United States presidential election in North Carolina, 2016

United States presidential election in North Carolina, 2016

November 8, 2016

Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Party Republican Democratic Home state New York New York Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine Electoral vote 15 0 Popular vote 2,355,784 2,180,230 Percentage 49.9% 46.2%

County Results   Trump—40-50%   Trump—50-60%   Trump—60-70%   Trump—70-80%   Clinton—40-50%   Clinton—50-60%   Clinton—60-70%   Clinton—70-80%

President before election Barack Obama Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

The 2016 United States presidential election in North Carolina took place on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 general election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Carolina voters chose 15 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote.

Republican nominee Donald Trump won the state by 3.7% points, nearly doubling Republican nominee Mitt Romney's 2.04% margin of victory from 2012. It was one of the key statewide wins that ensured Trump's election as president.

On March 15, 2016, in the presidential primaries, North Carolina voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian parties' respective nominees for President. In North Carolina, registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated chose any one primary in which to vote.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Four candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:^[1][2]

• Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
• Bernie Sanders
• Hillary Clinton
• Rocky De La Fuente

Polling

According to a WRAL-TV/SurveyUSA poll conducted the week before the primary: "[Hillary] Clinton holds a commanding lead of 57 percent to 34 percent among likely Democratic voters over U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont." ^[3]

Results

County results of the North Carolina Democratic presidential primary, 2016.

  Hillary Clinton

  Bernie Sanders

Democratic primary results^[4]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Hillary Clinton	616,758	54.59%
	Democratic	Bernie Sanders	460,434	40.75%
	Democratic	No Preference	37,200	3.29%
	Democratic	Others (total)	15,375	1.36%
Total votes			1,129,767	100%

Republican primary

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:^[1][2][5]

• Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
• Ben Carson (withdrawn)
• Chris Christie (withdrawn)
• Ted Cruz
• Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
• Jim Gilmore (withdrawn)
• Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
• John Kasich
• Rand Paul (withdrawn)
• Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
• Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
• Donald Trump

Republican primary results by county.

  Donald Trump

  Ted Cruz

Polling

According to a WRAL-TV/SurveyUSA poll conducted the week before the primary: "[Donald] Trump tops U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas 41 percent to 27 percent among likely GOP voters. U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and Ohio Gov. John Kasich trail far behind, at 14 and 11 percent, respectively." ^[3]

Results

North Carolina Republican primary, March 15, 2016
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	462,413	40.23%	29	0	29
Ted Cruz	422,621	36.76%	27	0	27
John Kasich	145,659	12.67%	9	0	9
Marco Rubio	88,907	7.73%	6	0	6
Ben Carson (withdrawn)	11,019	0.96%	1	0	1
No Preference	6,081	0.53%	0	0	0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)	3,893	0.34%	0	0	0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)	3,071	0.27%	0	0	0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)	2,753	0.24%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	1,256	0.11%	0	0	0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)	929	0.08%	0	0	0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)	663	0.06%	0	0	0
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn)	265	0.02%	0	0	0
Unprojected delegates:			0	0	0
Total:	1,149,530	100.00%	72	0	72
Source: The Green Papers

Trump managed to pull off a closer than expected win due to both Cruz and his campaigns performances in different metropolitan areas. Trump was strongest in the Charlotte, Fayetteville and Wilmington areas. Cruz did best in Greensboro, Asheville and the Research Triangle region, where North Carolina's major colleges and capitol of Raleigh are located.^[6]

Libertarian primary

North Carolina Libertarian primary, 2016

March 15, 2016

Candidate Gary Johnson No Preference Home state New Mexico n/a Popular vote 2,414 2,067 Percentage 41.48% 35.52%   Candidate John Hale Joy Waymire Home state Kentucky California Popular vote 329 268 Percentage 5.65% 4.61%

North Carolina results by county   Gary Johnson   No Preference   Tie

Eleven candidates appeared on the Libertarian presidential primary ballot:^[1][2]

• John David Hale
• Cecil Ince
• Gary Johnson
• Steve Kerbel
• Darryl W. Perry
• Austin Petersen
• Derrick Michael Reid
• Jack Robinson, Jr.
• Rhett Smith
• Joy Waymire
• Marc Allan Feldman

Results

North Carolina Libertarian presidential primary, March 15, 2016[7]
Candidate	Votes	Percentage
Gary Johnson	2,414	41.48%
No Preference	2,067	35.52%
John David Hale	329	5.65%
Joy Waymire	268	4.61%
Austin Petersen	189	3.25%
Darryl Perry	118	2.03%
Steve Kerbel	109	1.87%
Derrick Michael Reid	74	1.27%
Cecil Ince	72	1%
Jack Robinson, Jr.	70	1.20%
Marc Allan Feldman	66	1.13%
Rhett Smith	43	0.74%
Total	5,739	100%

General Election

Polling

Candidates

In addition to Clinton, Johnson and Trump, Green Party nominee Jill Stein was granted write-in status by the North Carolina State Board of Elections, the only write-in candidate to qualify.^[8][9]

Predictions

The following were final 2016 predictions from various organizations for North Carolina as of Election Day.

1. Los Angeles Times: Leans Clinton^[10]
2. CNN: Tossup^[11]
3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Clinton^[12]
4. NBC: Tossup^[13]
5. Electoral-vote.com: Leans Clinton^[14]
6. RealClearPolitics: Tossup^[15]
7. Fox News: Tossup^[16]
8. ABC: Tossup^[17]

Results

 United States presidential election in North Carolina, 2016
– Summary of results –

Candidate	Popular vote	Percentage
Donald Trump	2,362,632	49.83%
Hillary Clinton	2,189,322	46.17%
Gary Johnson	130,127	2.74%
Write-in	47,386	1.00%
Jill Stein (write-in)	12,195	0.26%
Total	4,739,292	100%
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections The Green Papers

By county^[18]

County	Clinton percentage	Clinton Votes	Trump percentage	Trump Votes	Johnson percentage	Johnson Votes	Write-in percentage	Write-in Votes	Stein percentage	Stein Votes	Totals
Alamance	41.92%	29,818	54.55%	38,802	2.52%	1,795	0.70%	496	0.30%	216	71,127
Alexander	20.64%	3,756	76.01%	13,833	2.39%	435	0.83%	151	0.13%	23	18,198
Alleghany	24.57%	1,306	71.76%	3,814	2.43%	129	1.24%	66	0.00%	0	5,315
Anson	55.56%	5,859	42.73%	4,506	1.22%	129	0.46%	48	0.03%	3	10,545
Ashe	26.07%	3,500	70.12%	9,413	2.47%	332	1.34%	180	0.00%	0	13,425
Avery	20.48%	1,689	76.35%	6,298	2.01%	166	0.88%	73	0.28%	23	8,249
Beaufort	36.61%	8,764	60.75%	14,543	1.78%	426	0.75%	180	0.10%	25	23,936
Bertie	61.82%	5,778	36.97%	3,456	0.75%	70	0.43%	40	0.03%	3	9,347
Bladen	44.38%	7,021	53.80%	8,511	1.33%	211	0.48%	76	0.00%	0	15,819
Brunswick	34.06%	23,282	62.50%	42,717	2.51%	1,717	0.78%	536	0.14%	96	68,348
Buncombe	54.30%	75,421	40.10%	55,694	3.08%	4,284	1.41%	1,958	1.10%	1,534	138,891
Burke	28.91%	11,251	67.42%	26,238	2.54%	988	0.83%	324	0.31%	119	38,920
Cabarrus	38.08%	35,510	57.69%	53,789	2.99%	2,784	1.04%	972	0.20%	190	93,245
Caldwell	23.20%	8,425	73.30%	26,621	2.34%	849	0.83%	302	0.34%	123	36,320
Camden	25.45%	1,274	70.83%	3,546	2.98%	149	0.58%	29	0.16%	8	5,006
Carteret	26.31%	9,939	70.32%	26,569	2.42%	913	0.74%	278	0.22%	82	37,781
Caswell	43.28%	4,792	54.44%	6,027	1.93%	214	0.26%	29	0.08%	9	11,071
Catawba	29.32%	21,216	66.79%	48,324	2.73%	1,973	0.95%	685	0.21%	153	72,351
Chatham	52.86%	21,065	42.92%	17,105	2.84%	1,130	1.03%	412	0.34%	137	39,849
Cherokee	20.17%	2,860	76.47%	10,844	2.44%	346	0.69%	98	0.23%	33	14,181
Chowan	41.39%	2,992	55.53%	4,014	2.24%	162	0.68%	49	0.15%	11	7,228
Clay	22.75%	1,367	73.83%	4,437	2.38%	143	0.90%	54	0.15%	9	6,010
Cleveland	33.50%	14,961	63.75%	28,474	1.90%	850	0.68%	305	0.17%	75	44,665
Columbus	38.18%	9,053	60.15%	14,264	1.29%	305	0.38%	91	0.00%	0	23,713
Craven	37.52%	17,629	58.99%	27,722	2.57%	1,210	0.81%	380	0.11%	50	46,991
Cumberland	56.16%	71,605	40.21%	51,265	2.65%	3,373	0.85%	1,084	0.14%	179	127,506
Currituck	22.99%	2,913	72.33%	9,163	3.80%	482	0.66%	84	0.21%	27	12,669
Dare	36.81%	7,323	58.43%	11,626	3.47%	690	1.03%	205	0.26%	52	19,896
Davidson	24.19%	18,102	72.56%	54,304	2.48%	1,858	0.65%	484	0.12%	87	74,835
Davie	24.22%	5,270	71.71%	15,602	2.90%	631	0.95%	206	0.22%	47	21,756
Duplin	39.72%	8,283	58.58%	12,217	1.25%	260	0.41%	85	0.05%	11	20,845
Durham	77.67%	121,166	18.15%	28,314	2.56%	3,995	1.28%	1,996	0.34%	535	156,006
Edgecombe	65.19%	16,224	33.20%	8,261	1.14%	284	0.43%	106	0.04%	11	24,886
Forsyth	52.98%	94,185	42.61%	75,751	3.01%	5,358	1.40%	2,492	0.00%	0	177,786
Franklin	42.39%	12,874	53.90%	16,368	2.56%	777	0.97%	296	0.17%	53	30,368
Gaston	32.33%	31,177	64.09%	61,798	2.54%	2,445	0.91%	873	0.14%	138	96,431
Gates	44.23%	2,385	53.30%	2,874	2.00%	108	0.46%	25	0.00%	0	5,392
Graham	18.39%	739	78.82%	3,167	1.77%	71	1.02%	41	0.00%	0	4,018
Granville	47.19%	12,909	49.69%	13,591	2.18%	596	0.79%	215	0.15%	42	27,353
Greene	44.53%	3,605	54.03%	4,374	1.05%	85	0.33%	27	0.05%	4	8,095
Guilford	57.98%	149,248	38.10%	98,062	2.62%	6,754	1.04%	2,667	0.26%	674	257,405
Halifax	62.57%	15,748	35.88%	9,031	1.15%	290	0.39%	98	0.00%	0	25,167
Harnett	36.33%	16,737	59.95%	27,614	2.72%	1,252	0.84%	389	0.16%	73	46,065
Haywood	34.08%	10,473	61.60%	18,929	2.95%	905	0.99%	303	0.38%	117	30,727
Henderson	34.08%	19,827	61.55%	35,807	2.80%	1,626	1.18%	687	0.39%	227	58,174
Hertford	67.84%	6,910	30.42%	3,099	1.31%	133	0.43%	44	0.00%	0	10,186
Hoke	53.35%	9,725	42.57%	7,759	3.17%	577	0.77%	140	0.15%	27	18,184
Hyde	41.88%	965	55.90%	1,288	1.82%	42	0.35%	8	0.04%	1	2,304
Iredell	29.96%	24,734	66.31%	54,754	2.65%	2,185	0.91%	754	0.17%	140	82,567
Jackson	41.15%	7,564	52.80%	9,706	3.99%	734	1.46%	268	0.60%	110	18,382
Johnston	33.17%	28,362	63.59%	54,372	2.74%	2,347	0.37%	314	0.13%	112	85,507
Jones	40.21%	2,065	57.92%	2,974	1.15%	59	0.72%	37	0.00%	0	5,135
Lee	41.74%	10,469	54.66%	13,712	2.73%	684	0.76%	191	0.11%	28	25,084
Lenoir	46.45%	12,091	51.41%	13,381	1.52%	395	0.62%	162	0.00%	0	26,029
Lincoln	24.73%	9,897	71.97%	28,806	2.43%	971	0.76%	305	0.11%	44	40,023
Macon	27.50%	4,876	68.38%	12,127	2.63%	467	1.29%	228	0.20%	36	17,734
Madison	34.84%	3,926	60.19%	6,783	2.98%	336	0.91%	103	1.07%	121	11,269
Martin	48.86%	5,846	49.29%	5,897	1.38%	165	0.39%	47	0.08%	9	11,964
McDowell	23.48%	4,667	73.30%	14,568	1.99%	396	1.15%	229	0.08%	15	19,875
Mecklenburg	62.29%	294,562	32.89%	155,518	3.28%	15,488	1.26%	5,937	0.29%	1,352	472,857
Mitchell	19.71%	1,596	77.59%	6,282	1.70%	138	0.69%	56	0.30%	24	8,096
Montgomery	35.96%	4,150	61.79%	7,130	1.76%	203	0.44%	51	0.05%	6	11,540
Moore	33.54%	16,328	62.62%	30,487	2.78%	1,354	0.96%	468	0.10%	50	48,687
Nash	48.75%	23,235	48.92%	23,318	1.57%	750	0.63%	301	0.13%	60	47,664
New Hanover	45.56%	50,975	49.46%	55,340	3.53%	3,949	1.06%	1,184	0.40%	449	111,897
Northampton	62.39%	6,144	36.37%	3,582	0.94%	93	0.29%	29	0.00%	0	9,848
Onslow	30.65%	17,514	64.97%	37,122	3.37%	1,926	0.84%	481	0.16%	92	57,135
Orange	72.78%	59,923	22.54%	18,557	2.92%	2,404	1.21%	997	0.56%	459	82,340
Pamlico	35.63%	2,448	61.98%	4,258	1.80%	124	0.44%	30	0.15%	10	6,870
Pasquotank	49.54%	8,615	47.04%	8,180	2.54%	442	0.70%	122	0.18%	32	17,391
Pender	33.54%	9,354	63.26%	17,639	2.45%	683	0.56%	157	0.19%	52	27,885
Perquimans	34.57%	2,319	62.27%	4,177	2.42%	162	0.64%	43	0.10%	7	6,708
Person	39.93%	7,832	57.03%	11,185	2.14%	419	0.72%	142	0.18%	36	19,614
Pitt	51.94%	41,824	44.32%	35,691	2.68%	2,162	0.84%	680	0.21%	170	80,527
Polk	34.16%	3,735	61.90%	6,768	2.49%	272	0.98%	107	0.48%	52	10,934
Randolph	20.43%	13,194	76.55%	49,430	2.17%	1,403	0.69%	446	0.16%	102	64,575
Richmond	43.98%	8,501	53.72%	10,383	1.72%	333	0.45%	87	0.12%	24	19,328
Robeson	46.54%	19,016	50.82%	20,762	1.97%	803	0.62%	252	0.06%	25	40,858
Rockingham	33.65%	14,228	63.46%	26,830	2.06%	871	0.70%	294	0.13%	55	42,278
Rowan	30.14%	19,400	66.51%	42,810	2.36%	1,517	0.88%	564	0.12%	78	64,369
Rutherford	24.80%	7,515	72.16%	21,869	2.06%	624	0.86%	261	0.13%	39	30,308
Sampson	40.68%	10,547	57.23%	14,838	1.52%	393	0.58%	150	0.00%	0	25,928
Scotland	52.55%	7,319	44.92%	6,256	1.82%	254	0.52%	73	0.19%	26	13,928
Stanly	23.71%	7,094	73.42%	21,964	2.22%	664	0.56%	169	0.09%	26	29,917
Stokes	20.69%	4,665	75.90%	17,116	2.53%	571	0.77%	173	0.11%	25	22,550
Surry	23.26%	9,005	73.52%	23,671	2.30%	739	0.78%	250	0.15%	48	32,196
Swain	35.86%	2,196	58.24%	3,566	3.92%	240	1.50%	92	0.47%	27	6,123
Transylvania	36.70%	6,558	58.87%	10,520	2.74%	489	1.23%	220	0.46%	82	17,869
Tyrrell	41.40%	720	56.07%	975	1.61%	28	0.63%	11	0.29%	5	1,739
Union	32.48%	34,335	63.10%	66,705	3.15%	3,327	1.11%	1,176	0.15%	163	105,706
Vance	61.22%	12,229	36.70%	7,332	1.47%	294	0.49%	97	0.13%	25	19,977
Wake	57.38%	302,569	37.16%	195,984	3.69%	19,445	1.44%	7,600	0.33%	1,739	527,337
Warren	65.17%	6,419	32.64%	3,215	1.49%	147	0.70%	69	0.00%	0	9,850
Washington	56.93%	3,509	41.60%	2,564	1.05%	65	0.41%	25	0.02%	1	6,164
Watauga	47.15%	14,138	45.68%	13,697	4.46%	1,336	1.80%	539	0.92%	275	29,985
Wayne	42.95%	21,769	54.33%	27,540	1.90%	963	0.76%	383	0.07%	33	50,688
Wilkes	21.21%	6,638	75.89%	23,752	2.07%	647	0.73%	228	0.10%	31	31,296
Wilson	51.56%	19,663	45.97%	17,531	1.75%	667	0.67%	256	0.05%	18	38,135
Yadkin	17.93%	3,160	78.76%	13,880	2.26%	398	0.86%	152	0.19%	34	17,624
Yancey	32.09%	3,196	64.11%	6,385	2.62%	261	0.77%	77	0.41%	41	9,960
Totals	46.17%	2,188,201	49.84%	2,361,942	2.75%	130,099	1.00%	47,438	0.25%	11,612	4,739,292

See also

• Democratic Party presidential debates, 2016
• Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
• Republican Party presidential debates, 2016
• Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016
• Libertarian Party presidential primaries, 2016

References

1. Binker, Mark. "NC approves 27 candidates for presidential primary ballots". WRAL.com. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
3. Burns, Matthew. "WRAL News poll: Trump, Clinton poised to win NC". WRAL.com. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
4. "NC SBE Election Contest Details". Er.ncsbe.gov. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
5. "NC SBE Election Contest Details". Er.ncsbe.gov. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
6. "Live results from the North Carolina primary". graphics.latimes.com. Retrieved 2016-04-26.
7. "NC SBE Contest Results". North Carolina State Board of Elections. Government of North Carolina. 16 March 2015. Retrieved 16 March 2016.
8. News & Observer
9. WFMY-TV
10. "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours.". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
11. "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
12. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
13. Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
14. "ElectoralVote". ElectoralVote. 2000-12-31. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
15. "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
16. "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
17. "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
18. "North Carolina State Board of Elections". Retrieved November 14, 2012.

External links

• North Carolina State Board of Elections
• North Carolina Democratic Party
• North Carolina Republican Party
• North Carolina Libertarian Party
• North Carolina Green Party
• RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process
• Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
• 2016 Presidential primaries, ElectionProjection.com