

North Okanagan—Shuswap

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics October 11, 2015 PDF 33 37 22 8 0 ±3.6 pp 755 IVR
Mainstreet Research October 10, 2015 PDF 45 26 24 5 0 ±4.1 pp 567 IVR
Oraclepoll Research October 6, 2015 PDF 38 41 12 9 0 ±5.5 pp 312 Telephone
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 55 26 7 11 0 ±0.0 pp 56,921 Election

North Vancouver

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Insights West October 10, 2015 HTML 33 11 41 15 0 ±4.9 pp 400 Telephone
Insights West September 13, 2015 HTML 31 14 41 13 1 ±5.6 pp 297 Telephone
Insights West July 7, 2015 PDF 30 24 31 14 1 ±5.6 pp 305 Telephone
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 48 17 30 5 1 ±0.0 pp 50,306 Election

Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 35 41 19 6 0 ±4.2 pp 543 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 55 35 6 5 0 ±0.0 pp 38,418 Election

Port Moody—Coquitlam

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 34 41 19 7 0 ±4.3 pp 529 IVR
Environics August 18, 2015 PDF 27 54 14 5 0 ±4.3 pp 511 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 46 40 9 4 0 ±0.0 pp 43,458 Election

South Okanagan—West Kootenay

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Insights West October 10, 2015 HTML 31 36 23 8 3 ±5.6 pp 301 Telephone
Insights West September 13, 2015 HTML 33 42 18 4 3 ±5.6 pp 303 Telephone
Insights West July 7, 2015 PDF 25 55 11 6 2 ±5.6 pp 302 Telephone
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 39 45 7 8 1 ±0.0 pp 56,652 Election

Vancouver Granville

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics October 11, 2015 PDF 28 33 35 4 0 ±4.4 pp 505 IVR
Mainstreet Research October 8, 2015 PDF 20 28 44 9 0 ±3.8 pp 665 IVR
Environics September 21, 2015 HTML 29 36 30 6 0 ±4.2 pp 541 IVR
Environics August 18, 2015 PDF 30 36 24 10 0 ±4.5 pp 482 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 35 24 30 9 1 ±0.0 pp 43,654 Election

Vancouver South

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Insights West October 10, 2015 HTML 33 19 38 8 1 ±5.6 pp 301 Telephone
Insights West September 13, 2015 HTML 27 22 40 8 3 ±5.6 pp 303 Telephone
Insights West July 7, 2015 PDF 24 30 39 4 3 ±5.6 pp 301 Telephone
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 42 21 34 2 1 ±0.0 pp 36,706 Election

West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research October 10, 2015 HTML 32 15 37 16 0 ±3.76 pp 673 IVR
Insights West October 10, 2015 HTML 31 14 42 13 0 ±4.9 pp 403 Telephone
Insights West September 13, 2015 HTML 30 22 34 11 2 ±5.6 pp 302 Telephone
Environics August 16, 2015 PDF 23 27 30 19 0 ±4.1 pp 582 IVR
Insights West July 7, 2015 PDF 30 26 31 12 1 ±5.6 pp 301 Telephone
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 46 21 24 8 1 ±0.0 pp 52,062 Election

Manitoba

Elmwood—Transcona

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 39 37 20 4 0 ±4.2 pp 552 IVR
Environics August 16, 2015 PDF 30 39 25 6 0 ±4.3 pp 517 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 47 45 5 3 0 ±0.0 pp 34,287 Election

Saint Boniface—Saint Vital

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research September 21, 2015 HTML 33 25 37 5 0 ±3.83 pp 651 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 50 16 31 3 0 ±0.0 pp 40,418 Election

Winnipeg South Centre

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 31 23 38 8 0 ±4.0 pp 597 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 41 18 37 3 1 ±0.0 pp 46,619 Election

New Brunswick

Fredericton

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics October 4, 2015 HTML 32 14 43 12 0 ±3.4 pp 839 IVR
Environics September 19, 2015 PDF 32 20 37 10 0 ±4.1 pp 580 IVR
Environics August 16, 2015 PDF 29 26 34 12 0 ±3.5 pp 799 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 47 24 24 4 1 ±0.0 pp 38,772 Election

Saint John—Rothesay

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research October 8, 2015 PDF 36 26 34 4 0 ±4.33 pp 510 IVR
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 38 25 33 4 0 ±3.7 pp 623 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 50 31 16 3 1 ±0.0 pp 35,964 Election

Newfoundland and Labrador

Avalon

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research September 17, 2015 HTML 14 19 43 4 19 ±3.74 pp 679 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 37 29 33 1 1 ±0.0 pp 35,623 Election

Nova Scotia

Central Nova

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 23 20 50 7 0 ±4.1 pp 573 IVR
Mainstreet Research September 17, 2015 HTML 36 26 30 8 0 ±3.82 pp 652 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 55 27 14 4 0 ±0.0 pp 38,878 Election

Cumberland—Colchester

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 32 7 54 6 0 ±3.9 pp 617 IVR
Mainstreet Research September 17, 2015 HTML 33 12 48 7 0 ±3.79 pp 660 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 53 22 18 5 1 ±0.0 pp 38,878 Election

Ontario

Ajax

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research September 14, 2015 HTML 39 20 37 4 0 ±3.7 pp 690 IVR
Forum Research September 11, 2015 PDF 35 17 46 2 0 ±4.0 pp 425 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 44 15 38 3 0 ±0.0 pp 44,166 Election

Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Oraclepoll Research October 8, 2015 HTML 30 45 20 5 0 ±5.6 pp 300 Telephone
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 33 50 14 3 0 ±0.0 pp 39,174 Election

Brampton Centre

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research October 8, 2015 PDF 40 14 41 5 0 ±3.8 pp 653 IVR
Forum Research October 2, 2015 PDF 39 25 32 4 0 ±5.0 pp 456 IVR
Mainstreet Research January 28, 2014 PDF 40 24 30 6 0 ±3.99 pp 598 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 46 23 25 4 1 ±0.0 pp 34,796 Election

Brampton East

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research September 29, 2015 HTML 35 24 36 5 0 ±3.73pp 684 IVR
Mainstreet Research January 28, 2014 PDF 23 38 36 3 0 ±3.98 pp 600 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 29 38 31 2 1 ±0.0 pp 28,625 Election

Brampton North

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research October 8, 2015 PDF 37 16 46 1 0 ±3.7 pp 689 IVR
Forum Research October 4, 2015 PDF 39 24 34 2 0 ±5.0 pp 336 IVR
Mainstreet Research January 28, 2014 PDF 42 20 33 5 0 ±3.99 pp 600 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 49 19 28 4 0 ±0.0 pp 39,812 Election

Brampton South

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research January 28, 2014 PDF 40 18 39 3 0 ±3.99 pp 599 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 45 16 35 2 1 ±0.0 pp 35,560 Election

Brampton West

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research January 28, 2014 PDF 40 19 38 2 0 ±3.99 pp 600 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 42 20 36 2 1 ±0.0 pp 28,505 Election

Brantford—Brant

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 39 30 25 6 0 ±3.9 pp 622 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 48 29 19 3 1 ±0.0 pp 55,085 Election

Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics October 11, 2015 PDF 41 16 40 4 0 ±3.2 pp 966 IVR
Environics September 21, 2015 HTML 43 20 29 9 0 ±3.1 pp 1,022 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 56 18 16 10 1 ±0.0 pp 51,054 Election

Cambridge

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 43 17 34 6 0 ±4.2 pp 552 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 53 28 15 4 1 ±0.0 pp 44,827 Election

Chatham-Kent—Leamington

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research September 29, 2015 HTML 45 23 27 4 0 ±3.88pp 625 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 53 27 16 3 0 ±0.0 pp 46,376 Election

Don Valley West

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research September 29, 2015 HTML 35 13 47 4 0 ±3.72pp 688 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 44 11 41 4 0 ±0.0 pp 38,984 Election

Eglinton—Lawrence

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics October 4, 2015 HTML 39 14 44 3 0 ±3.4 pp 823 IVR
Forum Research September 21, 2015 PDF 38 17 44 2 0 ±4.0 pp 634 IVR
Environics September 19, 2015 HTML 35 24 37 4 0 ±4.1 pp 565 IVR
Environics August 16, 2015 PDF 36 25 35 4 0 ±4.0 pp 588 IVR
Forum Research August 5, 2015 HTML 41 20 34 5 1 ±4.0 pp 709 IVR
Forum Research February 13, 2015 HTML 49 13 28 7 0 ±4.0 pp 659 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 47 12 38 3 0 ±0.0 pp 48,389 Election

Essex

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics October 4, 2015 HTML 38 37 22 4 0 ±3.8 pp 655 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 48 35 14 2 0 ±0.0 pp 50,219 Election

Etobicoke Centre

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Forum Research September 11, 2015 PDF 42 11 43 3 1 ±3 pp 885 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 42 15 41 3 0 ±0.0 pp 49,685 Election

Etobicoke—Lakeshore

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics October 4, 2015 HTML 36 16 43 4 0 ±3.8 pp 665 IVR
Environics September 19, 2015 HTML 38 19 40 3 0 ±4.2 pp 537 IVR
Forum Research September 17, 2015 PDF 33 22 41 4 0 ±3 pp 835 IVR
Environics August 16, 2015 PDF 31 28 36 5 0 ±4.2 pp 544 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 40 20 35 4 0 ±0.0 pp 50,920 Election

Flamborough—Glanbrook

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research October 8, 2015 PDF 48 14 28 9 0 ±3.80 pp 659 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 55 23 17 4 1 ±0.0 pp 45,387 Election

Guelph

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 25 18 45 12 0 ±4.0 pp 601 IVR
Environics July 13, 2015 HTML 28 38 27 7 0 ±4.0 pp 597 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 33 17 43 6 1 ±0.0 pp 59,218 Election

Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research October 8, 2015 PDF 27 16 50 7 0 ±3.76 pp 672 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 42 28 25 4 1 ±0.0 pp 53,119 Election

Kanata—Carleton

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics October 11, 2015 PDF 39 8 50 3 0 ±3.4 pp 861 IVR
Mainstreet Research October 4, 2015 HTML 45 8 43 4 0 ±3.89 pp 630 IVR
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 44 13 37 5 0 ±4.1 pp 562 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 54 15 26 5 0 ±0.0 pp 50,802 Election

Kenora

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics October 5, 2015 HTML 40 29 28 4 0 ±3.8 pp 647 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 47 28 22 3 1 ±0.0 pp 24,586 Election

Kingston and the Islands

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics July 13, 2015 HTML 23 37 36 5 0 ±4.0 pp 563 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 34 22 40 4 0 ±0.0 pp 56,663 Election

Kitchener Centre

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics October 11, 2015 PDF 28 22 46 4 0 ±3.4 pp 856 IVR
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 31 30 33 7 0 ±3.8 pp 672 IVR
Environics August 16, 2015 PDF 29 33 31 7 0 ±3.9 pp 625 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 40 22 32 5 1 ±0.0 pp 46,998 Election

London North Centre

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics October 4, 2015 HTML 32 15 48 5 0 ±3.8 pp 668 IVR
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 35 25 35 5 0 ±4.2 pp 540 IVR
Environics August 16, 2015 PDF 32 27 34 6 0 ±3.7 pp 700 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 37 24 34 4 0 ±0.0 pp 53,445 Election

London West

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research October 8, 2015 PDF 33 19 42 6 0 ±3.75 pp 678 IVR
Environics October 4, 2015 HTML 38 20 37 5 0 ±2.9 pp 1,132 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 45 25 27 3 0 ±0.0 pp 58,342 Election

Markham—Stouffville

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Forum Research October 3, 2015 PDF 40 6 51 2 0 ±5.0 pp 439 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 50 17 29 3 1 ±0.0 pp 47,183 Election

Mississauga Centre

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Forum Research October 4, 2015 PDF 35 16 44 5 0 ±5.0 pp 308 IVR
Mainstreet Research January 28, 2014 PDF 36 20 41 3 0 ±3.99 pp 600 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 42 19 37 2 0 ±0.0 pp 42,677 Election

Mississauga East—Cooksville

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research January 28, 2014 PDF 37 19 41 3 0 ±3.99 pp 601 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 44 18 36 2 0 ±0.0 pp 44,249 Election

Mississauga—Erin Mills

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research January 28, 2014 PDF 41 16 39 4 0 ±3.99 pp 600 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 47 16 34 3 0 ±0.0 pp 46,468 Election

Mississauga—Lakeshore

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Forum Research October 4, 2015 PDF 41 12 44 3 0 ±4.0 pp 538 IVR
Mainstreet Research January 28, 2014 PDF 32 24 42 3 0 ±3.99 pp 600 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 47 13 37 0 0 ±0.0 pp 51,746 Election

Mississauga—Malton

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Forum Research October 2, 2015 PDF 29 20 44 5 2 ±5.0 pp 335 IVR
Mainstreet Research January 28, 2014 PDF 41 14 41 4 0 ±3.99 pp 600 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 38 23 37 2 0 ±0.0 pp 36,632 Election

Mississauga—Streetsville

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research January 28, 2014 PDF 40 16 40 5 0 ±3.99 pp 599 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 46 15 35 4 0 ±0.0 pp 46,236 Election

Nepean

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics October 11, 2015 PDF 40 10 47 4 0 ±3.2 pp 1,032 IVR
Mainstreet Research October 4, 2015 HTML 41 13 42 4 0 ±3.81 pp 655 IVR
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 40 19 34 8 0 ±4.1 pp 569 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 51 18 27 4 0 ±0.0 pp 51,130 Election

Niagara Falls

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 42 27 25 6 0 ±4.2 pp 557 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 53 23 19 4 0 ±0.0 pp 53,980 Election

Nickel Belt

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Oraclepoll Research October 8, 2015 HTML 14 46 35 5 0 ±5.6 pp 300 Telephone
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 28 55 14 3 0 ±0.0 pp 44,148 Election

Nipissing—Timiskaming

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Oraclepoll Research October 8, 2015 HTML 31 16 47 6 0 ±5.6 pp 300 Telephone
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 36 21 37 6 0 ±0.0 pp 39,174 Election

Oakville North—Burlington

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Forum Research May 12, 2014 PDF 42 8 45 3 2 ±4.0 pp 530 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 54 16 27 3 0 ±0.0 pp 46,840 Election

Orléans

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research September 29, 2015 HTML 33 19 40 8 0 ±3.8pp 660 IVR
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 36 11 51 3 0 ±4.1 pp 567 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 45 14 38 3 0 ±0.0 pp 64,007 Election

Ottawa Centre

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research October 4, 2015 HTML 22 42 30 6 0 ±3.79 pp 685 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 22 52 20 5 1 ±0.0 pp 64,689 Election

Ottawa West—Nepean

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research October 4, 2015 HTML 29 20 47 4 0 ±3.72 pp 661 IVR
Forum Research September 25, 2015 PDF 35 15 46 0 4 ±3.0pp 1,083 IVR
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 35 20 39 5 0 ±3.6 pp 747 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 45 20 31 4 0 ±0.0 pp 56,602 Election

Perth—Wellington

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research October 8, 2015 HTML 36 21 35 8 0 ±3.8 pp 652 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 54 21 18 5 2 ±0.0 pp 46,401 Election

Peterborough—Kawartha

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics October 11, 2015 PDF 34 17 46 3 0 ±3.4 pp 859 IVR
Forum Research September 24, 2015 PDF 34 24 37 4 1 ±3.0 pp 1294 IVR
Nanos Research August 26, 2015 HTML 29 27 41 4 0 ±5.7 pp 300 Telephone
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 50 25 21 4 0 ±0.0 pp 57,384 Election

Sault Ste. Marie

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Oraclepoll Research October 7, 2015 HTML 36 23 35 6 0 ±5.6 pp 300 Telephone
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 31 30 34 6 0 ±3.9 pp 632 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 40 37 20 2 0 ±0.0 pp 40,390 Election

Scarborough Centre

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Forum Research October 3, 2015 PDF 36 19 43 2 0 ±5.0 pp 458 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 35 30 32 3 0 ±0.0 pp 36,811 Election

Scarborough Southwest

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research September 29, 2015 HTML 21 37 40 3 0 ±3.83pp 654 IVR
Forum Research September 22, 2015 PDF 27 32 35 5 1 ±4.0 pp 608 IVR
Forum Research April 26, 2015 HTML 20 34 42 3 1 ±4.0 pp 587 IVR
Forum Research February 13, 2015 PDF 27 29 39 4 1 ±4.0 pp 557 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 32 35 29 4 0 ±0.0 pp 39,379 Election

Spadina—Fort York

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Forum Research October 1, 2015 HTML 17 42 37 5 0 ±5.0 pp 461 IVR
Mainstreet Research September 14, 2015 HTML 13 45 39 3 0 ±3.72 pp 671 IVR
Forum Research August 6, 2015 PDF 10 57 28 4 1 ±5.0 pp 345 IVR
Mainstreet Research June 30, 2015 HTML 14 44 36 6 0 ±3.87 pp 606 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 21 50 24 4 1 ±0.0 pp 36,969 Election

Sudbury

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Oraclepoll Research October 10, 2015 HTML 27 38 31 4 0 ±4.9 pp 400 Telephone
Mainstreet Research December 21, 2014 HTML 22 29 46 3 0 ±3.98 pp 602 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 28 50 18 3 1 ±0.0 pp 45,441 Election

Timmins—James Bay

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Oraclepoll Research October 8, 2015 HTML 11 62 21 5 0 ±5.6 pp 300 Telephone
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 32 50 16 2 0 ±0.0 pp 33,706 Election

Toronto Centre

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Forum Research October 1, 2015 HTML 17 37 42 4 0 ±4.0 pp 597 IVR
Forum Research August 28, 2015 PDF 14 41 40 4 1 ±4.0 pp 488 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 17 36 40 5 1 ±0.0 pp 37,350 Election

University—Rosedale

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Forum Research September 30, 2015 HTML 20 39 38 3 0 ±4.0 pp 604 IVR
Mainstreet Research September 29, 2015 HTML 15 43 39 3 0 ±3.84pp 644 IVR
Forum Research August 25, 2015 PDF 17 46 32 5 0 ±4.0 pp 528 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 20 44 31 5 1 ±0.0 pp 46,665 Election

Waterloo

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 31 26 39 3 0 ±3.8 pp 658 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 41 15 38 5 0 ±0.0 pp 53,632 Election

Willowdale

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 36 15 45 5 0 ±4.2 pp 535 IVR
Environics August 17, 2015 PDF 32 26 37 5 0 ±4.3 pp 508 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 41 19 39 0 0 ±0.0 pp 38,984 Election

Windsor West

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research July 8, 2015 HTML 21 39 37 3 0 ±3.97pp 581 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 32 54 11 3 0 ±0.0 pp 39,745 Election

York Centre

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Forum Research October 4, 2015 PDF 40 17 39 3 2 ±5.0 pp 387 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 49 16 33 2 0 ±0.0 pp 35,546 Election

Quebec

Ahuntsic-Cartierville

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal BQ Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research September 21, 2015 HTML 13 37 34 13 3 0 ±3.7 pp 698 IVR
Mainstreet Research December 7, 2013 PDF 6 13 45 31 4 0 ±3.8 pp 661 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 9 30 31 28 1 1 ±0.0 pp 48,602 Election

Chicoutimi—Le Fjord

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal BQ Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Segma Research October 12, 2015 HTML 19.7 33.1 22.3 22.1 2.8
Segma Research September 19, 2015 HTML 17.0 41.2 18.9 17.8 5.1
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 25.6 37.7 5.8 28.9 1.5 0.7 ±0.0 pp 43,094 Election

Jonquière

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal BQ Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Segma Research October 12, 2015 HTML 20.3 33.0 23.8 19.2 2.9 0.8
Segma Research September 19, 2015 HTML 20.1 37.1 18.0 20.0 4.8
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 34 43 3 19 1 0 ±0.0 pp 46,657 Election

Lac-Saint-Jean

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal BQ Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Segma Research October 12, 2015 HTML 34.6 29.6 15.8 17.2 2.9 0
Segma Research September 19, 2015 HTML 34.7 29.4 10.6 20.6 4.7 0
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 42 32 3 21 1 0 ±0.0 pp 54,920 Election

Laurier—Sainte-Marie

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal BQ Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
CROP August 29, 2015 HTML 2 57 15 20 4 2 ±5.0 pp 377 Telephone
Mainstreet Research December 7, 2013 PDF 6 32 26 36 1 0 ±3.82 pp 653 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 4 46 11 35 3 1 ±0.0 pp 51,102 Election

Montarville

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal BQ Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Solutions Logik September 25, 2015 HTML 9 28 14 46 3 0
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 10 45 13 29 2 2 ±0.0 pp 52,165 Election

Mount Royal

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal BQ Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research September 21, 2015 HTML 27 16 50 7 2 0 ±3.76 pp 672 IVR
Mainstreet Research December 7, 2013 PDF 16 15 56 7 6 0 ±3.93 pp 618 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 36 18 41 3 2 0 ±0.0 pp 39,007 Election

Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal BQ Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research October 4, 2015 HTML 10 33 40 7 10 0 665 IVR
Mainstreet Research December 7, 2013 PDF 13 22 52 10 3 0 ±3.9 pp 626 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 18 35 38 4 4 1 ±0.0 pp 44,642 Election

Papineau

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal BQ Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research September 17, 2015 HTML 11 36 41 12 0 0 ±3.49 pp 783 IVR
CROP September 14, 2015 HTML 5 46 35 10 4 0 ±5.06 pp 375 Telephone
Mainstreet Research December 7, 2013 PDF 5 14 61 20 0 0 ±4.13 pp 560 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 5 29 38 25 2 1 ±0.0 pp 45,887 Election

Pontiac

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal BQ Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research October 4, 2015 HTML 19 36 34 8 3 0 ±3.74 pp 673 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 26 47 15 10 2 0 ±0.0 pp 35,508 Election

Richmond—Arthabaska

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal BQ Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research September 21, 2015 HTML 46 35 7 10 2 0 ±3.77 pp 668 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 25 32 7 34 2 0 ±0.0 pp 53,303 Election

Saskatchewan

Regina—Lewvan

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research September 21, 2015 HTML 40 34 21 5 0 ±3.85 pp 639 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 44 45 8 3 0 ±0.0 pp 38,508 Election

Saskatoon—University

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics September 20, 2015 HTML 37 37 22 4 0 ±3.4 pp 853 IVR
Environics August 16, 2015 PDF 34 41 22 4 0 ±3.7 pp 691 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 49 38 10 3 1 ±0.0 pp 35,122 Election

Saskatoon West

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research September 21, 2015 HTML 31 36 25 9 0 ±3.83 pp 658 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 43 51 4 3 0 ±0.0 pp 30,459 Election

Yukon

Yukon

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Cons. NDP Liberal Green Other Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Environics September 21, 2015 HTML 27 29 39 4 0 ±4.4 pp 497 IVR
2011 Election May 2, 2011 HTML 34 14 33 19 0 ±0.0 pp 16,057 Election

See also

Notes

Notes

1 In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the latter is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls—because of their opt-in method of recruiting panellists which results in a non-random sample—cannot have a margin of error.[1] In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.[2]
2 Refers to the total sample size, including undecided and non-voters.
3 "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey.
4 Election Results shown for 2011 are the redistributed results for the 2015 districts. These are fixed until 2023 under the present federal electoral system. About 80% of the 308 districts defined in 2003 changed their borders or are entirely new: 338 districts were defined in 2015.

References

  1. ↑ "MRIA Responds to "Evaluating the Polls: An Open Letter to Ontario's Journalists"". Marketing Research and Intelligence Association. September 16, 2011. Retrieved October 6, 2012.
  2. ↑ American Association for Public Opinion Research (undated), Best Practices for Survey and Public Opinion Research, retrieved October 17, 2012
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