United States presidential election in Virginia, 2016

United States presidential election in Virginia, 2016
Virginia
November 8, 2016
 
Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state New York New York
Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence
Electoral vote 13 0
Popular vote 1,981,473 1,769,443
Percentage 49.8% 44.4%

County and Independent City Results

Clinton

  40-50%
  50-60%
  60-70%
  70-80%
  80-90%

Trump

  40-50%
  50-60%
  60-70%
  70-80%
  80-90%

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

 Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2016 United States presidential election in Virginia was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

On March 1, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Virginia voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, and Green parties' respective nominees for President. Virginia voters did not register by party.

The Democratic Party candidate, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton of New York, narrowly carried Virginia with 49.8% of the popular vote against businessman Donald Trump of New York, who carried 44.4%, a victory margin of 5.4%. Clinton seemed to benefit from having Tim Kaine on the ticket. Whereas the national popular vote swung 3.46% Republican from the previous election, Virginia swung 1.37% Democratic.[1] Virginia was among the eleven states in which Hillary Clinton outperformed Barack Obama's margin in 2012.[2]

Trump became the first Republican candidate since Calvin Coolidge in 1924 to win the White House without carrying Virginia. It has not voted Republican in 12 years. Before 2008, Virginia had not voted for a Democrat since 1964. The Old Dominion is appearing to become traditionally Democratic for the first time in nearly 70 years. This is due largely to migration into counties in Northern Virginia close to Washington D.C., which has tilted those densely populated areas towards the Democratic Party.

Virginia was the only state in the eleven former states that belonged to the Confederate States of America to vote Democratic. This is a reversal from 1976, when it was the only state that had belonged to the CSA to vote Republican.

General election

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Virginia as of Election Day.

  1. Los Angeles Times: Leans Clinton[3]
  2. CNN: Leans Clinton[4]
  3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Clinton[5]
  4. NBC: Leans Clinton[6]
  5. Electoral-vote.com: Leans Clinton[7]
  6. RealClearPolitics: Tossup[8]
  7. Fox News: Leans Clinton[9]
  8. ABC: Leans Clinton[10]

Results

United States presidential election in Virginia, 2016
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Democratic Hillary Clinton Tim Kaine 1,981,473 49.75% 13
Republican Donald Trump Mike Pence 1,769,443 44.43% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson William Weld 118,274 2.97% 0
Independent (Write-in) Evan McMullin Mindy Finn 54,054 1.36% 0
Green Jill Stein Ajamu Baraka 27,638 0.69% 0
Independent (Write-in)
-
-
 31,870 0.80% 0
Totals 3,982,752 100.00% 13
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 71.30%
Source: Virginia Department of Elections

Democratic primary

County results of the Virginia Democratic presidential primary, 2016.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders
Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 504,741 64.29%
62
13
75
Bernie Sanders 276,370 35.20%
33
0
33
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 3,930 0.50%
Uncommitted N/A
0
1
1
Total 785,041 100% 95 14 109
Source: The Green Papers, Virginia Department of Elections

Republican primary

Virginia Republican primary, 2016
Virginia
March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01)
 
Candidate Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz
Home state New York Florida Texas
Delegate count 17 16 8
Popular vote 356,840 327,918 171,150
Percentage 34.80% 31.98% 16.69%
 
Candidate John Kasich Ben Carson
Home state Ohio Maryland
Delegate count 5 3
Popular vote 97,784 60,228
Percentage 9.54% 5.87%

Virginia results by county
  Donald Trump
  Marco Rubio
Virginia Republican primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 356,840 34.80% 17 0 17
Marco Rubio 327,918 31.98% 16 0 16
Ted Cruz 171,150 16.69% 8 0 8
John Kasich 97,784 9.54% 5 0 5
Ben Carson 60,228 5.87% 3 0 3
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 3,645 0.36% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 2,917 0.28% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 1,458 0.14% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 1,102 0.11% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 914 0.09% 0 0 0
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn) 653 0.06% 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 444 0.04% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 399 0.04% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 1,025,452 100.00% 49 0 49
Source: The Green Papers

Libertarian nomination

The 2016 Libertarian Party Presidential ticket is former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson for President and former Massachusetts Governor Bill Weld for Vice President. They earned those nominations at the Libertarian Party 2016 National Convention on Memorial Day weekend.[11]

Green primary

The Virginia Green Party held its primary from March 20 through April 3. Party members were able to vote online through an email ballot or through the mail.[12] On April 13, it was announced that Jill Stein had won with 76% of the vote. The state's four delegates were apportioned at the May 28 state meeting.[13]

Virginia Primary, April 3, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
Jill Stein 35 76% 3
Kent Mesplay 3 6% 1
William Kreml 2 4.1% -
Darryl Cherney 2 3.8% -
Sedinam Curry 1 1.7% -
Write-ins 3 8.4% -
Total 46 100.00% 4

Polling

State Voting History

Virginia joined the Union in June 1788 and has participated in all elections from 1789 onwards, except 1864 and 1868 (due to its secession from the US due to the American Civil War). Since 1900, Virginia voted Democratic 54.17 percent of the time and Republican 45.83 percent of the time. From 1968 to 2004, Virginia voted for Republican Party candidate. However, in the 2008 and 2012 elections, the state voted for the Democratic Party. The same trend continued in the 2016 presidential elections.[14]

Clinton had several advantages in Virginia. The first was due in part to her landslide win in the Democratic primary against Senator Bernie Sanders. The second was Virginia has a significant number of African American voters, many of whom backed Clinton in the primary and both of President Barack Obama's wins in the state. The third was Clinton's pick of the state's own US Senator, Tim Kaine, as her Vice Presidential running mate.

While polls throughout the campaign showed Clinton leading Republican Donald Trump by varying margins in Virginia, it was announced on October 13 that the Trump campaign was pulling its resources out of the state, likely ceding to Clinton what was perceived to be a critical battleground state. According to the Trump campaign, the reason for pulling out of Virginia was to compete in more critical battleground states like Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio.[15]

See also

References

External links

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