United States Senate election in Colorado, 2016

United States Senate election in Colorado, 2016
Colorado
November 8, 2016
 
Nominee Michael Bennet Darryl Glenn
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,246,357 1,149,326
Percentage 49.2% 45.3%

U.S. Senator before election

Michael Bennet
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Senator

Michael Bennet
Democratic

The 2016 United States Senate election in Colorado was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Colorado, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Major party candidates can qualify for the ballot through party assemblies or by petition.[1] To qualify by assembly, a candidate must receive at least 30 percent of the vote from the party's state assembly.[1] To qualify by petition, the candidate must file at least 1,500 signatures from each congressional district by April 4, 2016.[1]

Incumbent Democratic Senator Michael Bennet won re-election to a second full term in office. Bennet's main challenger was Republican nominee Darryl Glenn, an El Paso County commissioner. Glenn won a crowded, five-way Republican primary in June. Three other candidates were on the ballot: former Eagle County Commissioner Arn Menconi was the Green Party nominee; Lily Tang Williams was the Libertarian Party nominee; and Unity Party of America Chairman Bill Hammons was the Unity Party nominee.[2][3]

Background

Democratic U.S. Senator Ken Salazar resigned in January 2009 to become United States Secretary of the Interior and Governor Bill Ritter appointed Bennet, the Superintendent of Denver Public Schools, to replace him. Bennet was elected to a full term in 2010, defeating Republican Ken Buck by 48.1% to 46.4%.

Democratic primary

Michael Bennet was unopposed for renomination.

Candidates

Declared

Results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Michael Bennet (Incumbent) 262,344 100.00
Total votes 262,344 100.00

Republican primary

The Colorado Republican Party State Assembly was held on April 9, 2016.[6] Darryl Glenn won the convention with 70% of the vote.[7] Robert Blaha, Jack Graham, Jon Keyser, and Ryan Frazier sought to qualify for the ballot by petition instead of through the State Assembly.[8]

Glenn won the June primary with about 37.5% of the vote in the crowded, five-candidate Republican primary field.[9]

Candidate controversies

In early May, the Denver ABC affiliate uncovered over 10 forged voter signatures on the petition which placed Republican candidate Jon Keyser on the June Republican primary ballot. The circulator who forged the signatures was arrested for 34 felonies. A late May lawsuit claiming at least 60 forged signatures based on the analysis of a handwriting expert and challenging Keyser's placement on the primary ballot was dismissed because it didn't fall within the five-day window to challenge a ballot placement. [10] [11]

When asked on-camera about the forgeries, Keyser didn't address the issue and proceeded to inform the interviewer that Keyser's dog was larger than the interviewer. [12]

In early June, when asked by a fellow Republican candidate and a retired Air Force lieutenant colonel whether Keyser received his Bronze Star for work on a software program or for "kicking in doors" in combat as "represented to the community," Keyser refused to answer the question and claimed he had "no idea" what software program his rival was talking about. Yet, according to the article announcing Keyser's citation, Keyser "developed and implemented a unique and effective technique to provide critical force protection and situational-awareness data to ground counter-terrorism operations." [13] [14]

In August 2014, Republican candidate Jack Graham was fired as Colorado State University Athletic Director for reasons that were not specified, though he would continue to be paid through the November 2016 election. [15] [16]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Rejected at convention

Declined

Endorsements

Results

Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Darryl Glenn 131,125 37.74
Republican Jack Graham 85,400 24.58
Republican Robert Blaha 57,196 16.46
Republican Jon Keyser 43,509 12.52
Republican Ryan Frazier 30,241 8.70
Total votes 347,471 100.00

Darryl Glenn won the general primary on June 28 and will go on to face the other candidates in the November election.[85]

Third Party and Independent Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

General election

Debates

Dates Location Bennet Glenn Williams
September 10, 2016 Grand Junction, Colorado Participant Participant Participant
October 11, 2016 Denver, Colorado Participant Participant Not invited

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[92] Likely D September 9, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[93] Safe D September 19, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[94] Safe D September 2, 2016
Daily Kos[95] Safe D September 16, 2016
Real Clear Politics[96] Lean D November 2, 2016

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Michael
Bennet (D)		 Darryl
Glenn (R)		 Lily
Tang
Williams (L)		 Arn
Menconi (G)		 Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 2,777 ± 4.6% 52% 45% — — — 3%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 2,412 ± 4.6% 51% 45% — — — 4%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2016 704 ± 3.7% 50% 40% 3% 1% 1% 6%
Keating Research November 2–3, 2016 605 ± 4.0% 49% 38% 3% 2% — 5%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 1,927 ± 4.6% 51% 45% — — — 4%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing November 1–2, 2016 1,125 ± 2.9% 47% 44% — — — 9%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 1,631 ± 4.6% 50% 46% — — — 4%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid October 28–November 1, 2016 972 ± 3.0% 49% 41% — — — 10%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 1,402 ± 4.6% 49% 47% — — — 4%
University of Denver October 29–31, 2016 550 ± 4.2% 48% 40% — — 3% 9%
Emerson College October 28–31, 2016 750 ± 3.5% 47% 42% — — 6% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 1,532 ± 4.6% 48% 46% — — — 6%
CBS News/YouGov October 26–28, 2016 997 ± 4.1% 46% 41% — — 3% 10%
University of Colorado Boulder October 17–24, 2016 1,037 ± 3.6% 54% 40% — — 6% 0%
Quinnipiac University October 10–16, 2016 685 ± 3.7% 56% 38% — — — 6%
Magellan Strategies (R) October 12–13, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 47% 32% 3% 4% 2% 12%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey October 8–16, 2016 956 ± 0.5% 52% 42% — — — 6%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing October 12–13, 2016 1,226 ± 2.8% 48% 38% — — — 13%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing October 3–4, 2016 1,246 ± 2.8% 47% 39% — — — 15%
Monmouth University September 29–October 2, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 53% 35% 4% 3% — 5%
Public Policy Polling September 27–28, 2016 694 ± 3.7% 44% 34% 4% 2% 1% 15%
50% 40% — — — 10%
CNN/ORC September 20–25, 2016 784 LV ± 3.5% 53% 43% — — 1% 2%
896 RV 53% 41% — — 1% 2%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing September 22–23, 2016 799 ± 3.5% 43% 45% — — — 12%
Quinnipiac University September 13–21, 2016 644 ± 3.9% 52% 43% — — 1% 4%
Colorado Mesa University/Rocky Mountain PBS September 14–18, 2016 350 LV ± 6.3% 42% 31% 3% 1% — 22%
45% 32% — — 2% 20%
540 RV ± 5.1% 38% 26% 4% 1% — 31%
44% 28% — — 3% 26%
Emerson College September 9–13, 2016 600 ± 3.6% 46% 39% — — 7% 8%
Magellan Strategies (R) August 29–31, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 48% 38% 4% 3% — 7%
Quinnipiac University August 9–16, 2016 830 ± 3.4% 54% 38% — — — 8%
NBC/WSJ/Marist August 4–10, 2016 899 ± 3.3% 53% 38% — — 2% 7%
FOX News July 9–12, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 51% 36% — — 1% 9%
Monmouth University July 9–12, 2016 404 ± 4.9% 48% 35% 3% 2% — 12%
Harper Polling July 7–9, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 46% 40% — — — 14%
NBC/WSJ/Marist July 5–11, 2016 794 ± 3.5% 53% 38% — — 2% 7%
Senate Conservatives Fund July 1–6, 2016 500 ?? 47% 42% — — — 11%

Results

United States Senate election in Colorado, 2016[97]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Michael Bennet (incumbent) 1,242,335 49.13
Republican Darryl Glenn 1,148,008 45.40
Libertarian Lily Tang Williams 88,303 3.49
Green Arn Menconi 31,548 1.25
Unity Bill Hammons 8,392 0.33
Independent Dan Chapin 7,450 0.29
Independent Paul Fiorino 2,732 0.11
Total votes 2,528,768 100.00

References

  1. 1 2 3 "Ballot access requirements for political candidates in Colorado". Ballotpedia. Retrieved March 14, 2016.
  2. ↑ "Lily Tang Williams announces candidacy for Colorado U.S. Senate seat as a Libertarian". Independent Political Report. Retrieved 2016-03-15.
  3. ↑ "2016 General Election Candidate List". sos.state.co.us. Retrieved July 31, 2016.
  4. ↑ Stephen Hobbs (January 16, 2015). "Glenn: Early announcement for U.S. Senate run shows he is 'very serious'". The Gazette. Retrieved January 19, 2015.
  5. 1 2 "June 28, 2016 Primary Election Official Results". Colorado Secretary of State. Retrieved 20 July 2016.
  6. ↑ "Caucus/Assembly/Convention 2016". Colorado Republican Party. January 19, 2016. Retrieved March 14, 2016.
  7. ↑ Rittiman, Brandon (April 9, 2016). "Darryl Glenn pulls off convention upset in Senate race". KUSA. Retrieved April 9, 2016.
  8. ↑ "Jerry Natividad Changes Course, Seeks Ballot Through GOP Convention". ColoradoPols. March 8, 2016. Retrieved March 14, 2016.
  9. ↑ Dan Frosch, Darryl Glenn Wins Republican Primary for U.S. Senate in Colorado, Wall Street Journal (June 29, 2016).
  10. ↑ "Maureen Moss arrested, accused of turning in forged signatures for Jon Keyser". KMGH-TV. Retrieved June 14, 2016.
  11. ↑ "Judge dismisses lawsuit challenging Jon Keyser's U.S. Senate bid". The Denver Post. Retrieved June 14, 2016.
  12. ↑ "U.S. Senate candidate Jon Keyser talks around questions about forged petition signatures". KMGH-TV. Retrieved June 14, 2016.
  13. ↑ "Jon Keyser elaborates on Iraq war record amid friendly fire from GOP rival". The Denver Post. Retrieved June 14, 2016.
  14. ↑ "Two 566th IS Airmen awarded Bronze Star". Buckley Air Force Base. Retrieved June 14, 2016.
  15. ↑ "Jack Graham fired as CSU athletic director". The Denver Post. Retrieved June 27, 2016.
  16. ↑ "CSU's Jack Graham got fired for being who he is". The Denver Post. Retrieved June 27, 2016.
  17. ↑ Frank, John (January 14, 2016). "Robert Blaha announces U.S. Senate bid, makes campaign pledge". The Denver Post. Retrieved January 20, 2016.
  18. 1 2 Hagen, Lisa (April 28, 2016). "2 Colorado Senate candidates fail to qualify for ballot". The Hill. Retrieved April 28, 2016.
  19. 1 2 Frank, John (May 5, 2016). "Robert Blaha qualifies for Senate ballot, Ryan Frazier is an asterisk". The Denver Post. Retrieved May 6, 2016.
  20. ↑ Rittiman, Brandon (October 30, 2015). "Ryan Frazier departs 9NEWS to mull Senate run". KUSA. Retrieved October 30, 2015.
  21. ↑ Rittiman, Brandon (November 11, 2015). "Ryan Frazier enters US. Senate race". KUSA. Retrieved November 11, 2015.
  22. ↑ Bartels, Lynn (January 15, 2015). "El Paso County commissioner wants to take on U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet in 2016". The Denver Post. Retrieved January 15, 2015.
  23. ↑ Lyell, Kelly (January 29, 2016). "Former CSU AD Jack Graham enters U.S. Senate race". Fort Collins Coloradoan. Retrieved January 29, 2016.
  24. ↑ Matthews, Mark K. (January 11, 2016). "Jon Keyser announces 2016 Senate bid amid crowded Colorado field". The Denver Post. Retrieved January 11, 2016.
  25. ↑ Anderson, James (April 29, 2016). "Colorado's Jon Keyser Makes State GOP US Senate Primary". ABC News. Retrieved April 29, 2016.
  26. ↑ Bartels, Lynn (July 6, 2015). "Republican Greg Lopez, former SBA director, to run for U.S. Senate". The Denver Post. Retrieved July 6, 2015.
  27. ↑ Rittiman, Brandon (March 22, 2016). "8 invited to 9NEWS GOP Senate debate". KUSA. Retrieved April 9, 2016.
  28. ↑ Heide, Ruth (March 19, 2015). "Ehler takes early run at U.S. senate seat". The Valley Courier. Retrieved May 20, 2015.
  29. ↑ Kraus, Terry (May 6, 2015). "Air Force Vet Wants Bennet Senate Seat". Greenhorn Valley View. Retrieved May 20, 2015.
  30. ↑ Theobald, Bill (April 9, 2015). "Bennet, up for re-election in 2016, raises $2M". Fort Collins Coloradoan. Retrieved May 20, 2015.
  31. ↑ Goodland, Marianne (January 20, 2016). "Two new contenders join crowded GOP pack running for Senate". The Colorado Independent. Retrieved January 29, 2016.
  32. 1 2 Goodland, Marianne (June 2, 2015). "Coffman's departure opens up Colorado's U.S. Senate race". The Colorado Independent. Retrieved June 3, 2015.
  33. ↑ Matthews, Mark K. (January 20, 2016). "El Paso County's Peg Littleton joins U.S. Senate race". The Denver Post. Retrieved January 20, 2016.
  34. 1 2 Frank, John (March 1, 2016). "Lucky No. 13: Republican Jerry Natividad launches U.S. Senate bid". The Denver Post. Retrieved March 1, 2016.
  35. ↑ Frank, John (September 28, 2015). "Tim Neville to announce U.S. Senate bid as GOP race heats up". The Denver Post. Retrieved October 5, 2015.
  36. ↑ "Tim Neville Wastes No Time, Announces for U.S. Senate". Colorado Pols. October 5, 2015. Retrieved October 5, 2015.
  37. ↑ "JEFFCO SHOWDOWN? With Brauchler Out, Another Jeffco Republican Rumored to Consider a Run". Colorado Peak Politics. October 1, 2015. Retrieved November 3, 2015.
  38. ↑ Bunch, Joey (December 9, 2015). "Jefferson County commissioner to join race for U.S. Senate Thursday". The Denver Post. Retrieved December 10, 2015.
  39. ↑ John, Frank (April 9, 2016). "Darryl Glenn surprises Colorado GOP Senate field at state convention". The Denver Post. Retrieved April 9, 2016.
  40. ↑ "Chatter: Neville prays about Senate bid while Bennet leadership flails". The Colorado Statesman. September 3, 2015. Retrieved September 10, 2015.
  41. 1 2 3 Easley, Jonathan (June 7, 2015). "GOP hopes dim for Colorado Senate pickup". The Hill. Retrieved June 7, 2015.
  42. ↑ Salzman, Jason (October 5, 2015). "KNUS Host Dan Caplis "Very Serious" about Senate Run". Colorado Pols. Retrieved October 5, 2015.
  43. ↑ Bartels, Lynn (June 8, 2015). "Colorado GOP seeking right candidate to face Michael Bennet in 2016". The Denver Post. Retrieved June 18, 2015.
  44. ↑ "You're the Next Contestant on "Somebody Please Run for U.S. Senate"". Colorado Pols. July 8, 2015. Retrieved July 18, 2015.
  45. ↑ "GOP Senate candidates emerge, others in wings?". The Colorado Statesman. July 9, 2015. Retrieved July 18, 2015.
  46. 1 2 3 Alexis Levinson (January 5, 2015). "Which Coffman Runs for Colorado Senate in 2016?". Roll Call. Retrieved January 5, 2015.
  47. 1 2 3 Levinson, Alexis (May 20, 2015). "What Happens If Coffman Says No". Roll Call. Retrieved May 20, 2015.
  48. 1 2 Bartels, Lynn (June 1, 2015). "GOP scrambles after Mike Coffman rejects overtures to take on Bennet". The Denver Post. Retrieved June 2, 2015.
  49. ↑ Pathé, Simone (July 10, 2015). "Republicans Search for Another Cory Gardner to Challenge Bennet". Roll Call. Retrieved July 19, 2015.
  50. 1 2 "The 10 states that could decide the next Senate". Politico. November 12, 2014. Retrieved November 19, 2014.
  51. 1 2 3 Cheney, Kyle (December 29, 2014). "16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate". Politico. Retrieved December 29, 2014.
  52. ↑ "Seeking the next Gardner in Colorado". The Hill. November 18, 2014. Retrieved November 19, 2014.
  53. ↑ Sylte, Allison (September 30, 2015). "George Brauchler says he won't run for Senate". KUSA. Retrieved September 30, 2015.
  54. ↑ "Rep. Ken Buck addresses ranchers' concerns". La Junta Tribune-Democrat. March 11, 2016. Retrieved March 14, 2016.
  55. ↑ Luning, Ernest (September 19, 2015). "Neville listens, prays as he weighs U.S. Senate run". The Colorado Statesman. Retrieved October 5, 2015.
  56. 1 2 Luning, Ernest (November 6, 2015). "Littleton exploring U.S. Senate bid". The Colorado Statesman. Retrieved November 10, 2015.
  57. ↑ Levinson, Alexis (June 18, 2015). "Colorado AG Coffman Rules Out Senate Bid". National Review. Retrieved June 18, 2015.
  58. ↑ Bartels, Lynn (June 1, 2015). "Rep. Mike Coffman won't challenge U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet in 2016". The Denver Post. Retrieved June 1, 2015.
  59. ↑ Cahn, Emily (June 18, 2015). "@ColoradoForKopp was exploring a bid for #COSEN, but isn't anymore, according to a source". Twitter. Retrieved June 18, 2015.
  60. ↑ Bartels, Lynn (June 23, 2015). "Ellen Roberts cites fundraising as why she won't take on Sen. Bennet". The Denver Post. Retrieved June 23, 2015.
  61. ↑ Raju, Manu (August 31, 2015). "Chaos in Colorado risks key Senate seat for GOP". Politico. Retrieved October 5, 2015.
  62. ↑ "OUT: Mitt Romney's Nephew, Doug Robinson, Declines Senate Run, But Will Endorse". Colorado Peak Politics. January 4, 2016. Retrieved January 6, 2016.
  63. ↑ "Ghosts of Senate Past and Mark Scheffel Stir Up 2016". Colorado Pols. September 18, 2015. Retrieved November 3, 2015.
  64. ↑ "Republicans are circling, not yet pouncing on Bennet". The Colorado Statesman. September 19, 2015. Retrieved November 3, 2015.
  65. ↑ Luning, Ernest (October 8, 2015). "Scott considers jumping in GOP U.S. Senate primary". The Colorado Statesman. Retrieved October 8, 2015.
  66. ↑ Bunch, Joey (January 30, 2016). "Sen. Ray Scott says he's considering a run for governor in '18". The Denver Post. Retrieved February 1, 2016.
  67. ↑ Bunch, Joey (October 23, 2015). "Sheriff Justin Smith picks Larimer County over run for U.S. Senate". The Denver Post. Retrieved October 23, 2015.
  68. ↑ Salzman, Jason (October 15, 2015). "Sonnenberg decides against U.S. Senate run but says two or three more candidates may jump in". Colorado Pols. Retrieved October 17, 2015.
  69. ↑ Pathé, Simone (December 11, 2015). "Scott Tipton Not Running for Colorado Senate Seat". Roll Call. Retrieved December 13, 2015.
  70. ↑ "PRESS RELEASE: Family Research Council Endorsement". Robert Blaha for Colorado. Retrieved June 6, 2016.
  71. ↑ "ENDORSEMENT: Bold Blaha best choice". Robert Blaha for Colorado. Retrieved June 10, 2016.
  72. ↑ http://www.denverpost.com/2016/06/07/sarah-palin-endorses-darryl-glenn-in-colorado-us-senate-primary/
  73. ↑ "In Colorado, Cruz backs Glenn, rips Obama over Orlando shooter". The Denver Post. June 20, 2016. Retrieved June 20, 2016.
  74. ↑ Frank, John (July 9, 2016). "Colorado Sen. Cory Gardner endorses Darryl Glenn in unusual political marriage". The Denver Post. Retrieved October 7, 2016.
  75. ↑ https://www.cpr.org/news/newsbeat/utah-sen-lee-will-campaign-for-darryl-glenn
  76. ↑ https://twitter.com/DarrylGlenn2016/status/783753235035140096/
  77. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Proud to be on Team Glenn!". Darryl Glenn for U.S. Senate. Retrieved October 6, 2015.
  78. 1 2 3 4 "El Paso County Law Enforcement Members Endorse Darryl Glenn for US Senate". Darryl Glenn for U.S. Senate. February 7, 2015. Retrieved October 6, 2015.
  79. ↑ Fiorina, Carly (October 1, 2016). "Darryl Glenn is the conservative leader Colorado needs. Here's why I'm proud to endorse him for U.S. Senate: facebook.com/CarlyFiorina/p...". Twitter. Retrieved October 5, 2016.
  80. ↑ "Mark Levin interviews Darryl Glenn". Youtube.
  81. ↑ "SCF Endorses Darryl Glenn for U.S. Senate". Senate Conservatives. Retrieved May 24, 2016.
  82. 1 2 3 "Tom Tancredo, Bill Owens and Hank Brown endorse Jon Keyser". The Denver Post. March 14, 2016.
  83. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 "Neville Rolls Out First Slate of Endorsements". Tim Neville for U.S. Senate. Retrieved February 19, 2015.
  84. ↑ "Phyllis Schlafly Endorses Tim Neville for U.S. Senate". Eagle Forum. April 4, 2016.
  85. ↑ "United States Senate election in Colorado, 2016". Ballotpedia. June 28, 2016. Retrieved June 28, 2016.
  86. ↑ "Boulder County Republican, Democratic party chiefs prepare for 2016 election battles". timescall.com. Retrieved November 15, 2015.
  87. ↑ "2016 General Election Petition Candidates". sos.state.co.us. Retrieved July 31, 2016.
  88. ↑ "Greater Boulder Green Party Endorses Arn Menconi for U.S. Senate". January 9, 2016. Retrieved March 20, 2016.
  89. ↑ Vela, Vic (November 6, 2015). "Mr. Frog: A slowly boiling candidate leaps into the U.S. Senate race". The Colorado Statesman. Retrieved December 13, 2015.
  90. ↑ Craig, Andy (January 12, 2016). "Lily Tang Williams announces candidacy for Colorado U.S. Senate seat as a Libertarian". Independent Political Report. Retrieved January 12, 2016.
  91. ↑ "Austin Petersen - She's one of a very few select candidates I've endorsed, so I'll be doing whatever I can to help her.". Retrieved September 7, 2016.
  92. ↑ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for September 9, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 9, 2016.
  93. ↑ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  94. ↑ "2016 Senate Ratings (September 2, 2016)". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2016.
  95. ↑ "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 17, 2016.
  96. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 15, 2016.
  97. ↑ http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/senate/colorado/

External links

Official campaign websites
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