United States Senate elections, 2018

United States Senate elections, 2018
United States
November 6, 2018

Class 1 (33 of the 100) seats in the United States Senate
51 seats needed for a majority
  Majority party Minority party
Leader Mitch McConnell Chuck Schumer
Party Republican Democratic
Leader since January 3, 2007 January 3, 2017
(will take position)
Leader's seat Kentucky New York
Seats before 51 or 52 46 or 47
Seats up 8 23

  Third party
Party Independent
Seats before 2
Seats up 2

Senate seats up for election:
  Democratic incumbent
  Undetermined Democrat
  Independent incumbent
  Republican incumbent
  Undetermined Republican
  No election

Majority Leader before election

Mitch McConnell

Elected Majority Leader


Elections to the United States Senate will be held on November 6, 2018 with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections whose winners will serve six-year terms from January 3, 2019 until January 3, 2025. Currently, Democrats are expected to have 23 seats up for election, additionally 2 independents who caucus with the Democrats are facing the end of their current term. Republicans are expected to have 8 seats up for election. The seats up for election in 2018 were last up for election in 2012, although some seats may have special elections if incumbents die or resign. Democrats had a net gain of 2 seats in the 2012 Senate elections.

The United States House of Representatives elections, 36 gubernatorial elections, and many other state and local elections will also be held on this date.

Partisan composition

The partisan composition of the Senate going into the 2018 election will depend on the results of the 2016 Senate elections. Among the 33 Class I Senators up for regular election in 2018, there will be 23 Democrats, 2 independents who caucus with the Senate Democrats, and 8 Republicans. If a Senate vacancy occurs between 2016 and 2018, there may be special elections before or during the 2018 election, depending on state law.

Parties Total
Democratic Republican Independent
Last election (2016) 46-47 51-52 2 100
Before this election TBD TBD TBD 100
Not up 23-24 46-47 0 67
Class 2 (20142020) 11 22 0 33
Class 3 (2016→2022) 12-13 21-22 0 34
Up 23 8 2 33
Class 1 (2012→2018) 23 8 2 33
Special: Class 2 & 3[1] 0 0 0 0
Incumbent retiring 0 1 0 1
Incumbent running 5 0 2 7
Intent undeclared 18 7 0 25

Early predictions

Democrats are expected to target the Senate seats in Nevada and Arizona.[2] Republicans are expected to target Democratic-held seats in Indiana, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, and West Virginia, all of which voted for Mitt Romney in the 2012 election and Donald Trump in the 2016 election,[3] as well as seats in Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, all of which voted for Donald Trump in the 2016 election.[4] Republicans could also target seats in Virginia, Maine, and New Jersey.[2] Other races may also become competitive.

State 2014 PVI Incumbent 2012
Arizona R+7 Flake, JeffJeff Flake (R) 49% R Lean R
Florida R+2 Nelson, BillBill Nelson (D) 55% D Lean D
Indiana R+5 Donnelly, JoeJoe Donnelly (D) 50% D Lean D
Maine D+6 King, AngusAngus King (I) 53% I Lean D
Michigan D+4 Stabenow, DebbieDebbie Stabenow (D) 59% D Likely D
Missouri R+5 McCaskill, ClaireClaire McCaskill (D) 55% D Lean D
Montana R+7 Tester, JonJon Tester (D) 49% D Likely D
Nevada D+2 Heller, DeanDean Heller (R) 46% R Lean R
New Jersey D+6 Menendez, BobBob Menendez (D) 59% D Likely D
North Dakota R+10 Heitkamp, HeidiHeidi Heitkamp (D) 50% D Likely D
Ohio R+1 Brown, SherrodSherrod Brown (D) 51% D Lean D
Pennsylvania D+1 Casey, BobBob Casey (D) 54% D Likely D
Virginia Even Kaine, TimTim Kaine (D) 53% D Likely D
West Virginia R+13 Manchin, JoeJoe Manchin (D) 61% D Likely D
Wisconsin D+2 Baldwin, TammyTammy Baldwin (D) 51% D Likely D

Race summary

(linked to
summaries below)
Incumbent Candidates
Senator Party Electoral
Arizona Jeff Flake Republican 2012 Unknown Kelli Ward (Republican)[6]
California Dianne Feinstein Democratic 1992 (Special)
Connecticut Chris Murphy Democratic 2012 Unknown
Delaware Tom Carper Democratic 2000
Florida Bill Nelson Democratic 2000
Running Bill Nelson (Democratic)[7]
Hawaii Mazie Hirono Democratic 2012 Unknown
Indiana Joe Donnelly Democratic 2012 Unknown
Maine Angus King Independent 2012 Running Angus King (Independent)[8]
Maryland Ben Cardin Democratic 2006
Massachusetts Elizabeth Warren Democratic 2012 Unknown Curt Schilling [9]
Michigan Debbie Stabenow Democratic 2000
Minnesota Amy Klobuchar Democratic 2006
Mississippi Roger Wicker Republican 2007 (Appointed)
2008 (Special)
Missouri Claire McCaskill Democratic 2006
Running Claire McCaskill (Democratic)[10]
Montana Jon Tester Democratic 2006
Running Jon Tester (Democratic)[11]
Nebraska Deb Fischer Republican 2012 Unknown
Nevada Dean Heller Republican 2011 (Appointed)
New Jersey Bob Menendez Democratic 2006 (Appointed)
New Mexico Martin Heinrich Democratic 2012 Running Martin Heinrich (Democratic)
New York Kirsten Gillibrand Democratic 2009 (Appointed)
2010 (Special)
North Dakota Heidi Heitkamp Democratic 2012 Unknown
Ohio Sherrod Brown Democratic 2006
Pennsylvania Bob Casey, Jr. Democratic 2006
Running Bob Casey, Jr. (Democratic)[12]
Rhode Island Sheldon Whitehouse Democratic 2006
Tennessee Bob Corker Republican 2006
Unknown Larry Crim (Republican)[13]
Texas Ted Cruz Republican 2012 Running[14] Ted Cruz (Republican)[15]
Utah Orrin Hatch Republican 1976
Vermont Bernie Sanders Independent 2006
Running Bernie Sanders (Independent)[16]
Virginia Tim Kaine Democratic 2012 Running[17] Tim Kaine (Democratic)[18]
Washington Maria Cantwell Democratic 2000
West Virginia Joe Manchin Democratic 2010 (Special)
Running[19] Joe Manchin (Democratic)[20]
Wisconsin Tammy Baldwin Democratic 2012 Unknown
Wyoming John Barrasso Republican 2007 (Appointed)
2008 (Special)
State Senator Party Electoral
Intent Candidates

Complete list of races

Thirty-three seats are up for election in 2018:


One-term Republican Senator Jeff Flake was elected with 49% of the vote in 2012. He will be 55 years old in 2018. Former state senator Kelli Ward, who won 39% of the vote against John McCain in the 2016 Republican Senate primary, is running for the Republican nomination.[21] Radio host, author and conservative commentator Laura Ingraham may move to Arizona to challenge Flake in the Republican primary.[22] Other potential Republican candidates include Congressman Ben Quayle, Matt Salmon, and David Schweikert. Potential Democratic candidates include U.S. Representative Kyrsten Sinema, former U.S. Representative Gabby Giffords, and astronaut Mark Kelly.[23]


Four-term Democratic Senator Dianne Feinstein won a special election in 1992 and was elected to full terms in 1994, 2000, 2006, and 2012. She won re-election in 2012 with 63% of the vote, taking the record for the most popular votes in any U.S. Senate election in history, having received 7.75 million votes.[24] Feinstein is the Ranking Member of the Select Committee on Intelligence. She will be 85 years old in 2018.

Potential Democratic candidates include U.S. Representative and state Attorney General-designate Xavier Becerra,[25] President pro tempore of the California State Senate Kevin de León,[25] Mayor of Los Angeles Eric Garcetti,[25] U.S. Representative Loretta Sanchez,[25][26] and hedge fund manager, philanthropist, environmentalist Tom Steyer.[25]


One-term Democratic Senator Chris Murphy was elected with 55% of the vote in 2012. He will be 45 years old in 2018.


Three-term Democratic Senator Tom Carper won re-election with 66% of the vote in 2012. He will be 71 years old in 2018.


Three-term Democratic Senator Bill Nelson was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2012. Nelson is Ranking Member of the United States Senate Committee on Commerce, Science and Transportation. Nelson will be 76 years old in 2018. He has strongly hinted he will seek re-election to a fourth term in office.[27] Potential Republican candidates include Chief Financial Officer of Florida Jeff Atwater, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture Adam Putnam, U.S. Representatives Tom Rooney, Ron DeSantis, and David Jolly, Lieutenant Governor of Florida Carlos López-Cantera, and Rick Scott, the Governor of Florida.[28]


One-term Democratic Senator Mazie Hirono was elected with 63% of the vote in 2012. She will be 71 years old in 2018.


One-term Democratic Senator Joe Donnelly was elected with 50% of the vote in 2012. He will be 63 years old in 2018.

Attorney Mark Hurt has formed an exploratory committee for a potential campaign for the Republican nomination.[29][30] Other potential Republican candidates include U.S. Representatives Marlin Stutzman, Susan Brooks, Luke Messer, State Speaker of the House Brian Bosma, and former Indianapolis Mayor Greg Ballard.[31]


One-term Independent Senator Angus King was elected in a three-way race with 53% of the vote in 2012. King has caucused with the Democratic Party since taking office in 2013, but he has left open the possibility of caucusing with the Republican Party in the future.[32] This Senate election is scheduled to be the first in Maine to be conducted with ranked choice voting, as opposed to a simple plurality, after voters passed a citizen referendum approving the change in 2016.[33]

King has indicated he will seek reelection.[34] Republican Governor of Maine Paul LePage has stated he will run unless hired by Donald Trump's administration.[35]


Two-term Democratic Senator Ben Cardin was re-elected with 56% of the vote in 2012. He will be 75 years old in 2018.


One-term Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren was elected with 54% of the vote in 2012. She will be 69 years old in 2018. Former professional baseball player Curt Schilling is a potential Republican candidate.[36] Former Governor of Massachusetts and 2016 Libertarian Vice Presidential nominee Bill Weld, and Lieutenant Governor Karyn Polito are also potential candidates.[37]


Three-term Democratic Senator Debbie Stabenow was re-elected with 59% of the vote in 2012. Stabenow is Ranking Member of the Senate Agriculture Committee. She will be 68 years old in 2018. Potential Republican candidates include U.S. Representatives Justin Amash[38] and Candice Miller.


Two-term Democratic Senator Amy Klobuchar was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2012. She will be 58 years old in 2018. Republicans Erik Paulsen and Tim Pawlenty are considered potential candidates. Democrats R.T. Rybak, Lori Swanson, and Tim Walz have been mentioned as potential candidates.[39]


One-term Republican Senator Roger Wicker won re-election with 57% of the vote in 2012. He was appointed in 2007 and won a special election in 2008 to serve the remainder of Trent Lott's term. He will be 67 years old in 2018.


Two-term Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2012. She will be 65 years old in 2018. Potential Republican challengers include U.S. Representative Ann Wagner.[40]


Two-term Democratic Senator Jon Tester was re-elected with 49% of the vote in 2012. He will be 62 years old in 2018. Potential Republican candidates include U.S. Representative Ryan Zinke, former Governor Marc Racicot,[41] Montana Secretary of State-elect Corey Stapleton,[42] and former U.S. Navy SEAL Rob O'Neill.[43]


One-term Republican Senator Deb Fischer was elected with 56% of the vote in 2012. She will be 67 years old in 2018.


One-term Republican Senator Dean Heller was elected with 46% of the vote in 2012. He had been appointed to the seat in 2011. He will be 58 years old in 2018. Heller may run for governor rather than seek re-election.[44]

On the Democratic side, U.S. Representative Dina Titus, and former U.S. Representatives Shelley Berkley (who was the nominee in 2012) and Steven Horsford are potential candidates.[45]

New Jersey

Two-term Democratic Senator Bob Menendez was re-elected with 59% of the vote in 2012. Menendez was originally appointed to the seat in January 2006. He will be 64 years old in 2018.

Polling by Harper Polling/Conservative Intel in March 2013 showed Thomas Kean, Jr. taking 41% of the vote in a hypothetical 2018 Republican primary matchup, with Kim Guadagno at 33%, Joseph M. Kyrillos at 12%, and 14% undecided. If Menendez were to retire, the poll showed that Richard Codey would lead a Democratic primary with 33% of the vote, followed by Rob Andrews (13%), Frank Pallone (13%) and Stephen M. Sweeney (6%) with 35% undecided. In a hypothetical general election, the poll showed that Kean would lead Andrews 33% to 17% with 50% undecided, and Codey would lead Kyrillos 34% to 25% with 41% undecided.[46][47]

New Mexico

One-term Democratic Senator Martin Heinrich was elected with 51% of the vote in 2012. He will be 47 years old in 2018.

New York

One-term Democratic Senator Kirsten Gillibrand was elected with 72% of the vote in 2012. She had previously been appointed to the seat in 2009, and won a special election to remain in office in 2010. She will be 51 years old in 2018.

North Dakota

One-term Democratic Senator Heidi Heitkamp was elected with 50% of the vote in 2012. She will be 63 years old in 2018. Potential Republican candidates include State Rep. and 2016 candidate for Governor Rick Becker,[48][49] Governor Jack Dalrymple, U.S. Representative Kevin Cramer, Lieutenant Governor Drew Wrigley, and former Governor and Secretary of Agriculture Ed Schafer.


Two-term Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown was re-elected with 51% of the vote in 2012. He will be 65 years old in 2018. Potential Republican candidates include Governor John Kasich,[41] Ohio State Treasurer Josh Mandel, U.S. Representative Steve Stivers and Assistant Majority Whip in the Ohio House of Representatives Sarah LaTourette.[50] Former Senator and current Ohio Attorney General Mike DeWine (who lost this Senate seat to Brown in 2006) had been speculated to run, but announced in May 2016 that he will instead run for Governor.[51]


Two-term Democratic Senator Bob Casey, Jr. was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2012. He will be 58 years old in 2018. Potential Republican candidates include former Governor Tom Corbett, former Lieutenant Governor Jim Cawley,[52] and Congressmen Pat Meehan, Charlie Dent, and Mike Kelly.[53]

Rhode Island

Two-term Democratic Senator Sheldon Whitehouse was reelected with 64% of the vote in 2012. He will be 63 years old in 2018.


Two-term Republican Senator Bob Corker was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2012. Corker is the Chairman of the United States Senate Committee on Foreign Relations. He will be 66 years old in 2018. Corker may run for Governor of Tennessee in 2018.[54][55][56] Bob Corker has also expressed interest in being considered for Secretary of State under the Trump administration.[57]

Larry Crim, CEO of Christian Counseling Centers of America Inc., is running for the Republican nomination for the seat held by Senator Corker.[13] Larry Crim has said that Senator Corker should withdraw his bid for Secretary of State under the Trump administration.[58] Should Corker not run for re-election, possible additional Republican candidates include Governor Bill Haslam, Speaker of the Tennessee House of Representatives Beth Harwell, Tennessee Secretary of State Tre Hargett, Commissioner of the Department of Economic and Community Development Bill Hagerty and U.S. Representative Diane Black.[59]

Potential Democratic candidates include former Nashville Mayor Karl Dean and Former Commissioner of Economic and Community Development Matthew Kisber.[59]


One-term Republican Senator Ted Cruz was elected with 57% of the vote in 2012. Cruz is running for re-election.[14] Potential Democratic candidates include United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Julian Castro, Congressman Joaquin Castro, Congressman Beto O'Rourke,[60] 2014 gubernatorial nominee and former State Senator Wendy Davis, and 2014 lieutenant gubernatorial nominee and State Senator Leticia Van de Putte.[61] Potential Republican candidates include author, minister, and former Vice Chair of the Republican Party of Texas David Barton;[62] Texas Land Commissioner George P. Bush, Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick; former Governor Rick Perry;[63] and Congressmen Michael McCaul, Jeb Hensarling, and Louie Gohmert.[64]


Seven-term Republican Senator Orrin Hatch was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2012. Hatch is the President pro tempore of the Senate, as well as the second most-senior Senator. Hatch is the chairman of the Senate Finance Committee. He will be 84 years old in 2018. Before the 2012 election, Hatch said that he would retire at the end of his seventh term if he was re-elected.[65] However he has since "left the door ajar", but has denied that he has changed his mind.[66]

Former Republican Governors Jon Huntsman, Jr. and Mike Leavitt are potential candidates,[67][68] as are state party chair Thomas Wright, former State Senator and 2012 candidate Dan Liljenquist, Attorney General Sean Reyes, Lieutenant Governor Spencer Cox, State Senator Aaron Osmond, Mitt Romney's son Josh Romney, and U.S. Representatives Jason Chaffetz, Chris Stewart and Mia Love[69]

Potential Democratic candidates include former U.S. Representative Jim Matheson.[69]


Two-term Independent Senator Bernie Sanders was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2012. Sanders, one of two independent members of Congress, is a self-described democratic socialist.[70][71] Sanders has caucused with the Democratic Party since taking office in 2007, and he is the Ranking Member of the Budget Committee. In November 2015, Sanders announced his plans to run as a Democrat rather than an Independent in all future elections.[72] On July 28, 2016, Sanders announced he would return to the Senate as an Independent and two days later in an interview on Real Time with Bill Maher that he would run for re-election.

Activist and journalist Al Giordano has stated he intends to challenge Sanders for the Democratic nomination to protest Sanders' 2016 presidential campaign, which Giordano claims has divided the Democratic Party.[73][74][75]


One-term Democratic Senator Tim Kaine was elected with 53% of the vote in 2012. Kaine, the 2016 Democratic vice presidential nominee, has announced that he is running for re-election.[17]

Potential Republican candidates include U.S. Representative Dave Brat, former Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, former Hewlett-Packard CEO and 2016 presidential candidate Carly Fiorina, former U.S. Representative Tom Davis, U.S. Representative Barbara Comstock,U.S. Representative Morgan Griffith U.S. Representative Rob Wittman, State Delegate Jimmie Massie, and former Governor Jim Gilmore.[76][77][78] Technology entrepreneur and 2013 Lieutenant Governor candidate Pete Snyder was considered a potential candidate, but has ruled out running.[79]


Three-term Democratic Senator Maria Cantwell was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2012. Cantwell is the Ranking Member of the Committee on Energy and Natural Resources. She will be 60 years old in 2018.

West Virginia

One-term Democratic Senator Joe Manchin was elected with 61% of the vote in 2012. He originally won the seat in a 2010 special election. Manchin is running for re-election.[19] Other potential Democratic candidates include former U.S. Senator Carte Goodwin, State Senator Mike Green, and Delegates Doug Reynolds and Doug Skaff.[80] Potential Republican candidates include U.S. Congressmen David McKinley and Evan Jenkins, state Attorney General Patrick Morrisey, delegate Erikka Storch, and Olympic gymnast Mary Lou Retton.[80]


One-term Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin was elected with 51% of the vote in 2012. She is the first openly gay Senator in U.S. history.[81] She will be 56 years old in 2018. Potential Republican candidates include Lieutenant Governor Rebecca Kleefisch, and Congressman Sean Duffy.[41][82]


One-term Republican Senator John Barrasso was elected with 76% of the vote in 2012. Barrasso was appointed to the seat in 2007, and won a special election in 2008. Barrasso is the Chairman of the Senate Committee on Indian Affairs. He will be 66 years old in 2018.

See also


  1. Subject to change if vacancies occur in Class 2 or Class 3 Senate seats.
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