United States Senate election in Ohio, 2016

United States Senate election in Ohio, 2016

November 8, 2016

Nominee Rob Portman Ted Strickland Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 3,118,567 1,996,908 Percentage 58.0% 37.1%

U.S. Senator before election Rob Portman Republican Elected U.S. Senator Rob Portman Republican

The 2016 United States Senate election in Ohio was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Ohio, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The close of registration for electors in the primary election was December 16, 2015, and the primary election took place on March 15, 2016.^[1] Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Rob Portman was selected to face former Democratic Governor Ted Strickland. Green Party nominee Joseph DeMare was also on the ballot along with two other independent candidates and one officially declared write-in candidate.

After more than five million votes were cast, Senator Portman was re-elected to a second term by gathering 58.32% of the popular vote.

Republican primary

Republican Senator Rob Portman is running for re-election to a second term in office.^[2] He considered running for president in 2016,^[3][4][5] but ruled out running for two offices at the same time, even though Ohio law does allow it.^[3][6] He ultimately declined to run for president.^[2][7] The National Organization for Marriage and other socially conservative groups, unhappy with Portman's public backing for same-sex marriage, have pledged to back a primary challenger. Tea Party groups, who heavily backed Portman in 2010, have said that they are unlikely to do the same if he runs for re-election.^[8][9]

Candidates

Declared

• Rob Portman, incumbent Senator.^[2]
• Don Elijah Eckhart, Independent candidate for OH-15 in 2008^[10]

Disqualified

• Melissa Strzala, Tea Party activist (failed to gather enough valid signatures)^[11][12]

Declined

• Josh Mandel, Ohio State Treasurer and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012^[3][13]
• Steve Stivers, U.S. Representative^[3][13]

Endorsements

Don Elijah Eckhart
Organizations Citizens for Community Values[14] Greene County Republican Party[14]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Don Elijah Eckhart	Rob Portman	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 4–6, 2016	638	± 3.9%	7%	60%	33%

Results

Republican primary results^[15]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Rob Portman	1,336,686	82.16
	Republican	Don Elijah Eckhart	290,268	17.84
Total votes			1,626,954	100.00

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Kelli Prather, occupational therapist and community organizer^[11]
• P.G. Sittenfeld, Cincinnati City Councilman^[16][17][18]
• Ted Strickland, former Governor of Ohio and former U.S. Representative^[19]

Withdrawn

• Bob Hagan, former member of the Ohio State Board of Education and former State Representative^[3][20][21]

Declined

• Joyce Beatty, U.S. Representative^[16][22]
• John Boccieri, former U.S. Representative^[16][23]
• Jennifer Brunner, Judge on the Ohio Tenth District Court of Appeals, former Ohio Secretary of State and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010^[16][20][24]
• Michael B. Coleman, Mayor of Columbus^[16][25][26]
• Richard Cordray, Director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, former Ohio Attorney General and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2000^[16]
• Connie Pillich, former State Representative and nominee for Ohio State Treasurer in 2014^[3][27]
• Tim Ryan, U.S. Representative^[28]
• Betty Sutton, Administrator of the Saint Lawrence Seaway Development Corporation and former U.S. Representative^[16][20]
• Nina Turner, former State Senator and nominee for Ohio Secretary of State in 2014^[3][29]
• Nan Whaley, Mayor of Dayton^[16][30]

Endorsements

P.G. Sittenfeld

U.S. Cabinet members and Cabinet-level officials Heather Zichal, former Deputy Assistant to the President for Energy and Climate Change (2009–2013)[31] U.S. Governors Dick Celeste, Ohio (former)[32] U.S. Representatives (former) David S. Mann (former Mayor of Cincinnati and current Cincinnati City Councilman)[33] Thomas C. Sawyer (current State Senator)[34] Ohio State Representatives (current) Emilia Sykes[34] Ohio State Representatives (former) Tracy Maxwell Heard (former House Majority Leader)[35] Mayors Dan Horrigan, mayor of Akron[34] Mark Mallory, former Mayor of Cincinnati[36] City Council members Chris Seelbach, Cincinnati City Councilman[33] Yvette Simpson, Cincinnati City Councilwoman[33] Wendell Young, Cincinnati City Councilman[33] County officials Russ Pry, Summit County Executive[34] Eileen Shapiro, Summit County Council President[34] Notable individuals Jonathan Banks, actor[37] Mark Hamill, actor[38] Jim Ruvolo, former Chair of the Ohio Democratic Party[39] Organizations Friends of the Earth[40] Newspapers Akron Beacon Journal[41] The Plain Dealer[42]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kelli Prather	P.G. Sittenfeld	Ted Strickland	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 4–6, 2016	508	± 4.4%	6%	16%	50%	28%
Public Policy Polling	January 12–14, 2016	1,138	± ?	10%	10%	61%	18%
Public Policy Polling	June 4–7, 2015	360	± 5.2%	—	13%	65%	22%

Results

Democratic primary results^[15]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Ted Strickland	742,676	65.04
	Democratic	P.G. Sittenfeld	254,232	22.26
	Democratic	Kelli Prather	144,945	12.69
Total votes			1,141,853	100.00

Green primary

Candidates

Declared

• Joe DeMare, factory worker and environmentalist^[43]

Results

Green primary results^[15]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Green	Joe DeMare	3,123	100.00
Total votes			3,123	100.00

General election

Candidates

• Rob Portman (R), incumbent Senator
• Ted Strickland (D), former Governor of Ohio and former U.S. Representative
• Joe DeMare (G), factory worker and environmentalist
• Scott Rupert (I), truck driver and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012^[44]
• Tom Connors (I)
• James Stahl (Write-in)

Endorsements

Rob Portman

Presidents George W. Bush, 43rd President of the United States[45] U.S. Cabinet members and Cabinet-level officials Condoleezza Rice, 66th United States Secretary of State[46] Governors John Kasich, Ohio and 2016 presidential candidate[47][48] Mike Pence, Indiana and 2016 Republican vice presidential nominee[49] U.S. Senators (current and former) John Cornyn, Texas and Senate Majority Whip[50] Ted Cruz, Texas and 2016 presidential candidate[50] George Voinovich, Ohio (former)[48] U.S. Representatives (current and former) Steve Austria, Ohio (former)[48] John Boehner, Ohio (former Speaker of the House)[47][48] Steve Chabot, Ohio[47][48] Bob Gibbs, Ohio[47][48] Bill Gradison, Ohio (former)[48] Dave Hobson, Ohio (former)[48] Bill Johnson, Ohio[47][48] Jim Jordan, Ohio[47][48] David Joyce, Ohio[47][48] Bob Latta, Ohio[47][48] Deborah Pryce, Ohio (former)[48] Ralph Regula, Ohio (former)[48] Jim Renacci, Ohio[47][48] Paul Ryan, Wisconsin and Speaker of the House of Representatives[51] Jean Schmidt, Ohio (former)[48] Steve Stivers, Ohio[47][48] Pat Tiberi, Ohio[47][48] Mike Turner, Ohio[47][48] Brad Wenstrup, Ohio[47][48] Statewide officials Mike DeWine, Ohio Attorney General (former Senator from Ohio)[48] Jon A. Husted, Ohio Secretary of State[48] Josh Mandel, Ohio State Treasurer[48] Mary Taylor, Lieutenant Governor of Ohio[48] Dave Yost, Ohio State Auditor[48] Diplomats John R. Bolton, former United States Ambassador to the United Nations[52] Individuals Laura Bush, 43rd First Lady of the United States[53] Labor unions FOP - Fraternal Order of Police[54] IBT - International Brotherhood of Teamsters[54] IUOE - International Union of Operating Engineers[55] UMW - United Mine Workers[56] Organizations National Federation of Independent Business[57] National Rifle Association[58] Ohio Right to Life[59] United States Chamber of Commerce[60] Newspapers The Courier[61] The Cincinnati Enquirer[62] Crain's Cleveland Business[63] The Columbus Dispatch[64] The Plain Dealer[65] Akron Beacon Journal[66] The Vindicator[67] Martins Ferry Times Leader[68] The Highland County Press[69] The Lima News[70] The Intelligencer and Wheeling News Register[71] Tiffin Advertiser-Tribune[72] Chillicothe Gazette[73] The Times-Gazette[74] The Parkersburg News and Sentinel[75] Chronicle-Telegram[76] Call & Post[77] Minority Communicator Newspaper[78] The Repository[79] Marietta Times[80] Herald-Star[81] The Blade[82]

Ted Strickland

Presidents Bill Clinton, 42nd President of the United States[83] Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States[84] Vice Presidents Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States[84] U.S. Cabinet members and Cabinet-level officials Hillary Clinton, 67th United States Secretary of State, 2008 presidential candidate and 2016 presidential nominee[85] U.S. Senators Sherrod Brown, Ohio[86] Al Franken, Minnesota[87] Chris Murphy, Connecticut[88] Bernie Sanders, Vermont and 2016 presidential candidate[89] Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts[90] U.S. Representatives Joyce Beatty, Ohio[91][92] Marcia Fudge, Ohio[92] Gabrielle Giffords, Arizona (former)[38] Tim Ryan, Ohio[92] Ohio State Senators Edna Brown[93] Joe Schiavoni (Senate Minority Leader)[34] Ohio State Representatives (current) Kathleen Clyde[34] David J. Leland (former Chair of the Ohio Democratic Party)[35] Martin Sweeney[34] Ohio State Representatives (former) John Patrick Carney (nominee for Ohio State Auditor in 2014)[94] Connie Pillich (nominee for Ohio State Treasurer in 2014)[27] Mayors Michael B. Coleman, former Mayor of Columbus[26] Andrew Ginther, Mayor of Columbus[95] Paula Hicks-Hudson, Mayor of Toledo[93] Nan Whaley, Mayor of Dayton[30] City Council members P.G. Sittenfeld, Cincinnati City Councilman[96] Notable individuals Mary Jo Hudson, Columbus School Board Member and LGBT activist [97] James Obergefell, plaintiff in the Obergefell v. Hodges United States Supreme Court case[98] Labor unions AFL–CIO[99][100] OAPFF - Ohio Association of Professional Fire Fighters[54] OEA – Ohio Education Association[87] TWU – Transport Workers Union of America[101] UAW – United Automobile Workers[102] USW - United Steelworkers[100] Organizations Daily Kos[103] Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[104] League of Conservation Voters[105] Ohio Democratic County Chairs Association[106] Ohio Democratic Party[107] People for the American Way[108] Planned Parenthood[109] Newspapers The Athens News[110]

Debates

Key:  P  denotes candidate was present at the debate;  N  denotes candidate was not invited;  A  denotes candidate absent but was invited;  O  denotes candidate was out of the race.

Details			Candidates Participating
Date	Place	Sponsor	Sen. Portman (REP)	Fmr. Gov. Strickland (DEM)	Tom Connors (NP)	Joseph Demare (GRE)	Scott Rupert (NP)	James Stahl (WI)
October 14, 2016	Youngstown, Ohio	WFMJ-TV/The Vindicator	P	P	N	N	N	N
October 17, 2016	Columbus, Ohio	WBNS-TV/The Columbus Dispatch	P	P	N	N	N	N
October 20, 2016	Cleveland, Ohio	WEWS-TV/City Club of Cleveland	P	P	N	N	N	N

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[111]	Lean R	September 30, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[112]	Safe R	October 20, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[113]	Likely R	October 21, 2016
Daily Kos[114]	Safe R	October 28, 2016
Real Clear Politics[115]	Likely R	October 28, 2016

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Rob Portman (R)	Ted Strickland (D)	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey	November 1–7, 2016	2,860	± 4.6%	57%	39%	—	4%
SurveyMonkey	Oct 31–Nov 6, 2016	2,530	± 4.6%	57%	39%	—	4%
Emerson College	November 4–5, 2016	900	± 3.2%	49%	28%	11%	12%
The Columbus Dispatch	Oct 27–Nov 5, 2016	1,151	± 2.9%	58%	37%	—	5%
CBS News/YouGov	November 2–4, 2016	1,189	± 4.1%	52%	39%	3%	6%
SurveyMonkey	Oct 28–Nov 3, 2016	2,004	± 4.6%	58%	39%	—	3%
SurveyMonkey	Oct 27–Nov 2, 2016	1,728	± 4.6%	57%	40%	—	3%
Quinnipiac University	Oct 27–Nov 1, 2016	589	± 4.0%	56%	38%	—	6%
SurveyMonkey	Oct 26–Nov 1, 2016	1,586	± 4.6%	57%	39%	—	4%
SurveyMonkey	October 25–31, 2016	1,823	± 4.6%	55%	40%	—	5%
Emerson College	October 26–27, 2016	800	± 3.4%	49%	35%	4%	12%
Suffolk University	October 17–19, 2016	500	± 4.4%	46%	31%	6%	14%
Quinnipiac University	October 10–16, 2016	624	± 3.9%	54%	41%	1%	4%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey	October 8–16, 2016	1,307	± 0.5%	56%	39%	—	5%
CNN/ORC	October 10–15, 2016	774 LV	± 3.5%	56%	40%	—	2%
		890 RV		55%	40%	—	2%
NBC/WSJ/Marist	October 10–12, 2016	724 LV	± 3.6%	55%	37%	3%	5%
		1,007 RV	± 3.1%	54%	36%	3%	6%
Emerson College	October 10–12, 2016	600	± 3.9%	47%	30%	6%	16%
Baldwin Wallace University	October 9–11, 2016	1,152	± 3.0%	48%	36%	—	16%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid	October 7–10, 2016	1,304	± 3.0%	51%	37%	—	12%
CBS News/YouGov	October 5–7, 2016	997	± 3.9%	49%	38%	2%	10%
Public Policy Polling	October 5–6, 2016	782	± 3.5%	51%	36%	—	12%
Monmouth University	October 1–4, 2016	405	± 4.9%	54%	39%	2%	5%
Quinnipiac University	Sept 27–Oct 2, 2016	497	± 4.4%	55%	38%	—	7%
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research	Sept 27–Oct 2, 2016	800	± 4.0%	51%	39%	5%	5%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing	September 22–23, 2016	850	± 3.4%	44%	36%	—	20%
TargetSmart/William & Mary	September 15–22, 2016	652 LV	± 3.4%	47%	32%	4%	17%
		821 RV		44%	34%	4%	18%
FOX News	September 18–20, 2016	737 LV	± 3.5%	51%	37%	1%	10%
		806 RV		50%	37%	1%	10%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps	September 10–19, 2016	400	± 4.0%	51%	34%	4%	11%
Suffolk University	September 12–14, 2016	500	± 4.4%	39%	31%	5%	23%
CNN/ORC	September 7–12, 2016	769 LV	± 3.0%	58%	37%	—	5%
		895 RV		56%	38%	—	5%
Bloomberg/Selzer	September 9–12, 2016	802	± 3.5%	53%	36%	3%	7%
Quinnipiac University	Aug 29–Sept 7, 2016	775	± 3.5%	51%	40%	1%	8%
Public Policy Polling	August 26–27, 2016	1,134	± 3.0%	48%	39%	—	13%
Emerson College	August 25–27, 2016	800	± 3.4%	40%	25%	10%	25%
Monmouth University	August 18–21, 2016	402	± 4.9%	48%	40%	4%	8%
CBS News/YouGov	August 17–19, 2016	997	± 3.9%	46%	39%	4%	11%
Quinnipiac University	July 30–August 7, 2016	812	± 3.4%	49%	40%	1%	10%
NBC/WSJ/Marist	August 3–7, 2016	889	± 3.3%	48%	43%	1%	8%
Public Policy Polling	July 22–24, 2016	1,334	± 2.7%	43%	38%	—	19%
Suffolk University	July 18–20, 2016	500	± 4.4%	37%	33%	6%	23%
CBS News/YouGov	July 13–15, 2016	1,104	± 3.5%	41%	40%	4%	14%
Quinnipiac University	June 30–July 11, 2016	955	± 3.2%	47%	40%	1%	9%
NBC/WSJ/Marist	July 5–10, 2016	848	± 3.4%	44%	44%	2%	10%
Public Policy Polling	June 22–23, 2016	708	± 3.7%	40%	39%	—	21%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps	June 11–20, 2016	300	± 5.7%	40%	43%	—	17%
Quinnipiac University	June 8–19, 2016	971	± 3.1%	42%	42%	1%	11%
Public Policy Polling	June 8–9, 2016	781	± 3.4%	46%	42%	—	12%
Quinnipiac University	April 27–May 8, 2016	1,042	± 3.0%	42%	43%	1%	14%
Public Policy Polling	April 26–27, 2016	799	± 3.2%	38%	38%	1%	23%
Hart Research Associates	April 5–7, 2016	500	± 3.2%	47%	45%	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	March 4–6, 2016	1,248	± 2.8%	40%	41%	—	19%
Quinnipiac University	February 16–20, 2016	1,539	± 2.5%	42%	44%	—	14%
Baldwin Wallace University	February 11–20, 2016	825	± 3.4%	44%	40%	—	16%
Democracy Corps	October 24–28, 2015	400	± 4.9%	47%	47%	—	6%
Quinnipiac University	Sept 25–Oct 5, 2015	1,180	± 2.9%	43%	46%	1%	8%
Harstad Strategic Research	September 10–16, 2015	813	± 3.4%	43%	46%	—	11%
Quinnipiac University	August 7–18, 2015	1,096	± 3.0%	41%	44%	1%	10%
Quinnipiac University	June 4–15, 2015	1,191	± 2.8%	40%	46%	1%	13%
Vox Populi Polling (R)	June 6–7, 2015	474	± 4.5%	47%	37%	—	16%
Public Policy Polling	June 4–7, 2015	859	± 3.3%	43%	41%	—	15%
Quinnipiac University	March 17–28, 2015	1,077	± 3.0%	39%	48%	—	13%
Public Policy Polling↑	March 2–3, 2015	946	± 3.2%	45%	45%	—	10%

• # Poll conducted for Senate Majority PAC, a Democratic-aligned Super PAC.
• ↑ Poll conducted for the Ohio Democratic Party

Results

United States Senate election in Ohio, 2016 ^[116]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Republican	Rob Portman (inc.)	3,048,467	58.31%
	Democratic	Ted Strickland	1,929,873	36.92%
	Independent	Tom Connors	89,977	1.72%
	Green	Joseph R. DeMare	84,521	1.62%
	Independent	Scott Rupert	74,682	1.43%
	Independent	James Stahl (Write-in)	105	0.00%
Total votes			5,227,625	100.00%
	Republican hold		Swing	NA

References

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External links

Official campaign websites

• Rob Portman (R) for Senate
• Ted Strickland (D) for Senate
• Joe DeMare (G) for Senate
• Scott Rupert (I) for Senate
• Tom Connors (I) for Senate