United States Senate election in Vermont, 2016
United States Senate election in Vermont, 2016
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The 2016 United States Senate election in Vermont was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Vermont, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 9.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Patrick Leahy, the most senior senator in the current Senate and the longest-serving US Senator in Vermont history as well as the only Democrat to ever be elected to a Senate seat in Vermont, won re-election to a record eighth term in office.[1]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Results
Democratic primary results[3]
Party |
Candidate |
Votes |
% |
|
Democratic |
Patrick Leahy |
62,412 |
89.15 |
|
Democratic |
Cris Ericson |
7,595 |
10.85 |
Total votes |
70,007 |
100% |
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Liberty Union primary
Candidates
Declared
Other candidacies
Declared
- Jerry Trudell, independent candidate, environmental activist, candidate for House of Representatives in 2014[7]
- Cris Ericson, Marijuana Party perennial candidate, previously sought Democratic nomination
General election
Candidates
Predictions
Polls and predictions show the race as being safely Democratic.
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Patrick Leahy (D) |
Scott Milne (R) |
Other |
Undecided |
SurveyMonkey |
November 1–7, 2016 |
454 |
± 4.6% |
75% |
24% |
— |
1% |
SurveyMonkey |
October 31–November 6, 2016 |
447 |
± 4.6% |
75% |
24% |
— |
1% |
SurveyMonkey |
October 28–November 3, 2016 |
449 |
± 4.6% |
69% |
28% |
— |
3% |
SurveyMonkey |
October 27–November 2, 2016 |
424 |
± 4.6% |
65% |
32% |
— |
3% |
SurveyMonkey |
October 26–November 1, 2016 |
428 |
± 4.6% |
64% |
34% |
— |
2% |
SurveyMonkey |
October 25–31, 2016 |
436 |
± 4.6% |
64% |
33% |
— |
3% |
Braun Research/WCAX |
October 19–22, 2016 |
603 |
± 4.0% |
64% |
29% |
3% |
5% |
Castleton University - Vermont Public Radio |
September 29–October 14, 2016 |
579 |
± 3.9% |
59% |
22% |
7% |
10% |
Emerson College |
September 2–5, 2016 |
600 |
± 3.9% |
57% |
34% |
4% |
5% |
Castleton University - Vermont Public Radio |
July 11–23, 2016 |
637 |
± 3.9% |
62% |
23% |
1% |
11% |
Results
References
- ↑ Emily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015). "Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016". Roll Call. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
- ↑ O'Gorman, Josh (May 27, 2016). "Voters to see familiar faces and new races". The Rutland Herald. Retrieved June 2, 2016.
- ↑ "Vermont Results". Politico. August 24, 2010. Retrieved August 24, 2010.
- ↑ Heintz, Paul (October 5, 2015). "Scott Milne Considers Challenging Patrick Leahy". Seven Days. Retrieved October 7, 2015.
- ↑ Gram, Dave (May 26, 2016). "Milne hopes to unseat Sen. Leahy". The Burlington Free Press. Retrieved May 27, 2016.
- ↑ "Candidates register to appear on ballots". The Burlington Free Press. Retrieved 5 June 2016.
- ↑ "Jerry Trudell for Senate VT". Retrieved 24 October 2016.
- ↑ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for September 9, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 9, 2016.
- ↑ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
- ↑ "2016 Senate Ratings (September 2, 2016)". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2016.
- ↑ "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 17, 2016.
- ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 15, 2016.
- ↑ "Vermont Election Results". Burlington Free Press.
External links
- Official campaign websites