United States presidential election in Maine, 2016

United States presidential election in Maine, 2016
Maine
November 8, 2016
 
Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson
Party Democratic Republican Libertarian
Home state New York New York New Mexico
Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence William Weld
Electoral vote 3 1 0
Popular vote 354,873 334,838 37,764
Percentage 47.9% 45.2% 5.1%

County Results
  Clinton—60-70%
  Clinton—50-60%
  Clinton—<50%
  Trump—<50%
  Trump—50-60%
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

 Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2016 United States presidential election in Maine was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Maine voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

On March 5 and 6, 2016, in the caucuses, voters expressed their preferences for the Republican, Democratic, and Green parties' respective nominees for President. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's caucus, while voters who were unaffiliated chose any one primary in which to vote.

On election day, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton carried Maine's three electoral votes while Republican nominee (and overall election winner) Donald Trump won Maine's second congressional district, making him the first Republican to do so since George H. W. Bush in 1988 and making him the first Republican to win an electoral vote from a New England state since George W. Bush won New Hampshire in 2000. Regarded as a safe blue state, Hillary Clinton's 2.7% margin of victory was the narrowest for a Democrat since 1988, when Republicans last won the state.

Primary elections

Democratic caucus

Democratic caucus results by county.
  Bernie Sanders
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
Candidate State convention delegates Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 2,226 64.17% 17 1 18
Hillary Clinton 1,231 35.49% 8 4 12
Uncommitted 12 0.35% 0 0 0
Total 3,469 100% 25 5 30
Source: The Green Papers

Republican caucus

Republican primary results by county.
  Donald Trump
  Ted Cruz


Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Donald Trump, and John Kasich were all on the ballot for the 2016 Maine state Republican caucuses. The caucuses were held on March 5, 2016, in the following counties in Maine: Cumberland, Franklin, Piscataquis, Somerset, Aroostook, Androscoggin, Sagadahoc, Kennebec, Lincoln, Knox, Hancock, Waldo, Washington, York, Oxford, and Penobscot.

Ted Cruz won the caucus with 45.9% of the vote and was awarded 12 delegates, with Donald Trump in second, receiving 32.59% of the votes and 9 delegates.[1]

Maine Republican municipal caucuses, March 5, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Ted Cruz 8,550 45.90% 12 0 12
Donald Trump 6,070 32.59% 9 0 9
John Kasich 2,270 12.19% 2 0 2
Marco Rubio 1,492 8.01% 0 0 0
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 132 0.71% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 55 0.3% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 31 0.17% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 17 0.09% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 10 0.05% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 18,627 100% 23 0 23
Source: The Green Papers

Green caucus

Maine held a series of caucuses throughout the state between February 27 and March 19. The Maine Green Independent Party didn't compile the results until the state convention on May 7, during which it then assigned delegates based on the results.[2][3]

On March 13, 2016, it was announced that Jill Stein had won the Maine Green Independent Party caucuses.[4]

Maine Green Party presidential caucus, February 27 – March 19, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
Jill Stein - - -
William Kreml - - -
Kent Mesplay - - -
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry - - -
Darryl Cherney - - -
Uncommitted - - -
Total - - -

† The official results are not yet available. However, Jill Stein has an overwhelming percentage of the votes that have been released. It is mathematically impossible for any other candidate to win the caucus.

Libertarian convention

The Libertarian Party nominated its ticket, former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson for President and former Massachusetts Governor William Weld for Vice President, at its national convention in Orlando, Florida, on May 29, 2016.[5]

Until July 13, 2016, the Libertarian Party was not a legally recognized party in Maine. A 2013 change in the ballot access law permitted a party to gain recognition if they enroll 5,000 Maine voters in the party. The Libertarian Party of Maine turned approximately 6,500 signatures in to the Maine Secretary of State's office in 2015, but Secretary of State Matthew Dunlap invalidated 2,000 of them, bringing the total below the threshold required. The party then sued Dunlap, claiming Maine's ballot access requirements were unconstitutionally unreasonable. While losing an initial ruling by U.S. District Court Judge John Woodcock,[6] Woodcock later ordered that they be given until July 12 to collect the necessary signatures.[7] On July 13, Dunlap certified that 5,150 signatures had been validated, surpassing the threshold required to allow their candidates on the ballot. To maintain their status, they must have 10,000 Libertarian voters vote in November.[8]

General election

Maine distributes 2 EV's based on the statewide vote, and 1 EV for each congressional district's vote.

Polling

1st congressional district

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of August 22, 2016.

Race Poll model Hillary Clinton
Democratic		 Donald Trump
Republican		 Lead margin
Two-way FiveThirtyEight 48% 33% 15
Polls
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Hillary
Clinton (D)		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Others Undecided
Maine People's Resource Center[9] October 24–26, 2016 429 4.7% 51% 37% — 12%
Maine People's Resource Center[10] October 14–15, 2016 469 4.5% 52% 39% — 9%
Maine People's Resource Center[11] October 7–9, 2016 468 4.5% 53% 36% — 11.5%
University of New Hampshire[12] September 15–20, 2016 50% 28% 14% —
Maine People's Resource Center[13] September 15–17, 2016 440 4.7% 49% 33% — 18%
University of New Hampshire[14] June 15–21, 2016 48% 33% 16% 3%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Hillary Clinton (D) Donald Trump (R) Gary Johnson (L) Jill Stein (G) Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Maine People's Resource Center[9] October 24–26, 2016 45% 33% 9% 4% 12 429 ± 4.7%
Maine People's Resource Center[10] October 14–15, 2016 45.5% 35.5% 7.9% 4% 10 469 ± 4.5%
Maine People's Resource Center[11] October 7–9, 2016 48.7% 32.3% 7.3% 3.4% 16.4 468 ± 4.5%
Maine People's Resource Center[13] September 15–17, 2016 41% 30% 12% 5% 11 440 ± 4.7%
Colby College/Boston Globe[15] September 4–10, 2016 49% 31% 9% 5% 18 382 ± 5.3%
Emerson College[16] September 2–5, 2016 52% 30% 9% 2% 22 404

2nd congressional district

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of August 22, 2016.

Race Poll model Hillary Clinton
Democratic		 Donald Trump
Republican		 Lead margin
Two-way FiveThirtyEight 36% 37% 1
Real Clear Politics not yet calculated
Polls
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Hillary
Clinton (D)		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Others Undecided
Maine People's Resource Center[9] October 24–26, 2016 382 5% 43% 43% — 13%
Maine People's Resource Center[10] October 14–15, 2016 420 4.8% 46% 39% — 15%
Maine People's Resource Center[11] October 7–9, 2016 424 4.8% 44% 45% — 11%
University of New Hampshire[12] September 15–20, 2016 34% 48% 16% —
Maine People's Resource Center[13] September 15–17, 2016 396 4.9% 42% 47% — 12%
University of New Hampshire[14] June 15–21, 2016 36% 37% 23% 4%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Hillary Clinton (D) Donald Trump (R) Gary Johnson (L) Jill Stein (G) Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Maine People's Resource Center[9] October 24–26, 2016 38% 41% 8% 3% 3 382 ± 5%
Maine People's Resource Center[10] October 14–15, 2016 38.2% 37% 10.7% 3.6% 1.2 420 ± 4.8%
Maine People's Resource Center[11] October 7–9, 2016 39% 40% 10% 2% 1 424 ± 4.8%
Maine People's Resource Center[13] September 15–17, 2016 33% 44% 10% 4% 11 396 ± 4.9%
Colby College/Boston Globe[15] September 4–10, 2016 37% 47% 8% 5% 10 397 ± 5.0%
Emerson College[16] September 2–5, 2016 36% 41% 14% 1% 5 399

See also

References

  1. ↑ "Maine Republican Delegation 2016". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved 2016-03-08.
  2. ↑ "IT'S A CRUCIAL TIME TO BE A GREEN PARTY MEMBER!". Maine Green Independent Party. 2016-01-07. Retrieved 2016-02-20.
  3. ↑ "SCHEDULED CAUCUSES". Maine Green Independent Party. 2016-01-07. Retrieved 2016-02-20.
  4. ↑ "Maine Green Indepent Party holds caucuses". WCSH6.com.
  5. ↑ "Libertarian Party Selects Gary Johnson to be 2016 Nominee". C-SPAN.org. Retrieved 2016-09-22.
  6. ↑ Cousins, Christopher. "Judge rejects Libertarians' appeal to become Maine political party". The Bangor Daily News. Retrieved 2016-09-22.
  7. ↑ "Federal judge hands Maine libertarians a partial victory - The Portland Press Herald / Maine Sunday Telegram". 2016-05-27. Retrieved 2016-09-22.
  8. ↑ "Libertarians become Maine's fourth political party | State & Capitol". Retrieved 2016-09-22.
  9. 1 2 3 4 "Methodology" (PDF). Maine People's Resource Center. November 1, 2016.
  10. 1 2 3 4 "Methodology" (PDF). Maine People's Resource Center. October 21, 2016.
  11. 1 2 3 4 "Methodology" (PDF). Maine People's Resource Center. October 12, 2016.
  12. 1 2 "For the first time, it looks like Maine's electoral votes will be split". University of New Hampshire. Portland Press Herald. September 25, 2016. Retrieved September 25, 2016.
  13. 1 2 3 4 "Methodology" (PDF). Maine People's Resource Center. September 20, 2016.
  14. 1 2 "Charts: Portland Press Herald/Maine Sunday Telegram poll results". University of New Hampshire. Portland Press Herald. July 7, 2016. Retrieved August 14, 2016.
  15. 1 2 "Colby College/Boston Globe Election Poll". Colby College. September 13, 2016.
  16. 1 2 "Polls: Trump Threatens to Flip New Jersey, Rhode Island; Clinton Leads in New England States". www.peoplespunditdaily.com. Retrieved September 7, 2016.

External links

This article is issued from Wikipedia - version of the 12/2/2016. The text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution/Share Alike but additional terms may apply for the media files.