United States Senate election in South Carolina, 2016
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The 2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Carolina, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries took place on June 14.
Incumbent Republican Senator Tim Scott won re-election to a first full term in office.[1]
Background
Two-term Republican Senator Jim DeMint was re-elected with 61.48% of the vote in 2010. He resigned at the start of 2013 to become President of The Heritage Foundation and U.S. Representative Tim Scott of South Carolina's 1st congressional district was appointed to replace him by Governor Nikki Haley.[2] Scott subsequently won the special election in 2014 for the remaining two years of the term. Scott is running for re-election.[3][4]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Thomas Dixon, pastor and community activist (also running with Green Party nomination)[5]
Declined
- Joyce Dickerson, Richland County Councilwoman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014 (running for reelection)[6][7]
General election
Candidates
- Tim Scott (Republican), incumbent U.S. Senator[8]
- Thomas Dixon (Democratic, Green), pastor and community activist[8]
- Bill Bledsoe (Libertarian, Constitution)[8]
- Michael Scarborough (American), attorney[9][8]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[10] | Safe R | September 9, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | September 19, 2016 |
Rothenberg Political Report[12] | Safe R | September 2, 2016 |
Daily Kos[13] | Safe R | September 16, 2016 |
Real Clear Politics[14] | Safe R | September 15, 2016 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tim Scott (R) |
Thomas Dixon (D/G) |
Bill Bledsoe (L/C) |
Michael Scarborough (A) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,698 | ± 4.6% | 59% | 38% | — | — | 3% |
SurveyMonkey | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 1,642 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 39% | — | — | 3% |
SurveyMonkey | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 1,583 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 39% | — | — | 3% |
SurveyMonkey | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 1,501 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 39% | — | — | 3% |
SurveyMonkey | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 1,588 | ± 4.6% | 57% | 40% | — | — | 3% |
SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 1,762 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 39% | — | — | 5% |
Starboard Communications (R) | September 7–9, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.8% | 58% | 22% | — | — | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | August 9–10, 2016 | 1,290 | ± 2.7% | 45% | 30%[15] | 4% | 2% | 20% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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References
- 1 2 Emily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015). "Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016". Roll Call. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
- ↑ Jeff Zeleny (December 17, 2012). "Rep. Tim Scott Chosen to Replace Jim DeMint as South Carolina Senator". The New York Times.
- ↑ Abby Livingston (February 12, 2014). "South Carolina Republicans Will Have to Ride the Bench". Roll Call. Retrieved April 2, 2014.
- ↑ Chris Cillizza (December 17, 2012). "Tim Scott and the changing face of the Republican party". Washington Post. Retrieved April 2, 2014.
- ↑ Rindge, Brenda (February 22, 2016). "Thomas Dixon to challenge U.S. Sen. Tim Scott". The Post and Courier. Retrieved February 23, 2016.
- ↑ "SOUTH CAROLINA: Richland Co Councilwoman & '14 nom Joyce Dickerson (D) back for a second run vs US Sen Tim Scott (R)". Politics1. Twitter. November 2, 2015. Retrieved March 14, 2016.
- ↑ "Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election". South Carolina Election Commission. Retrieved March 18, 2016.
- 1 2 3 4 "Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election". South Carolina Election Commission. Retrieved August 14, 2016.
- ↑ Crowder, Mike (May 15, 2016). "American Party of SC nominates candidates for a handful of offices". WRHI. Retrieved August 9, 2016.
- ↑ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for September 9, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 9, 2016.
- ↑ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
- ↑ "2016 Senate Ratings (September 2, 2016)". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2016.
- ↑ "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 17, 2016.
- ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 15, 2016.
- ↑ Fusion voting total- 28% as D, 2% as G
External links
- Tim Scott (R) for Senate
- Thomas Dixon (D) for Senate
- Bill Bledsoe (L/C) for Senate
- Mike Scarborough (A) for Senate