Maryland Democratic primary, 2016

Maryland Democratic primary, 2016

April 26, 2016

Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Home state New York Vermont Delegate count 60 35 Popular vote 573,242[1] 309,990 Percentage 62.53% 33.81%

Election results by county.   Hillary Clinton   Bernie Sanders

The 2016 Maryland Democratic primary were held on April 26 in the U.S. state of Maryland as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

The Democratic Party's primaries in Connecticut, Delaware, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island were held the same day, as were Republican primaries in the same five states, including their own Maryland primary.

Opinion polling

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Official Primary results	April 26, 2016	Hillary Clinton 62.5%	Bernie Sanders 33.8%		Others / Uncommitted 3.7%
ARG[2] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 400	April 21-24, 2016	Hillary Clinton 50%	Bernie Sanders 44%		Others / Undecided 6%
Monmouth[3] Margin of error: ± 5.7% Sample size: 300	April 18-20, 2016	Hillary Clinton 57%	Bernie Sanders 32%		Others / Undecided 11%
Public Policy Polling[4] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 492	April 15-17, 2016	Hillary Clinton 58%	Bernie Sanders 33%		Others / Undecided 9%
NBC 4/Marist[5] Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 775	April 5-9, 2016	Hillary Clinton 58%	Bernie Sanders 36%		Others / Undecided 6%
University of Maryland/Washington Post[6] Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 539	March 30 - April 4, 2016	Hillary Clinton 55%	Bernie Sanders 40%		Others / Undecided 5%
Baltimore Sun[7] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400	March 4-8, 2016	Hillary Clinton 61%	Bernie Sanders 28%		Others / Undecided 11%
Gonzales/Arscott Research[8] Margin of error: ± 5.0 Sample size: 411	February 29-March 4, 2016	Hillary Clinton 57%	Bernie Sanders 26%		Others / Undecided 17%
Goucher[9] Margin of error: ± 3.5 Sample size: 794	February 13–18, 2016	Hillary Clinton 58%	Bernie Sanders 28%		Others / Undecided 14%
Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 402	January 11–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton 40%	Bernie Sanders 27%		Others / Undecided 33%

Polls in 2015 

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 419	November 13–17, 2015	Hillary Clinton 56%	Bernie Sanders 23%	Martin O'Malley 7%	Other/Unsure 14%
Washington Post Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 490	October 8–11, 2015	Hillary Clinton 43%	Joe Biden 26%	Bernie Sanders 20%	Martin O'Malley 4%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, None/Any/Other 3%, No Opinion 2%
Goucher[10] Margin of error: ± 5.7% Sample size: 300	September 26 – October 1, 2015	Hillary Clinton 43%	Joe Biden 23%	Bernie Sanders 17%	Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 2%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, None/Any/Other 2%, Undecided 11%

Polls in 2014 

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Washington Post[11] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 538	February 13–16, 2014	Hillary Clinton 72%	Joe Biden 9%	Martin O'Malley 6%	Elizabeth Warren 3%, Andrew Cuomo 2%, None 1%, Undecided 7%
Baltimore Sun Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500	February 8–12, 2014	Hillary Clinton 59%	Joe Biden 14%	Martin O'Malley 6%	Andrew Cuomo 4%, Undecided/Other 17%

Polls in 2013 

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Washington Post Margin of error: Sample size:	February 21–24, 2013	Hillary Clinton 56%	Joe Biden 18%	Martin O'Malley 8%	Andrew Cuomo 4%, None/other/any of them 4%, No opinion 9%

Results

Maryland Democratic primary, April 26, 2016
Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	573,242	62.53%	60	17	77
Bernie Sanders	309,990	33.81%	35	1	36
Rocky De La Fuente	3,582	0.39%	N/A
Uncommitted	29,949	3.27%	0	6	6
Total	916,763	100%	95	24	119
Source: The Green Papers, Maryland State Board of Elections - Official Primary Results, MDP Announces DNC Delegates, Alternates and State DNC Members, MDP Announces District-Level Delegate Winners

Results by county

Hillary Clinton won every county (and the independent city of Baltimore) with the exceptions of Allegany, Carroll, and Garrett counties, which went for Bernie Sanders.^[12]

County	Clinton	Votes	Sanders	Votes
Allegany	41.8%	2,311	44.7%	2,469
Anne Arundel	56.8%	35,659	38.4%	24,128
Baltimore (City)	65.4%	81,115	31.2%	38,710
Baltimore (County)	57.8%	73,099	37.0%	46,779
Calvert	57.5%	5,168	36.1%	3,247
Caroline	51.4%	1,125	41.2%	902
Carroll	46.3%	6,516	47.5%	6,686
Cecil	45.4%	3,367	45.2%	3,350
Charles	68.3%	15,132	28.2%	6,246
Dorchester	60.2%	1,800	31.8%	951
Frederick	51.8%	13,466	43.6%	11,324
Garrett	40.8%	760	47.1%	879
Harford	51.8%	13,460	41.6%	10,817
Howard	60.3%	30,873	36.6%	18,752
Kent	55.1%	1,460	38.4%	1,018
Montgomery	67.0%	109,304	31.1%	50,741
Prince George's	74.2%	113,912	24.2%	37,199
Queen Anne's	53.6%	2,342	40.3%	1,759
Somerset	62.6%	1,136	29.4%	533
St. Mary's	52.7%	4,551	39.5%	3,415
Talbot	61.1%	2,577	34.3%	1,445
Washington	49.3%	5,851	41.0%	4,867
Wicomico	58.8%	5,258	34.9%	3,119
Worcester	55.8%	3,005	36.0%	1,939

Analysis

With its coalition of African Americans and college-educated, affluent Caucasian progressive/liberal professionals, Maryland was a state Hillary Clinton was expected to win in the so-called "Acela Primaries" on April 26. She swept the state on election day, winning the primary by 29 points, a clear difference from 2008 when she lost Maryland to Barack Obama. According to exit polls, 43 percent of voters in the Maryland Democratic Primary were Caucasian and they opted for Clinton by a margin of 52-42 compared to the 46 percent of African American voters who backed Clinton by a margin of 75-22. Clinton swept all socioeconomic/income classes and educational attainment categories in Maryland as well. She won the votes of people over the age of 45, 75-20, but lost the youth vote to Sanders 52-46. She won both men (55-40) and women (68-29).

In terms of party identification, of the 80 percent of self-identified Democrats who voted in the primary, 69 percent backed Clinton while 30 percent supported Bernie Sanders; Independents, who made up 17 percent of the voters, backed Sanders by a 51-39 margin. Clinton also won all ideological groups.

Clinton performed well in the urban and suburban parts of the state in and around Baltimore (which she won 63-34), and the Washington, D.C. suburbs (which she won 71-27), and she also won in the more rural parts of the state like the Eastern Shore (which she won 57-37) and Western Maryland (which she won 53-47), which includes parts of Appalachia.^[13]

References

1. Maryland State Board of Elections - Official Primary Results
2. "Maryland poll April 21-24, 2016". American Research Group. Retrieved April 25, 2016.
3. "MARYLAND: CLINTON LEADS SANDERS BY 25" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-04-22.
4. "Maryland Likely To Continue Momentum for Trump, Clinton" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-04-19.
5. "NBC4/Marist Poll April 2016 Maryland Questionnaire" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-04-13.
6. "Washington Post-University of Maryland poll, March 30-April 3, 2016". Retrieved 2016-04-07.
7. "Hillary Clinton has 33-point lead in Maryland Democratic primary, new poll shows".
8. "Maryland Poll" (PDF).
9. "Goucher poll February 13–18, 2016" (PDF).
10. "Goucher poll September 26 – October 1, 2015" (PDF).
11. "(Among Democrats and independents who lean Democratic) Thinking ahead to 2016, between (Martin O'Malley), (Hillary Clinton), (Joe Biden), (Andrew Cuomo) and (Elizabeth Warren) whom would you like to be the next Democratic presidential nominee?". Washington Post. 2014-02-22. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
12. http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/maryland
13. "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved 2016-09-25.