United States Senate election in Vermont, 2016

United States Senate election in Vermont, 2016
Vermont
November 8, 2016

 
Nominee Patrick Leahy Scott Milne
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 192,243 103,637
Percentage 59.9% 32.3%


U.S. Senator before election

Patrick Leahy
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Patrick Leahy
Democratic

The 2016 United States Senate election in Vermont was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Vermont, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 9.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Patrick Leahy, the most senior senator in the current Senate and the longest-serving US Senator in Vermont history as well as the only Democrat to ever be elected to a Senate seat in Vermont, won re-election to a record eighth term in office.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Patrick Leahy 62,412 89.15
Democratic Cris Ericson 7,595 10.85
Total votes 70,007 100%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Liberty Union primary

Candidates

Declared

Other candidacies

Declared

General election

Candidates

Predictions

Polls and predictions show the race as being safely Democratic.

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Safe D September 9, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe D September 19, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[10] Safe D September 2, 2016
Daily Kos[11] Safe D September 16, 2016
Real Clear Politics[12] Safe D September 15, 2016

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Patrick
Leahy (D)
Scott
Milne (R)
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 454 ± 4.6% 75% 24% 1%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 447 ± 4.6% 75% 24% 1%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 449 ± 4.6% 69% 28% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 424 ± 4.6% 65% 32% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 428 ± 4.6% 64% 34% 2%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 436 ± 4.6% 64% 33% 3%
Braun Research/WCAX October 19–22, 2016 603 ± 4.0% 64% 29% 3% 5%
Castleton University - Vermont Public Radio September 29–October 14, 2016 579 ± 3.9% 59% 22% 7% 10%
Emerson College September 2–5, 2016 600 ± 3.9% 57% 34% 4% 5%
Castleton University - Vermont Public Radio July 11–23, 2016 637 ± 3.9% 62% 23% 1% 11%

Results

United States Senate election in Vermont, 2016 [13]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Patrick Leahy (incumbent) 191,739 61.31% -3.05%
Republican Scott Milne 103,224 33.01% +2.08%
Marijuana Cris Ericson 9,135 2.92% +1.76%
Independent Jerry Trudell 5,400 1.73% N/A
Liberty Union Peter Diamondstone 3,232 1.03% 0.42%
Majority 88,515 28.30%
Total votes 312,730 100
Democratic hold Swing

References

  1. Emily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015). "Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016". Roll Call. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
  2. O'Gorman, Josh (May 27, 2016). "Voters to see familiar faces and new races". The Rutland Herald. Retrieved June 2, 2016.
  3. "Vermont Results". Politico. August 24, 2010. Retrieved August 24, 2010.
  4. Heintz, Paul (October 5, 2015). "Scott Milne Considers Challenging Patrick Leahy". Seven Days. Retrieved October 7, 2015.
  5. Gram, Dave (May 26, 2016). "Milne hopes to unseat Sen. Leahy". The Burlington Free Press. Retrieved May 27, 2016.
  6. "Candidates register to appear on ballots". The Burlington Free Press. Retrieved 5 June 2016.
  7. "Jerry Trudell for Senate VT". Retrieved 24 October 2016.
  8. "2016 Senate Race Ratings for September 9, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 9, 2016.
  9. "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  10. "2016 Senate Ratings (September 2, 2016)". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2016.
  11. "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 17, 2016.
  12. "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 15, 2016.
  13. "Vermont Election Results". Burlington Free Press.

External links

Official campaign websites
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