United States presidential election in Ohio, 2016

United States presidential election in Ohio, 2016

November 8, 2016

Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Party Republican Democratic Home state New York New York Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine Electoral vote 18 0 Popular vote 2,841,005 2,394,164 Percentage 51.7% 43.6%

County Results Trump   40-50%   50-60%   60-70%   70-80%   80-90% Clinton   40-50%   50-60%   60-70%

President before election Barack Obama Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

The 2016 United States presidential election in Ohio was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Ohio voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

Presidential primary elections for three parties were also held in Ohio, concurrently with Florida, Illinois, Missouri and North Carolina on March 15, 2016. In the Democratic primary, 143 delegates were awarded proportionally in a modified primary which was won by former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. In the Republican primary, John Kasich, the state's current governor, won all of the state's 66 delegates.

Ohio was won by president-elect Donald Trump by a margin of 8.1 points. Prior to the election, most news organizations considered the Buckeye State as leaning Republican, due to his appeal to blue collar voters in the rust belt. Ohio kept its streak of voting for the winner (a bellwether state) since 1964, as it voted for Trump, who won nationally. Having voted Democratic in 2012 and 2008, the win margin was the second largest of the states Trump recovered (after Iowa). Trump's win margin, 8.1% points, was more than quadruple that of when Republicans last won the state, by George W. Bush in 2004 by 2.1% points, and represented a 11% point swing from the last election, where Mitt Romney lost the state by 3% points. It is also the largest victory margin since George H.W. Bush defeated Michael Dukakis in 1988.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Ohio Democratic primary, 2016

March 15, 2016

Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Home state New York Vermont Delegate count 95 63 Popular vote 696,681 535,395 Percentage 56.12% 43.13%

Ohio results by county   Hillary Clinton   Bernie Sanders

The Democratic Party's presidential primaries in Ohio were held on March 15, 2016, concurrently with primaries in Florida, Illinois, Missouri and North Carolina. The state's 143 pledged delegates to the 2016 Democratic National Convention were rewarded proportionally according to the statewide vote total. Three candidates appeared on the ballot for the primary – former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, Senator Bernie Sanders and businessman Rocky De La Fuente.

Background

By the time Ohio held its primaries, voters from 21 states and two territories already cast their vote for the presidential nomination of the Democratic Party. As of the March 12 elections, Hillary Clinton was projected to have earned 775 pledged delegates to Bernie Sanders' 552.^[1] Clinton gained significant victories in the Southern United States, often described as her "firewall",^[2] including landslide victories in Mississippi and Alabama and Georgia.^[3][4] In contrast, Bernie Sanders managed to gain victories in the Midwestern United States,^[5] where Ohio resides, including an upset victory in neighboring Michigan on March 8.^[6][7] After the fact, Sanders' campaign took advantage of the momentum gained from the Michigan win, by targeting Illinois, Missouri and Ohio in the March 15 elections, hoping to repeat the same result. Sanders stated that "Not only is Michigan the gateway to the rest of the industrial Midwest, the results there show that we are a national campaign."^[8]

Before the Michigan primaries, Clinton and Sanders had debated over economic policies relating to the industrial midwest states and the so-called "rust belt". The disagreements centered around trade deals, including the Trans-Pacific Partnership and Clinton's past support of the North American Free Trade Agreement, and its effect on economies such as Michigan and Ohio.^[9][10]

Controversy

Ohio is one of at least seventeen states that has laws allowing voters who are 17 years of age, but will be 18 by the time of the general election, to vote in the presidential primaries.^[11] However, Ohio Secretary of State Jon A. Husted had announced in December 2015 that 17 year olds would be outright barred from participating in the 2016 primaries. The rationale for the decision was based on an interpretation of the law in which 17 year olds could "nominate" officials for office, but not "elect". In the case of the presidential primaries, by definition, voters would be electing officials - delegates to each party's presidential nominating convention.^[12] The decision was met with criticism by the public, after it was brought to mainstream attention by Representative Kathleen Clyde, after she condemned the rule in a statement released on March 5. Clyde described it as a "underhanded, backroom attack" against young voters.^[13] Nine teenagers filed a lawsuit with the Ohio Courts of Common Pleas in Franklin County over the decision, stating that the decision contradicted state law and a decision by the Supreme Court of the United States that allowed 17 year olds turning 18 by the general election to vote.^[14]

Bernie Sanders' campaign, whose voter base includes the majority of young voters,^[15][16] also filed a lawsuit against the decision, accusing Husted of "arbitrarily" and "unconsititutionally" discriminating against young African-American and Latino voters, citing data from the 2010 United States Census that shows younger voters in Ohio where mostly African-American and Latino.^[17][18] Husted, in response to Sanders' lawsuit, said in a public statement that he welcomed the lawsuit, further stating that "I am very happy to be sued on this issue because the law is crystal clear",^[17] though, he later spoke out negatively against the lawsuit, claiming that it was a "a last-minute political act", designed to "draw attention to his campaign."^[19] Many Ohio officials, past and present, such as former Ohio Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner, came out in support of Sanders' lawsuit,^[20] and had attracted protests by not only Bernie Sanders supporters, but also Donald Trump supporters as well.^[21] In a decision handed down on March 11, an Ohio state judge ruled in favour of both lawsuits by the teenage group and the Sanders campaign, effectively lifting the ban on 17 year olds from voting in the Ohio presidential primaries.^[22] Husted initially announced that he would appeal the ruling,^[23] however, after learning that such an appeal wouldn't be heard by the court until the day before the primaries, he retracted his intent to appeal.^[24]

Debates and Forums

March 13, 2016 – Columbus, Ohio

The ninth forum was held at 8:00 pm EDT on March 13, 2016, at the campus of Ohio State University in Columbus, Ohio, and aired on CNN.^[25]

March 14, 2016 – Columbus, Ohio and Springfield, Illinois

The tenth forum was held at 6:00 pm EDT on March 14, 2016, at the campus of Ohio State University in Columbus, Ohio, and at the Old State Capitol State Historic Site (Illinois) in Springfield, Illinois. It aired on MSNBC. The first section of the town hall with Bernie Sanders was moderated by Chuck Todd; the second section of the town hall with Hillary Clinton was moderated by Chris Matthews.

Results

Ohio Democratic primary, March 15, 2016
Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	696,681	56.12%	81	14	95
Bernie Sanders	535,395	43.13%	62	1	63
Rocky De La Fuente	9,402	0.76%
Uncommitted	N/A			2	2
Total	1,241,478	100%	143	17	160
Source: The Green Papers

Republican primary

Ohio Republican primary, 2016

March 15, 2016

Candidate John Kasich Donald Trump Ted Cruz Home state Ohio New York Texas Delegate count 66 0 0 Popular vote 993,886 713,404 264,640 Percentage 46.95% 35.87% 13.31%

Ohio results by county   John Kasich   Donald Trump

Results

Ohio Republican primary, March 15, 2016
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
John Kasich	933,886	46.95%	66	0	66
Donald Trump	713,404	35.87%	0	0	0
Ted Cruz	264,640	13.31%	0	0	0
Marco Rubio	46,478	2.34%	0	0	0
Ben Carson (withdrawn)	14,351	0.72%	0	0	0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)	5,398	0.27%	0	0	0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)	4,941	0.25%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	2,430	0.12%	0	0	0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)	2,112	0.11%	0	0	0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)	1,320	0.07%	0	0	0
Unprojected delegates:			0	0	0
Total:	1,988,960	100.00%	66	0	66
Source: The Green Papers

Green state convention

The Green Party of Ohio participated in the March 15 primaries in Ohio, though they did not hold their presidential primary during the event.^[26] Instead, delegates to the Green National Convention were awarded based on presidential preference through a nominating convention in Columbus on April 3. Members of the Green Party of Ohio were able to vote in the convention.^[27][28]

Ohio Green Party presidential convention, April 3, 2016[29]
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	National delegates
Jill Stein	-	61%	6
William Kreml	-	19%	2
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry	-	12%	1
Darryl Cherney	-	5%	-
Kent Mesplay	-	3%	-
Total	-	100.00%	9

Polling

The Republican National Convention

From July 17 through the 20th, Cleveland hosted the Republican Convention, which nominated Donald Trump and Mike Pence.

The General Election

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Ohio as of Election Day.

1. Los Angeles Times: Leans Clinton^[30]
2. CNN: Leans Trump^[31]
3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Trump^[32]
4. NBC: Tossup^[33]
5. Electoral-vote.com: Leans Trump^[34]
6. RealClearPolitics: Tossup^[35]
7. Fox News: Leans Trump^[36]
8. ABC: Leans Trump^[37]

Results

Official state results from the Ohio Secretary of State are as follows

United States presidential election in Ohio, 2016
Party		Candidate	Running Mate	Votes	Percentage	Electoral votes
	Republican	Donald J. Trump	Mike Pence	2,841,005	51.69%	18
	Democratic	Hillary Clinton	Tim Kaine	2,394,164	43.56%	0
	Libertarian	Gary Johnson	William Weld	174,498	3.17%	0
	Green	Jill Stein	Ajamu Baraka	46,271	0.84%	0
	Independent (politician)	Richard Duncan	Ricky Johnson	24,235	0.44%	0
	Constitution	Darrell Castle	Scott Bradley	1,887	0.03%	0
	Write-ins	Write-ins	Write-ins	14,427	0.27%	0
Totals				5,496,487	100.00%	18

By county

County[38]	Trump Votes	Trump %	Clinton Votes	Clinton %	Johnson Votes	Johnson %	Stein Votes	Stein %	Duncan Votes	Duncan %	Other Votes	Other %	Total
Adams	8,445	76.07	2,293	20.65	220	1.98	43	0.39	62	0.56	39	0.35	11,102
Allen	29,858	66.78	12,815	28.66	1,440	3.22	310	0.69	213	0.48	75	0.17	44,711
Ashland	17,169	71.08	5,659	23.43	888	3.68	180	0.75	178	0.74	80	0.32	24,154
Ashtabula	22,755	57.08	15,191	38.11	1,181	2.96	417	1.05	265	0.66	57	0.14	39,866
Athens	10,816	38.69	15,552	55.64	944	3.38	507	1.81	122	0.44	11	0.04	27,952
Auglaize	18,130	79.28	3,825	16.73	673	2.94	105	0.46	127	0.56	9	0.03	22,869
Belmont	20,729	67.79	8,652	28.30	760	2.49	186	0.61	210	0.69	40	0.12	30,577
Ashtabuala	14,257	74.31	4,270	22.25	419	2.18	102	0.53	91	0.47	48	0.26	19,257
Butler	104,441	61.77	56,700	33.53	5,612	3.32	1,119	0.66	550	0.33	669	0.39	169,091
Carroll	9,067	70.59	3,124	24.32	444	3.46	87	0.68	85	0.66	38	0.29	17,641
Champaign	12,314	69.80	4,488	25.44	555	3.15	140	0.79	100	0.57	44	0.25	17,641
Clark	34,311	57.43	22,666	37.94	1,831	3.06	492	0.82	320	0.54	120	0.21	59,740
Clermont	65,960	68.17	26,096	26.97	3,385	3.50	702	0.73	312	0.32	310	0.31	96,765
Clinton	13,466	74.21	3,943	21.73	488	2.69	125	0.69	78	0.43	47	0.25	18,147
Columbiana	31,086	68.47	12,273	27.03	1,368	3.01	313	0.69	221	0.49	142	0.31	45,403
Coshocton	10,381	69.17	3,908	26.04	447	2.98	112	0.75	113	0.75	47	0.31	15,008
Crawford	13,265	70.75	4,518	24.10	687	3.66	114	0.61	118	0.63	39	0.25	18,749
Cuyahoga	179,894	30.78	383,974	65.70	12,526	2.14	5,026	0.86	1,810	0.31	1,180	0.21	584,410
Darke	19,698	78.53	4,395	17.52	639	2.55	146	0.58	122	0.49	84	0.33	25,084
Defiance	11,478	64.24	5,282	29.56	766	4.29	144	0.81	125	0.70	72	0.40	17,867
Delaware	55,660	55.46	39,584	39.44	3,919	3.90	618	0.62	320	0.32	267	0.26	100,368
Erie	19,301	52.46	15,692	42.65	1,185	3.22	329	0.89	223	.61	60	0.14	36,790
Fairfield	43,163	60.90	24,150	34.07	2,341	3.30	529	0.75	359	0.51	334	0.47	70,876
Fayette	7,763	71.60	2,672	24.64	283	2.61	53	0.49	46	0.42	25	0.24	10,842
Franklin	199,331	33.93	351,198	59.78	19,725	3.36	6,106	1.04	1,866	0.32	9,298	1.58	587,524
Fulton	13,419	64.49	5,981	28.74	993	4.77	162	0.78	138	0.66	116	0.56	20,809
Gallia	9,567	75.91	2,564	20.34	282	2.24	94	0.75	81	0.64	15	0.12	12,603
Geauga	29,577	60.59	17,165	35.16	1,452	2.97	318	0.65	224	0.46	81	0.12	48,817
Greene	47,506	59.63	28,023	35.17	3,169	3.98	646	0.81	289	0.39	37	0.05	79,670
Guernsey	11,164	69.02	4,286	26.50	529	3.27	93	0.57	84	0.52	20	0.12	16,176
Hamilton	169,972	42.86	207,587	52.35	12,750	3.22	3,521	0.89	1,170	0.30	1,546	0.38	396,546
Hancock	23,777	67.21	9,419	26.63	1,493	4.22	312	0.88	215	0.61	160	0.45	35,376
Hardin	8,541	70.90	2,870	23.82	450	3.74	76	0.63	77	0.64	33	0.27	12,047
Harrison	5,021	72.07	1,663	23.87	171	2.45	51	0.73	50	0.72	11	0.16	6,967
Henry	9,136	66.83	3,690	26.99	638	4.67	108	0.79	99	0.72	0	0.00	13,671
Highland	13,005	76.12	3,436	20.11	428	2.51	95	0.56	84	0.49	36	0.21	17,084
Hocking	8,282	66.05	3,713	29.61	352	2.81	87	0.69	79	0.63	26	0.21	12,539
Holmes	8,578	78.85	1,766	16.23	369	3.39	48	0.44	62	0.57	56	0.52	10,879
Huron	15,930	65.32	7,080	29.03	897	3.68	186	0.76	239	0.98	57	0.23	24,389
Jackson	9,618	72.65	3,142	23.73	352	2.66	60	0.45	67	0.51	0	0.00	13,239
Jefferson	20,668	65.58	9,483	30.09	815	2.59	190	0.60	190	0.60	168	0.54	31,514
Knox	18,563	66.67	7,959	28.59	881	3.16	204	0.73	161	0.58	74	0.27	27,842
Lake	62,627	55.40	45,056	39.86	3,702	3.27	905	0.80	500	0.44	254	0.23	113,044
Lawrence	18,240	70.15	6,849	26.34	564	2.17	156	0.60	140	0.54	54	0.20	26,003
Licking	49,346	61.88	26,360	33.05	2,575	3.23	682	0.86	436	0.55	352	0.43	79,751
Logan	15,586	74.00	4,537	21.54	640	3.04	122	0.58	122	0.58	54	0.26	21,061
Lorain	66,818	47.24	66,949	47.34	4,548	3.22	1,255	0.89	735	0.52	396	0.79	140,305
Lucas	74,102	38.56	107,363	55.87	7,214	3.75	2,172	1.13	833	0.43	468	0.26	192,152
Madison	11,319	67.24	4,662	27.69	583	3.46	106	0.63	84	0.50	80	0.48	16,834
Mahoning	52,808	46.74	56,188	49.73	2,559	2.26	856	0.76	416	0.37	163	0.14	112,990
Marion	16,563	64.45	7,748	30.15	956	3.72	226	0.88	155	0.60	50	0.20	25,698
Medina	53,811	60.03	31,582	35.23	2,879	3.23	693	0.77	381	0.43	282	0.31	89,642
Meigs	6,869	72.94	2,157	22.91	263	2.79	59	0.63	62	0.66	7	0.07	9,417
Mercer	17,200	80.54	3,335	15.62	552	2.58	108	0.51	120	0.56	42	0.19	21,357
Miami	36,311	70.34	12,832	24.86	1,792	3.47	305	0.59	227	0.44	152	0.03	51,619
Monroe	4,781	71.48	1,647	24.62	161	2.41	36	0.54	61	0.91	3	0.04	6,689
Montgomery	120,766	48.25	117,661	47.01	8,085	3.23	2,183	0.87	865	0.35	713	0.29	250,273
Morgan	4,315	68.52	1,711	27.17	186	2.95	42	0.67	36	0.57	7	0.12	6,297
Morrow	11,722	72.12	3,711	22.83	555	3.41	98	0.60	100	0.62	67	0.42	16,253
Muskingum	23,588	65.02	10,926	30.12	1,215	3.35	251	0.69	237	0.65	63	0.17	36,280
Noble	4,441	75.54	1,201	20.43	148	2.52	34	0.58	51	0.87	4	0.06	5,879
Ottawa	12,389	56.89	8,136	37.36	935	4.29	143	0.66	139	0.64	36	0.16	21,778
Paulding	6,359	71.76	2,068	23.34	269	3.04	71	0.80	75	0.85	19	0.21	8,861
Perry	9,978	68.06	4,072	27.78	394	2.69	99	0.68	104	0.71	13	0.08	14,660
Pickaway	16,482	68.96	6,325	26.46	732	3.06	165	0.69	110	0.46	88	0.37	23,902
Pike	7,669	66.53	3,443	29.87	269	2.33	54	0.47	78	0.68	14	0.12	11,527
Portage	38,978	52.62	31,463	42.48	2,325	3.14	800	1.08	402	0.54	100	0.14	74,068
Preble	15,376	75.05	4,323	21.10	548	2.67	126	0.61	102	0.50	13	0.07	20,488
Putnam	14,704	79.73	2,874	15.58	626	3.39	69	0.37	114	0.62	55	0.10	18,442
Richland	35,805	66.44	15,629	29.00	1,586	2.94	373	0.69	346	0.64	155	0.29	53,894
Ross	17,833	61.45	9,905	34.13	869	2.99	198	0.68	150	0.52	65	0.23	29,020
Sandusky	16,045	58.29	9,733	35.36	1,229	4.46	302	1.10	182	0.66	35	0.13	27,526
Scioto	19,742	66.61	8,841	29.83	671	2.26	201	0.68	163	0.55	20	0.07	29,638
Seneca	14,559	61.86	7,237	30.75	1,270	5.40	236	1.00	179	0.76	56	0.23	23,537
Shelby	18,148	78.39	4,143	17.89	572	2.47	120	0.52	127	0.55	42	0.18	23,152
Stark	96,345	56.22	66,581	38.85	5,541	3.23	1,355	0.79	1,046	0.61	503	0.30	171,371
Summit	109,531	43.68	129,922	51.81	7,226	2.88	2,244	0.89	1,014	0.40	818	0.34	250,755
Trumbull	48,152	51.12	42,130	44.73	2,434	2.58	830	0.88	527	0.56	118	0.13	94,186
Tuscarawas	26,105	65.07	11,895	29.65	1,560	3.89	275	0.69	253	0.63	28	0.07	40,116
Union	17,601	65.94	7,530	28.21	1,088	4.08	196	0.73	118	0.44	161	0.60	26,694
Van Wert	10,328	76.03	2,667	19.63	419	3.08	102	0.75	68	0.50	0	0.00	13,584
Vinton	3,799	70.40	1,332	24.68	164	3.04	43	0.80	55	1.02	3	0.06	5,396
Warren	75,947	66.15	33,036	28.77	4,237	3.69	697	0.61	337	0.29	321	0.49	114,814
Washington	19,901	68.61	7,841	27.03	872	3.01	201	0.69	177	0.61	16	0.05	29,008
Wayne	31,622	64.82	14,670	30.07	1,586	3.25	364	0.75	308	0.63	233	0.48	48,783
Williams	11,706	68.92	4,287	25.24	690	4.06	124	0.73	131	0.77	46	0.28	16,984
Wood	31,734	50.78	26,440	42.31	3,133	5.01	642	1.03	338	0.54	210	0.33	62,497
Wyandot	7,346	70.50	2,484	23.84	424	4.07	83	0.80	59	0.57	24	0.22	10,420

Flipped Counties

Trump won 80 of Ohio's 88 counties, the most since Ronald Reagan won 82 in 1984. He flipped 9 counties from 2012.

See also

• Democratic Party presidential debates, 2016
• Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
• Republican Party presidential debates, 2016
• Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016

References

1. "Who's Winning the Presidential Delegate Count?". Bloomberg. Bloomberg L.P. March 12, 2016. Archived from the original on March 12, 2016. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
2. Tani, Maxwell (February 28, 2016). "It's now clear that Hillary Clinton's 'firewall' strategy is alive and well". Business Insider. Axel Springer SE. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
3. Dowling, Brian (6 March 2016). "Hillary Clinton still strong in South, while Bernie Sanders stays alive". Boston Herald. Herald Media, Inc. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
4. Bump, Philip (March 8, 2016). "Hillary Clinton's stunningly large win in Mississippi". The Washington Post. Nash Holdings LLC. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
5. Riddell, Kelly (March 5, 2016). "Bernie Sanders' campaign gets needed boost with Kansas, Nebraska wins". The Washington Times. Operations Holdings (The Washington Times, LLC). Retrieved March 13, 2016.
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10. Davis, Owen (March 7, 2016). "Free Trade And Flint: What Sanders And Clinton Got Right And Wrong On Nafta". International Business Times. IBT Media. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
11. "Primaries - Where Can 17-Year-Olds Vote in Presidential Primaries or Caucuses?". FairVote. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
12. Perkins, William T. (March 5, 2016). "17-year-olds shut out of presidential primary". The Columbus Dispatch. New Media Investment Group. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
13. Naymik, Mark (March 8, 2016). "Ohio 17-year-olds' presidential picks in Tuesday's primary won't count but pressure building to change the rule". Cleveland.com (The Plain Dealer). Advance Publications / Newhouse Newspapers. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
14. O'Brien, Brendan (March 8, 2016). "Ohio 17-year-olds sue state for right to vote in primary". Reuters. Thomson Reuters. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
15. Heller, Nathan (August 25, 2015). "Feeling the Bern With the Youth Vote". The New Yorker. Advance Publications. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
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External links

• RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process
• Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
• 2016 Presidential primaries, ElectionProjection.com
• Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Ohio
• Primary Election Results, Ohio Secretary of State