United States Senate election in Nevada, 2016

United States Senate election in Nevada, 2016
Nevada
November 8, 2016

 
Nominee Catherine Cortez Masto Joe Heck
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 520,658 494,427
Percentage 47.1% 44.7%


U.S. Senator before election

Harry Reid
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Catherine Cortez Masto
Democratic

The 2016 United States Senate election in Nevada was held on November 8, 2016 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The state primary election was held on June 14, 2016.[1]

Incumbent Democratic Senator Harry Reid, the Senate Minority Leader, initially said he would seek re-election to a sixth term, but announced on March 26, 2015 that he would retire instead. [2][3]

Catherine Cortez Masto (D) defeated Joe Heck (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016.

Democratic Party primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Democratic endorsements

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Catherine Cortez Masto 81,944 81%
Democratic Allen Rheinhart 5,645 6%
Democratic None of these candidates 5,498 5%
Democratic Liddo Susan O'Briant 4,834 5%
Democratic Bobby Mahendra 3,760 3%
Total votes 101,681 100%

Republican Party primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joe
Heck
Sharron
Angle
Other Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies March 28–30, 2016 500 ± 4.38% 67% 11% 3% 17%

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Joe Heck 74,517 65%
Republican Sharron Angle 26,142 23%
Republican None of these candidates 3,902 3%
Republican Thomas Heck 3,570 3%
Republican Eddie Hamilton 2,507 2%
Republican D'Nese Davis 1,937 2%
Republican Bill Tarbell 1,179 1%
Republican Robert Leeds 662 0.6%
Republican Juston Preble 582 0.5%
Republican Carlo Poliak 279 0.2%
Total votes 114,827 100.00

Independent American Party primary

Candidates

Declared

Libertarian Party primary

Candidates

Declined

Independents

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[66] Tossup September 30, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] Lean D November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[68] Tossup September 30, 2016
Daily Kos[69] Lean D November 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics[70] Tossup October 1, 2016

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Catherine
Cortez Masto (D)
Joe
Heck (R)
Other None of these
candidates
Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 1,207 ± 4.6% 50% 45% 5%
Gravis Marketing November 3–6, 2016 1,158 ± 2.9% 49% 43% 8%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 1,124 ± 4.6% 49% 46% 5%
Emerson College November 4–5, 2016 600 ± 3.9% 48% 47% 3% 1%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 1,016 ± 4.6% 49% 46% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 937 ± 4.6% 48% 47% 5%
Public Policy Polling October 31–November 1, 2016 688 ± 3.7% 47% 44% 9%
JMC Analytics & Polling (R)/8 News NOW October 28–November 1, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 45% 43% 1% 3% 7%
45% 43% 1% 4% 6%
The Times Picayune/Lucid October 28–November 1, 2016 892 ± 3.0% 47% 41% 13%
CNN/ORC October 27–November 1, 2016 790 LV ± 3.5% 47% 49% 3% 1%
860 RV 47% 48% 4% 1%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 994 ± 4.6% 47% 47% 6%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 1,010 ± 4.6% 47% 47% 6%
Emerson College October 26–27, 2016 550 ± 4.1% 44% 48% 3% 6%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing October 25, 2016 875 ± 3.3% 50% 44% 6%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 20–24, 2016 707 LV ± 3.7% 42% 49% 4% 5%
985 RV ± 3.1% 42% 47% 4% 6%
Bendixen & Amandi International/Las Vegas Review-Journal October 20–23, 2016 800 ± 3.5% 45% 44% 2% 9%
KTNV/Rasmussen October 20–22, 2016 826 ± 3.5% 43% 41% 7% 8%
Monmouth University October 14–17, 2016 413 ± 4.8% 42% 45% 4% 5% 4%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey October 8–16, 2016 884 ± 0.5% 47% 48% 5%
CNN/ORC October 10–15, 2016 698 LV ± 3.5% 52% 45% 2% 1%
862 RV 50% 44% 4% 2%
CBS News/YouGov October 12–14, 2016 996 ± 4.5% 39% 39% 4% 18%
JMC Analytics & Polling (R)/8 News NOW October 10–13, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 41% 36% 6% 5% 14%
40% 35% 6% 4% 16%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) October 11–12, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 44% 47% 2% 5%
Clarity Campaign Labs - End Citizens United October 10–11, 2016 1,010 ± 3.1% 44% 41% 8% 7%
Public Policy Polling October 10–11, 2016 986 ± 3.1% 43% 39% 18%
Emerson College October 2–4, 2016 700 ± 3.6% 41% 45% 7% 7%
Hart Research Associates September 27–October 2, 2016 700 ± 3.2% 46% 47% 7%
Bendixen & Amandi International/Las Vegas Review-Journal September 27–29, 2016 800 ± 3.5% 45% 47% 8%
Suffolk University September 27–29, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 35% 38% 2% 4% 18%
FOX News September 18–20, 2016 704 LV ± 3.5% 36% 43% 7% 5% 8%
805 RV 34% 41% 7% 8% 10%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps September 10–19, 2016 400 ± 4.0% 41% 47% 1% 11%
KTNV/Rasmussen September 16–18, 2016 800 ± 4.0% 40% 44% 6% 11%
Insights West September 12–14, 2016 398 ± 4.9% 39% 43% 4% 14%
Monmouth University September 11–13, 2016 406 ± 4.9% 43% 46% 4% 3% 4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - End Citizens United September 6–8, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 49% 47% 4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist September 6–8, 2016 627 LV ± 3.9% 45% 47% 1% 7%
915 RV ± 3.2% 46% 45% 1% 8%
Public Policy Polling September 6–7, 2016 815 ± 3.4% 42% 41% 16%
Suffolk University August 15–17, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 37% 37% 3% 6% 14%
CBS News/YouGov August 2–5, 2016 993 ± 4.6% 35% 38% 4% 23%
KTNV/Rasmussen July 29–31, 2016 750 ± 4.0% 41% 42% 6% 11%
KTNV/Rasmussen July 22–24, 2016 750 ± 4.0% 37% 46% 5% 12%
Monmouth University July 7–10, 2016 408 ± 4.9% 40% 42% 5% 6% 7%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps June 11–20, 2016 300 ± 5.7% 41% 46% 13%
Gravis Marketing May 24–25, 2016 1,637 ± 2.0% 45% 43% 12%
Gravis Marketing February 14–15, 2016 1,366 ± 3.0% 41% 44% 15%
Gravis Marketing December 23–27, 2015 909 ± 3.0% 37% 47% 16%
Gravis Marketing July 16, 2015 1,276 ± 3.0% 35% 49% 16%
Public Policy Polling July 15, 2015 677 ± 3.8% 42% 41% 17%

Results

Despite Republican victories elsewhere nationwide, Cortez Masto won her bid to succeed Harry Reid 47.07-44.70, or by 2.37%, running 0.01% better than Hillary Clinton. [71]

United States Senate election in Nevada, 2016
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Catherine Cortez Masto 520,658 47.07% -3.22%
Republican Joe Heck 494,427 44.55% +0.25%
None of These Candidates 42,085 3.81% +1.56%
Independent American Party of Nevada Tom Jones 17,104 1.55% +1.11%
No Party Preference Tony Guinta 10,719 0.97% N/A
No Party Preference Jarrod Williams 6,864 0.62% N/A
Majority 26,231 2.37%
Total votes 1,106,020 100 +52.62%
Democratic hold Swing

See also

References

  1. "NEVADA ELECTION CALENDAR".
  2. 1 2 Meredith Shiner (August 7, 2012). "Nevada: Harry Reid to Retire … in 2016?". Roll Call. Retrieved March 22, 2015.
  3. Dann, Carrie (March 27, 2015). "Harry Reid Says He's Not Running for Re-Election in 2016". NBC News. Retrieved March 27, 2015.
  4. DelReal, Jose A. "Catherine Cortez Masto announces bid to succeed Harry Reid in the Senate". The Washington Post. Retrieved April 8, 2015.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Richardson, Seth A. (March 18, 2016). "UPDATE: 18, including Angle, file for Reid Senate seat, 3 Dems hope to challenge Amodei". Reno Gazette-Journal. Retrieved March 19, 2016.
  6. 1 2 Cheney, Kyle (December 29, 2014). "16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate". Politico. Retrieved December 29, 2014.
  7. 1 2 3 4 Cheney, Kyle (March 27, 2015). "Parties search for Harry Reid replacements in Nevada". Politico. Retrieved March 27, 2015.
  8. 1 2 3 Myers, Laura (March 31, 2015). "Berkley, Heck, Rory: No plans to run for Reid Senate seat". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved April 1, 2015.
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  10. Myers, Laura (April 22, 2015). "Democrat Lucy Flores announces congressional bid". Las Vegas Review Journal. Retrieved April 23, 2015.
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 Myers, Laura (April 30, 2015). "Notable Nevada politicians endorse Catherine Cortez Masto's U.S. Senate bid". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved May 26, 2015.
  12. 1 2 Miller, Ross (April 8, 2015). "I'm proud to support my friend Catherine Cortez Masto in her bid for US Senate". Twitter. Retrieved April 8, 2015.
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  16. Avila, Sergio (October 13, 2016). "Vice President Biden rallies Democratic voters during Las Vegas visit". KSNV. Retrieved October 30, 2016.
  17. Botkin, Ben; Bruzda, Natalie (August 4, 2016). "Clinton says US should offer varied job training opportunities to young people". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved August 5, 2016. Clinton also praised U.S. Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., who is retiring, and encouraged supporters to vote for Catherine Cortez Masto, the Democratic candidate running for the open seat against U.S. Rep. Joe Heck, R-Nev.
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  20. Kirsten Gillibrand (December 31, 2015). "Proud to support @TammyforIL @DonnaFEdwards @KamalaHarris @Maggie_Hassan @Ann_Kirkpatrick @CatherineForNV & @KatieMcGintyPA for Senate.". Twitter. Retrieved January 13, 2016.
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  27. Farooque, Omer (September 25, 2015). "BREAKING: Democracy for America endorses Catherine Cortez Masto for U.S. Senate". Democracy for America. Retrieved October 8, 2015.
  28. Levinson, Alexis (April 8, 2015). ".@dscc endorses Catherine Cortez Masto as "strongest candidate to keep this Senate seat in Dem hands and continue Harry Reid's legacy"". Twitter. Retrieved April 8, 2015.
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  31. LCV mailing March 2016
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  33. "Planned Parenthood Action fund is thrilled to help Catherine Cortez Masto make history and become the first Latina elected to the U.S. Senate". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved August 16, 2016.
  34. Dison, Denis (October 7, 2015). "NRDC Action Fund endorses Cortez Masto for Senate". The MARKUP. NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved 2016-07-17.
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  36. Hartley, Eric (February 5, 2015). "All three Henderson council members up for re-election draw challengers". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved June 8, 2015.
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  65. "Socialist Party Campaign Clearinghouse".
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External links

Official campaign websites
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