Western Australian state election, 2013

Western Australian state election, 2013

9 March 2013

All 59 seats in the Western Australian Legislative Assembly and all 36 members in the Western Australian Legislative Council   First party Second party Third party   Leader Colin Barnett Mark McGowan Brendon Grylls Party Liberal Labor National Leader since 6 August 2008 23 January 2012 21 June 2005 Leader's seat Cottesloe Rockingham won Pilbara Last election 24 seats 28 seats 4 seats Seats before 24 seats 26 seats 5 seats Seats won 31 seats 21 seats 7 seats Seat change 7 5 2 Popular vote 557,903 392,448 71,694 Percentage 47.10% 33.13% 6.05% Swing 8.71 2.70 1.18

Premier before election Colin Barnett Liberal Elected Premier Colin Barnett Liberal

A general election was held in the state of Western Australia on Saturday 9 March 2013 to elect 59 members to the Legislative Assembly and 36 members to the Legislative Council. The Liberal Party won a majority of seats in the Legislative Assembly for the first time since the election of 1996, retaining government with 31 seats. The Australian Labor Party won 21 seats and the National Party won 7 seats.

Results

Legislative Assembly

Western Australian state election, 9 March 2013[1] Legislative Assembly << 2008 — 2017 >>
Enrolled voters		1,412,533
Votes cast		1,260,089		Turnout	89.21%	+2.73%
Informal votes		75,657		Informal	6.00%	+0.68%
Summary of votes by party
Party		Primary votes	%	Swing	Seats	Change
	Liberal	557,903	47.10	+8.71	31	+7
	Labor	392,448	33.13	–2.70	21	–7
	Greens	99,431	8.39	–3.52	0	±0
	National	71,694	6.05	+1.18	7	+3
	Christians	21,451	1.81	–0.77	0	±0
	Family First	7,039	0.59	–1.35	0	±0
	Independents	34,466	2.91	–1.44	0	–3
Total		1,184,432			59
Two-party-preferred
	Liberal	678,231	57.29%	+5.44%
	Labor	505,650	42.71%	–5.44%

Legislative Council

Western Australian state election, 9 March 2013 Legislative Council
Enrolled voters		1,412,533
Votes cast		1,260,929		Turnout	89.27%	+2.72%
Informal votes		35,706		Informal	2.83%	+0.00%
Summary of votes by party
Party		Primary votes	%	Swing	Seats	Change
	Liberal	583,500	47.62	+8.02	17	+1
	Labor	398,260	32.51	–3.63	11	± 0
	Greens	100,624	8.21	–2.87	2	–2
	National	59,804	4.88	–0.44	5	± 0
	Christians	23,877	1.95	–0.37	0	± 0
	Shooters and Fishers	21,765	1.78	+1.78	1	+1
	Family First	16,760	1.37	–1.15	0	± 0
	Independent	20,633	1.68	+0.21	0	± 0
Total		1,225,223			36

Summary of Assembly results

Popular vote Liberal    47.10% Labor    33.13% Greens    8.40% National    6.05% Others    5.32%

% of the seats won Liberal    52.54% Labor    35.59% National    11.86%

Seats changing parties

Seat	Pre-2013				Swing	Post-2013
	Party		Member	Margin		Margin	Member	Party
Alfred Cove		Independent	Janet Woollard	0.2*	N/A	23.6**	Dean Nalder	Liberal
Balcatta		Labor	John Kobelke	2.2	9.5	7.3	Chris Hatton	Liberal
Belmont		Labor	Eric Ripper	6.7	7.6	0.9	Glenys Godfrey	Liberal
Churchlands		Independent	Liz Constable	23.5**	N/A	20.2**	Sean L'Estrange	Liberal
Forrestfield		Labor	Andrew Waddell	0.2	2.3	2.1	Nathan Morton	Liberal
Fremantle		Independent	Adele Carles	4.0**	N/A	7.9*	Simone McGurk	Labor
Joondalup		Labor	Tony O'Gorman	3.3	7.8	4.5	Jan Norberger	Liberal
Kalgoorlie		Independent	John Bowler	3.6***	N/A	6.3*	Wendy Duncan	National
Morley		Labor	notional	0.8	5.5	4.7	Ian Britza	Liberal
Perth		Labor	John Hyde	7.7	10.3	2.6	Eleni Evangel	Liberal
Pilbara		Labor	Tom Stephens	7.2	18.7	11.5	Brendon Grylls	National

• Members in italics did not contest their seat at this election.
• * figure is vs. Liberal
• ** figure is vs. Labor
• *** figure is vs. National

Background

At previous elections, the government was able to chose the date of an election, but on 3 November 2011, the government introduced fixed four-year terms, with elections being held every four years on the second Saturday in March.^[2][3] This was the first election under the new system.

Key dates

• Issue of writ: 6 February^[4]
• Nominations open: 7 February
• Close of party nominations: 12 noon, 14 February
• Close of rolls: 6 pm, 14 February
• Close of independent nominations: 12 noon, 15 February
• Postal voting commences: ?
• Pre-poll voting commences: 20 February
• Polling day: 9 March
• Return of writ: On or before 6 May

Seats held

Lower house

At the 2008 election, Labor won 28 seats, the Liberals won 24 seats, the Nationals won four seats, with three seats won by independents. Three changes have occurred since; the Greens won the seat of Fremantle off Labor at the 2009 by-election, Vince Catania in the seat of North West defected from Labor to the Nationals in July 2009,^[5] and Fremantle MP Adele Carles resigned from the Greens in 2010, leaving Labor with 26 seats, the Liberals with 24 seats, the Nationals with five seats, while independents hold four seats.

Boundary changes took effect at this election. The only changes to the notional 2008 results were that the seat of Morley shifted from Liberal to Labor^[6] and the seat of North West (renamed North West Central) shifted from Labor to National.^[7]

Upper house

At the 2008 election, the Liberals won 16 seats, Labor won 11 seats, the Nationals won five seats, and the Greens won four seats.

Retiring MPs

Labor

• John Kobelke MLA (Balcatta)^[8]
• Carol Martin MLA (Kimberley)^[9]
• Eric Ripper MLA (Belmont)^[8]
• Tom Stephens MLA (Pilbara)^[8]
• Martin Whitely MLA (Bassendean)^[10]
• Helen Bullock MLC (Mining and Pastoral Region)^[11]
• Ed Dermer MLC (North Metropolitan Region)^[12]
• Jon Ford MLC (Mining and Pastoral Region)^[13]
• Linda Savage MLC (East Metropolitan Region)^[14]

Liberal

• Norman Moore MLC (Mining and Pastoral Region)^[15]

National

• Grant Woodhams MLA (Moore)^[8]

Independent

• John Bowler MLA (Kalgoorlie)^[16]
• Liz Constable MLA (Churchlands)^[17]

2008 pendulum

The following Mackerras Pendulum works by lining up all of the seats according to the percentage point margin post-election on a two-candidate-preferred basis.

LIBERAL/NATIONAL SEATS
Marginal
North West	Vince Catania	NAT	−3.1 pp^1
Riverton	Mike Nahan	LIB	0.2 pp
Wanneroo	Paul Miles	LIB	0.7 pp
Morley	Ian Britza	LIB	0.9 pp
Southern River	Peter Abetz	LIB	1.6 pp
Jandakot	Joe Francis	LIB	1.8 pp
Mount Lawley	Michael Sutherland	LIB	2.2 pp
Nedlands	Bill Marmion	LIB	2.5 pp v IND
Moore	Grant Woodhams	NAT	3.1 pp v LIB
Swan Hills	Frank Alban	LIB	3.5 pp
Eyre	Graham Jacobs	LIB	3.6 pp v NAT
Ocean Reef	Albert Jacob	LIB	4.4 pp
Kingsley	Andrea Mitchell	LIB	4.5 pp
Scarborough	Liza Harvey	LIB	5.2 pp
Darling Range	Tony Simpson	LIB	5.6 pp
Fairly safe
Kalamunda	John Day	LIB	6.3 pp
Murray-Wellington	Murray Cowper	LIB	8.4 pp
Geraldton	Ian Blayney	LIB	8.5 pp
Safe
Dawesville	Kim Hames	LIB	11.1 pp
Bateman	Christian Porter	LIB	11.4 pp
Hillarys	Rob Johnson	LIB	11.4 pp
Bunbury	John Castrilli	LIB	11.7 pp
Vasse	Troy Buswell	LIB	13.5 pp
South Perth	John McGrath	LIB	14.3 pp
Carine	Tony Krsticevic	LIB	14.5 pp
Blackwood-Stirling	Terry Redman	NAT	17.3 pp v LIB
Central Wheatbelt	Brendon Grylls	NAT	17.9 pp v LIB
Cottesloe	Colin Barnett	LIB	19.4 pp
Very safe
Wagin	Terry Waldron	NAT	27.1 pp v LIB
INDEPENDENT SEATS
Alfred Cove	Janet Woollard	IND	1.0 pp v LIB
Kalgoorlie	John Bowler	IND	3.6 pp v NAT
Fremantle	Adele Carles	IND	4.0 pp v ALP^2
Churchlands	Liz Constable	IND	23.5 pp v ALP

LABOR SEATS
Marginal
Albany	Peter Watson	ALP	0.2 pp
Forrestfield	Andrew Waddell	ALP	0.2 pp
Kwinana	Roger Cook	ALP	0.8 pp v IND
Collie-Preston	Mick Murray	ALP	1.0 pp
Balcatta	John Kobelke	ALP	2.3 pp
Joondalup	Tony O'Gorman	ALP	3.5 pp
Pilbara	Tom Stephens	ALP	3.6 pp
West Swan	Rita Saffioti	ALP	4.4 pp
Gosnells	Chris Tallentire	ALP	5.5 pp
Fairly safe
Belmont	Eric Ripper	ALP	6.7 pp
Kimberley	Carol Martin	ALP	6.8 pp
Perth	John Hyde	ALP	7.8 pp
Midland	Michelle Roberts	ALP	8.3 pp
Mindarie	John Quigley	ALP	8.5 pp
Cannington	Bill Johnston	ALP	9.0 pp
Maylands	Lisa Baker	ALP	9.0 pp
Victoria Park	Ben Wyatt	ALP	9.0 pp
Cockburn	Fran Logan	ALP	9.6 pp
Warnbro	Paul Papalia	ALP	9.7 pp
Safe
Bassendean	Martin Whitely	ALP	10.3 pp
Mandurah	David Templeman	ALP	10.5 pp
Rockingham	Mark McGowan	ALP	10.6 pp
Willagee	Peter Tinley	ALP	10.6 pp v GRN
Girrawheen	Margaret Quirk	ALP	11.5 pp
Nollamara	Janine Freeman	ALP	12.7 pp
Very safe
Armadale	Tony Buti	ALP	20.3 pp v CDP

1.^ Elected as Labor member, defected to the Nationals in July 2009, margin is ALP v NAT.

2.^ Elected as Green member, resigned from The Greens in May 2010.

Polling

Newspoll polling is conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes consist of around 1,100 electors. The declared margin of error is ±3 percent.

Legislative Assembly (lower house) polling

	Primary vote					TPP vote
	Lib	Nat	ALP	Gre	Oth	Lib/Nat	ALP
2013 election	47.1%	6.1%	33.1%	8.4%	5.3%	57.3%	42.7%
4–7 Mar 2013	48%	6%	32%	8%	6%	59.5%	40.5%
3–7 Feb 2013	45%	6%	35%	8%	6%	57%	43%
Oct–Dec 2012	43%	6%	30%	12%	9%	58%	42%
Jul–Sep 2012	43%	5%	30%	12%	10%	57%	43%
Jan–Mar 2012	39%	6%	35%	11%	9%	53%	47%
Oct–Dec 2011	46%	4%	29%	12%	9%	59%	41%
Jul–Sep 2011	42%	6%	29%	13%	10%	57%	43%
Apr–Jun 2011	43%	6%	30%	12%	9%	57%	43%
Jan–Mar 2011	43%	6%	31%	13%	7%	57%	43%
Oct–Dec 2010	42%	7%	29%	13%	9%	58%	42%
Jul–Sep 2010	41%	6%	30%	14%	9%	57%	43%
Apr–Jun 2010	38%	6%	32%	16%	8%	54%	46%
Jan–Mar 2010	40%	5%	37%	11%	7%	53%	47%
Jan–Mar 2009	42%	5%	33%	13%	7%	55%	45%
2008 election	38.4%	4.9%	35.8%	11.9%	9.0%	51.9%	48.1%
2–4 Sep 2008	37%	6%	35%	12%	10%	50%	50%
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian.

Better Premier polling^

	Liberal Barnett	Labor McGowan
2013 election	–	–
4–7 Mar 2013	52%	31%
3–7 Feb 2013	44%	40%
Oct–Dec 2012	48%	29%
Jul–Sep 2012	45%	29%
Jan–Mar 2012	43%	30%
Oct–Dec 2011	59%	18%^2
Jul–Sep 2011	56%	22%^2
Apr–Jun 2011	58%	18%^2
Jan–Mar 2011	56%	17%^2
Oct–Dec 2010	60%	16%^2
Jul–Sep 2010	61%	17%^2
Apr–Jun 2010	60%	19%^2
Jan–Mar 2010	58%	19%^2
Jan–Mar 2009	60%	14%^2
2008 election	–	–
2–4 Sep 2008	35%	48%^1
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian. ^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader. ^1 Alan Carpenter. ^2 Eric Ripper.

Satisfaction polling^

	Barnett		McGowan
	Satisfied	Dissatisfied	Satisfied	Dissatisfied
2013 election	–	–	–	–
4–7 Mar 2013	51%	36%	49%	29%
3–7 Feb 2013	47%	42%	51%	26%
Oct–Dec 2012	49%	37%	44%	26%
Jul–Sep 2012	48%	37%	48%	23%
Jan–Mar 2012	51%	33%	43%	17%
Oct–Dec 2011	58%	28%	34%^2	39%^2
Jul–Sep 2011	51%	35%	34%^2	43%^2
Apr–Jun 2011	50%	37%	33%^2	43%^2
Jan–Mar 2011	54%	33%	31%^2	44%^2
Oct–Dec 2010	55%	35%	33%^2	43%^2
Jul–Sep 2010	56%	32%	34%^2	42%^2
Apr–Jun 2010	55%	33%	36%^2	44%^2
Jan–Mar 2010	51%	34%	33%^2	43%^2
Jan–Mar 2009	56%	23%	35%^2	34%^2
2008 election	–	–	–	–
2–4 Sep 2008	40%	43%	42%^1	48%^1
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian. ^Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader. ^1 Alan Carpenter. ^2 Eric Ripper.

Newspaper endorsements

Newspaper	Endorsement
The Australian		Liberal[18]
The Australian Financial Review		Behind paywall[19]
The West Australian		Liberal

See also

• Candidates of the Western Australian state election, 2013

References

1. "2013 State General Election Results". Western Australian Electoral Commission. 5 July 2013. Retrieved 15 December 2013.
2. "New laws fix state election dates". Abc.net.au. Retrieved 26 January 2012.
3. Antony Green (8 February 2011). "Future election dates". Blogs.abc.net.au. Retrieved 26 January 2012.
4. "Election Timeline". Western Australian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 27 March 2013.
5. "Catania quits Labor to join Nationals: ABC News 20 July 2009". Abc.net.au. 20 July 2009. Retrieved 4 February 2011.
6. "Morley - 2013 Western Australian Election". Abc.net.au. Retrieved 11 March 2013.
7. "North West Central - 2013 Western Australian Election". Abc.net.au. Retrieved 11 March 2013.
8. "Woodhams retiring from politics". Au.news.yahoo.com. 4 April 2012. Retrieved 29 December 2012.
9. Mills, Vanessa (15 November 2012). "Carol Martin farewells parliamentary life". Abc.net.au. Retrieved 29 December 2012.
10. "Whitely bids for Senate in challenge to Bullock". Abc.net.au. 23 July 2012. Retrieved 29 December 2012.
11. "Labor man slams Senate as 'unionists' retirement home'". The Australian. 30 July 2012.
12. "Labor puts pressure on older MPs to retire". Abc.net.au. 3 January 2012. Retrieved 29 December 2012.
13. "MP Jon Ford to retire at next election". Abc.net.au. 21 March 2012. Retrieved 29 December 2012.
14. "Port Hedland Mayor to take on Grylls". Yahoo. 22 May 2012. Retrieved 1 January 2013.
15. Courtney Trenwith (1 February 2012). "Father Of WA Politics Norman Moore To Retire". Watoday.com.au. Retrieved 29 December 2012.
16. "Kalgoorlie MP Bowler retires from politics". Au.news.yahoo.com. 1 November 2012. Retrieved 29 December 2012.
17. "Retiring MP Constable not bitter about dumping". Abc.net.au. 16 October 2012. Retrieved 29 December 2012.
18. Tyldesley, Hazel (8 March 2013). "Tackling Canberra works for Barnett in the west". The Australian. Retrieved 9 March 2013.
19. Tyldesley, Hazel. "The challenge for Liberal governments". The Australian Financial Review. Retrieved 9 March 2013.

External links

• 2013 Western Australian Election Preview: Antony Green ABC
• Western Australian Electoral Commission
• Antony Green's Election Blog - Western Australia Elections and Politics